China Youran Dairy Group Limited (HK:9858)
:9858
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China Youran Dairy Group Limited
(9858)
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Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
HK$5.00
▲(0.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/16/26
The score is primarily held back by financial fundamentals—continued net losses, negative ROE, high leverage, and negative free cash flow—despite strong revenue growth and positive operating cash flow. Technically, signals are mixed with weaker near-term momentum but a still-supportive longer-term trend. Valuation is pressured by loss-making results and the absence of a dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified product portfolio
A diversified offering across liquid milk, yogurt and cheese plus retail and online channels reduces revenue concentration risk. This breadth supports steady demand, helps retain customers across segments, and gives resilience to shifts in consumer preferences over months.
Negative Factors
Ongoing net losses and negative ROE
Persistent net losses and a negative return on equity erode shareholder capital and limit retained earnings for reinvestment. Over months this constrains internal funding for growth and increases reliance on external financing, hindering long-term profitability recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified product portfolio
A diversified offering across liquid milk, yogurt and cheese plus retail and online channels reduces revenue concentration risk. This breadth supports steady demand, helps retain customers across segments, and gives resilience to shifts in consumer preferences over months.
Read all positive factors
China Youran Dairy Group Limited (9858) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$18.44B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)24.03M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.98
Revenue Growth3.07%
EPS Growth-64.23%
CountryHK
Employees12,930
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryAgricultural Farm Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.04
Shares Outstanding4,191,978,000
10 Day Avg. Volume18,391,632
30 Day Avg. Volume24,032,701
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.24
Price to Book (P/B)0.53
Price to Sales (P/S)0.30
P/FCF Ratio-9.14
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
HK$5.97Price Target Upside19.33% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)0.37
Revenue Forecast (FY)HK$22.03B
China Youran Dairy Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
China Youran Dairy Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an integrated provider of products and services in the upstream dairy industry in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Raw Milk Business and Compr...
How the Company Makes Money
China Youran Dairy Group Limited generates revenue primarily through the sale of its dairy products, which include liquid milk, yogurt, and cheese. The company benefits from a diversified product portfolio that appeals to different consumer segmen...
China Youran Dairy Group Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 20.33B | 20.10B | 18.69B | 18.05B | 15.35B | 11.78B |
| Gross Profit | 6.02B | 5.78B | 4.47B | 4.22B | 4.69B | 3.60B |
| EBITDA | 5.09B | 4.81B | 3.42B | 2.01B | 3.21B | 2.24B |
| Net Income | -656.59M | -690.89M | -1.05B | 414.77M | 1.56B | 1.34B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 42.28B | 43.66B | 46.20B | 43.45B | 31.96B | 22.20B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.17B | 882.37M | 3.94B | 2.86B | 1.02B | 2.62B |
| Total Debt | 26.82B | 26.49B | 28.08B | 23.32B | 13.18B | 10.21B |
| Total Liabilities | 30.34B | 31.50B | 33.10B | 28.70B | 17.08B | 13.14B |
| Stockholders Equity | 11.02B | 11.30B | 11.83B | 13.06B | 13.18B | 7.82B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -404.95M | -651.89M | -3.66B | -6.13B | -5.53B | -2.06B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 5.36B | 5.84B | 4.39B | 2.55B | 2.27B | 1.71B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -4.42B | -5.60B | -4.34B | -10.78B | -8.70B | -4.75B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -935.49M | -3.11B | 2.99B | 8.05B | 5.42B | 5.09B |
China Youran Dairy Group Limited Technical Analysis
Positive
5.00
Price Trends
4.55
Negative
4.42
Negative
3.89
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.15
Negative
52.67
Neutral
70.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:9858, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.23, above the 50-day MA of 4.55, and above the 200-day MA of 3.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:9858.
China Youran Dairy Group Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | HK$1.57B | 1.96 | 10.09% | ― | 13.78% | 432.26% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
55 Neutral | HK$12.15B | -10.36 | -23.27% | 0.86% | -2.69% | -695.87% | |
54 Neutral | HK$18.44B | -42.17 | -3.91% | ― | 3.07% | -64.23% | |
53 Neutral | HK$2.85B | -7.07 | 0.82% | 0.69% | -7.11% | ― | |
48 Neutral | HK$10.72B | 17.54 | 15.66% | 1.33% | ― | ― |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
HK:9858
China Youran Dairy Group Limited
4.40
1.80
69.23%
HK:1431
YuanShengTai Dairy Farm
0.34
0.10
39.58%
HK:1432
China Shengmu Organic Milk Ltd
0.34
0.16
88.89%
HK:1117
China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd.
1.54
0.43
38.74%
HK:2419
Dekon Food And Agriculture Group Class H
68.00
27.44
67.65%
China Youran Dairy Group Limited Corporate Events
China Youran Dairy Raises HK$1.16 Billion via Share Placing and Top-Up Subscription
Jan 26, 2026
China Youran Dairy Group Limited has completed a placing and top-up subscription transaction involving 299,250,000 existing shares placed to at least six independent investors at HK$3.92 per share, followed by the issuance of an equal number of ne...
China Youran Dairy to Raise HK$2.35 Billion via Share Placing and Top-Up Subscription
Jan 15, 2026
China Youran Dairy Group Limited has entered into a Placing and Subscription Agreement and a Specific Mandate Subscription Agreement on 16 January 2026 to raise aggregate gross proceeds of approximately HK$2.35 billion through a combination of pla...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.