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MGM China Holdings
(2282)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
HK$10.50
▼(-8.93% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/03/26
The score is driven primarily by improved profitability and strong free cash flow, tempered by significant balance-sheet leverage and the sharp 2025 revenue decline. Valuation is a clear positive (low P/E and high dividend yield), while technical signals are mixed with only moderate momentum.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow across 2023–2025, with 2025 FCF up ~20% and FCF roughly 82% of net income. Durable cash generation supports debt servicing, dividend capacity and necessary capex, giving the business lasting liquidity to navigate cyclical demand.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
Very elevated debt and a stretched capital structure limit financial flexibility. High leverage increases refinancing, interest and covenant risks and reduces the firm’s ability to absorb operational shocks, making durable recovery and investment programs more contingent on steady cash flows.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow across 2023–2025, with 2025 FCF up ~20% and FCF roughly 82% of net income. Durable cash generation supports debt servicing, dividend capacity and necessary capex, giving the business lasting liquidity to navigate cyclical demand.
Read all positive factors
MGM China Holdings (2282) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$37.66B
Dividend Yield5.73%
Average Volume (3M)7.48M
Price to Earnings (P/E)7.6
Beta (1Y)0.70
Revenue Growth10.97%
EPS Growth10.35%
CountryHK
Employees13,327
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryGambling, Resorts & Casinos
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.34
Shares Outstanding3,800,038,000
10 Day Avg. Volume8,615,955
30 Day Avg. Volume7,480,770
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.91
Price to Book (P/B)15.42
Price to Sales (P/S)1.44
P/FCF Ratio6.98
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
HK$16.08Price Target Upside39.49% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering6
EPS Forecast (FY)1.27
Revenue Forecast (FY)HK$36.14B
MGM China Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
MGM China Holdings Limited functions as an investment holding firm dedicated to the development, ownership, and management of gaming and hospitality complexes throughout the Greater China region. The company's core activities encompass the operati...
How the Company Makes Money
MGM China primarily makes money by operating integrated resorts in Macau, generating revenue from a mix of casino gaming and non-gaming hospitality activities. (1) Casino gaming is the core revenue driver: the company earns gaming revenue from cus...
MGM China Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
71
Positive
Balance Sheet
39
Negative
Cash Flow
76
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 34.79B | 31.39B | 24.68B | 5.27B | 9.41B |
| Gross Profit | 27.84B | 11.87B | 19.67B | -419.99M | 1.58B |
| EBITDA | 8.76B | 8.17B | 6.45B | -1.52B | -287.02M |
| Net Income | 5.07B | 4.60B | 2.64B | -5.23B | -3.85B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 29.67B | 30.60B | 29.18B | 31.21B | 28.44B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 4.40B | 5.32B | 4.23B | 6.71B | 3.11B |
| Total Debt | 19.17B | 23.15B | 24.30B | 32.92B | 24.15B |
| Total Liabilities | 26.43B | 30.08B | 30.51B | 35.21B | 27.24B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.25B | 527.53M | -1.33B | -4.00B | 1.20B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 7.17B | 5.52B | 7.91B | -2.41B | -977.32M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 8.74B | 6.72B | 8.27B | -2.11B | -449.61M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.64B | -1.52B | -124.64M | -1.32B | -518.49M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -8.09B | -5.66B | -10.62B | 7.04B | 1.44B |
MGM China Holdings Technical Analysis
Negative
11.53
Price Trends
10.73
Negative
11.31
Negative
12.97
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.22
Positive
38.63
Neutral
25.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2282, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.62, above the 50-day MA of 10.73, and below the 200-day MA of 12.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:2282.
MGM China Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | HK$127.81B | 12.22 | 13.12% | 3.06% | 9.63% | 21.77% | |
63 Neutral | HK$37.66B | 7.55 | 194.66% | 5.73% | 10.97% | 10.35% | |
62 Neutral | HK$7.08B | 6.30 | 73.50% | ― | 12.09% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
56 Neutral | HK$26.22B | 16.14 | -11.87% | 5.92% | -1.98% | -49.13% | |
52 Neutral | HK$104.40B | 15.33 | 71.09% | 2.39% | 4.17% | -14.33% | |
43 Neutral | HK$10.30B | -24.13 | -3.22% | ― | -3.01% | -15200.00% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
HK:2282
MGM China Holdings
10.12
-2.09
-17.12%
HK:0880
SJM Holdings
1.46
-1.07
-42.29%
HK:0200
Melco International
3.15
-0.89
-22.03%
HK:0027
Galaxy Entertainment Group
29.82
-3.60
-10.77%
HK:1928
Sands China
13.31
-2.32
-14.83%
HK:1128
Wynn Macau
5.07
>-0.01
-0.02%
MGM China Holdings Corporate Events
MGM China Shareholders Back All AGM Resolutions, Approve Dividend and Capital Mandates
May 14, 2026
MGM China Holdings reported that shareholders approved all resolutions at its annual general meeting held on May 14, 2026, including the receipt of the 2025 audited financial statements and the declaration of a final dividend of HK$0.353 per share...
MGM China to Issue US$750 Million in Senior Notes for Debt Refinancing
May 6, 2026
MGM China Holdings has entered into a purchase agreement to issue US$750 million of 6.250% senior notes due May 15, 2033, with Deutsche Bank AG, Singapore Branch and J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited acting as representatives of the in...
MGM China Plans US Dollar Senior Notes to Refinance Credit Facility
May 5, 2026
MGM China Holdings plans an international offering of U.S. dollar-denominated senior notes to professional investors, with Deutsche Bank AG, Singapore Branch and J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited acting as joint global coordinators. Th...
MGM China warns on non-comparability of Q1 figures in MGM Resorts filing
Apr 29, 2026
MGM China Holdings has disclosed that its controlling shareholder, MGM Resorts International, has released unaudited first-quarter 2026 financial results in the United States that include financial information about the Macau-based group. The comp...
MGM China Flags Parent MGM Resorts’ Q1 Filing, Urges Investor Caution on Unaudited Data
Apr 29, 2026
MGM China Holdings announced that its controlling shareholder, MGM Resorts International, has filed its unaudited Form 10-Q quarterly report for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The filing i...
MGM China Sets 2026 AGM to Approve Dividend, Board Mandates and Share Issuance Authority
Mar 30, 2026
MGM China Holdings has called its annual general meeting for May 14, 2026, at MGM Cotai in Macau, where shareholders will review the audited financial statements and director and auditor reports for the year ended December 31, 2025. The board is a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.