Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A. (SFER) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €792.60M
• Dividend Yield: 2.04%
• Average Volume (3M): 511.12K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 112.5
• Beta (1Y): 1.12
• Revenue Growth: -8.65%
• EPS Growth: -1512.63%
• Country: IT
• Employees: 3,329
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 79
• Industry: Luxury Goods
• EPS (TTM): -0.10
• Shares Outstanding: 168,790,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 530,682
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 511,115
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €4.54
• Price Target Upside: -7.16% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Sell
• Number of Analyst Covering: 8

• Rating: 45 Neutral
• Price Target: €5.00 ▲(2.25% Upside)

Salvatore Ferragamo's stock is facing significant challenges primarily due to poor financial performance and unattractive valuation. The technical analysis also indicates a bearish trend. The combination of negative profitability and declining stock momentum results in a low overall stock score.

Positive Factors

Market Outperformance

North America recorded positive organic growth of +6% in 4Q24, significantly exceeding consensus estimates by over 10% due to strong trends in the primary DTC channel.

Retail Performance

Ferragamo's retail organic growth returned to positive territory, with a +1% increase in 4Q24, driven by strong performance in handbags and shoes.

Negative Factors

APAC Performance

APAC performance was softer than expected in 4Q24, with a decline to -25% due to weak trends in both DTC and wholesale channels.

Tariff Uncertainty

Uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariffs and their potential negative impact on consumer confidence in the U.S., Europe, and China weighs on Ferragamo's 2025 outlook.

Wholesale Weakness

Ferragamo's wholesale segment weakened further in 4Q24, declining to -19% at c.FX, reflecting a negative trend contrary to previous management commentary.

Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A., through its subsidiaries, creates, produces, and sells luxury goods for men and women in Italy, rest of Europe, North America, Japan, the Asia Pacific, and Central and South America. The company offers men's and women's footwear; leather goods, such as handbags, suitcases, belts, wallets, and other men's and women's leather accessories; and knitwear, clothes for formal occasions, sportswear, and leisure wear, as well as outerwear, such as husky jackets, ponchos, and leather garments. It also provides silk accessories, including ties, foulards, scarves, etc.; home accessories comprising plaid throws, cushions, and beach towels; costume jewelry; and other accessories consisting of shawls and gloves. In addition, the company develops and distributes perfumes and fragrances. Further, it offers men's and women's sunglasses and prescription glasses; jewelry products; and watches. Additionally, the company is also involved in the real estate management business. Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A. was formerly known as Salvatore Ferragamo Italia S.p.A. and changed its name to Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A. in April 2011. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Florence, Italy. Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A. is a subsidiary of Ferragamo Finanziaria S.p.A.

How the Company Makes Money

Salvatore Ferragamo generates revenue primarily through the sale of luxury goods, with a significant portion coming from its footwear and leather goods segments. The company has a diverse revenue model that includes direct sales from owned boutiques, wholesale distribution to high-end department stores, and online retail. Key revenue streams consist of high-margin products such as shoes, handbags, and accessories, which are marketed to affluent consumers. In addition, Ferragamo benefits from partnerships with luxury retailers and collaborations that enhance brand visibility and reach. Seasonal collections, limited editions, and exclusive products also contribute to driving sales, while the company's strong brand heritage and reputation for quality help maintain customer loyalty and justify premium pricing.

Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A. is facing financial difficulties with declining revenues and profitability. The company's balance sheet shows manageable leverage but weakened equity, and while cash flow remains positive, the negative EBIT and net income indicate significant operational challenges.

Income Statement

Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A. has faced declining revenues and profitability over recent years. The 2024 annual report shows a negative EBIT and net income, indicating operational challenges. Gross profit margin remains relatively stable but at lower levels compared to prior years. Revenue growth has been negative, and the net profit margin has suffered significantly due to losses.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet indicates a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a reasonable level of leverage. However, the equity ratio has declined, reflecting reduced financial stability. Return on equity has turned negative in 2024 due to net losses, highlighting profitability issues.

Cash Flow

Although Salvatore Ferragamo has faced operational challenges, it maintains positive operating cash flow, indicating some stability in its cash-generating capabilities. Free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, but there is a positive free cash flow in 2024, which is a positive sign amidst the earnings decline.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.04B	1.16B	1.25B	1.14B	915.83M
Gross Profit	740.01M	839.43M	901.12M	780.94M	565.54M
EBITDA	130.50M	241.85M	287.84M	299.03M	122.08M
Net Income	-68.09M	26.06M	69.61M	78.65M	-71.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.70B	1.81B	1.72B	1.85B	1.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	238.19M	304.26M	401.35M	511.80M	328.16M
Total Debt	789.64M	791.17M	604.59M	736.36M	753.91M
Total Liabilities	1.08B	1.09B	944.88M	1.06B	1.00B
Stockholders Equity	619.09M	721.17M	751.81M	764.31M	693.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	99.89M	45.76M	211.21M	331.64M	58.52M
Operating Cash Flow	170.62M	117.50M	267.07M	376.13M	88.33M
Investing Cash Flow	-85.85M	-96.97M	-65.86M	-30.89M	-37.39M
Financing Cash Flow	-111.91M	-150.09M	-323.28M	-160.29M	47.26M

Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 4.89
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:SFER, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.69, below the 50-day MA of 4.96, and below the 200-day MA of 6.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IT:SFER.

Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$17.78B	13.97	-5.49%	3.03%	1.50%	-15.71%
SFER	45 Neutral	€792.60M	112.46	-20.18%	2.04%	-8.65%	-1512.63%
0QII	―	€13.01B	21.21	18.89%	―	―	―
8BU	―	€6.73B	56.65	25.65%	―	―	―
2PI	―	€5.93B	11.91	8.98%	―	―	―
CULT	―	€39.31M	9.33		0.73%	―	―
FPE	72 Outperform	€228.94M	27.43		2.06%	9.98%	-16.79%