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Cembre SPA (IT:CMB)
:CMB

Cembre SPA (CMB) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:CMB

Cembre SPA

(CMB)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
€68.00
▼(-8.48% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/14/26
Overall score reflects strong underlying financial quality (high margins, strong ROE, low leverage) as the primary support, partially offset by weak technical positioning (trading below major moving averages with soft momentum). Valuation is mixed, with a supportive dividend yield but a P/E that looks demanding relative to the recent slowdown in revenue growth.
Positive Factors
High Margins & ROE
Cembre’s very high gross and net margins alongside ROE near 21% reflect durable pricing power, efficient manufacturing and a differentiated product mix. These structural profitability characteristics support sustained reinvestment, dividend capacity and resilience through slower top-line cycles.
Conservative Balance Sheet
A low debt-to-equity ratio and rising equity indicate a conservative capital structure that preserves financial flexibility. This allows the company to fund capex, support operations, maintain payouts and pursue selective M&A without materially stressing credit metrics during industry cyclicality.
Solid Cash Generation
Robust operating cash flow and materially positive free cash flow, which improved year-over-year, show the business produces real cash from operations. Reliable cash generation from products and consumables supports reinvestment, working-capital needs and shareholder returns over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Slowing Revenue Growth
Revenue growth has decelerated to low single digits versus stronger historical trends. Prolonged top-line weakness can limit operating leverage, reduce scope for margin expansion and constrain returns on new investments unless the company expands end-markets or accelerates product adoption.
Variable Cash Conversion
Operating cash flow below net income and free cash flow at roughly half of net income point to inconsistent cash conversion. Working-capital swings or elevated investment needs could reduce available cash for dividends, capex or acquisitions during adverse cycles.
Step-up in Total Debt
A recent increase in total debt, even from a low base, raises medium-term financing risk if revenue growth remains muted. Higher leverage could limit strategic flexibility, increase interest exposure and pressure capital allocation choices if margins or cash flows face headwinds.

Cembre SPA (CMB) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Cembre SPA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCembre S.p.A. manufactures and sells electrical connectors, cable accessories, and related tools in Italy, the rest of Europe, and internationally. The company offers pre-insulated, un-insulated, and other types of electrical connectors, as well as flexible braids for earthing moving elements; mechanical tools for crimping electrical connectors and cutting and preparing cables; hydraulic tools for crimping electrical connectors and cutting and preparing conductors; products for railway electrical connections; machinery for track maintenance; and hand tools. It also provides cable glands and fixing components, brass and steel cable glands and fixing components, extensions, reducer bushes and converters, rutaseal grommets, and sicurclips modular retaining clips; and identification and labeling systems, such as thermal transfer systems, manual cable marking systems, document wallets, and warning labels. In addition, the company offers heat-shrinkable tubing products, insulated covers, cable ties, tape rules, mechanical tools, bypass and joining muffles, overhead transmission and distribution, substation, and underground and meter dept. Its products are used in power production and transport, electrical systems, and industrial and railway applications. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Brescia, Italy. Cembre S.p.A. is a subsidiary of Lysne S.p.A.
How the Company Makes MoneyCembre makes money mainly by selling manufactured products used to connect, install, and identify electrical conductors and related components, with revenues generated from (1) electrical connection products (e.g., connectors, terminals, and accessories) sold to industrial and infrastructure customers; (2) installation tooling and equipment (e.g., crimping, cutting, and cable preparation tools, including associated consumables and spare parts); and (3) marking and identification systems (e.g., printers/labeling systems and compatible markers/consumables) used for cable/component identification. The company’s revenue model is predominantly B2B product sales through a mix of direct sales and distribution channels, with recurring or repeat demand supported by consumables (e.g., markers/labels) and replacement parts that complement equipment installed at customer sites. If specific details on material partnerships, customer concentration, or segment revenue splits are required, null.

Cembre SPA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and returns (TTM gross margin ~66.6%, net margin ~19.0%, ROE ~20.8%) and low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.12). Main offsets are slowing revenue growth (TTM ~2.8%), a TTM increase in total debt vs. 2024, and uneven cash conversion (OCF ~0.90x net income; FCF ~52% of net income).
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Profitability is strong and improving: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin is ~66.6% and net margin ~19.0%, with solid operating profitability (EBIT margin ~24.3%). Revenue has grown consistently over the last several years, although the latest TTM growth (~2.8%) is a clear slowdown versus prior years. Overall, the income statement shows high-quality margins and resilient earnings power, with the main watch item being decelerating top-line growth.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservative with low leverage: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) debt-to-equity is ~0.12 (still modest), and equity has steadily increased over time. Returns on equity are strong (TTM ~20.8%), indicating good capital efficiency. The key drawback is a noticeable step-up in total debt in TTM versus 2024, though leverage remains comfortably manageable given the equity base.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is positive, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow (~€56.2m) and free cash flow (~€31.9m) both solid, and free cash flow up strongly versus the prior year. However, cash conversion is less consistent: TTM operating cash flow is slightly below net income (about 0.90x), and free cash flow is only ~52% of net income, pointing to working-capital or investment-related drag. Overall cash flow is healthy, but the variability in cash conversion tempers the score.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue244.25M230.26M222.64M199.19M167.36M
Gross Profit59.76M128.91M124.40M105.31M91.58M
EBITDA73.86M66.73M66.79M54.53M45.89M
Net Income46.65M42.59M40.83M31.92M25.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets300.53M271.17M249.20M241.32M237.82M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.44M13.47M24.88M30.03M46.64M
Total Debt20.95M11.48M6.66M15.43M25.99M
Total Liabilities67.45M51.42M43.48M53.23M61.66M
Stockholders Equity233.08M219.74M205.72M188.09M176.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow33.06M16.61M30.25M14.81M26.47M
Operating Cash Flow56.15M46.13M44.81M27.10M35.47M
Investing Cash Flow-21.94M-29.46M-14.35M-12.23M-8.94M
Financing Cash Flow-26.91M-25.28M-24.57M-46.45M-18.89M

Cembre SPA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price74.30
Price Trends
50DMA
69.05
Negative
100DMA
67.37
Negative
200DMA
62.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.68
Positive
RSI
34.02
Neutral
STOCH
17.74
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:CMB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 74.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.23, above the 50-day MA of 69.05, and above the 200-day MA of 62.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.74 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IT:CMB.

Cembre SPA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
€27.15B20.0022.15%0.93%21.75%92.91%
72
Outperform
€413.67M10.1611.68%8.29%-11.91%-61.21%
69
Neutral
€1.14B6.911.80%-20.36%-23.31%
69
Neutral
€1.04B24.8621.53%2.75%6.00%20.37%
63
Neutral
€2.26B37.7715.31%0.67%3.99%27.12%
57
Neutral
€231.75M30.490.70%2.64%0.19%-76.65%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:CMB
Cembre SPA
62.00
19.43
45.65%
IT:DAL
Datalogic SPA
4.32
-0.03
-0.78%
IT:FILA
F.I.L.A. Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A.
8.11
-1.32
-14.03%
IT:PRY
Prysmian SpA
94.66
37.93
66.86%
IT:CRL
Carel Industries SpA
20.10
1.69
9.19%
IT:COM
Comer Industries SpA
39.70
11.30
39.79%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026