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Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (HYMC)
NASDAQ:HYMC
US Market

Hycroft Mining Holding (HYMC) AI Stock Analysis

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HYMC

Hycroft Mining Holding

(NASDAQ:HYMC)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▲(107.06% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak fundamentals—ongoing losses, negative cash flow, and a stressed balance-sheet profile per the provided financial statement analysis. Technicals are a partial offset due to strong uptrend signals, but the overbought readings raise near-term risk. Valuation is also a drag given loss-making results (negative P/E) and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Debt reduction / capital structure improvement
Management announced extinguishing all remaining debt, eliminating interest obligations and refinancing risk. This materially improves financial flexibility to fund exploration, studies or a restart, lowering structural liquidity pressure and enabling strategic optionality over the next several months.
High-grade exploration success
New drill results show highest silver grades and significant step-outs, expanding Vortex and Brimstone continuity and depth. Sustained discovery and scale expansion support a structurally larger resource base, improving future mine life, potential production profiles, and long-term value drivers for restart planning.
Governance and shareholder support
Shareholders re-elected the board, approved incentive pay and ratified a new auditor, signaling governance continuity and investor alignment. Stable leadership and formal oversight reduce execution risk for complex permitting, technical studies and operational restart over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash flow
TTM negative operating and free cash flows indicate ongoing cash burn that necessitates external funding or asset monetization to sustain activities. This structural cash deficit weakens runway for exploration and restart projects and increases dependency on capital markets or partners over coming months.
Sustained operating losses and weak margins
Very weak profitability with small revenue and large net losses shows operations are not yet cash-generative. Persistent negative margins make funding ongoing technical studies and potential restarts more challenging and imply execution and operational risk until consistent positive margins are established.
Elevated leverage historically reduced flexibility
As of the TTM period, leverage was elevated versus equity, constraining financial flexibility and making the company sensitive to further losses or delays. Even with later debt actions, the prior capital structure heightens risk around funding needs, covenant history and investor confidence during transition phases.

Hycroft Mining Holding (HYMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hycroft Mining Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHycroft Mining Holding Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a gold and silver development company in the United States. The company holds interests in the Hycroft mine that covers an area of approximately 70,671 acres located in the state of Nevada. As of December 31, 2021, its Hycroft mine had measured and indicated mineral resources of 9.6 million ounces of gold, and 446.0 million ounces of silver. Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation is headquartered in Winnemucca, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyHycroft Mining primarily makes money through the extraction and sale of gold and silver from its mining operations. The company generates revenue by selling the extracted precious metals in the global commodities market. The pricing of these metals is subject to market fluctuations, which can significantly impact revenue. Additionally, the company's earnings are influenced by its ability to efficiently manage production costs, optimize mining processes, and maintain favorable partnerships with suppliers and distributors. Any joint ventures, long-term supply contracts, or hedging strategies also play a role in stabilizing their revenue streams.

Hycroft Mining Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial quality is weak: the income statement shows persistent losses and negative margins, cash flow remains materially negative with ongoing free-cash-flow burn, and the balance sheet is described as stressed with leverage elevated versus equity (despite some improvement from prior negative equity periods).
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Profitability remains very weak. In TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), the company generated ~$7.9M of revenue but posted a gross loss and a large net loss (~-$45.6M), with deeply negative operating and EBITDA margins. Annual results show a multi-year pattern of sizable losses and inconsistent revenue (including years with zero revenue reported), indicating limited operating stability and ongoing execution risk.
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Leverage is elevated relative to the equity base. In TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), total debt is ~$134.2M versus ~$47.5M of equity (about 2.8x), which reduces financial flexibility. That said, equity has improved versus periods where equity was negative (e.g., 2021 and 2024 annual), but the capital structure still looks stressed and sensitive to continued losses.
Cash Flow
14
Very Negative
Cash generation is consistently negative. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is about -$30.3M and free cash flow about -$31.0M, with free cash flow deteriorating versus the prior period (negative growth). While cash burn is lower than the extreme 2020 level, the business is still consuming cash, increasing reliance on financing and balance-sheet support.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.0033.23M110.73M47.04M
Gross Profit-8.34M-12.12M-14.04M-15.66M-52.60M-62.58M
EBITDA-22.31M-38.84M-34.21M-39.68M-67.11M-89.06M
Net Income-45.61M-60.90M-55.02M-60.83M-88.56M-136.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets230.59M140.13M201.69M248.95M142.32M232.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments139.89M50.01M106.21M141.98M12.34M56.36M
Total Debt134.24M125.01M142.78M132.83M143.42M147.78M
Total Liabilities183.11M173.55M189.04M185.65M210.82M216.01M
Stockholders Equity47.48M-33.41M12.66M63.31M-68.49M16.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-30.97M-37.15M-42.52M-35.81M-44.03M-143.95M
Operating Cash Flow-30.25M-35.90M-41.45M-34.85M-37.04M-110.51M
Investing Cash Flow438.00K6.33M-507.00K8.34M-6.87M-31.12M
Financing Cash Flow114.11M-25.92M-1.46M155.85M-5.49M188.71M

Hycroft Mining Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.42
Price Trends
50DMA
16.58
Positive
100DMA
11.55
Positive
200DMA
7.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.04
Negative
RSI
78.34
Negative
STOCH
87.49
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HYMC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.89, below the 50-day MA of 16.58, and above the 200-day MA of 7.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.34 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.49 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HYMC.

Hycroft Mining Holding Risk Analysis

Hycroft Mining Holding disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hycroft Mining Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hycroft Mining Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$455.93M-154.10-10.05%97.09%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
$184.41M-3.61-92.98%-15.35%30.92%
48
Neutral
$2.84B-21.22-374.60%40.02%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HYMC
Hycroft Mining Holding
34.59
32.45
1516.36%
USAU
US Gold
20.05
12.78
175.79%
GORO
Gold Resource
1.24
0.86
226.32%
CTGO
Contango ORE
29.48
18.64
171.96%
BGL
Blue Gold
2.25
-9.21
-80.37%
DC
Dakota Gold Corp
6.25
3.98
175.33%

Hycroft Mining Holding Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Hycroft Mining Shareholders Back Board, Compensation and Auditor
Positive
Dec 30, 2025

At its virtual annual meeting of stockholders held on December 29, 2025, Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation’s shareholders elected six directors—Diane R. Garrett, Sean D. Goodman, Michael J. Harrison, Stephen A. Lang, David C. Naccarati, and Thomas Weng—to serve on the board until the 2026 annual meeting, reinforcing continuity in the company’s leadership. Stockholders also approved the 2025 Performance and Incentive Pay Plan and ratified the appointment of Baker Tilly US LLP as the independent auditor for the year ending December 31, 2025, signaling investor support for the company’s executive compensation framework and financial oversight, key elements for maintaining governance stability and investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HYMC) stock is a Hold with a $23.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hycroft Mining Holding stock, see the HYMC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Hycroft Mining announces pivotal high-grade silver drill results
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Hycroft Mining reported additional results from its 2025–2026 exploration drill program at the Hycroft Mine, highlighting the highest silver grades to date from the Vortex system and significant step-out extensions of the mineralization. New core holes H25D-6072 and previously announced H25D-6070 delivered long intervals of very high-grade silver, expanded Vortex by roughly 70 meters to the northwest and 90 meters down-dip to the west, and confirmed the continuity of mineralization, which remains open in all directions and at depth. Management said the results meaningfully increase the emerging scale and consistency of both the Vortex and Brimstone high-grade silver systems, reinforcing their role as key value drivers for Hycroft and marking the early stages of what the company describes as a pivotal growth phase in its exploration-led strategy.

Other
Hycroft Mining Announces New Investor Presentation
Neutral
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation announced that its management would begin issuing and publishing an investor presentation. This information is not considered filed for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act and is not subject to the liabilities of that section.

Business Operations and Strategy
Hycroft Mining Reveals High Silver Grades in Vortex
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation announced initial results from its 2025-2026 Exploration Drill Program at the Hycroft Mine, revealing the highest silver grades to date in the Vortex area and expansion opportunities to the north and south. The company is also considering a potential restart of heap leach operations due to favorable gold and silver prices, with further exploration and technical studies underway to update resource estimates and improve operational efficiency.

Shareholder Meetings
Hycroft Mining Reschedules 2025 Annual Meeting
Neutral
Nov 24, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation announced the rescheduling of its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders from December 9 to December 29, 2025. This change impacts the record date for stockholders entitled to vote, now set for December 12, 2025, and involves the distribution of updated meeting materials.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Hycroft Mining Holding Achieves Debt-Free Status
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 15, 2025, Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation repurchased its 10% Senior Secured Notes at a 9% discount, fully satisfying and discharging its obligations. The company also repaid its credit agreement with Sprott Private Resource Lending, totaling $15.1 million, effectively terminating the agreement. On October 16, 2025, Hycroft announced it had extinguished all remaining debt, totaling $125.5 million, marking a significant milestone as it becomes debt-free. This financial restructuring strengthens Hycroft’s balance sheet, enhances operational flexibility, and positions the company for growth, supported by an institutional investor base holding 80% of its shares.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 06, 2026