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Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H (HK:1618)
FRANKFURT:1618

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H (1618) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1618

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H

(Frankfurt:1618)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
HK$2.00
▼(-18.37% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weakening financial performance (declining revenue, margin compression, higher leverage, and negative operating cash flow). Technicals also reflect a bearish trend and weak momentum. Valuation (low P/E and moderate dividend yield) provides some support but does not outweigh the elevated financial and trend risks.
Positive Factors
Scale & Market Position
The company’s leading position in metallurgical engineering and construction gives it scale, deep technical capabilities, and credibility to win large EPC contracts. This durable competitive position supports long-term project pipeline, negotiating leverage with suppliers, and entry into adjacent infrastructure work.
Diversified Business Lines
Revenue exposure across metallurgical projects, infrastructure, environmental protection, real estate and equipment manufacturing reduces dependence on any single cycle. This structural diversification helps smooth revenues over commodity or steel cycles and supports cross-selling of engineering and equipment services over the medium term.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Reported free cash flow is positive and increased versus the prior period, providing internally generated funds for capex, debt service, and selective investments. Persistent positive FCF improves financial flexibility and supports execution even if operating cash flow shows volatility.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The shift from multi-year growth to declining revenue signals weakening demand or loss of project momentum. Sustained revenue contraction reduces operating leverage, pressure on backlog replenishment, and long-run profitability unless new contract wins or market tailwinds reverse the trend.
Margin Compression
Material margin erosion to sub-1% net margin limits ability to absorb cost inflation and reduces retained earnings for reinvestment. Persistent thin margins constrain returns even if revenue stabilizes, weakening resilience to competitive pressures and reducing long-term capital allocation flexibility.
Elevated Leverage & Weakened Balance Sheet
Leverage has jumped sharply, nearly tripling historic ranges while ROE has fallen. Higher debt reduces liquidity cushions and increases refinancing and covenant risk, particularly problematic given negative operating cash flow. This narrows strategic flexibility over the medium term.

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H (1618) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMetallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H (1618) is a leading Chinese engineering and construction firm primarily engaged in the metallurgical industry, including the design, construction, and operation of metallurgical and mining projects. The company operates in various sectors such as infrastructure, environmental protection, and real estate, providing services ranging from project management to equipment manufacturing. Its core products include steelmaking technologies, mining equipment, and comprehensive engineering solutions for metallurgical projects.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe company generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by undertaking large-scale engineering and construction projects for the metallurgical and mining sectors. Key revenue sources include contracts for the construction of steel plants, mining operations, and related infrastructure. Metallurgical Corporation of China also earns income from the sale of metallurgical equipment and technology services. Additionally, the company may benefit from strategic partnerships with state-owned enterprises and investment in joint ventures, enhancing its project capabilities and expanding its market reach. Factors such as government infrastructure spending and demand for raw materials also play a significant role in driving the company's earnings.

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company shows robust financial health with consistent revenue growth and stable profit margins. However, fluctuating operational efficiency and increasing debt are concerns.
Income Statement
The company has demonstrated a consistent increase in revenue over the years, though there was a decline from 2023 to 2024. Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin are stable, indicating effective cost management. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have been fluctuating, suggesting some volatility in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a reasonable Debt-to-Equity ratio, though there is a noticeable increase in total debt over time. The Return on Equity is commendable, showing the company’s ability to generate returns on investments.
Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow has been positive, but Free Cash Flow showed a declining trend, indicating increased capital expenditures. Despite this, the company maintains the ability to generate cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue483.54B552.02B633.87B592.67B500.57B400.11B
Gross Profit50.54B53.48B61.41B57.15B53.14B45.43B
EBITDA11.32B17.01B20.34B21.88B19.61B17.96B
Net Income3.97B6.75B8.67B10.28B11.61B7.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets954.19B808.02B661.60B585.38B543.47B506.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.32B52.56B44.44B45.66B41.83B55.35B
Total Debt220.36B78.59B66.19B62.88B60.54B68.15B
Total Liabilities807.48B625.68B493.61B423.48B392.08B366.04B
Stockholders Equity114.12B153.04B145.48B121.11B107.49B97.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.55B985.05M1.30B13.84B14.09B24.29B
Operating Cash Flow-19.53B7.85B5.89B18.15B17.64B28.03B
Investing Cash Flow-8.00B-9.58B-6.72B-6.56B-12.57B-12.29B
Financing Cash Flow6.60B11.06B1.16B-9.67B-16.24B-5.31B

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.45
Price Trends
50DMA
2.09
Negative
100DMA
2.27
Negative
200DMA
1.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
41.18
Neutral
STOCH
39.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1618, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.87, above the 50-day MA of 2.09, and above the 200-day MA of 1.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1618.

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
HK$32.03B12.098.27%5.31%11.89%8.49%
67
Neutral
HK$47.38B4.8513.70%6.69%-5.14%-4.05%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
HK$68.81B5.407.78%3.90%11.49%-7.01%
44
Neutral
HK$67.01B9.203.80%3.21%-18.36%-47.29%
44
Neutral
HK$18.44B81.993.35%-1.75%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1618
Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H
1.86
0.38
25.76%
HK:3311
China State Construction International Holdings
9.03
-2.36
-20.72%
HK:3996
China Energy Engineering Corp. Ltd. Class H
1.11
0.20
21.31%
HK:2386
SINOPEC Engineering (Group) Co., Ltd. Class H
7.51
1.61
27.20%
HK:2068
China Aluminum International Engineering Corporation Limited Class H
2.64
0.82
45.13%

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H Corporate Events

Metallurgical Corporation of China Clears Key Resolutions at 2025 Extraordinary General Meeting
Dec 29, 2025

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. reported that all resolutions at its first extraordinary general meeting of 2025, held in Beijing on 29 December, were duly passed by poll without amendment, with shareholders and proxies representing 66.35% of voting shares in attendance. Due to China Minmetals’ connected interests in a very substantial disposal of equity interests and related debt assignments, as well as connected guarantees, China Minmetals and its associate CMGC abstained from voting on two key resolutions, while no other shareholders were required to abstain, underscoring strong procedural compliance with PRC company law and Hong Kong listing rules and clearing the way for the approved transactions to proceed.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1618) stock is a Hold with a HK$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:1618 Stock Forecast page.

Metallurgical Corporation of China Calls 2026 EGM to Approve Major A and H Share Buyback Plans
Dec 24, 2025

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. has convened its first extraordinary general meeting of 2026 for 16 January in Beijing, where shareholders will vote on major share repurchase plans for both its A shares and H shares. The proposed A share repurchase plan covers the purpose, scale, funding, pricing, implementation period, and post-repurchase treatment of the shares, including cancellation or transfer and protections for creditors, signalling an effort to optimise capital structure and possibly support the company’s share price. In parallel, the board is seeking a general mandate to repurchase up to 10% of its issued H shares using internal funds, with broad authority to determine timing, price and quantity, handle regulatory procedures, adjust terms in line with changing policies or market conditions, and cancel repurchased shares with corresponding capital reduction and amendments to the Articles of Association, which, if approved, would enhance the company’s financial and capital management flexibility for Hong Kong investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1618) stock is a Hold with a HK$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:1618 Stock Forecast page.

Metallurgical Corporation of China Announces Share Repurchase Plans
Dec 17, 2025

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. has announced a voluntary share repurchase plan aimed at safeguarding shareholders’ interests, stabilizing its stock value, and enhancing investor confidence. The plan involves repurchasing a portion of its A Shares and H Shares, with allocated budgets of up to RMB 2 billion and RMB 500 million respectively, which will result in a reduction in the company’s registered share capital and reflect its intent to strengthen market confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1618) stock is a Hold with a HK$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:1618 Stock Forecast page.

Metallurgical Corporation of China Reports Contract Value Decline Amid Overseas Growth
Dec 15, 2025

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. announced that the value of its newly signed contracts from January to November 2025 amounted to RMB958.13 billion, marking an 8.6% decrease compared to the previous year. However, the value of newly signed overseas contracts increased slightly by 0.4% to RMB75 billion. Notable projects include urban renewal in Nanyang City and a green energy metallurgical casting project in Xinjiang, indicating a strategic focus on sustainable development and international expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1618) stock is a Hold with a HK$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:1618 Stock Forecast page.

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Announces Strategic Asset Restructuring
Dec 12, 2025

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. has announced the convening of its first extraordinary general meeting of 2025 to discuss significant transactions involving the disposal of equity interests and assignment of debts related to several subsidiaries. These transactions include agreements with Minmetals Land Holdings Co., Ltd. and China Minmetals Corporation, indicating a strategic restructuring of the company’s assets. The meeting will also address connected transactions concerning guarantees and changes in the use of share proceeds, reflecting a broader strategy to optimize financial and operational efficiencies.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1618) stock is a Hold with a HK$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:1618 Stock Forecast page.

Metallurgical Corporation of China Announces Major Asset Disposal
Dec 8, 2025

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. has announced a significant restructuring involving the sale of its equity interests in several subsidiaries, including MCC Real Estate and MCC-JJJ Mining, to China Minmetals and other entities for RMB60,676.3224 million. This transaction will result in these subsidiaries no longer being part of the company’s consolidated financial statements. The proposed disposals are classified as a very substantial disposal under Hong Kong’s Listing Rules, necessitating shareholder approval and compliance with reporting requirements. The move is expected to streamline the company’s operations and potentially alter its market positioning, with implications for stakeholders, including changes in the use of A and H Share proceeds.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1618) stock is a Hold with a HK$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:1618 Stock Forecast page.

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Reports Contract Performance for 2025
Nov 14, 2025

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. announced a total of RMB845.07 billion in newly signed contracts from January to October 2025, marking an 11.8% decrease compared to the previous year. However, the company saw a 7.3% increase in overseas contracts, totaling RMB71.16 billion. Notable contracts include significant projects in urban renovation and mining operations, highlighting the company’s continued focus on large-scale engineering and construction endeavors.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1618) stock is a Buy with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:1618 Stock Forecast page.

Metallurgical Corporation of China Reports Q3 2025 Contract Decline
Oct 30, 2025

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. reported a decline in the value of newly-signed contracts for the first three quarters of 2025, with a total of RMB760.67 billion, marking a 14.7% decrease year-on-year. Despite the overall downturn, the company maintained steady operations with no stalled major projects, indicating resilience in its business segments, particularly in metallurgical works and operation services, which saw a slight increase.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1618) stock is a Buy with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:1618 Stock Forecast page.

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Releases 2025 Q3 Report
Oct 30, 2025

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. has released its unaudited third quarterly report for 2025, prepared according to Chinese Accounting Standards. The report assures stakeholders of the accuracy and completeness of the financial information provided, although it remains unaudited. This announcement highlights the company’s commitment to transparency and accountability, potentially reinforcing stakeholder confidence in its operational integrity.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1618) stock is a Buy with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:1618 Stock Forecast page.

Metallurgical Corporation of China Schedules Board Meeting for Quarterly Results
Oct 17, 2025

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. has announced a board meeting scheduled for October 30, 2025, to discuss and approve the third quarterly results for the period ending September 30, 2025. This meeting is significant as it will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting stakeholders’ perceptions and the company’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1618) stock is a Buy with a HK$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:1618 Stock Forecast page.

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Reports Mixed Contract Performance in 2025
Oct 14, 2025

Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. reported a total value of RMB760.67 billion in newly signed contracts from January to September 2025, marking a 14.7% decrease compared to the previous year. However, the company’s overseas contracts saw a 10.1% increase, reaching RMB66.90 billion. Notable projects in September include significant engineering and construction contracts exceeding RMB1 billion, highlighting the company’s ongoing efforts to secure large-scale projects despite the overall decline in contract value.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1618) stock is a Buy with a HK$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:1618 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026