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HOYA CORPORATION (HOCPY)
OTHER OTC:HOCPY

HOYA (HOCPY) AI Stock Analysis

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HOCPY

HOYA

(OTC:HOCPY)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$211.00
▲(37.85% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/02/26
Score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (exceptional margins, very low leverage, and strong ROE). Technicals are supportive but somewhat overextended, while the overall rating is held back by a relatively high P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High Profitability & Margins
Sustained, very-high margins indicate durable pricing power and a differentiated product mix across optics and medical devices. Such margin structure supports reinvestment, R&D, and resilience to input cost swings, underpinning long-term cash generation and competitive advantage.
Very Low Leverage & Strong ROE
Extremely low net leverage combined with high ROE gives financial flexibility to fund capex, acquisitions, or return capital without pressuring liquidity. This balance-sheet strength reduces insolvency risk in downturns and enables strategic moves without reliance on expensive debt.
Recurring Healthcare Sales Mix
Recurring demand from contact lenses and medical/ophthalmic products provides predictable revenue streams and repeat purchases. That durability supports stable cash flows, easier forecasting, and long-term customer relationships that bolster margins and reduce revenue volatility versus one-off sales.
Negative Factors
Modest Recent Revenue Growth
Slowing top-line expansion suggests HOYA is in a more mature phase where incremental earnings gains must come from margin expansion, share gains, or M&A. This constrains organic upside and raises the importance of sustaining innovation and premium product adoption to drive durable growth.
Free Cash Flow Below Net Income
Less-than-one-for-one conversion of accounting earnings into free cash flow implies meaningful cash absorbed by capex, working capital, or other uses. Persistently lower conversion can limit flexibility for buybacks, dividends, or aggressive reinvestment despite strong reported profits.
Cyclicality in Photomask / IT Segment
Exposure to semiconductor and display capital cycles introduces structural revenue volatility: demand depends on customer capex and node transitions. Even with a strong healthcare base, cyclical IT exposure can cause multi-quarter swings and makes long-term forecasting and growth smoothing harder.

HOYA (HOCPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HOYA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHOYA Corporation is a Japanese multinational company that specializes in the manufacturing of optical products, including lenses for eyeglasses and cameras, as well as healthcare products and semiconductor-related materials. Established in 1941, HOYA operates in various sectors, primarily categorized into two main segments: the Eye Care segment, which focuses on ophthalmic lenses and optical products, and the Healthcare segment, which provides medical endoscopes, surgical instruments, and other healthcare solutions. The company is also involved in the production of advanced materials for the semiconductor industry, contributing to its diverse portfolio.
How the Company Makes MoneyHOYA generates revenue through multiple key streams. The Eye Care segment contributes a significant portion of its income through the sale of prescription lenses, which are marketed to both consumers and optical retailers worldwide. This segment benefits from a growing demand for corrective eyewear due to increasing vision-related issues globally. In the Healthcare segment, revenue is derived from the sale of medical devices such as endoscopes and surgical instruments, which are utilized in various medical procedures. Additionally, HOYA earns revenue from the production of semiconductor materials, which are essential for the electronics industry. The company has established partnerships with major optical retailers and healthcare providers, enhancing its market reach and contributing to its consistent earnings. Overall, HOYA's diverse product offerings and strategic collaborations play a crucial role in its financial performance.

HOYA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality fundamentals: very strong profitability (TTM gross margin ~79.8%, operating margin ~34.8%, net margin ~27.3%), excellent balance sheet with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.04) and strong ROE (~25.1% TTM). Cash generation is healthy (operating cash flow ~1.30x net income), but free cash flow conversion is somewhat below net income (~78%) and recent revenue growth is modest (TTM ~3.1%).
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show strong profitability, with very high gross margin (~79.8%) and solid operating and net margins (~34.8% and ~27.3%). Revenue growth is positive but modest in the most recent period (TTM ~3.1%), and growth was also relatively light in the latest annual period (~0.2%), indicating a more mature growth profile. Overall, earnings power and margin structure are clear strengths, while the main watch item is the slower top-line growth trajectory recently.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Balance sheet quality is a standout: leverage is very low (debt-to-equity ~0.04 in TTM and ~0.038 in the latest annual), supported by a large equity base. Profitability on equity is strong (ROE ~25.1% TTM; ~20.7% latest annual), indicating efficient capital use without relying on heavy borrowing. The key weakness is limited in the provided data, but the low leverage can also imply less balance-sheet-driven acceleration if growth opportunities require sizable investment.
Cash Flow
83
Very Positive
Cash generation is healthy, with operating cash flow exceeding net income (about 1.30x in TTM and the latest annual), which supports earnings quality. Free cash flow is strong and growing (TTM free cash flow growth ~2.5%), though free cash flow runs below net income (TTM ~78%), suggesting working capital, capex, or other cash uses are absorbing a meaningful portion of profits. Overall cash flow profile is solid, with the main drawback being less-than-one-for-one conversion of accounting earnings into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue927.15B885.82B762.61B734.10B670.33B558.26B
Gross Profit765.40B766.25B421.69B631.86B567.28B474.98B
EBITDA451.54B310.00B285.70B259.78B243.96B200.27B
Net Income253.01B202.10B181.38B168.64B164.51B125.45B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.31T1.23T1.20T1.03T992.84B853.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments580.98B538.53B525.16B426.27B426.63B338.79B
Total Debt41.46B37.28B29.24B24.58B21.60B20.75B
Total Liabilities264.40B262.65B241.36B213.72B203.78B180.88B
Stockholders Equity1.03T974.02B967.76B818.32B803.85B688.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow153.05B187.19B181.73B168.36B161.18B120.57B
Operating Cash Flow194.99B235.11B222.80B201.83B190.06B151.81B
Investing Cash Flow8.07B-33.19B-35.81B-47.50B-29.30B-29.79B
Financing Cash Flow-214.81B-190.35B-110.89B-194.59B-106.72B-115.67B

HOYA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price153.06
Price Trends
50DMA
163.48
Positive
100DMA
157.75
Positive
200DMA
142.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.42
Positive
RSI
68.09
Neutral
STOCH
48.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HOCPY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 153.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 175.29, below the 50-day MA of 163.48, and above the 200-day MA of 142.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 68.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HOCPY.

HOYA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$63.07B38.2320.74%0.84%9.79%9.53%
78
Outperform
$36.66B24.8725.68%0.92%9.36%29.56%
76
Outperform
$175.44B64.2716.67%22.18%21.37%
72
Outperform
$17.67B36.1316.85%0.32%4.90%-0.26%
68
Neutral
$51.96B29.816.96%2.13%8.23%-2.04%
66
Neutral
$16.82B31.2610.86%1.74%-25.29%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HOCPY
HOYA
185.20
62.76
51.26%
BDX
Becton Dickinson
180.96
5.90
3.37%
HOLX
Hologic
75.34
10.98
17.06%
ISRG
Intuitive Surgical
506.17
-74.76
-12.87%
RMD
Resmed
252.53
20.01
8.61%
WST
West Pharmaceutical Services
247.88
28.92
13.21%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 02, 2026