YuanShengTai Dairy Farm (1431) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$1.36B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 2.26M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 4.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.60
• Revenue Growth: 13.78%
• EPS Growth: 432.26%
• Country: HK
• Employees: 2,375
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Agricultural Farm Products
• EPS (TTM): 0.03
• Shares Outstanding: 4,690,496,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,316,100
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,263,283
• PEG Ratio: -0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.14
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.27
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.55
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: HK$0.32 ▲(21.54% Upside)

The score is driven mainly by improving financial performance (profitability and margin gains alongside a stable balance sheet) and supportive technical momentum. A low P/E provides valuation support, while cash-flow uncertainty and potentially stretched short-term momentum limit the upside to the score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates robust demand for the company's products and effective market strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.

Balance Sheet Health

A strong equity base with reduced debt levels enhances financial stability and reduces risk, providing a solid foundation for future investments and growth.

Profitability Improvement

Improved gross profit margins indicate effective cost management and operational efficiency, which are crucial for sustaining profitability over time.

Negative Factors

Cash Flow Volatility

Volatile cash flows and periods of negative free cash flow can limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage financial obligations.

Inconsistent Profitability

Fluctuating return on equity suggests challenges in maintaining consistent profitability, which could impact investor confidence and long-term financial performance.

Lack of Free Cash Flow Data

The absence of recent free cash flow data creates uncertainty around the company's cash generation capacity, affecting its ability to plan and execute strategic initiatives.

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Limited, a dairy farming company, engages in the production and sale of raw milk in the People's Republic of China. As of December 31, 2021, it had eight farms in Heilongjiang Province and one farm in Jilin Province with a total site area of approximately 7,791,700 square meters. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Qiqihar, the People's Republic of China.

How the Company Makes Money

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm generates revenue primarily through the sale of its dairy products, including fresh milk, yogurt, and cheese, which are distributed through various retail channels such as supermarkets, convenience stores, and online platforms. The company has established partnerships with key retailers and distributors, enhancing its market reach and brand visibility. Additionally, YuanShengTai may benefit from vertical integration by managing its supply chain, including feed production and livestock management, which helps in reducing costs and increasing profitability. The growing demand for organic and health-oriented dairy products also contributes to increased sales, while potential export opportunities to international markets further diversify its revenue streams.

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Financial Statement Overview

Summary

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability, with a solid balance sheet and reduced leverage. However, cash flow volatility and the lack of recent free cash flow data present uncertainties.

Income Statement

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin improved significantly, reflecting better cost management. Despite past net losses, the company achieved profitability in 2024, evidenced by a positive net profit margin. EBITDA margins have also improved, indicating enhanced operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a strong equity base, reflected in the high equity ratio. Debt levels have decreased relative to equity, reducing financial risk. However, the return on equity has fluctuated, indicating inconsistent profitability relative to shareholder investment. Overall, the balance sheet shows financial stability with manageable leverage.

Cash Flow

Cash flow from operations has been volatile, with periods of negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures. However, the ability to generate operating cash flow is a positive sign. The lack of recent free cash flow data makes it challenging to assess current cash generation accurately.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.66B	2.55B	2.21B	2.09B	1.78B	1.55B
Gross Profit	1.03B	944.55M	590.74M	521.72M	479.32M	463.28M
EBITDA	1.05B	970.92M	-152.53M	502.94M	465.67M	408.11M
Net Income	286.55M	296.67M	-339.70M	22.84M	156.99M	577.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	7.69B	7.94B	8.35B	7.94B	6.69B	5.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.09B	941.30M	1.03B	808.64M	959.41M	1.03B
Total Debt	811.80M	927.97M	1.55B	948.91M	268.61M	77.11M
Total Liabilities	2.51B	2.88B	3.58B	2.85B	1.64B	886.84M
Stockholders Equity	5.18B	5.07B	4.76B	5.09B	5.05B	4.90B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	167.93M	123.77M	-433.30M	-787.83M	-277.04M	-99.31M
Operating Cash Flow	965.27M	1.01B	707.80M	799.71M	720.11M	581.14M
Investing Cash Flow	-900.12M	-827.38M	-752.53M	-1.79B	-627.16M	-623.55M
Financing Cash Flow	-435.43M	-516.05M	418.75M	611.56M	-13.40M	-12.88M

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.26
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1431, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.26, above the 50-day MA of 0.26, and below the 200-day MA of 0.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1431.

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
1431	72 Outperform	HK$1.36B	4.55	5.66%	―	13.78%	432.26%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
9858	59 Neutral	HK$19.27B	-27.26	-5.81%	―	3.07%	-64.23%
1117	55 Neutral	HK$12.79B	-5.68	-21.76%	0.86%	-2.69%	-695.87%
1432	53 Neutral	HK$2.89B	85.00	0.82%	0.69%	-7.11%	―

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Corporate Events

YuanShengTai Deepens Cost-Saving Manure Partnership with Guarantee to Xinneng Bio

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Limited has provided a one-off guarantee in support of its partner Yi’an County Xinneng Biotechnology Co., Ltd., which is ultimately owned by Heilongjiang-based environmental and investment companies engaged in livestock waste treatment and related businesses, all of whom are independent from the Group. The move underpins an expanding cooperation with Xinneng Bio and other subsidiaries of Guohong Jieneng in a manure-to-bedding and natural gas supply chain that has already reduced manure treatment and bedding material expenses at four of YuanShengTai’s farms from about RMB49 million in 2022 to RMB28 million for the 11 months to 30 November 2025, with the company citing further potential cost savings and operational efficiencies as it deepens this model across more of its farms despite not charging any guarantee fee.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1431) stock is a Buy with a HK$0.32 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YuanShengTai Dairy Farm stock, see the HK:1431 Stock Forecast page.

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Secures Loan Repayment Obligations for Xinneng Bio

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Limited, through its subsidiary Kedong Heping YST, has entered into a Guarantee Agreement with a bank to secure the repayment obligations of Xinneng Bio under a Loan Agreement. The guarantee, amounting to RMB94,000,000, involves a joint liability method, allowing the bank to seek repayment directly from Kedong Heping YST if Xinneng Bio defaults. This transaction is classified as discloseable under Hong Kong’s Listing Rules, requiring reporting and announcement due to its percentage ratio implications.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1431) stock is a Hold with a HK$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YuanShengTai Dairy Farm stock, see the HK:1431 Stock Forecast page.

YuanShengTai Dairy Confirms Director Attendance at Special General Meeting

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Limited announced the results of its special general meeting held on November 28, 2025, confirming that all directors were present either in person or electronically. The company assured stakeholders that this update does not alter any previously disclosed information, maintaining transparency and stability in its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1431) stock is a Hold with a HK$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YuanShengTai Dairy Farm stock, see the HK:1431 Stock Forecast page.

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm’s 2026 Feihe Master Agreement Approved

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Limited announced that the proposed resolution regarding the 2026 Feihe Master Agreement and its associated annual caps was approved by independent shareholders at a Special General Meeting. This approval allows the company to proceed with transactions under the agreement, potentially impacting its operational and financial strategies in the coming years.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1431) stock is a Hold with a HK$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YuanShengTai Dairy Farm stock, see the HK:1431 Stock Forecast page.

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm to Discuss 2026 Feihe Master Agreement at Special General Meeting

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Limited has announced a special general meeting to discuss and approve the 2026 Feihe Master Agreement, which includes significant financial transactions with proposed annual caps for the next three years. This agreement is expected to impact the company’s operations by potentially expanding its market reach and financial performance, thereby influencing its industry positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1431) stock is a Hold with a HK$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YuanShengTai Dairy Farm stock, see the HK:1431 Stock Forecast page.

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Delays Circular Dispatch for 2026 Agreement

YuanShengTai Dairy Farm Limited announced a delay in the dispatch of a circular related to the 2026 Feihe Master Agreement, which outlines proposed transactions and annual caps. The company requires additional time to finalize the circular, now expected to be dispatched by October 31, 2025. This delay may impact shareholder engagement and the company’s operational timelines.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1431) stock is a Hold with a HK$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on YuanShengTai Dairy Farm stock, see the HK:1431 Stock Forecast page.