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Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. (IN:ONGC)
:ONGC
India Market

Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. (ONGC) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:ONGC

Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd.

(ONGC)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
₹285.00
▲(18.01% Upside)
Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. scores well due to its strong valuation metrics, with an attractive P/E ratio and high dividend yield. Financial performance is solid, though cash flow challenges and technical indicators suggest caution. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Market-leading upstream position and national energy role
ONGC's scale and status as a dominant state-owned upstream producer provide durable competitive advantages: steady domestic demand, preferential access to concessions, and strong government support. These structural factors underpin long-term production visibility and strategic partnerships.
Consistent revenue growth above 10% year-over-year
Sustained double-digit revenue growth reflects expanding production and stable domestic offtake. This trend supports capacity for reinvestment and debt service, and, if maintained, strengthens the firm's ability to fund long-cycle upstream projects and preserve market share over the medium term.
Stable balance sheet with moderate leverage and solid equity base
A moderate debt-to-equity ratio and sizeable equity base give ONGC financial flexibility to fund capital-intensive exploration and development. Positive ROE indicates effective shareholder capital use, helping the company withstand cyclical oil markets and support long-term strategic investments.
Negative Factors
Declining free cash flow and negative FCF growth
Reduced free cash flow amid higher capex weakens the company's ability to self-fund projects, dividends, or unexpected shocks. Over several quarters this can pressure liquidity, increase reliance on external financing, and constrain discretionary investment in growth or renewables transition plans.
Net profit margin contraction to ~5.5%
A lower net margin erodes profitability resilience to oil price swings and cost inflation. Even with healthy gross and EBITDA margins, compressed net margins reduce retained earnings available for capex and debt reduction, making earnings more sensitive to operational or commodity shocks.
Negative EPS growth year-over-year
Negative EPS growth signals pressure on bottom-line earnings that could reflect higher costs, lower net realizations, or one-off items. Persistent EPS declines harm reinvestment capacity and shareholder returns, and may indicate reduced operational efficiency or margin stress over the medium term.

Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. (ONGC) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited explores for, develops, and produces crude oil and natural gas in India and internationally. It operates through two segments, Exploration and Production, and Refining & Marketing. The company also engages in the refining and marketing of petroleum products; transportation of oil and natural gas; and production of liquefied petroleum gas, butane, ethane/propane, naphtha, kerosene oil, low sulphur heavy stock, aviation turbine fuel, mineral turpentine oil, carbon credits, and diesel. In addition, it generates electric power through 726.6 megawatts (MW) gas-based power project in Tripura; a 51 MW wind power project in Bhuj, Gujarat; and a 102 MW wind power project in Jaisalmer, Rajasthan, as well as generates solar power through a total installed capacity of 31.3 MW. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is based in New Delhi, India.
How the Company Makes MoneyONGC primarily generates revenue through the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. The company sells these hydrocarbons primarily to domestic refineries and gas distribution companies at market-determined prices. Revenue is significantly influenced by global oil prices, which can fluctuate based on various factors including geopolitical events and changes in supply and demand dynamics. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and other by-products, along with revenue from the sale of services like drilling and consulting. Furthermore, ONGC has established strategic partnerships and joint ventures with global players in the energy sector, enhancing its operational capabilities and market reach. The company also benefits from government policies that support domestic production, enabling it to maintain a competitive edge in the Indian market.

Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. demonstrates solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and efficient operations. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels, though there is room for improvement in asset efficiency. Cash flow management presents challenges, particularly in sustaining free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. has shown strong revenue growth with a 12.13% increase from last year and a consistent rise over the past few years. The gross profit margin stands at 35.69%, indicating healthy profitability. Although the net profit margin has declined to 5.46% from the previous year, it remains within industry standards. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55, suggesting reasonable leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is 10.55%, highlighting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is 45.28%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets, though there is room for improvement in asset utilization.
Cash Flow
69
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.51, showing strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio decreased, suggesting reduced cash available after capital expenditures. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, reflecting challenges in maintaining cash flows amidst increased capital spending.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.58T6.63T6.02T6.32T4.91T3.04T
Gross Profit1.19T1.15T1.26T1.05T1.01T657.26B
EBITDA891.49B856.92B991.27B790.82B770.42B542.51B
Net Income360.21B362.26B491.44B367.09B455.22B163.04B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.007.59T7.10T6.18T5.85T5.43T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments326.36B304.30B471.93B371.09B124.27B132.82B
Total Debt0.001.88T1.61T1.50T1.30T1.41T
Total Liabilities-3.74T3.84T3.45T3.15T3.02T3.01T
Stockholders Equity3.74T3.43T3.37T2.83T2.60T2.21T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00351.92B473.61B351.32B337.22B42.01B
Operating Cash Flow0.00908.68B992.63B860.62B782.48B471.85B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-430.22B-572.67B-750.95B-413.30B-390.92B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-479.08B-456.50B-128.76B-357.90B-82.39B

Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price241.50
Price Trends
50DMA
242.31
Positive
100DMA
241.24
Positive
200DMA
238.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.00
Negative
RSI
56.95
Neutral
STOCH
52.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:ONGC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 241.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 247.70, below the 50-day MA of 242.31, and above the 200-day MA of 238.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IN:ONGC.

Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
₹1.05T12.274.39%5.91%-5.42%
76
Outperform
₹1.59T6.374.73%-1.35%61.80%
74
Outperform
₹786.55B13.172.94%-1.94%-28.79%
72
Outperform
₹3.20T8.755.21%0.10%-10.18%
68
Neutral
₹2.32T9.114.90%-0.93%42.85%
67
Neutral
₹963.80B6.263.26%-1.81%231.75%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:ONGC
Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd.
257.10
15.19
6.28%
IN:BPCL
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited
373.25
132.93
55.31%
IN:GAIL
GAIL (India) Limited
162.75
-7.78
-4.56%
IN:HINDPETRO
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited
451.00
129.03
40.08%
IN:IOC
Indian Oil Corp. Ltd.
167.55
49.31
41.70%
IN:OIL
Oil India Limited
488.70
95.37
24.25%

Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. Corporate Events

ONGC JVs Order Ethane Carriers from Samsung Heavy to Secure Feedstock Shipping
Jan 27, 2026

ONGC, through its joint ventures with Japan’s Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, has signed shipbuilding contracts with Samsung Heavy Industries in South Korea to construct two Indian-flag Very Large Ethane Carriers, each with a cargo capacity of 100,000 cubic meters. The JV entities, Bharat Ethane One IFSC Pvt. Ltd. and Bharat Ethane Two IFSC Pvt. Ltd., based in GIFT City, will own and operate the vessels to transport around 600 KTPA of ethane from the US to India for ONGC subsidiary OPaL under long-term charter agreements, with delivery slated for FY 2028–29. The move strengthens India’s energy ecosystem by securing specialized marine logistics for critical feedstock, enhancing supply-chain resilience, and building capabilities in a high-value segment of global shipping, in line with national goals of self-reliance and the government’s maritime and energy security vision.

ONGC Strengthens Top Ranks With Appointment of Two New Executive Directors
Jan 20, 2026

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd. has announced changes in its senior management, appointing two seasoned executives, Ashish Bhatnagar and Debasish Mukherjee, as Executive Directors effective 20 January 2026. Both bring more than three decades of experience within ONGC across various locations and roles, with Bhatnagar having a mechanical engineering background and extensive field and managerial exposure, and Mukherjee adding advanced management qualifications, including an MBA and PhD, to his engineering training and materials management expertise, signaling ONGC’s focus on experienced leadership to support its operational and strategic objectives.

ONGC Bolsters Top Ranks With Four New Executive Directors
Jan 19, 2026

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited (ONGC) has announced the appointment of four executives to the position of Executive Director, a level immediately below the Board, effective 19 January 2026. The newly appointed Executive Directors are Balraj Kumar Kotta (electronics engineering), Pawan Kumar Jalutharia (mechanical engineering and human resources), Hemant Ramlu Mulka (chemical engineering and production) and Vivek Singh Chand (electrical engineering and international business), each bringing 35–36 years of experience across multiple key ONGC locations and functions. These appointments strengthen ONGC’s senior leadership bench with seasoned technical and managerial talent, signaling a focus on experienced internal leadership to support the company’s operational continuity and strategic execution in India’s energy sector.

ONGC Reappoints Arun Kumar Singh as Chairman for Another Year
Dec 5, 2025

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited announced the re-employment of Shri Arun Kumar Singh as Chairman on a contract basis for one year starting December 7, 2025. This decision, approved by the Board of Directors, reinforces ONGC’s leadership stability and strategic direction, given Singh’s extensive experience in the oil and gas industry, including his previous roles as Chairman and Managing Director of Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited.

ONGC Re-appoints Arun Kumar Singh as Chairman
Dec 5, 2025

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited announced the re-employment of Shri Arun Kumar Singh as Chairman on a contract basis for an additional year starting December 7, 2025. This decision, approved by the Board of Directors, underscores ONGC’s strategic continuity in leadership, potentially impacting its operational stability and market positioning positively.

ONGC Reappoints Arun Kumar Singh as Chairman & CEO
Dec 5, 2025

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited has announced the re-employment of Shri Arun Kumar Singh as Chairman & CEO for another year starting December 7, 2025. This decision, approved by the Board of Directors, ensures continuity in leadership as ONGC continues to strengthen its position in the oil and gas sector. Singh’s extensive experience and leadership roles in various subsidiaries and industry organizations are expected to positively impact the company’s strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

ONGC Reappoints Arun Kumar Singh as Chairman for Another Year
Dec 3, 2025

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited has announced the re-employment of Shri Arun Kumar Singh as Chairman of the company for an additional year, effective from December 7, 2025. This decision, approved by the Appointment Committee of the Cabinet, ensures continuity in leadership and may impact the company’s strategic direction and operations positively.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 18, 2025