China Youran Dairy Group Limited (9858) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$11.91B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 24.03M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.99
• Revenue Growth: 3.07%
• EPS Growth: -64.23%
• Country: HK
• Employees: 12,930
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Agricultural Farm Products
• EPS (TTM): -0.09
• Shares Outstanding: 3,892,727,800
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 18,391,632
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 24,032,701
• PEG Ratio: 0.24
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.53
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.30
• P/FCF Ratio: -9.14
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: HK$5.56
• Price Target Upside: 80.52% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4

• Rating: 51 Neutral
• Price Target: HK$3.00 ▼(-2.60% Downside)

The overall stock score is primarily influenced by financial performance and technical analysis. While the company demonstrates strong revenue growth, profitability issues and high leverage pose significant risks. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and valuation metrics highlight concerns due to negative earnings and lack of dividends. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors did not influence the score.

China Youran Dairy Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

China Youran Dairy Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an integrated provider of products and services in the upstream dairy industry in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Raw Milk Business and Comprehensive Ruminant Farming Solutions segments. It offers raw milk to dairy manufacturers. It also provides nutritious concentrated feed and forage grass for dairy farms; frozen bovine semen, sex-sorted frozen bovine semen, embryos, breeding solutions, etc.; and ruminant farming products, such as veterinary drugs, animal husbandry equipment, and other items for dairy farms through its online retail platform, Jumuc.com, and offline pick-up stores. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Hohhot, the People's Republic of China.

How the Company Makes Money

China Youran Dairy Group Limited generates revenue primarily through the sale of its dairy products, which include liquid milk, yogurt, and cheese. The company benefits from a diversified product portfolio that appeals to different consumer segments, thereby enhancing its market reach. Key revenue streams include direct sales to retailers and distributors, as well as online sales channels that have gained traction in recent years. Additionally, strategic partnerships with local and international suppliers enable the company to optimize its supply chain and reduce costs. Factors contributing to its earnings include growing consumer demand for dairy products in China, a focus on premium and organic product lines, and continuous investment in marketing and brand development to strengthen its market presence.

China Youran Dairy Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

China Youran Dairy Group Limited shows robust revenue growth, but profitability remains a concern with continued net losses. The reliance on debt financing is high, which could pose financial risks if not managed carefully. While operating cash flows are strong, negative free cash flow highlights challenges in managing capital expenditures. Overall, the company needs to focus on improving profitability and managing its leverage to strengthen its financial position.

Income Statement

The company demonstrates a strong revenue growth trajectory, with a notable increase from previous years. However, despite the growth in revenue, the company is experiencing losses in net income, indicating profitability issues. The gross profit margin has improved, reflecting efficiency in cost management, but negative net profit margins highlight challenges in overall profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a high level of debt compared to equity, as evidenced by a high debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates potential leverage risks. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced asset structure. Return on equity is negative, signaling inefficiencies in generating income for shareholders.

Cash Flow

The cash flow analysis reveals a positive operating cash flow, indicating good cash generation from core operations. However, free cash flow remains negative, affected by high capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is concerning, primarily due to net losses, impacting cash sustainability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	20.33B	20.10B	18.69B	18.05B	15.35B	11.78B
Gross Profit	6.02B	5.78B	4.47B	4.22B	4.69B	3.60B
EBITDA	5.09B	4.81B	3.42B	2.01B	3.21B	2.24B
Net Income	-656.59M	-690.89M	-1.05B	414.77M	1.56B	1.34B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	42.28B	43.66B	46.20B	43.45B	31.96B	22.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.17B	882.37M	3.94B	2.86B	1.02B	2.62B
Total Debt	26.82B	26.49B	28.08B	23.32B	13.18B	10.21B
Total Liabilities	30.34B	31.50B	33.10B	28.70B	17.08B	13.14B
Stockholders Equity	11.02B	11.30B	11.83B	13.06B	13.18B	7.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-404.95M	-651.89M	-3.66B	-6.13B	-5.53B	-2.06B
Operating Cash Flow	5.36B	5.84B	4.39B	2.55B	2.27B	1.71B
Investing Cash Flow	-4.42B	-5.60B	-4.34B	-10.78B	-8.70B	-4.75B
Financing Cash Flow	-935.49M	-3.11B	2.99B	8.05B	5.42B	5.09B

China Youran Dairy Group Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 3.08
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:9858, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.05, below the 50-day MA of 3.46, and above the 200-day MA of 2.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:9858.

China Youran Dairy Group Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
2419	68 Neutral	HK$11.35B	7.14	47.64%	1.30%	―	―
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
1431	61 Neutral	HK$1.24B	4.02	5.66%	―	13.78%	432.26%
9858	51 Neutral	HK$11.91B	―	-5.81%	―	3.07%	-64.23%
1432	50 Neutral	HK$2.68B	80.00	0.82%	0.72%	-7.11%	―
1117	46 Neutral	HK$9.47B	―	-21.76%	1.10%	-2.69%	-695.87%

China Youran Dairy Group Limited Corporate Events

China Youran Dairy Group Approves Key Financial Agreement at EGM

China Youran Dairy Group Limited announced the successful passing of a resolution at its Extraordinary General Meeting held on September 26, 2025. The resolution, which was approved by 96.50% of the votes, ratifies the Supplemental Financial Services Framework Agreement and its Revised Annual Caps, impacting the company’s financial operations. Yili, a significant shareholder, abstained from voting due to a material interest in the agreement, leaving 66.07% of shares eligible for independent shareholder voting.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9858) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Youran Dairy Group Limited stock, see the HK:9858 Stock Forecast page.

China Youran Dairy Group to Hold EGM for Financial Agreement Approval

China Youran Dairy Group Limited has announced an Extraordinary General Meeting scheduled for September 26, 2025, to approve a Supplemental Financial Services Framework Agreement and its Revised Annual Caps. This meeting aims to authorize the company’s directors to execute necessary actions related to the agreement, potentially impacting the company’s financial operations and strategic positioning within the dairy industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9858) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Youran Dairy Group Limited stock, see the HK:9858 Stock Forecast page.

China Youran Dairy Reports Improved Interim Results Amid Continued Losses

China Youran Dairy Group Limited reported its interim results for the six months ending June 30, 2025, showing a 2.3% increase in revenue and an 8.3% rise in gross profit compared to the previous year. Despite these gains, the company experienced a loss of RMB 247,126,000, though this was a 47% improvement from the previous period. The company did not declare an interim dividend, signaling a cautious approach amid ongoing financial challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9858) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Youran Dairy Group Limited stock, see the HK:9858 Stock Forecast page.

China Youran Dairy Revises Financial Agreement Caps Amid Rising Deposit Needs

China Youran Dairy Group Limited has announced a revision of the annual caps for its ongoing financial services agreement with Yili Finance Company due to an increase in required deposits. The revised caps, effective upon shareholder approval, will increase the maximum daily balance of deposits significantly for the periods ending in 2025 and 2026. This adjustment reflects the company’s growing financial needs and impacts its compliance with Hong Kong’s Listing Rules, requiring additional reporting and shareholder approvals.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9858) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Youran Dairy Group Limited stock, see the HK:9858 Stock Forecast page.

China Youran Dairy Group Enters Logistics Agreement with Yishun

China Youran Dairy Group Limited has entered into a Logistics and Operation Support Services Framework Agreement with Yishun Group, a subsidiary of its controlling shareholder Yili. Under this agreement, Yishun will provide logistics and operational support services, including transportation, loading, packaging, and other tasks, to China Youran Dairy Group. This arrangement, effective from August 22, 2025, to December 31, 2027, is classified as a continuing connected transaction under the Hong Kong Stock Exchange’s Listing Rules. While the transaction is exempt from independent shareholders’ approval, it is subject to reporting, annual review, and announcement requirements, indicating a structured approach to enhancing operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9858) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Youran Dairy Group Limited stock, see the HK:9858 Stock Forecast page.

China Youran Dairy Updates on Research Center Sale Agreement

China Youran Dairy Group Limited has announced a change in the purchaser for its Ruminant Nutrition and Health Technology Research Center. The original sale agreement with a non-wholly owned subsidiary of Yili has been terminated, and a new agreement has been executed with a wholly-owned subsidiary of Yili. This transaction, valued at an estimated RMB250 million, is classified as a connected transaction under the Hong Kong Listing Rules, exempt from independent shareholders’ approval but subject to reporting requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9858) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Youran Dairy Group Limited stock, see the HK:9858 Stock Forecast page.

China Youran Dairy Group Establishes Nomination Committee

China Youran Dairy Group Limited has established a Nomination Committee as part of its corporate governance structure. This committee, formed by the board of directors, will consist of at least three members, primarily independent non-executive directors, and aims to ensure diverse representation, including gender diversity, in its membership.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9858) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Youran Dairy Group Limited stock, see the HK:9858 Stock Forecast page.

China Youran Dairy Group Schedules Board Meeting to Review Interim Results

China Youran Dairy Group Limited has announced a board meeting scheduled for August 22, 2025, to review and approve the interim financial results for the first half of the year and discuss the potential payment of an interim dividend. This meeting could impact the company’s financial strategies and shareholder returns, reflecting its ongoing commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement.