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Guming Holdings Ltd.
(1364)
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Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
HK$22.50
▼(-12.25% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:04/28/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (rapid growth and materially higher margins), partially offset by increased leverage and some cash-flow volatility. Technical indicators are the main drag, showing ongoing weakness and below-trend trading. Valuation is reasonable with a solid dividend yield, providing partial support.
Positive Factors
Margin expansion
Sustained, large margin expansion indicates materially improved unit economics and operating leverage across the restaurant portfolio. Higher EBIT and net margins provide durable cash generation capacity, pricing power or cost control that can support reinvestment and dividends over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Material increase in debt and debt-to-equity reduces financial flexibility and raises interest and refinancing risk. Elevated leverage can amplify downside in slower sales periods, constrain strategic options, and makes sustaining margin gains more sensitive to cash flow volatility and cost shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin expansion
Sustained, large margin expansion indicates materially improved unit economics and operating leverage across the restaurant portfolio. Higher EBIT and net margins provide durable cash generation capacity, pricing power or cost control that can support reinvestment and dividends over multiple years.
Read all positive factors
Guming Holdings Ltd. (1364) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$49.99B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)7.09M
Price to Earnings (P/E)19.8
Beta (1Y)>-0.01
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryHK
Employees2,694
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares Outstanding2,378,185,800
10 Day Avg. Volume9,953,534
30 Day Avg. Volume7,086,517
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.21
Price to Book (P/B)8.86
Price to Sales (P/S)4.10
P/FCF Ratio23.24
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
HK$33.30Price Target Upside29.88% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering5
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Guming Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Guming Holdings Limited functions as an investment holding company specializing in fresh beverage operations throughout the People's Republic of China. The firm manages a network of franchised tea shops under the "Good me" brand, in addition to it...
How the Company Makes Money
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Guming Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
73
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 8.01B | 12.58B | 8.79B | 7.68B | 5.56B | 4.38B |
| Gross Profit | 2.51B | 4.26B | 2.69B | 2.40B | 1.56B | 1.31B |
| EBITDA | 1.82B | 3.17B | 1.95B | 1.59B | 774.73M | 322.04M |
| Net Income | 2.00B | 3.03B | 1.48B | 1.08B | 366.62M | 20.14M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 10.67B | 16.66B | 6.87B | 5.15B | 3.03B | 2.04B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 5.13B | 12.15B | 3.18B | 2.63B | 1.18B | 393.49M |
| Total Debt | 1.74B | 6.52B | 3.36B | 194.19M | 2.93B | 127.53M |
| Total Liabilities | 4.31B | 10.81B | 4.76B | 4.54B | 3.85B | 3.25B |
| Stockholders Equity | 6.35B | 5.83B | 2.07B | 582.99M | -832.38M | -1.22B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.30B | 2.22B | 870.43M | 1.17B | 812.11M | 102.86M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.53B | 2.45B | 1.32B | 1.57B | 1.01B | 267.47M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -719.15M | -496.04M | -1.82B | -470.95M | -57.34M | -237.59M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 759.03M | 6.39B | 16.92M | 139.96M | 5.32M | -42.86M |
Guming Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
25.64
Price Trends
22.72
Positive
23.14
Positive
Market Momentum
0.51
Negative
65.32
Neutral
88.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1364, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.93, above the 50-day MA of 22.72, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1364.
Guming Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | HK$60.59B | 12.89 | 40.94% | 5.78% | 1.16% | -13.86% | |
65 Neutral | HK$49.99B | 19.78 | 38.80% | ― | ― | ― | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
56 Neutral | HK$5.50B | 22.43 | 7.43% | ― | 10.37% | -17.29% | |
55 Neutral | HK$2.95B | 17.66 | 6.13% | 6.90% | -4.50% | -29.15% | |
50 Neutral | HK$1.64B | 25.22 | 1.82% | 1.12% | -13.86% | 6.94% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
HK:1364
Guming Holdings Ltd.
21.02
-3.59
-14.59%
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10.87
-3.26
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9.34
-6.08
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Jiumaojiu International Holdings Ltd.
1.18
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-57.26%
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-1.41
-21.49%
Guming Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events
Guming Plans HK$1.96 Billion Zero-Coupon Convertible Bond Issue and Share Buyback
Jun 24, 2026
Guming Holdings Limited plans to issue HK$1.96 billion in zero-coupon guaranteed convertible bonds, with the company acting as guarantor and the bonds to be listed on the Vienna Stock Exchange. The bonds carry an initial conversion price of HK$23....
Guming Plans HKD Convertible Bond Issue for Professional Investors
Jun 23, 2026
Guming Holdings Limited plans to raise capital through an international offering of Hong Kong dollar-denominated guaranteed convertible bonds, to be issued by a wholly owned subsidiary and backed by the parent company. The bonds will be offered ex...
Guming Holdings Shareholders Approve All Resolutions at 2026 AGM, Endorse Dividend and Capital Mandates
Jun 22, 2026
Guming Holdings Limited reported that all resolutions at its June 22, 2026 annual general meeting were approved by shareholders via poll, including the adoption of the 2025 audited financial statements and the declaration of a final dividend of HK...
Guming clarifies public float status, eyes future flexibility under HKEX rules
Jun 4, 2026
Guming Holdings Limited is a Cayman Islands-incorporated company listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange under stock code 01364. The board comprises a mix of executive, non-executive and independent non-executive directors, reflecting a standard go...
Guming switches to alternative public float threshold to boost capital flexibility
Jun 3, 2026
Guming Holdings Limited has shifted its method of complying with Hong Kong’s minimum public float rules by moving from the Initial Prescribed Threshold to the Alternative Threshold permitted under updated Listing Rules. As of June 2, 2026, t...
Guming Holdings Sets 2026 AGM to Approve Dividend, Director Re-elections and Capital Mandates
Apr 24, 2026
Guming Holdings Limited has called its annual general meeting for June 22, 2026, in Hangzhou, where shareholders will review the audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2025, and consider a proposed final dividend...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.