Aeffe S.p.A. (AEF) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €47.85M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 95.32K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 4.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.56
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: IT
• Employees: 1,108
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 83
• Industry: Apparel - Manufacturers
• EPS (TTM): -0.19
• Shares Outstanding: 107,362,500
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 105,244
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 95,321
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €0.48
• Price Target Upside: 0.00%
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 50 Neutral
• Price Target: €0.50 ▲(4.17% Upside)

Aeffe S.p.A.'s stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance and valuation. The financial performance is weak due to declining revenue and high leverage, while the valuation suggests potential undervaluation. Technical analysis shows neutral indicators, providing no strong directional bias.

Positive Factors

Cost Optimization

Aeffe plans to continue to focus on costs optimisation, which should result in a structurally better profitability.

Market Reception

All the brands’ collections were received with great enthusiasm during the latest Milan Fashion Week.

Strategic Appointments

The group has appointed Marco Gobbetti - former CEO of Burberry and Ferragamo - to its Board of Directors to shape growth strategies and explore strategic partnerships.

Negative Factors

Earnings Performance

Aeffe reported weak H1 2025 results, with consolidated revenues falling to €100m, down 27.7% YoY and approx. 5% below our expectations.

Retail Visibility

FY24 preliminary revenues showed a strong decline and we understand that visibility on FY25 as for retail is low.

Revenue Decline

The general global slowdown had a strong impact on both the wholesale and retail channels, reflecting in consolidated 1Q25 results strongly down yoy.

Aeffe S.p.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Aeffe S.p.A. (AEF) is an Italian fashion and luxury goods company that operates in the design, production, and distribution of high-end apparel, accessories, and footwear. Founded in 1984, Aeffe is well-known for its diverse portfolio of prestigious brands, including Alberta Ferretti, Philosophy di Lorenzo Serafini, and Moschino. The company is primarily focused on the ready-to-wear segment and has a strong presence in both the Italian and international markets, catering to a discerning clientele seeking luxury fashion.

How the Company Makes Money

Aeffe S.p.A. generates revenue through several key streams, primarily by selling its luxury fashion products, including clothing, accessories, and footwear, both through wholesale distribution to high-end department stores and boutiques, as well as through its own retail stores and e-commerce platforms. The company benefits from strong brand recognition and customer loyalty, which drive sales. Additionally, Aeffe engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other brands and designers, enhancing its market appeal and expanding its customer base. Seasonal collections, limited edition releases, and participation in fashion shows also contribute to its brand prestige and revenue generation.

Aeffe S.p.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Aeffe S.p.A. faces challenges across its financial statements. While profitability metrics show some strength, declining revenue and high leverage are concerning. Cash flow issues further exacerbate financial risks, suggesting a need for strategic adjustments to improve financial health.

Income Statement

Aeffe S.p.A. shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data reflects a gross profit margin of 32.52% and a net profit margin of 4.60%, indicating moderate profitability. However, the revenue growth rate is negative at -5.81%, suggesting a decline in sales. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively healthy at 13.19% and 22.74%, respectively, but the overall revenue decline is a concern.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 0.90 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage. The return on equity is 16.48%, which is a positive sign of profitability. However, the equity ratio is not provided, limiting a full assessment of financial stability. The high leverage poses a risk to financial stability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis highlights challenges, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.10, suggesting reliance on non-operational sources for cash generation. The negative cash flow growth rate indicates potential liquidity issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	303.25M	250.80M	329.36M	363.57M	333.11M	279.60M
Gross Profit	141.24M	10.97M	31.27M	111.90M	102.17M	71.91M
EBITDA	67.34M	81.15M	4.76M	34.31M	35.76M	3.27M
Net Income	11.22M	19.33M	-32.14M	-9.06M	12.13M	-23.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	361.80M	393.63M	464.13M	499.30M	445.17M	488.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	12.60M	20.82M	14.63M	21.66M	31.31M	39.83M
Total Debt	104.15M	173.22M	268.10M	253.48M	202.97M	183.50M
Total Liabilities	290.14M	295.48M	384.89M	389.49M	325.01M	309.83M
Stockholders Equity	71.17M	97.79M	79.10M	109.81M	120.16M	148.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-29.58M	1.51M	-12.40M	-58.12M	44.65M	-1.76M
Operating Cash Flow	-25.82M	9.73M	6.43M	-1.54M	48.65M	10.27M
Investing Cash Flow	93.99M	89.78M	-18.83M	-56.59M	-3.90M	-12.03M
Financing Cash Flow	-66.65M	-93.32M	5.37M	48.48M	-53.28M	13.20M

Aeffe S.p.A. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.48
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:AEF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.47, below the 50-day MA of 0.48, and below the 200-day MA of 0.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IT:AEF.

Aeffe S.p.A. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$17.92B	12.81	-3.11%	2.97%	1.30%	-14.28%
AEF	50 Neutral	€47.85M	4.20	17.31%	―	―	―
0QII	―	€12.74B	20.81	18.89%	―	―	―
0P52	―	€765.76M	111.21	-20.18%	―	―	―
8BU	―	€6.54B	49.21	28.41%	―	―	―
2PI	―	€5.87B	11.64	8.98%	―	―	―
RAD	―	€9.07M	9.68		―	―	―