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Contango ORE (CTGO)
:CTGO
US Market
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Contango ORE (CTGO) AI Stock Analysis

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CTGO

Contango ORE

(CTGO)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▼(-5.06% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/09/26
CTGO’s score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (no reported revenue, ongoing losses, and substantial TTM cash burn), with bearish technicals reinforcing the downside bias (price below all key moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation provides limited support given a negative P/E and no dividend yield data, while earnings-call and corporate-event components are excluded due to missing/redundant scoring inputs.
Positive Factors
Improved balance sheet / low leverage
The most recent snapshot shows a materially larger equity base versus minimal debt, reducing leverage and increasing financial optionality. That equity cushion supports months of exploration and development spending without immediate refinancing, strengthening the company's ability to advance projects.
Negative Factors
No revenue / persistent losses
The company reports no operating revenue and sustained net losses, indicating it has not yet established a self‑generating sales base. Persistent unprofitability means long‑term project advancement depends on external funding or JV proceeds rather than internal cash generation, raising sustainability concerns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved balance sheet / low leverage
The most recent snapshot shows a materially larger equity base versus minimal debt, reducing leverage and increasing financial optionality. That equity cushion supports months of exploration and development spending without immediate refinancing, strengthening the company's ability to advance projects.
Read all positive factors

Contango ORE Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Income Before Taxes By Segment
Income Before Taxes By Segment
Shows the pre-tax earnings from each business segment, highlighting which areas are most profitable and driving overall growth.
Chart InsightsContango Ore's financial performance has dramatically improved, particularly in the Peak Gold JV and Corporate & Other segments, which shifted from losses to significant profits. This aligns with the company's reported turnaround, driven by strong cash flow and strategic debt reduction. However, ongoing operational and legal challenges, including capital expenditures and a pending lawsuit, could impact future performance. The company's focus on consistent gold production and processing at Fort Knox, along with underground development plans, suggests a strategic path to maintain financial stability despite these hurdles.
Data provided by:The Fly

Contango ORE (CTGO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Contango ORE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Contango Ore, Inc. operates as an exploration-phase enterprise, primarily dedicated to prospecting for gold and other associated minerals across the United States. Its discovery efforts also extend to identifying deposits of copper and silver. Thr...
How the Company Makes Money
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Contango ORE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted a strong financial performance with record operating income, significant cash position growth, and successful technical achievements in ore processing. However, the presence of derivative hedge losses and increased sustaining capital costs were notable challenges. Overall, the company's outlook remains positive with ongoing development projects and strategic capital allocation.
Positive Updates
Record Operating Income
Contango reported a record operating income of $25 million for Q3, exceeding production plans by about 2,000 ounces.
Negative Updates
Derivative Hedge Losses
The company reported $30 million in unrealized losses due to derivative hedges, impacting the P&L and resulting in a net loss.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Operating Income
Contango reported a record operating income of $25 million for Q3, exceeding production plans by about 2,000 ounces.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the call, Contango Ore provided robust guidance for the upcoming periods, emphasizing several key metrics. The company reported a record operating income of $25 million for Q3, surpassing production plans by 2,000 ounces and maintaining an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of $1,597 per ounce, below their target of $1,625. The cash position surged to $107 million as of September 30, with a substantial $87 million distribution from the Peak Gold JV. Contango aims to fulfill its hedges by September 2026, leveraging a proactive carry trade strategy that saved approximately $2.4 million in the quarter. Moreover, blending Manh Choh's low-grade oxide ore with Fort Knox ore achieved a 94% recovery rate, adding 1,300 ounces in Q4. As part of its strategic outlook, Contango plans to advance projects like Lucky Shot and Johnson Tract, with drilling initiatives and infrastructure developments underway, while maintaining a focus on organic growth and potential mergers and acquisitions in Alaska, BC, and the Yukon.

Contango ORE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating fundamentals are weak in the provided statements, with zero reported revenue, persistent net losses (TTM net income -27.8M), and significant cash burn (TTM operating cash flow -52.4M; free cash flow -52.6M). The main offset is a notably improved latest balance sheet (equity ~321.5M vs. ~12.0M debt), but historical swings (near-zero/negative equity and higher debt in prior periods) and KPI notes pointing to lumpy JV-driven results and accelerating exploration losses reduce confidence in stability.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
21
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Jun 2025Dec 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-630.07K-604.68K-711.34K-117.81K-148.36K-64.89K
EBITDA-21.87M-28.04M-26.26M-76.70M-17.51M-23.14M
Net Income-27.84M-36.09M-38.03M-81.53M-39.74M-23.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets496.25M171.95M133.89M58.59M25.66M37.29M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments97.45M64.84M20.06M15.50M11.65M23.10M
Total Debt32.97M33.86M68.97M44.68M25.46M19.24M
Total Liabilities174.72M146.85M132.62M73.14M30.44M24.02M
Stockholders Equity321.53M25.10M1.27M-14.54M-4.77M13.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-52.59M25.57M698.99K-9.44M-14.68M-13.99M
Operating Cash Flow-52.43M25.73M698.99K-9.43M-14.68M-13.95M
Investing Cash Flow31.30M513.18K-32.13M-34.39M-21.12M-15.39M
Financing Cash Flow83.48M18.38M36.01M47.68M24.35M17.44M

Contango ORE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.80
Price Trends
50DMA
16.74
Positive
100DMA
19.28
Negative
200DMA
22.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
60.76
Neutral
STOCH
74.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTGO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.24, below the 50-day MA of 16.74, and below the 200-day MA of 22.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CTGO.

Contango ORE Risk Analysis

Contango ORE disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Contango ORE reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Contango ORE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$443.78M19.6324.58%82.76%124.83%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
45
Neutral
$1.82B-16.22-65.73%46.03%
43
Neutral
$498.03M-5.50-34.41%56.60%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTGO
Contango ORE
18.20
-1.74
-8.73%
USAU
US Gold
15.01
3.32
28.40%
HYMC
Hycroft Mining Holding
24.48
21.00
603.45%
IDR
Idaho Strategic Resources
33.13
13.80
71.39%
BGL
Blue Gold
0.18
-9.78
-98.16%
DC
Dakota Gold Corp
5.36
1.34
33.33%

Contango ORE Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Contango ORE Updates Corporate Presentation and Disclosures
Neutral
Jul 17, 2026
On July 15, 2026, Contango ORE released a new corporate presentation that includes non-GAAP financial measures prepared under both IFRS and U.S. reporting standards without full reconciliations to GAAP, citing limited access to detailed partner da...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Contango ORE Amends Credit Facility, Ends Gold Hedging
Positive
Jul 8, 2026
On July 1, 2026, CORE Alaska, an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Contango Silver Gold, amended its credit and guarantee agreement with existing lenders, terminating remaining required gold hedge agreements and replacing them with put option c...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Contango ORE Settles Lucky Shot Milestones, Issues Shares
Positive
Jun 29, 2026
On June 26, 2026, Contango Silver Gold amended its membership interest purchase agreement with CRH Funding II, settling contingent milestone payments tied to the Lucky Shot Project by agreeing to pay $5 million in cash and issue 100,000 new commo...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Executive Pay Plans
Positive
Jun 18, 2026
At its virtual annual meeting on June 18, 2026, Contango Silver Gold stockholders elected seven directors to serve until the 2027 meeting, maintaining continuity in the company’s board leadership. Shareholders also ratified Baker Tilly US, ...
Business Operations and Strategy
Contango ORE reports high-grade Lucky Shot drilling results
Positive
Jun 16, 2026
On June 16, 2026, Contango Silver Gold reported final assay results from the initial phase of its 2025/2026 underground diamond drilling program at the Lucky Shot project in Alaska, completing the first 6,020 meters of a planned 18,000-meter camp...
Business Operations and Strategy
Contango ORE Launches 2026 Kitsault Valley Drilling Campaign
Positive
May 26, 2026
On May 26, 2026, Contango Silver Gold Inc. announced it had commenced its 2026 surface drilling campaign at the Kitsault Valley silver-gold project in British Columbia’s Golden Triangle, mobilizing three diamond drills with two more to foll...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Contango ORE Highlights Q1 Results and Manh Choh Transition
Positive
May 15, 2026
Contango Silver and Gold reported results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, highlighting a transitional period at the Manh Choh mine as harsh winter conditions and operational challenges weighed on throughput and costs but with mining now movi...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Contango ORE Gains Full Control of Lucky Shot Project
Positive
May 8, 2026
On May 4, 2026, Contango’s subsidiary Contango Lucky Shot Alaska agreed to acquire 100% ownership of the Lucky Shot project from Alaska Hardrock Inc. for total consideration of about $16.1 million, including cash payments and a $10 million p...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 09, 2026