Logan Property Holdings Co (3380) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$9.44B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 14.74M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.42
• Revenue Growth: -72.07%
• EPS Growth: 23.46%
• Country: HK
• Employees: 2,897
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: Real Estate - Development
• EPS (TTM): -0.35
• Shares Outstanding: 5,685,407,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 10,471,082
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 14,737,045
• PEG Ratio: 0.03
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.27
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.24
• P/FCF Ratio: 27.11
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 52 Neutral
• Price Target: HK$1.50 ▼(-10.18% Downside)

The overall stock score is primarily impacted by the company's poor financial performance, which poses significant risks. While technical analysis shows bullish momentum, the overbought indicators suggest caution. The negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield further highlight valuation concerns.

Positive Factors

Strategic Collaborations

Logan's strategic collaborations and joint ventures enhance its market presence and profitability by leveraging resources and sharing risks, which can lead to sustainable growth and competitive advantages in the real estate market.

Revenue Streams

The company's diversified revenue streams from property sales, leasing, and management services provide a stable income base, reducing dependency on any single revenue source and enhancing financial resilience.

Urban Market Focus

Logan's focus on high-quality projects in key urban markets positions it well to capitalize on urbanization trends, ensuring long-term demand for its properties and supporting sustained growth.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

High leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.27 poses significant financial risk, limiting financial flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, which could impact long-term stability.

Negative Profitability

Persistent negative profitability and declining revenue indicate operational inefficiencies and challenges in generating profit, threatening the company's ability to sustain operations without substantial improvement.

Cash Flow Challenges

The absence of positive cash flow highlights severe liquidity issues, which could hinder the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, posing a risk to long-term viability.

Logan Property Holdings Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Logan Property Holdings Co (3380) is a prominent real estate developer based in China, primarily engaged in the development, investment, and management of residential and commercial properties. The company focuses on high-quality property projects in key urban markets, aiming to meet the growing demand for housing and commercial spaces. Logan Property's core services include property development, real estate management, and investment in various real estate-related ventures.

How the Company Makes Money

Logan Property Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential and commercial properties, which constitutes its main revenue stream. The company develops properties that are sold to end-users or investors, thereby realizing significant profits upon completion and sale. Additionally, Logan Property earns income through leasing and property management services, providing ongoing revenue from its developed assets. The company may also engage in partnerships with local governments and other developers to facilitate land acquisition and development projects, which can enhance its market presence and profitability. Strategic collaborations and joint ventures further allow Logan to leverage resources and share risks, contributing positively to its financial performance.

Logan Property Holdings Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Logan Property Holdings Co is facing significant financial challenges with declining revenue, negative profitability, high leverage, and inadequate cash flow generation. These issues raise concerns about its financial health and ability to sustain operations without substantial improvement or restructuring.

Income Statement

The company's income statement shows a worrying trend with consistent negative net income and declining revenue. The gross profit margin is negative, indicating that cost of goods sold exceeds revenue. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and difficulty in generating profit from core operations. The revenue growth rate has significantly declined, showing a troubling trajectory for the business.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet demonstrates high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.27 for the latest year, indicating a heavy reliance on debt financing. Stockholders' equity has been decreasing, weakening the equity ratio to 9.52%. The company’s return on equity is negative due to consistent net losses, posing risks to financial stability.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows challenges with no positive operating or free cash flow in the latest period. There is a complete absence of free cash flow growth, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, as operating activities are not generating positive cash. This could indicate severe liquidity issues.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	12.61B	23.26B	47.17B	41.62B	78.29B	71.08B
Gross Profit	-4.77B	-5.08B	-4.51B	-4.78B	17.11B	21.33B
EBITDA	-5.77B	-6.44B	-5.40B	-5.82B	13.51B	18.02B
Net Income	-6.54B	-6.30B	-8.93B	-8.52B	9.98B	13.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	207.22B	212.59B	248.38B	278.32B	285.90B	243.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	8.95B	8.65B	13.17B	14.10B	37.11B	41.04B
Total Debt	104.71B	106.60B	89.90B	77.76B	80.76B	73.70B
Total Liabilities	183.70B	187.78B	215.65B	226.45B	218.13B	182.84B
Stockholders Equity	19.13B	20.24B	27.48B	36.78B	47.89B	42.40B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.27B	204.85M	7.12B	-12.00B	4.53B	1.16B
Operating Cash Flow	1.28B	210.37M	7.19B	-11.86B	4.75B	1.23B
Investing Cash Flow	865.45M	1.05B	4.34B	29.05B	-32.98B	-273.74M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.84B	-4.78B	-13.05B	-30.74B	12.62B	1.69B

Logan Property Holdings Co Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 1.67
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3380, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.54, above the 50-day MA of 1.51, and above the 200-day MA of 1.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:3380.

Logan Property Holdings Co Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	65 Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%
3380	52 Neutral	HK$9.44B	-1.30	-32.71%	―	-72.07%	23.46%
0272	52 Neutral	HK$5.53B	32.24	0.42%	13.43%	41.24%	-39.89%
0119	49 Neutral	HK$6.95B	413.64	0.04%	1.14%	22.28%	-98.68%
0535	46 Neutral	HK$2.87B	-0.78	-18.32%	0.62%	-10.67%	-41.50%
0173	46 Neutral	HK$6.65B	22.54	0.73%	3.32%	66.68%	-38.14%
0588	45 Neutral	HK$5.49B	-0.60	-41.74%	―	-44.25%	-406.20%

Logan Property Holdings Co Corporate Events

Logan Group Makes Significant Progress in Debt Restructuring

Logan Group Company Limited has announced significant progress in its onshore debt restructuring plan, involving a total bond nominal value of RMB13.66 billion. This restructuring, which includes various options such as cash repurchase and asset-for-debt models, has surpassed 62% of the total outstanding principal of the onshore public bonds. The company aims to continue implementing further restructuring options to resolve its debt issues and gradually resume normal operations.

Logan Group Proposes Amendments to Capital Securities

Logan Group Company Limited has announced proposed amendments to its US$350,000,000 Subordinated Perpetual Capital Securities. The company is seeking consent from security holders to approve a written resolution that will allow the issuer to redeem the securities in whole at 100% of the outstanding principal amount, paid in ordinary shares, contingent upon the restructuring of offshore debts within a specified timeframe.

Logan Group Achieves Key Milestone in Debt Restructuring

Logan Group Company Limited has announced significant progress in its holistic debt restructuring efforts, with over 80% of its offshore creditors agreeing to the Amended Holistic CSA. This development marks a crucial step in the company’s restructuring plan, aiming to protect creditors’ interests and stabilize its financial position.

Logan Group Announces Key Amendments to Restructuring Proposal

Logan Group Company Limited has announced significant amendments to its Holistic Restructuring Proposal, which are expected to benefit its Offshore Creditors and stakeholders. The amendments include the introduction of ‘Asset Trust’ Options to protect creditor interests and potentially enhance recovery, as well as an upsized MCB Option to accommodate more creditor equitisation needs.