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MGM China Holdings Limited (HK:2282)
:2282
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MGM China Holdings (2282) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:2282

MGM China Holdings

(2282)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
HK$12.50
â–˛(8.41% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/03/26
The score is driven primarily by improved profitability and strong free cash flow, tempered by significant balance-sheet leverage and the sharp 2025 revenue decline. Valuation is a clear positive (low P/E and high dividend yield), while technical signals are mixed with only moderate momentum.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Consistently positive FCF through 2023–2025, with 2025 FCF rising ~20% and FCF ~82% of net income, indicates strong cash conversion capacity. This durable cash generation supports debt repayment, dividends and reinvestment, improving financial flexibility over the medium term.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Elevated debt (~HKD19.2B) and a ~5.9 debt-to-equity ratio materially constrain financial flexibility. High leverage increases interest and refinancing risk, limiting runway for discretionary investment or sustained dividend policy if operating conditions deteriorate over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow generation
Consistently positive FCF through 2023–2025, with 2025 FCF rising ~20% and FCF ~82% of net income, indicates strong cash conversion capacity. This durable cash generation supports debt repayment, dividends and reinvestment, improving financial flexibility over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

MGM China Holdings (2282) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

MGM China Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
MGM China Holdings Limited functions as an investment holding firm dedicated to the development, ownership, and management of gaming and hospitality complexes throughout the Greater China region. The company's core activities encompass the operati...
How the Company Makes Money
MGM China primarily makes money by operating integrated resorts in Macau, generating revenue from a mix of casino gaming and non-gaming hospitality activities. (1) Casino gaming is the core revenue driver: the company earns gaming revenue from cus...

MGM China Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance and cash generation are strong (return to solid profitability with healthy TTM margins; positive 2023–2025 free cash flow with good conversion), but the balance sheet is a major constraint (high leverage, previously negative/thin equity, and limited cushion). The sharp 2025 revenue decline is an additional risk despite margin strength.
Income Statement
71
Positive
Balance Sheet
39
Negative
Cash Flow
76
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue34.79B31.39B24.68B5.27B9.41B
Gross Profit27.84B11.87B19.67B-419.99M1.58B
EBITDA8.76B8.17B6.45B-1.52B-287.02M
Net Income5.07B4.60B2.64B-5.23B-3.85B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.67B30.60B29.18B31.21B28.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.40B5.32B4.23B6.71B3.11B
Total Debt19.17B23.15B24.30B32.92B24.15B
Total Liabilities26.43B30.08B30.51B35.21B27.24B
Stockholders Equity3.25B527.53M-1.33B-4.00B1.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.17B5.52B7.91B-2.41B-977.32M
Operating Cash Flow8.74B6.72B8.27B-2.11B-449.61M
Investing Cash Flow-1.64B-1.52B-124.64M-1.32B-518.49M
Financing Cash Flow-8.09B-5.66B-10.62B7.04B1.44B

MGM China Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price11.53
Price Trends
50DMA
10.87
Positive
100DMA
11.58
Negative
200DMA
13.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Negative
RSI
60.13
Neutral
STOCH
80.56
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2282, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.80, above the 50-day MA of 10.87, and below the 200-day MA of 13.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.56 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:2282.

MGM China Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
HK$134.99B12.6413.12%3.06%9.63%21.77%
63
Neutral
HK$40.62B8.05194.66%5.73%10.97%10.35%
62
Neutral
HK$8.56B7.7973.50%―12.09%―
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
HK$29.17B17.79-11.87%5.92%-1.98%-49.13%
52
Neutral
HK$119.94B17.0871.16%2.39%4.17%-14.33%
43
Neutral
HK$12.64B-29.47-3.22%―-3.01%-15200.00%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:2282
MGM China Holdings
10.69
0.39
3.84%
HK:0880
SJM Holdings
1.78
-0.62
-25.83%
HK:0200
Melco International
3.77
0.46
13.90%
HK:0027
Galaxy Entertainment Group
30.84
-1.62
-4.99%
HK:1928
Sands China
14.82
-0.23
-1.55%
HK:1128
Wynn Macau
5.54
0.66
13.43%

MGM China Holdings Corporate Events

MGM China Shareholders Back All AGM Resolutions, Approve Dividend and Capital Mandates
May 14, 2026
MGM China Holdings reported that shareholders approved all resolutions at its annual general meeting held on May 14, 2026, including the receipt of the 2025 audited financial statements and the declaration of a final dividend of HK$0.353 per share...
MGM China to Issue US$750 Million in Senior Notes for Debt Refinancing
May 6, 2026
MGM China Holdings has entered into a purchase agreement to issue US$750 million of 6.250% senior notes due May 15, 2033, with Deutsche Bank AG, Singapore Branch and J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited acting as representatives of the in...
MGM China Plans US Dollar Senior Notes to Refinance Credit Facility
May 5, 2026
MGM China Holdings plans an international offering of U.S. dollar-denominated senior notes to professional investors, with Deutsche Bank AG, Singapore Branch and J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited acting as joint global coordinators. Th...
MGM China warns on non-comparability of Q1 figures in MGM Resorts filing
Apr 29, 2026
MGM China Holdings has disclosed that its controlling shareholder, MGM Resorts International, has released unaudited first-quarter 2026 financial results in the United States that include financial information about the Macau-based group. The comp...
MGM China Flags Parent MGM Resorts’ Q1 Filing, Urges Investor Caution on Unaudited Data
Apr 29, 2026
MGM China Holdings announced that its controlling shareholder, MGM Resorts International, has filed its unaudited Form 10-Q quarterly report for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The filing i...
MGM China Sets 2026 AGM to Approve Dividend, Board Mandates and Share Issuance Authority
Mar 30, 2026
MGM China Holdings has called its annual general meeting for May 14, 2026, at MGM Cotai in Macau, where shareholders will review the audited financial statements and director and auditor reports for the year ended December 31, 2025. The board is a...
MGM China Tightens Audit Committee Mandate and Governance Standards
Mar 19, 2026
MGM China Holdings has updated the terms of reference for its Audit Committee to strengthen oversight of risk management, internal controls and financial reporting across the group. The committee is tasked with ensuring the integrity of financial ...
MGM China Refines Board Nomination and ESG Committee Mandate
Mar 19, 2026
MGM China Holdings has updated the terms of reference for its Nomination, Environmental, Social and Governance Committee to refine how it oversees board composition and ESG matters. The committee is tasked with annually reviewing the structure, si...
MGM China Lifts 2025 Profit and Declares Higher Shareholder Payouts
Mar 19, 2026
MGM China reported solid growth for the year ended December 31, 2025, with casino revenue rising to HK$30.47 billion and total operating revenue reaching HK$34.79 billion. Profit attributable to shareholders increased to HK$5.07 billion, lifting b...
MGM China Declares HK$0.353 Final Dividend for 2025
Mar 19, 2026
MGM China Holdings Limited has declared a final ordinary cash dividend of HKD 0.353 per share for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, with payment scheduled for 3 June 2026. The dividend, subject to shareholder approval on 14 May 2026, refl...
MGM China Sets March 2026 Board Meeting to Approve 2025 Results and Consider Dividend
Mar 9, 2026
MGM China Holdings Limited has scheduled a board meeting for March 19, 2026 to review and approve its annual results for the financial year ended December 31, 2025. At the same meeting, the board will also consider recommending a final dividend, i...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 03, 2026