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Hydrofarm Holdings Group (HYFM)
NASDAQ:HYFM
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Hydrofarm Holdings Group (HYFM) AI Stock Analysis

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HYFM

Hydrofarm Holdings Group

(NASDAQ:HYFM)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(203.03% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/07/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (shrinking revenue, ongoing losses, negative equity, and recently negative cash flow). Technical momentum is notably strong and provides a partial offset, while corporate events are mixed—debt-reducing divestiture is positive but Nasdaq compliance risks remain a significant concern. Valuation is constrained by ongoing losses and the absence of dividend support.
Positive Factors
Broad product & distribution mix
Hydrofarm's wide product set across equipment and consumables plus multi-channel distribution gives durable demand exposure. Consumables drive repeat purchases while proprietary brands and third-party distribution increase shelf space, customer relationships and resilience versus single-product dependency.
Negative Factors
Negative equity & Nasdaq listing risk
Negative stockholders' equity and a Nasdaq compliance process are durable governance and financing risks. Loss of listing or ongoing deficiency limits capital access, raises borrowing costs, and heightens refinancing and operational stress until equity is restored through profits, capital raises, or strategic transactions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Broad product & distribution mix
Hydrofarm's wide product set across equipment and consumables plus multi-channel distribution gives durable demand exposure. Consumables drive repeat purchases while proprietary brands and third-party distribution increase shelf space, customer relationships and resilience versus single-product dependency.
Read all positive factors

Hydrofarm Holdings Group (HYFM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. is a leading manufacturer and distributor of specialized equipment and supplies for controlled environment agriculture (CEA) across the United States and Canada. The company empowers cultivators to grow a wide array ...
How the Company Makes Money
Hydrofarm primarily makes money by selling cultivation-related equipment and consumable supplies used in controlled-environment growing. Its revenue model is product sales (rather than recurring subscriptions), generated through: (1) equipment and...

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with notable achievements in SG&A savings, restructuring plans, and international sales growth. However, these were offset by significant declines in net sales and gross profit margins, as well as challenges in the durable products segment and tariff impacts.
Positive Updates
SG&A Savings and Positive Free Cash Flow
Delivered the 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year adjusted SG&A savings with a nearly 16% reduction in expenses compared to 2024, resulting in positive free cash flow for the quarter.
Negative Updates
Significant Decline in Net Sales
Net sales for the second quarter were $39.2 million, down 28.4% year-over-year, driven by a 27.9% decline in volume mix and a 0.4% decline in pricing.
Read all updates
Q2-2025 Updates
Negative
SG&A Savings and Positive Free Cash Flow
Delivered the 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year adjusted SG&A savings with a nearly 16% reduction in expenses compared to 2024, resulting in positive free cash flow for the quarter.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Hydrofarm Holdings Group's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics were highlighted to provide guidance on the company's performance and strategic initiatives. The company achieved a 16% reduction in adjusted SG&A expenses, marking the 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year savings in this area. Despite industry headwinds, including a 28.4% year-over-year decline in net sales to $39.2 million and a 27.9% decrease in volume mix, the company managed to deliver positive free cash flow of $1.4 million for the quarter. Adjusted gross profit stood at $7.5 million, or 19.2% of net sales, although negatively impacted by restructuring charges. Hydrofarm initiated a restructuring plan to optimize its product portfolio, targeting annual cost savings exceeding $3 million, primarily through reducing inventory and SKUs. The company remains focused on improving its proprietary brand mix, which accounted for 55% of sales in the first quarter, despite a softer mix in the second quarter due to challenging demand in the durables category. The company also noted a $300,000 impact from tariffs and is actively managing its sourcing strategies to mitigate future effects. With cash on hand at $11 million and total liquidity of $20 million as of June 30, 2025, Hydrofarm is well-positioned to navigate the current market challenges while remaining optimistic about future industry demand improvements.

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials screen very weak: revenue is contracting (TTM down ~9%), margins are pressured with persistent operating losses, and net losses are exceptionally large. The most material risk is the balance sheet moving to negative equity, which raises solvency/refinancing risk. Cash flow is inconsistent and recently negative (TTM negative OCF and FCF), offering limited support to the capital structure.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
27
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue106.21M134.25M190.29M226.58M344.50M479.42M
Gross Profit4.41M2.18M32.13M37.61M29.34M101.49M
EBITDA-256.64M-253.96M-19.92M-17.51M-239.37M11.35M
Net Income-283.79M-289.79M-66.72M-64.81M-285.42M13.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets101.58M123.80M426.10M507.64M573.56M891.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.15M6.31M26.11M30.31M21.29M26.61M
Total Debt158.15M160.08M169.53M183.93M186.07M167.57M
Total Liabilities190.60M187.10M202.38M217.03M223.68M256.06M
Stockholders Equity-89.02M-63.30M223.72M290.61M349.88M635.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.19M-15.08M-3.22M2.83M13.76M-50.47M
Operating Cash Flow-4.72M-14.06M-324.00K7.04M21.99M-45.07M
Investing Cash Flow1.09M-841.00K1.67M-4.17M-8.49M-468.18M
Financing Cash Flow-578.00K-5.44M-4.78M6.07M-20.20M464.71M

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.66
Price Trends
50DMA
0.99
Positive
100DMA
1.00
Positive
200DMA
1.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
54.45
Neutral
STOCH
23.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HYFM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.20, below the 50-day MA of 0.99, and below the 200-day MA of 1.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HYFM.

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Risk Analysis

Hydrofarm Holdings Group disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hydrofarm Holdings Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$263.84M15.527.08%-6.39%-1.99%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
48
Neutral
$8.58M-0.02-500.33%-30.80%-317.49%
48
Neutral
$35.39M-1.29-86.90%-26.88%72.36%
45
Neutral
$14.88M-354.55-0.16%10.50%-101.58%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HYFM
Hydrofarm Holdings Group
1.47
-3.07
-67.62%
ARTW
Art's-Way Manufacturing Co
3.12
-0.30
-8.77%
GENC
Gencor
18.00
2.66
17.34%
XOS
Xos
2.10
-1.03
-32.85%
ZDAI
DirectBooking Technology
1.62
-6.72
-80.57%

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Hydrofarm Holdings Streamlines Portfolio with Aurora Peat Sale
Positive
Aug 6, 2026
On August 3, 2026, Hydrofarm Holdings Group announced it had completed the sale of Aurora Peat Products ULC to private buyer Raven Holdings for total consideration of $16 million, including a $5 million promissory note, with proceeds earmarked to ...
Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Hydrofarm Faces Nasdaq Listing Compliance and Bid-Price Risks
Negative
Jul 9, 2026
On April 1, 2026, Hydrofarm Holdings Group disclosed that Nasdaq had determined the company was not in compliance with the $2.5 million minimum stockholders’ equity requirement for continued listing on the Nasdaq Capital Market, and although...
Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Hydrofarm Granted Nasdaq Extension to Regain Listing Compliance
Negative
Jun 22, 2026
On June 16, 2026, Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. disclosed that Nasdaq granted it an extension to regain compliance with Listing Rule 5550(b), which requires minimum stockholders’ equity of $2.5 million, a $35 million market value of listed ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2026