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China Hanking Holdings Ltd. (HK:3788)
:3788
Hong Kong Market

China Hanking Holdings Ltd. (3788) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:3788

China Hanking Holdings Ltd.

(3788)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
HK$5.00
▲(33.69% Upside)
The score is driven by improving profitability and a stable balance sheet, supported by a clear positive price trend. These positives are offset by weakening cash flow and revenue decline, and a demanding valuation (high P/E with low dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Improving profit margins
Rising EBIT and net margins indicate the company has improved cost control and operational efficiency. Sustained margin expansion enhances resilience through commodity cycles, increases internal cash generation capacity, and supports reinvestment or debt servicing over the medium term.
Stable balance sheet
A near-40% equity ratio and manageable leverage provide financial flexibility to fund capex or weather downturns without excessive refinancing risk. Improved ROE shows more efficient use of capital, supporting longer-term shareholder returns and strategic investments.
Integrated mining-to-processing model
Owning exploration, mining and downstream processing gives control over supply, quality and margins, enabling capture of downstream value. Vertical integration is a durable competitive advantage that can lower unit costs and protect margins across industry cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline and volatility
Large year-to-year swings in revenue reduce predictability for cash flow and capital planning. Persistent volatility complicates reinvestment decisions and may force cyclical cost adjustments, undermining sustainable growth visibility over the medium term.
Weakened cash generation
Substantially lower free cash flow and reduced cash conversion weaken the firm's ability to fund capex, pay down debt, or support dividends from operations. Over months, this narrows strategic flexibility and may increase reliance on external financing during downturns.
Commodity and volume exposure
Heavy dependence on iron ore prices and shipment volumes creates structural earnings cyclicality. Without durable price or volume hedges, revenue and margins will fluctuate with global steel demand and commodity cycles, pressuring long-term earnings consistency.

China Hanking Holdings Ltd. (3788) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

China Hanking Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChina Hanking Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, mining, processing, smelting, and marketing of mineral resources in the People's Republic of China and Australia. The company operates three iron ore mines, including Aoniu, Maogong, and Shangma mines, which are located in the Anshan-Benxi iron ore belt. It also operates Mount Bundy gold located in northern Australia and Coolgardie gold projects located in western Australia. In addition, the company engages in the sale of agricultural and forestry products; and manufacture and sale of green building materials. Further, it offers leasing services; travel and accommodation services; and technical development and technical consultation services. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Shenyang, China.
How the Company Makes MoneyChina Hanking Holdings Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the mining and sale of gold. The company operates several mines, where it extracts gold and other minerals, which are then processed and sold to various markets, including domestic and international buyers. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of mined gold, which is influenced by global gold prices, as well as any by-products generated during the mining process. The company may also engage in partnerships with other mining firms or entities within the resource sector to enhance its operational capacity and market reach, contributing positively to its earnings. Additionally, fluctuations in commodity prices, operational efficiency, and production volume play significant roles in determining the company's overall financial performance.

China Hanking Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: profitability improved (net margin up to 7.3%, EBIT margin up to 15%) and the balance sheet is stable (39.9% equity ratio, manageable 0.63 debt-to-equity), but revenue fell 18% and free cash flow declined 36.9% with weaker cash conversion.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company displays mixed performance trends. While the gross profit margin remained relatively consistent at 27.1% in 2024, the net profit margin improved to 7.3% from 5% in 2023, indicating better cost management. However, revenue declined by 18% in 2024, following a 16% increase in 2023, suggesting volatility in revenue generation. The EBIT margin increased to 15% in 2024 from 9.8% in 2023, and the EBITDA margin also improved. Overall, the profitability metrics are improving, but revenue fluctuations pose a challenge.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy equity ratio of 39.9% in 2024, indicating a strong equity base relative to total assets. The debt-to-equity ratio rose slightly to 0.63 in 2024 from 0.56 in 2023, suggesting a modest increase in leverage, but it remains manageable. Return on equity improved to 12.6% from 10.8% in 2023, reflecting enhanced efficiency in using equity to generate profit. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with some increase in leverage, but strong equity support mitigates risk.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
The cash flow statement reflects a reduction in free cash flow by 36.9% in 2024, indicating less cash available for expansion or debt reduction. The operating cash flow to net income ratio declined to 0.99 in 2024 from 2.1 in 2023, showing reduced cash generation efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.65 in 2024, down from 1.22 in 2023. These declines highlight potential liquidity pressures, though operating cash flow remains positive.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.62B2.48B3.03B2.60B3.13B2.68B
Gross Profit687.36M673.56M621.95M358.00M1.22B917.98M
EBITDA485.63M495.72M437.69M221.99M1.10B771.49M
Net Income177.79M180.94M151.80M-51.30M658.96M379.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.05B3.59B3.61B3.36B3.81B3.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments449.87M359.93M664.94M249.81M280.49M181.24M
Total Debt1.10B905.00M789.02M608.17M645.97M743.87M
Total Liabilities2.51B2.15B2.16B2.08B2.24B2.10B
Stockholders Equity1.53B1.43B1.40B1.27B1.56B1.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-84.93M40.38M185.36M38.91M781.52M817.63M
Operating Cash Flow-45.98M178.67M318.96M194.06M1.00B939.57M
Investing Cash Flow-420.94M-68.22M-114.97M-43.68M-489.96M-497.18M
Financing Cash Flow572.52M-22.01M-67.16M-298.89M-421.44M-301.26M

China Hanking Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.74
Price Trends
50DMA
3.98
Positive
100DMA
4.01
Positive
200DMA
3.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Positive
RSI
47.94
Neutral
STOCH
30.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3788, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.44, below the 50-day MA of 3.98, and above the 200-day MA of 3.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:3788.

China Hanking Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
HK$9.32B22.855.44%1.90%-10.53%13.93%
62
Neutral
HK$9.57B43.1311.79%1.06%-6.73%-21.30%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
HK$5.21B18.741.16%0.76%-14.11%
49
Neutral
$32.80B-9.47-8.13%-10.10%10.40%
47
Neutral
HK$26.31B-4.29-8.39%-9.09%34.73%
47
Neutral
HK$15.07B-5.00-12.42%-14.20%8.19%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:3788
China Hanking Holdings Ltd.
4.27
3.46
427.16%
HK:0347
Angang Steel Co
2.02
0.52
34.67%
HK:0581
China Oriental Group Co
1.40
0.37
36.05%
HK:0323
Maanshan Iron & Steel Co
2.71
1.01
59.41%
HK:0826
Tiangong International Co. Ltd.
3.42
1.67
94.98%
HK:1053
Chongqing Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. Class H
1.26
0.40
46.51%

China Hanking Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

China Hanking Completes HK$3.80-per-Share Subscription and Placing of New Shares
Jan 29, 2026

China Hanking Holdings Limited has raised new equity capital through the issuance of shares under its existing general mandate, reinforcing its financial position without altering its substantial shareholder base. The company completed a subscription of 43,960,000 new shares at HK$3.80 per share to four independent investors, alongside the placing of 162,040,000 new shares at the same price to at least six independent placees, with both transactions finalized on 29 January 2026; all subscribers and placees remain below the threshold for substantial shareholders, indicating a broadening of the shareholder base while limiting ownership concentration.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3788) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Hanking Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:3788 Stock Forecast page.

China Hanking Calls EGM to Approve Rebranding as Hanking Gold International
Jan 23, 2026

China Hanking Holdings Limited has called an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) for 12 February 2026 in Shenyang to seek shareholder approval for a special resolution to change its English name to Hanking Gold International Limited and its dual foreign Chinese name accordingly. The proposed rebranding underscores the company’s strategic emphasis on its gold-focused mining operations and an international market image, while the notice also details standard arrangements for shareholder participation, proxy voting, and share registration ahead of the meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3788) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Hanking Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:3788 Stock Forecast page.

China Hanking to Raise HK$167 Million via Discounted Share Subscription
Jan 22, 2026

China Hanking Holdings Limited has entered into separate subscription agreements with four investors to issue and allot a total of 43.96 million new shares under its general mandate at HK$3.80 per share, representing discounts of about 18.28%, 16.19% and 2.21% to the latest, 5-day and 30-day average closing prices respectively. The subscription shares represent roughly 2.16% of the company’s existing issued share capital and about 1.96% of its enlarged share capital after both this subscription and an accompanying placing of new shares, and are expected to raise gross proceeds of around HK$167.05 million (net approximately HK$164.76 million), providing additional equity capital that may bolster the company’s balance sheet and financial flexibility with limited dilution to existing shareholders, as each subscription completion is independent of the others.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3788) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Hanking Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:3788 Stock Forecast page.

China Hanking Overhauls Leadership to Accelerate Shift Toward Gold Production
Jan 14, 2026

China Hanking Holdings Limited announced a sweeping leadership reshuffle effective 14 January 2026, including the resignation of chairman, chief executive officer and president Mr. Yang Jiye and executive director and chief operating officer Mr. Zheng Xuezhi, both stepping down to devote more time to other business commitments. Executive director Dr. Qiu Yumin has been promoted to chief executive officer and president to drive the group’s strategic shift into gold production and accelerate advancement of the Mt Bundy Gold Project toward construction and commissioning, while founder shareholder and former non‑executive director Mr. Xia Zhuo has been appointed chairman of the board to support this transformation. The company also strengthened its governance and administrative structure by appointing new executive directors, replacing joint company secretaries and authorised representatives, designating a new process agent, and adjusting key board committee roles, moves that collectively aim to align management and oversight with its new strategic direction and may influence operational execution and stakeholder confidence during the transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3788) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Hanking Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:3788 Stock Forecast page.

China Hanking Announces Board and Committee Structure Update
Jan 14, 2026

China Hanking Holdings Limited has announced the current composition of its board of directors, comprising executive, non-executive, and independent non-executive directors, reflecting a typical governance structure for a Hong Kong-listed company. The company also detailed the membership and leadership of its four key board committees—Nomination, Remuneration, Audit, and Health, Safety, Environmental Protection and Community—clarifying the specific roles of individual directors and reinforcing its corporate governance framework and oversight structure for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3788) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Hanking Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:3788 Stock Forecast page.

China Hanking Proposes Rebranding as Hanking Gold International
Jan 14, 2026

China Hanking Holdings Limited plans to change its English name to Hanking Gold International Limited and adopt a new Chinese name, subject to shareholder approval at an extraordinary general meeting and approval by the Cayman Islands Registrar of Companies, with corresponding changes to its stock short names on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange once effective. The company emphasized that the name change will not affect shareholders’ rights, existing share certificates, daily operations or financial position, and is intended to more accurately represent its current gold-focused business and future growth plans, strengthening its corporate identity and alignment with stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3788) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Hanking Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:3788 Stock Forecast page.

China Hanking Boosts Gold Reserves and Unlocks New High‑Grade Potential at Hanking Gold Projects
Jan 14, 2026

China Hanking Holdings has announced strategic changes at its Hanking Gold operations following major technical advances at its Australian projects, highlighted by a 53.1% increase in JORC Ore Reserves to 2.62 million ounces and a total JORC gold resource of 5.54 million ounces. The group has secured a key drainage permit for the Golden Pig and Copperhead underground mines, and reported high‑grade gold intercepts at the Corinthia and Copperhead deposits that materially expand underground mining potential and reveal previously overlooked ore bodies, developments that could significantly enhance the economic viability and long‑term scale of its gold mining portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3788) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Hanking Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:3788 Stock Forecast page.

China Hanking Boosts Hanking Gold JORC Ore Reserves by 53% to 2.62 Moz
Jan 11, 2026

China Hanking Holdings Limited announced a substantial upgrade to its gold inventory, with Hanking Gold’s combined JORC Ore Reserve rising 53.1% to 2.62 million ounces and total JORC gold resources increasing to 5.54 million ounces following completion of a Stage 1 pre-feasibility study for the Cygnet Gold Project and updated definitive feasibility work at the Mt Bundy Gold Project. The reserve uplift is driven largely by high-grade underground reserves at the Copperhead and Golden Pig deposits, additional open-pit reserves at Corinthia, and newly defined low-grade stockpile resources, which together enhance future ore feed flexibility and potential production scale, strengthening the company’s project economics and positioning in the Australian gold sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3788) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Hanking Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:3788 Stock Forecast page.

China Hanking Wins Key Dewatering Approval for Copperhead Underground Gold Mine
Dec 29, 2025

China Hanking Holdings Limited has secured works approval from Western Australia’s Department of Water and Environmental Regulation to dewater the high-grade Copperhead underground gold mine at its Cygnet gold project, enabling the construction of an evaporation pond on a historic tailings storage facility to manage water pumped from underground. The low-cost dewatering solution is described by management as a key milestone for advancing underground mine development and accessing the southern orebody, which is not yet in the production plan, and is expected to support decline development, reduce drilling costs, and facilitate expansion and upgrading of gold resources and reserves, thereby potentially enhancing value for shareholders as the company continues to work with regulators on remaining approvals.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3788) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Hanking Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:3788 Stock Forecast page.

China Hanking Signs RMB6.3 Million Connected Lease for Shenyang Offices
Dec 23, 2025

China Hanking Holdings’ indirect wholly owned subsidiary Hanking Ginseng Iron has entered into a three-year lease for multiple floors and a podium in Hanking Tower in Shenyang, covering about 3,477 square metres from 1 January 2026 to 31 December 2028. Because the landlord, Shengtai Properties, is ultimately controlled by chairman and controlling shareholder Yang Jiye, the lease is classified as a connected transaction under Hong Kong listing rules; it will result in the recognition of right-of-use assets of about RMB6.32 million under IFRS 16 and is subject to reporting and announcement requirements but is exempt from circular and independent shareholder approval, while the related property management fees are treated as de minimis continuing connected transactions.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3788) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Hanking Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:3788 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026