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Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (IN:HINDPETRO)
:HINDPETRO
India Market
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Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HINDPETRO) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:HINDPETRO

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited

(HINDPETRO)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
₹409.00
▲(10.26% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is primarily driven by improved FY2026 financial performance (stronger margins, earnings, and cash flow with lower leverage) and very attractive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend). This is tempered by mixed technicals, as the stock remains below key long-term moving averages despite neutral-to-positive momentum indicators.
Positive Factors
Improved FY2026 profitability
Material margin and profitability recovery in FY2026 indicates HPCL's refining and marketing operations regained pricing power and operating efficiency. Sustained higher margins boost long-term cash generation capacity, support reinvestment in refineries and distribution, and enhance resilience to cyclical swings.
Negative Factors
Earnings and cash volatility across cycles
Past volatility, including an FY2023 loss and uneven cash conversion, weakens predictability of earnings and planning. For a commodity-linked downstream firm, such swings complicate capital allocation, make dividend and investment pacing uncertain, and raise execution risk in multi-year plans.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved FY2026 profitability
Material margin and profitability recovery in FY2026 indicates HPCL's refining and marketing operations regained pricing power and operating efficiency. Sustained higher margins boost long-term cash generation capacity, support reinvestment in refineries and distribution, and enhance resilience to cyclical swings.
Read all positive factors

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HINDPETRO) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited refines and markets petroleum products in India and internationally. The company operates through Downstream Petroleum and All Other segments. It offers petrol, diesel, kerosene, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG...
How the Company Makes Money
HPCL primarily makes money through two integrated downstream segments: (1) refining and (2) marketing/petroleum product sales. In refining, HPCL purchases crude oil and processes it at its refineries into higher-value refined products (e.g., petro...

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FY2026 shows a clear rebound with materially improved margins and earnings, reduced leverage, and stronger operating/free cash flow. Offsetting this, results and cash conversion have been volatile across the cycle (including FY2023 weakness) and free cash flow covered less than net income in FY2026.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.30T4.42T4.32T4.32T4.39T3.49T
Gross Profit436.36B456.54B348.72B424.73B101.24B247.95B
EBITDA260.12B331.24B164.87B251.77B-51.98B109.05B
Net Income139.29B180.47B67.36B160.15B-69.80B72.94B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.94T2.03T1.95T1.83T1.61T1.55T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.96B32.78B34.19B54.63B56.87B56.05B
Total Debt630.95B559.64B705.58B666.84B706.71B484.98B
Total Liabilities1.37T1.37T1.44T1.36T1.29T1.13T
Stockholders Equity568.89B655.56B511.44B469.21B322.63B414.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow149.94B246.90B46.48B137.81B-129.13B34.65B
Operating Cash Flow190.93B330.21B142.28B238.52B-34.66B158.10B
Investing Cash Flow-57.42B-121.07B-105.57B-130.19B-113.84B-137.45B
Financing Cash Flow-72.01B-189.78B-41.38B-161.55B160.25B-20.66B

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price370.95
Price Trends
50DMA
366.77
Positive
100DMA
410.55
Negative
200DMA
420.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
48.40
Neutral
STOCH
15.11
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:HINDPETRO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 370.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 378.74, above the 50-day MA of 366.77, and below the 200-day MA of 420.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IN:HINDPETRO.

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
₹397.88B9.533.58%-14.69%-1.51%
76
Outperform
₹1.22T5.714.73%0.48%79.19%
76
Outperform
₹147.33B2.670.55%7.22%1349.42%
73
Outperform
₹1.86T4.434.90%3.47%209.60%
67
Neutral
₹764.31B3.953.26%1.77%167.91%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
51
Neutral
₹259.65B67.102.04%-6.35%3324.95%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:HINDPETRO
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited
370.95
-19.49
-4.99%
IN:BPCL
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited
286.55
-10.04
-3.38%
IN:CHENNPETRO
Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited
982.10
295.77
43.09%
IN:IOC
Indian Oil Corp. Ltd.
135.00
0.50
0.37%
IN:MRPL
Mangalore Refinery & Petrochemicals Ltd.
145.65
8.89
6.50%
IN:PETRONET
Petronet Lng Limited
265.00
-45.55
-14.67%

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited Corporate Events

HPCL posts record FY26 profits, higher throughput and lower leverage
May 13, 2026
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited reported strong financial results for the year ended March 31, 2026, driven by resilient refinery operations, sustained growth in market sales, and robust refining margins. The board has recommended a final ...
HPCL Posts Q4 FY26 Investor Presentation Ahead of Conference Call
May 13, 2026
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited notified the stock exchanges that it will host an investor conference call on May 13, 2026, at 2:00 p.m. IST. The company has made the related investor presentation for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025...
HPCL Wins Approval for Major Cost Revision of Rajasthan Refinery Project
Apr 17, 2026
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited announced that India’s Ministry of Petroleum Natural Gas has approved a substantial revision in the capital cost of the HPCL Rajasthan Refinery Limited project, raising the estimate from Rs 43,129 cro...
Hindustan Petroleum Announces Exit of Two Independent Directors
Mar 28, 2026
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited announced changes to its board, confirming that independent directors Bechan Lal and Sharda Singh Kharwar have completed their tenures and ceased to be directors effective March 28, 2026. The departure of th...
Hindustan Petroleum Announces Completion of Independent Director’s Tenure
Mar 15, 2026
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited announced a change in its board, with Independent Director K S Narendiran ceasing to hold office upon completion of his tenure on March 14, 2026. The directorship ended effective March 15, 2026, marking a ro...
Hindustan Petroleum Announces Senior Management Change in Aviation Division
Mar 1, 2026
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited has announced a change in its senior management, effective March 1, 2026, under regulatory disclosure norms. Rajesh Mehtani, who was serving as Executive Director (in-charge) for the aviation business, has s...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026