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SJM Holdings (HK:0880)
:0880

SJM Holdings (0880) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0880

SJM Holdings

(0880)

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Neutral 40 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:40Neutral
Price Target:
HK$2.50
▲(4.17% Upside)
SJM Holdings is facing significant financial challenges despite a strong revenue recovery. The high leverage and lack of profitability are major concerns, compounded by poor valuation metrics. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, though the stock is nearing oversold conditions.
Positive Factors
Post-pandemic revenue recovery
A ~119% revenue rebound signals structural demand recovery in Macau and restored resort utilization. A larger revenue base improves fixed-cost absorption, supports scale economics and creates a platform for durable revenue generation if visitation stays resilient over the coming quarters.
Integrated resort business model
Operating integrated resorts diversifies income beyond gaming into hotels, F&B and retail, supporting more stable cash flow mix. Ancillary revenues enhance customer lifetime value and cross-sell opportunities, strengthening long-term resilience versus single-product gaming operators.
Improving operating margins
Margin improvement to mid-single-digit EBIT and double-digit EBITDA indicates operational progress and cost leverage as volumes recover. Sustained margin expansion would enhance free cash generation capacity and ability to reinvest or reduce leverage over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
High financial leverage
A near-2.0 debt-to-equity ratio constrains financial flexibility and raises interest and refinancing risk. In a capital-intensive resort business, elevated leverage increases vulnerability to visitation swings or regulatory shifts and limits capacity for strategic capex or acquisitions.
Absent operating and free cash flow in 2024
No operating or free cash flow in the latest year indicates weak internal funding for debt service, capex and working capital. Persistent negative cash generation forces reliance on external financing or asset sales, raising medium-term liquidity and solvency risk.
Very low ROE and near-zero net margins
ROE near zero and minimal net margins imply the business currently delivers little return to shareholders despite higher revenue. This weak profitability limits retained earnings to rebuild equity, hampering long-term capital formation and shareholder value creation if not improved.

SJM Holdings (0880) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

SJM Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSJM Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, owns, develops, and operates casinos and related facilities in Macau, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Gaming Operations; and Hotel, Catering, Retail and Leasing Operations. The Gaming Operations segment engages in the VIP gaming, mass market table gaming, slot machine, and other gaming operations. The Hotel, Catering, Retail, and Leasing Operations segment operates a hotel; and offers catering, retail, leasing and related activities. SJM Holdings Limited also provides marketing and promotion, property development, casino operations management, dredging, gaming promotion, human resources and project management, food and beverage, treasury, and hospitality services. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. SJM Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Sociedade de Turismo e Diversões de Macau, S.A.
How the Company Makes MoneySJM Holdings generates revenue primarily through its gaming operations, which include table games, slot machines, and electronic gaming. A significant portion of its earnings comes from the high-stakes gaming market, attracting VIP customers who contribute substantially to the company's overall revenue. The company also benefits from mass market gaming and non-gaming revenue streams, including hotel accommodations, dining, and entertainment services offered at its resorts. Strategic partnerships with other companies in the hospitality and tourism sectors, as well as the management of its gaming licenses in Macau, further enhance its revenue potential. Additionally, SJM Holdings is positioned to capitalize on the increasing tourism to Macau, particularly from mainland China, which plays a crucial role in driving customer traffic and revenue growth.

SJM Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SJM Holdings is experiencing a strong revenue recovery post-pandemic, but profitability remains weak with net profit margins close to zero. High leverage and low equity returns pose financial risks, and the absence of operating and free cash flow in 2024 indicates potential liquidity issues.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
SJM Holdings has shown a significant recovery in revenue, with a growth rate of approximately 119% from 2023 to 2024, indicating strong revenue recovery post-pandemic. However, profitability remains a concern as the net profit margin is close to zero in 2024, reflecting minimal net income relative to revenue. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved to 6.2% and 12.2% respectively, yet still show room for strengthening profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 1.97, indicating a high level of leverage which could pose financial risks if not managed properly. The equity ratio is 28.6%, suggesting a moderate reliance on equity financing. Return on Equity is low at 0.02%, highlighting minimal returns for shareholders despite improved revenues.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The absence of operating and free cash flow in 2024 is concerning, indicating potential liquidity issues. However, previous years showed positive free cash flow, which suggests that cash flow management needs attention. The lack of recent cash flow data limits further analysis, highlighting the need for improved cash management strategies.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.61B17.24B13.14B4.00B5.89B4.14B
Gross Profit16.90B16.50B12.50B3.60B5.55B3.93B
EBITDA3.37B3.92B1.93B-4.77B-2.58B-2.14B
Net Income-16.60M3.20M-2.01B-7.80B-4.14B-3.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets48.94B48.72B49.74B52.65B49.91B52.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.37B2.21B3.54B6.86B3.20B6.13B
Total Debt28.23B27.46B29.09B32.77B23.86B20.24B
Total Liabilities34.92B34.55B35.65B36.63B29.50B28.08B
Stockholders Equity13.73B13.92B13.36B16.00B20.34B24.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-10.70M2.30B2.11B-5.29B-5.99B-10.94B
Operating Cash Flow2.05B4.06B3.80B-4.22B-4.54B-7.49B
Investing Cash Flow-2.22B-1.41B-1.27B-2.02B-787.70M2.54B
Financing Cash Flow-972.40M-3.74B-5.71B9.49B3.04B1.52B

SJM Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.40
Price Trends
50DMA
2.49
Negative
100DMA
2.73
Negative
200DMA
2.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
46.32
Neutral
STOCH
61.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0880, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.38, below the 50-day MA of 2.49, and below the 200-day MA of 2.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0880.

SJM Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
HK$47.50B11.04452.88%5.73%5.59%-4.38%
72
Outperform
HK$174.21B18.1112.59%3.06%4.94%15.38%
72
Outperform
HK$137.83B19.30111.35%2.39%-3.13%-13.65%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
HK$30.44B16.475.92%-4.41%-31.45%
45
Neutral
HK$9.60B-48.90-28.54%13.18%86.18%
40
Neutral
$17.04B-1,043.48-0.13%12.29%98.20%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0880
SJM Holdings
2.40
0.02
0.84%
HK:0200
Melco International
4.23
1.15
37.34%
HK:2282
MGM China Holdings
12.50
2.31
22.66%
HK:0027
Galaxy Entertainment Group
39.80
9.51
31.40%
HK:1928
Sands China
17.03
0.22
1.30%
HK:1128
Wynn Macau
5.79
0.60
11.50%

SJM Holdings Corporate Events

SJM Holdings Completes US$540 Million Senior Notes Issue for Debt Refinancing
Jan 15, 2026

SJM International Limited, guaranteed by SJM Holdings Limited, has completed the issuance of US$540 million 6.500% senior notes due 2031, which will be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The notes, priced at par and carrying semi-annual interest payments from July 2026, will provide the group with funds earmarked for refinancing existing indebtedness and for general corporate purposes, underscoring the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its debt profile and secure longer-term financing in support of its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0880) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SJM Holdings stock, see the HK:0880 Stock Forecast page.

SJM Holdings Buys Back US$170 Million of 2026 Senior Notes
Jan 13, 2026

SJM Holdings, through its British Virgin Islands subsidiary Champion Path Holdings Limited, has completed a cash tender offer for part of its 4.500% senior notes due 2026, a move that forms part of its broader capital management in the competitive Macau gaming and hospitality sector. The issuer accepted for purchase all notes validly tendered by the 12 January 2026 deadline, totalling US$170.1 million in principal, with accrued interest of US$21.125 per US$1,000 principal to be paid on or about 16 January 2026; following cancellation of the repurchased notes, US$329.9 million in principal will remain outstanding, effectively reducing the group’s debt load and adjusting its near-term refinancing profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0880) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SJM Holdings stock, see the HK:0880 Stock Forecast page.

SJM Holdings to Issue US$540 Million in 2031 Senior Notes to Refinance Debt
Jan 9, 2026

SJM Holdings, through wholly owned subsidiary SJM International Limited, has agreed to issue US$540 million of 6.500% senior notes due 2031, with the company seeking to list the notes on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The net proceeds will be used to refinance existing debt and for general corporate purposes, a move the board says will extend the group’s debt maturity profile and improve financial flexibility. The notes will include a change-of-control clause giving investors the right to require a repurchase if certain ownership conditions are triggered, and a subsidiary of controlling shareholder STDM has agreed to subscribe to part of the issue, rendering that portion a connected transaction under Hong Kong listing rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0880) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SJM Holdings stock, see the HK:0880 Stock Forecast page.

SJM Holdings Plans Dollar Senior Notes to Refinance Debt and Bolster Flexibility
Jan 5, 2026

SJM International Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of SJM Holdings, plans an international offering of U.S. dollar-denominated senior notes to be sold exclusively to non-U.S. investors under Regulation S, with the notes irrevocably and unconditionally guaranteed by the parent company. The size and terms of the issue will be set via bookbuilding led by a syndicate of global and regional banks, and the proceeds, if the transaction completes, are earmarked for refinancing existing debt and general corporate purposes, a move the board says will extend the group’s debt maturity profile and strengthen its financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0880) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SJM Holdings stock, see the HK:0880 Stock Forecast page.

SJM Holdings Launches Tender Offer to Redeem US$500 Million 2026 Notes as Part of Debt Refinancing
Jan 5, 2026

SJM Holdings, through its British Virgin Islands subsidiary Champion Path Holdings Limited, has launched a cash tender offer to repurchase any and all of its outstanding US$500 million 4.500% senior notes due January 2026 at par value. The move forms part of a broader refinancing strategy for the group’s existing indebtedness and is conditional on the successful completion of a concurrent offering of new senior notes by another wholly owned subsidiary, SJM International Limited, also guaranteed by SJM Holdings. By retiring the 2026 notes via the tender offer and raising fresh funds through the new issuance, the company aims to optimize its debt profile and manage upcoming maturities, potentially improving its balance sheet flexibility and funding costs ahead of the 2026 deadline.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0880) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SJM Holdings stock, see the HK:0880 Stock Forecast page.

SJM Holdings Completes Acquisition of L’Arc Hotel Owner and Assumes Direct Casino Operations
Dec 28, 2025

SJM Holdings has completed the acquisition of Arc of Triumph Development Company Limited, the owner of L’Arc Hotel in Macau’s NAPE district, making the target group companies wholly owned subsidiaries of SJM Resorts. Following regulatory approval from Macau’s gaming authority, SJM Resorts has taken over direct operation of L’Arc Hotel’s accommodation, food and beverage, retail offerings and Casino L’Arc Macau, securing a prime position in one of the city’s most commercially productive entertainment areas, which the company expects will strengthen its Lisboa-branded network, improve customer circulation on the Macau Peninsula and support Macau’s broader goals as a global tourism and leisure centre.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0880) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SJM Holdings stock, see the HK:0880 Stock Forecast page.

SJM Holdings Expands with New Acquisition and Loan Agreement Approval
Dec 15, 2025

SJM Holdings Limited announced the successful passing of a resolution at its Extraordinary General Meeting held on December 15, 2025. The resolution involved the approval of an acquisition agreement for Arc of Triumph Development Company Limited and related entities, as well as a loan agreement with Ms. Leong On Kei. This development is significant for SJM Holdings as it expands their portfolio in the hospitality sector and strengthens their market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0880) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SJM Holdings stock, see the HK:0880 Stock Forecast page.

SJM Holdings to Discuss Strategic Acquisition at Upcoming EGM
Nov 27, 2025

SJM Holdings Limited has announced an extraordinary general meeting scheduled for December 15, 2025, to seek approval for an acquisition agreement involving the purchase of Arc of Triumph Development Company Limited and related entities. This strategic move, along with a loan agreement, aims to strengthen SJM’s market position and enhance its operational capabilities in the competitive gaming and hospitality sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0880) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SJM Holdings stock, see the HK:0880 Stock Forecast page.

SJM Holdings Announces EGM for Key Acquisition and Loan Agreement
Nov 25, 2025

SJM Holdings Limited, a prominent entity in the casino and entertainment industry, has announced an extraordinary general meeting to discuss significant transactions, including the acquisition of Arc of Triumph Development Company Limited and a related loan agreement. The meeting, scheduled for December 15, 2025, will determine shareholder eligibility and voting rights, with the register of members closed from December 10 to December 15, 2025. This move is expected to impact the company’s strategic positioning and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0880) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SJM Holdings stock, see the HK:0880 Stock Forecast page.

SJM Holdings Prepares for Strategic Acquisition and Loan Agreement Approval
Nov 25, 2025

SJM Holdings Limited has announced the closure of its register of members in preparation for an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) scheduled for December 15, 2025. During this meeting, shareholders will consider approving the acquisition of Arc of Triumph Development Company Limited and a related loan agreement. The register will be closed from December 10 to December 15, 2025, to determine shareholder eligibility to vote at the EGM. This strategic move is expected to impact the company’s operations by potentially expanding its development portfolio and financial agreements.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0880) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SJM Holdings stock, see the HK:0880 Stock Forecast page.

SJM Holdings Announces Strategic Acquisition and Service Agreement Termination
Nov 20, 2025

SJM Holdings has announced a series of transactions involving the acquisition of the entire issued share capital of Arc of Triumph Development Company Limited. The acquisition involves a purchase price of MOP180,000 and the repayment of an ICBC Loan amounting to HK$1,749,825,243. Additionally, a Loan Agreement will be entered into for HK$177,525,000 to finance part of the repayment. The transactions also include the termination of the L’Arc Services Agreement, which will cease operations at Casino L’Arc Macau as a satellite casino by the end of 2025, impacting the service fee arrangements with L’Arc Entertainment.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0880) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SJM Holdings stock, see the HK:0880 Stock Forecast page.

SJM Holdings Reports Decline in Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Nov 12, 2025

SJM Holdings Limited reported a decline in key financial metrics for the third quarter and the first nine months of 2025 compared to the previous year. The company’s net gaming revenue and adjusted EBITDA showed a decrease, with a notable drop in profit attributable to owners. The Grand Lisboa Palace Resort and Grand Lisboa properties also experienced reduced revenues and adjusted property EBITDA. The company maintains significant cash reserves and banking facilities, which may provide some financial flexibility moving forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0880) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on SJM Holdings stock, see the HK:0880 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025