ZTE (0763) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$195.54B
• Dividend Yield: 2.43%
• Average Volume (3M): 35.55M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 21.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.31
• Revenue Growth: 5.14%
• EPS Growth: -38.37%
• Country: HK
• Employees: 68,375
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Communication Equipment
• EPS (TTM): 0.07
• Shares Outstanding: 755,502,560
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 14,904,030
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 35,546,862
• PEG Ratio: -1.27
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.50
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.90
• P/FCF Ratio: 14.65
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 52 Neutral
• Price Target: HK$31.00 ▲(9.39% Upside)

The score is held back primarily by weaker financial quality in TTM (margin compression, higher leverage, and a sharp drop in operating cash flow). Technical indicators are mixed with negative MACD offset by neutral RSI and some support from moving averages. Valuation is reasonable with a modest dividend yield, but not compelling enough to outweigh the near-term financial headwinds.

Positive Factors

Diversified Revenue Streams

ZTE’s mix of network infrastructure, software/services and mobile devices creates multiple cash sources that smooth cycles in any single segment. Over 2–6 months this diversification supports steadier revenue, reduces single-market exposure, and aids resilience amid operator spending shifts.

Positive Free Cash Flow

Sustained positive free cash flow, even after weaker operating cash flow, provides a durable buffer to fund R&D, maintenance capex and partial debt service. This supports ongoing product development and network projects, preserving competitive capabilities over the medium term.

Stable Top-Line Growth

Modest but positive revenue growth indicates continued market demand for ZTE’s products and services. Over the next few months this stability underpins scale benefits, preserves customer relationships, and buys time for margin recovery initiatives and strategic investments.

Negative Factors

Sharp Margin Compression

Significant margin erosion signals structural pricing pressure or rising costs that impair profitability. If sustained, lower margins reduce internal funding for R&D and capex, weaken return on invested capital, and constrain ability to compete on technology over coming quarters.

Rising Leverage

Material increase in debt and D/E above 1.0 reduces financial flexibility and raises interest burden risk. Over a multi-month horizon higher leverage limits strategic choices, elevates refinancing risk if markets tighten, and constrains investment pacing for network rollout projects.

Weakened Operating Cash Flow

A sharp drop in operating cash flow undermines self-funding capacity for operations and investments. Persistently weak cash conversion can force reliance on external financing, delay R&D or capex, and exacerbate balance-sheet strain over the next several months if not reversed.

ZTE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ZTE Corporation provides integrated communication information solutions in the People's Republic of China, rest of Asia, Africa, Europe, the United States, and Oceania. It operates through three segments: Carriers' Networks, Government and Corporate Business, and Consumer Business. The Carriers' Network segment provides wireless access, wireline access, bearer networks, core networks, telecommunication software systems and services, and other innovative technologies and product solutions. The Consumer Business segment offers smart phones, mobile data terminals, home information terminals, and innovative fusion terminals, as well as related software application and value-added services. The Government and Corporate Business segment focuses on providing informatization solutions for the government and corporations through the application of products, such as communications networks, Internet of Things, big data, and cloud computing. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

How the Company Makes Money

ZTE generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling telecommunications equipment and providing network solutions to telecom operators and businesses. The company's revenue model includes the sale of hardware such as base stations, routers, and switches, as well as software and services related to network planning, deployment, and maintenance. Additionally, ZTE earns income from its mobile devices, including smartphones and tablets, which are sold in various markets. Significant partnerships with telecom operators and collaborations with government and enterprise clients further enhance its revenue, while ongoing investments in research and development help ZTE to innovate and adapt to the evolving telecommunications landscape.

ZTE Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has been relatively stable with modest TTM growth, but profitability weakened materially with sharp margin compression. Leverage increased (debt-to-equity moved above 1.0) and operating cash flow fell sharply versus 2024, reducing financial flexibility despite still-positive net income and free cash flow.

Income Statement

Revenue has been relatively stable with modest growth in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (+3.14%) after a small decline in 2024, but profitability has weakened materially. TTM margins compressed sharply versus 2024 (gross margin ~29.9% vs ~37.9%; net margin ~4.4% vs ~6.9%), with EBIT and EBITDA margins also down significantly, indicating higher costs and/or pricing pressure. Net income remains positive, but the direction of margins is a clear near-term headwind.

Balance Sheet

Asset base and equity have grown over time, but leverage has increased notably in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months): total debt rose to ~87.5B and debt-to-equity moved above 1.0 (from ~0.73 in 2024), reducing financial flexibility. Returns on equity are still positive but have stepped down in TTM (~7.9% vs ~11.6% in 2024), consistent with the profitability slowdown and higher leverage.

Cash Flow

Cash generation weakened meaningfully in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months): operating cash flow fell to ~2.3B from ~11.5B in 2024, which lowers the company’s ability to self-fund operations and investment. Free cash flow is still positive (~1.36B) and improved versus the prior period (strong growth off a lower base), but it covers only ~62% of TTM net income and overall cash conversion looks less reliable than in earlier years.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	131.76B	121.30B	124.25B	122.95B	114.52B	101.45B
Gross Profit	40.28B	45.99B	50.80B	45.73B	40.36B	32.07B
EBITDA	9.92B	17.65B	18.27B	15.08B	14.57B	10.53B
Net Income	5.84B	8.42B	9.33B	8.08B	6.81B	4.28B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	214.65B	207.32B	200.96B	180.95B	168.76B	150.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	52.60B	57.65B	78.70B	56.86B	52.07B	36.70B
Total Debt	80.09B	53.06B	56.11B	46.54B	40.36B	36.00B
Total Liabilities	139.27B	134.21B	132.63B	121.41B	115.48B	104.51B
Stockholders Equity	75.09B	72.81B	68.01B	58.64B	51.48B	43.30B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	1.35B	7.47B	13.40B	2.63B	10.04B	3.76B
Operating Cash Flow	2.22B	11.48B	17.41B	7.58B	15.72B	10.23B
Investing Cash Flow	-12.33B	-28.67B	-20.90B	-1.29B	-10.59B	-7.08B
Financing Cash Flow	1.81B	-5.82B	7.37B	1.45B	2.78B	-289.90M

ZTE Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 28.34
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0763, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 28.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.96, below the 50-day MA of 29.31, and below the 200-day MA of 28.73, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0763.

ZTE Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
1473	68 Neutral	HK$586.00M	15.92	12.27%	2.53%	19.80%	―
6869	65 Neutral	HK$103.22B	102.02	4.79%	0.54%	14.38%	-41.96%
1617	65 Neutral	HK$284.59M	4.35	7.40%	―	-9.34%	605.26%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%
0763	52 Neutral	HK$195.54B	21.58	7.73%	2.43%	5.14%	-38.37%
2342	46 Neutral	HK$7.11B	-17.97	-10.70%	0.24%	-13.99%	-32.74%
1613	46 Neutral	HK$258.48M	-3.38	-30.44%	―	-58.81%	-10.51%

ZTE Corporate Events

ZTE Sets 2026 Framework for Connected-Party Raw Material Purchases from Controlling Shareholder

ZTE has approved a Zhongxingxin Purchase Framework Agreement under which its group may procure a broad range of raw materials and components from Zhongxingxin Group during 2026, covering items such as wiring equipment, optical and antenna parts, printed circuit components, industrial imaging gear and batteries used across its business lines. As Zhongxingxin is ZTE’s controlling shareholder, the arrangement constitutes a continuing connected transaction under Hong Kong and Shenzhen listing rules; however, because the relevant percentage ratios for the 2026 annual caps fall between 0.1% and 5%, the agreement is subject only to reporting, annual review and announcement requirements and is exempt from independent shareholder approval, with purchases to be made strictly through ZTE’s existing qualification and competitive tender processes that treat connected and independent suppliers on the same basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0763) stock is a Hold with a HK$29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ZTE stock, see the HK:0763 Stock Forecast page.

ZTE Corporation Announces A Share Repurchase Plan to Boost Shareholder Value

ZTE Corporation has announced a plan to repurchase its A shares, with an allocation of between RMB1,000 million and RMB1,200 million for this initiative. The repurchase aims to support the company’s employee share ownership schemes and share incentives, enhancing long-term shareholder value and operational sustainability. The company has outlined a risk of uncertainty in the repurchase plan, including potential price cap issues and regulatory compliance challenges. This move is part of ZTE’s strategy to maintain its operational health and safeguard investor interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0763) stock is a Hold with a HK$39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ZTE stock, see the HK:0763 Stock Forecast page.

ZTE Under Investigation for FCPA Compliance

ZTE Corporation has announced that it is under investigation by the United States Department of Justice for potential non-compliance with the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA). Despite the ongoing investigation, ZTE has stated that its current production and operations remain normal and that it is committed to strengthening its compliance framework and maintaining a zero-tolerance policy towards corruption.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0763) stock is a Hold with a HK$39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ZTE stock, see the HK:0763 Stock Forecast page.

ZTE Reports Revenue Growth Amidst Profit Decline in Q3 2025

ZTE Corporation has released its third quarterly report for 2025, highlighting a notable increase in operating revenue by 11.63% over the first nine months of the year compared to the same period last year. However, the company experienced a significant decline in net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders, which fell by 32.69%. The report also indicates a decrease in net cash flows from operating activities by 77.92%, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability despite revenue growth. These financial results suggest that while ZTE is expanding its revenue base, it faces operational challenges that may impact its financial stability and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0763) stock is a Buy with a HK$42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ZTE stock, see the HK:0763 Stock Forecast page.

ZTE Corporation Schedules Board Meeting to Approve Q3 Results

ZTE Corporation has announced that its Board of Directors will convene a meeting on October 28, 2025, in Shenzhen, China. The meeting’s agenda includes the approval and publication of the company’s third-quarter results for the period ending September 30, 2025, and addressing any other business matters. This announcement indicates ZTE’s ongoing commitment to transparency and regular financial reporting, which is crucial for maintaining investor confidence and ensuring compliance with market regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0763) stock is a Buy with a HK$44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ZTE stock, see the HK:0763 Stock Forecast page.