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Hydrofarm Holdings Group (HYFM)
NASDAQ:HYFM
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Hydrofarm Holdings Group (HYFM) AI Stock Analysis

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HYFM

Hydrofarm Holdings Group

(NASDAQ:HYFM)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-18.03% Downside)
Hydrofarm Holdings Group's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance and negative technical indicators. The company's ongoing financial challenges, including declining revenues and profitability issues, weigh heavily on its prospects. While there are some positive restructuring efforts, the current market conditions and valuation concerns contribute to a low overall score.
Positive Factors
Proprietary Brand Focus
Focusing on higher-margin proprietary brands can enhance long-term profitability and strengthen market position by differentiating from competitors.
SG&A Expense Reduction
Consistent SG&A expense reduction reflects effective cost management, which can improve operational efficiency and support long-term financial health.
Restructuring and Cost Savings
The restructuring plan aims to optimize operations and reduce costs, potentially leading to improved profitability and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Significant revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which can impact cash flow and long-term growth prospects.
Gross Profit Margin Decline
A declining gross profit margin suggests operational inefficiencies and pricing pressures, which can erode profitability over time.
Tariff Challenges
Tariff-related costs can increase expenses and affect competitiveness, posing a risk to margins and financial performance if not mitigated.

Hydrofarm Holdings Group (HYFM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and distribution of controlled environment agriculture (CEA) equipment and supplies in the United States and Canada. The company offers agricultural lighting devices, indoor climate control equipment, hydroponics and nutrients, and plant additives used to grow, farm, and cultivate cannabis, flowers, fruits, plants, vegetables, grains, and herbs in controlled environment; and distributes CEA equipment and supplies, which include grow light systems; heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems; humidity and carbon dioxide monitors and controllers; water pumps, heaters, chillers, and filters; nutrient and fertilizer delivery systems; and various growing media made from soil, rock wool or coconut fiber. It also provides hydroponics systems, such as hydro systems, hydro trays and components, meters and solutions, pumps and irrigation systems, water filtration systems, pots and containers, and tents and tarps; atmospheric control equipment comprising controllers, monitors and timers, ventilation/air conditioning equipment, air purification equipment, and CO2 equipment; and nutrients and additives. The company offers its products under the Phantom, PhotoBio, Active Aqua, Active Air, HEAVY 16, House & Garden, Mad Farmer, Roots Organics, Soul, Procision, Grotek, Gaia Green, Innovative Growers Equipment, Quantum, Xtrasun, Digilux, Agrobrite, SunBlaster, Jump Start, Active Eye, Autopilot, Phat, oxyClone, and GROW!T brands. Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. was founded in 1977 and is based in Shoemakersville, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyHydrofarm generates revenue through the sale of its extensive product portfolio, which includes hydroponic systems, grow lights, nutrients, and related accessories. The company operates a multi-channel distribution model, selling directly to consumers through its e-commerce platform, as well as through a network of retailers and wholesalers. Key revenue streams include wholesale distribution to commercial growers, online sales to hobbyists, and partnerships with agricultural suppliers. Additionally, Hydrofarm benefits from recurring revenue through sales of consumable products, such as nutrients and growing media, as customers frequently repurchase these items for ongoing cultivation needs.

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with notable achievements in SG&A savings, restructuring plans, and international sales growth. However, these were offset by significant declines in net sales and gross profit margins, as well as challenges in the durable products segment and tariff impacts.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
SG&A Savings and Positive Free Cash Flow
Delivered the 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year adjusted SG&A savings with a nearly 16% reduction in expenses compared to 2024, resulting in positive free cash flow for the quarter.
Restructuring Plan for Improved Profitability
Initiated a new restructuring plan to focus on higher-margin brands and optimize distribution and manufacturing, expecting annual cost savings in excess of $3 million.
International Sales Growth
International sales improved year-on-year with notable results in select European and Asian countries, driving diversification of revenue streams.
Consumables Outperform Durables
Consumable products outperformed durable products, with the consumables mix increasing to approximately 80% of sales in the second quarter.
Negative Updates
Significant Decline in Net Sales
Net sales for the second quarter were $39.2 million, down 28.4% year-over-year, driven by a 27.9% decline in volume mix and a 0.4% decline in pricing.
Gross Profit Margin Decline
Gross profit in the second quarter was $2.8 million or 7.1% of net sales, compared to $10.9 million or 19.8% of net sales in the year ago period.
Durable Products Underperformance
Continued industry headwinds and lower performance in durable lighting and equipment products led to a decline in the second quarter.
Tariff Challenges
Incremental costs of approximately $300,000 year-to-date due to tariffs, with ongoing uncertainty impacting the durables business.
Company Guidance
During the Hydrofarm Holdings Group's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics were highlighted to provide guidance on the company's performance and strategic initiatives. The company achieved a 16% reduction in adjusted SG&A expenses, marking the 12th consecutive quarter of year-over-year savings in this area. Despite industry headwinds, including a 28.4% year-over-year decline in net sales to $39.2 million and a 27.9% decrease in volume mix, the company managed to deliver positive free cash flow of $1.4 million for the quarter. Adjusted gross profit stood at $7.5 million, or 19.2% of net sales, although negatively impacted by restructuring charges. Hydrofarm initiated a restructuring plan to optimize its product portfolio, targeting annual cost savings exceeding $3 million, primarily through reducing inventory and SKUs. The company remains focused on improving its proprietary brand mix, which accounted for 55% of sales in the first quarter, despite a softer mix in the second quarter due to challenging demand in the durables category. The company also noted a $300,000 impact from tariffs and is actively managing its sourcing strategies to mitigate future effects. With cash on hand at $11 million and total liquidity of $20 million as of June 30, 2025, Hydrofarm is well-positioned to navigate the current market challenges while remaining optimistic about future industry demand improvements.

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hydrofarm Holdings Group faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, negative profitability, and cash flow constraints. While leverage is moderate, the company struggles with operational inefficiencies and cash management, impacting its overall financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows declining revenue with a negative growth rate of -9.1% TTM. Gross profit margin is low at 12.4% TTM, and net profit margin is significantly negative at -38.4% TTM, indicating profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.84 TTM, suggesting manageable leverage. However, return on equity is negative at -32.3% TTM, highlighting poor profitability. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall financial stability appears weak.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -40.7% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues. Free cash flow to net income ratio is positive but reflects a challenging cash position.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue146.44M190.29M226.58M344.50M479.42M342.20M
Gross Profit14.92M32.13M37.61M29.34M101.49M63.63M
EBITDA-22.18M-19.92M-17.51M-239.37M11.35M10.22M
Net Income-65.15M-66.72M-64.81M-285.42M13.42M-7.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets369.68M426.10M507.64M573.56M891.24M275.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.65M26.11M30.31M21.29M26.61M75.18M
Total Debt161.92M169.53M183.93M186.07M167.57M20.06M
Total Liabilities191.40M202.38M217.03M223.68M256.06M64.88M
Stockholders Equity178.28M223.72M290.61M349.88M635.18M210.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.39M-3.22M2.83M13.76M-50.47M-46.27M
Operating Cash Flow-7.43M-324.00K7.04M21.99M-45.07M-44.83M
Investing Cash Flow-400.00K1.67M-4.17M-8.49M-468.18M546.00K
Financing Cash Flow-5.73M-4.78M6.07M-20.20M464.71M88.14M

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.83
Price Trends
50DMA
2.55
Negative
100DMA
3.33
Negative
200DMA
3.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Negative
RSI
38.14
Neutral
STOCH
80.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HYFM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.93, below the 50-day MA of 2.55, and below the 200-day MA of 3.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HYFM.

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Risk Analysis

Hydrofarm Holdings Group disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hydrofarm Holdings Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$11.95M6.5215.99%-4.37%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
49
Neutral
$27.54M-84.37%-16.89%35.45%
42
Neutral
$8.35M-30.93%-26.84%-0.16%
38
Underperform
$4.53M-0.22
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HYFM
Hydrofarm Holdings Group
1.83
-6.02
-76.69%
ARTW
Art's-Way Manufacturing Co
2.22
0.58
35.37%
GENC
Gencor
12.90
-9.10
-41.36%
UGRO
urban-gro
0.26
-1.20
-82.19%
XOS
Xos
2.39
-1.50
-38.56%
ZDAI
Primega Group Holdings
0.38
-1.70
-81.73%

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Hydrofarm Holdings Announces CEO Transition Amid Challenges
Negative
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Hydrofarm Holdings Group announced a leadership transition with William Toler resuming the role of Chief Executive Officer effective December 1, 2025, following the resignation of B. John Lindeman. The company also reported its third-quarter financial results, highlighting a 33.3% decrease in net sales to $29.4 million compared to the previous year, alongside a decrease in gross profit margin. Despite these challenges, Hydrofarm is implementing cost-saving measures, including consolidating manufacturing facilities, to improve profitability and maintain its strategic focus on high-margin proprietary products.

The most recent analyst rating on (HYFM) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hydrofarm Holdings Group stock, see the HYFM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Hydrofarm Holdings Appoints Chris Yetter to Board
Neutral
Oct 2, 2025

On September 29, 2025, Susan P. Peters, a non-employee director of Hydrofarm Holdings Group, announced her retirement effective October 1, 2025, to spend more time with her family. Her resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company. In response, the Board appointed Chris Yetter, effective the same date, to fill the vacancy. Yetter, the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Dumont Global, brings significant investment experience, particularly in the health and wellness sector, and will serve on the Compensation Committee. This appointment is expected to strengthen Hydrofarm’s Board and management team.

The most recent analyst rating on (HYFM) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hydrofarm Holdings Group stock, see the HYFM Stock Forecast page.

Hydrofarm Holdings: Mixed Sentiment in Earnings Call
Sep 1, 2025

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Inc’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture of the company’s financial health and strategic direction. While there were commendable achievements in SG&A savings and international sales growth, these were overshadowed by significant declines in net sales and gross profit margins. The company also faced challenges in the durable products segment and tariff impacts, adding to the complexity of its current financial landscape.

Hydrofarm Holdings Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 13, 2025

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Inc. is a prominent manufacturer and distributor of hydroponics equipment and supplies, specializing in controlled environment agriculture with a focus on proprietary branded products.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 25, 2025