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Cathay Pacific Airways Limited (HK:0293)
:0293

Cathay Pacific Airways (0293) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0293

Cathay Pacific Airways

(0293)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
HK$13.00
▲(4.50% Upside)
Cathay Pacific Airways' stock score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation. The company is recovering well with improved profitability and efficient cash flow management. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, which may lead to short-term volatility.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Cathay Pacific's strong revenue growth indicates successful market expansion and increased demand for its services, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Profitability
Improved gross profit margin suggests enhanced operational efficiency and cost management, contributing to sustained profitability in a competitive industry.
Cash Flow Management
Efficient cash generation relative to net income highlights Cathay Pacific's robust cash flow management, ensuring liquidity and financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Leverage Risks
Reliance on leverage could pose financial risks if market conditions worsen, potentially affecting the company's ability to manage debt obligations.
Free Cash Flow Decline
A decline in free cash flow growth suggests potential challenges in maintaining cash reserves, which could impact future investment and expansion plans.
EBIT Margin Decline
A decrease in EBIT margin indicates rising non-operational costs, which may affect overall profitability and necessitate strategic cost management.

Cathay Pacific Airways (0293) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Cathay Pacific Airways Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCathay Pacific Airways Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a carrier of international passengers and air cargo. The company conducts airline operations principally to and from Hong Kong. It also provides property investment, travel reward program, travel tour operator, financial, aircraft leasing and acquisition facilitation, airline catering, information processing, aircraft ramp handling, laundry and dry cleaning, ground handling, aircraft engineering, cargo carriage, airport ground engineering support and equipment maintenance, and inventory technical management services. In addition, the company operates a computer network for interchange of air cargo related information; and offers repair and maintenance services for transportation companies. It operates in the Americas, Europe, Southeast Asia, Southwest Pacific, North Asia, South Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 234 aircraft directly connecting Hong Kong to 119 destinations in 35 countries worldwide, including 26 destinations in China. Cathay Pacific Airways Limited was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Lantau Island, Hong Kong.
How the Company Makes MoneyCathay Pacific generates revenue primarily through its passenger and cargo operations. The airline earns money by selling tickets for its flights, with revenue heavily influenced by passenger demand, ticket pricing, and route efficiency. The cargo division also contributes significantly to revenue by transporting goods and freight. Additional revenue streams include ancillary services such as excess baggage fees, in-flight sales, and partnerships with hotels and car rental companies, which provide customers with added value. Strategic alliances and membership in the Oneworld airline alliance enhance revenue opportunities through code-sharing agreements and increased market access. Factors like operational efficiency, fuel management, and customer loyalty programs also play crucial roles in optimizing earnings.

Cathay Pacific Airways Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cathay Pacific Airways shows a strong recovery with revenue growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet is stable but highlights leverage risks. Cash flow management is robust, though recent declines in free cash flow growth need attention.
Income Statement
The company shows a strong recovery with revenue growth of 10.43% from 2023 to 2024, and a significant improvement in gross profit margin to 31.2% in 2024. Net profit margin remains stable at 9.47%, reflecting solid profitability amidst a competitive industry. However, EBIT margin dropped slightly from 16% to 13.34% and EBITDA margin improved to 20.54%, indicating operational efficiency but also pointing to increased non-operational costs.
Balance Sheet
Cathay Pacific's balance sheet indicates a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.3, showing reliance on leverage, which could pose risk if market conditions worsen. Return on equity (ROE) is healthy at 18.84%, suggesting effective use of equity financing to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable at 30.65%, indicating a balanced asset financing structure, but there's room for improving the equity base to enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
The company demonstrates robust cash flow management with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.38, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow is positive and growing, reflecting improved cash handling and operational performance. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -26.92%, suggesting a reduction in free cash flow from the previous year.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue109.08B104.37B94.48B51.04B45.59B46.93B
Gross Profit32.80B32.58B20.70B4.42B836.00M-5.55B
EBITDA21.75B21.45B20.47B16.02B9.21B-3.74B
Net Income9.93B9.89B9.79B-6.62B-5.53B-21.65B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets170.30B171.24B174.12B180.91B196.63B204.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.91B10.53B15.53B18.28B19.28B19.34B
Total Debt65.25B68.47B68.29B77.11B89.85B93.13B
Total Liabilities118.64B118.74B114.08B117.56B124.90B131.31B
Stockholders Equity51.65B52.50B60.03B63.80B71.72B73.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.69B14.33B19.61B15.20B6.56B-19.03B
Operating Cash Flow24.08B23.54B26.41B18.93B8.84B-13.62B
Investing Cash Flow-6.44B-6.08B-2.67B-3.86B493.00M-12.43B
Financing Cash Flow-24.18B-19.83B-23.18B-16.24B-6.93B23.31B

Cathay Pacific Airways Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.44
Price Trends
50DMA
12.03
Positive
100DMA
11.32
Positive
200DMA
10.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
54.67
Neutral
STOCH
54.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0293, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.33, above the 50-day MA of 12.03, and above the 200-day MA of 10.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:0293.

Cathay Pacific Airways Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
HK$83.74B3.9821.38%12.81%28.91%150.66%
67
Neutral
HK$84.44B8.1817.73%5.38%8.54%16.57%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
HK$85.40B72.230.47%5.26%6.44%-95.37%
56
Neutral
HK$161.76B169.210.20%4.08%
55
Neutral
HK$147.08B-42.93-6.44%1.42%3.33%
54
Neutral
HK$139.90B-37.70-7.13%4.61%38.36%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0293
Cathay Pacific Airways
12.44
2.70
27.68%
HK:0753
Air China
7.09
2.09
41.80%
HK:0316
Orient Overseas (International)
126.30
29.33
30.25%
HK:0019
Swire Pacific
66.90
1.56
2.38%
HK:1055
China Southern Airlines Company Limited Class H
5.74
1.72
42.79%
HK:0670
China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited Class H
5.29
2.60
96.65%

Cathay Pacific Airways Corporate Events

Cathay Pacific Revises Shareholder Undertakings as Buy-Back Reshapes Ownership Structure
Jan 6, 2026

Cathay Pacific Airways has updated investors on changes to shareholder undertakings linked to its proposed off‑market share buy-back, following Air China’s agreement to dispose of 108,080,000 Cathay Pacific shares via a placing before an extraordinary general meeting. After this disposal, Air China and Cathay executed an amended irrevocable undertaking reflecting Air China’s reduced indirect holding of about 27.11% of issued shares, while Swire Pacific’s undertaking remains unchanged, bringing the total shares covered by irrevocable undertakings from Air China and Swire Pacific to roughly 75.24% of shares held by independent shareholders. Under the amended arrangement, Air China commits to vote all its covered shares in favour of the share buy-back and to refrain from disposing or encumbering them until the EGM or earlier agreed termination. Assuming no other capital changes, completion of both the disposal and the buy-back would see Swire Pacific’s stake rise from about 43.09% to 47.65%, above the 2% “creeper” threshold under Hong Kong’s Takeovers Code, while Air China’s stake would move from 27.11% post-disposal to 29.98%, just below the 30% mandatory offer trigger, prompting Swire Pacific to apply for a waiver from making a mandatory general offer and underscoring the transaction’s significance for Cathay Pacific’s ownership and control structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Buy with a HK$15.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Updates on Off-Market Share Buy-Back and Reshapes Independent Board Committee
Dec 24, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways has provided an update on its proposed off-market share buy-back, confirming that the shareholder circular is still being prepared and is expected to be dispatched by 14 January 2026, subject to finalisation of required information. The airline also noted that none of the conditions precedent for completion of the buy-back have yet been satisfied or waived, and cautioned shareholders and potential investors that the transaction may or may not proceed, advising care when dealing in its securities. Separately, following a board change effective 24 December 2025, the composition of the Independent Board Committee overseeing the buy-back has been updated, with a panel of non-executive and independent non-executive directors who have no direct or indirect interest in the transaction tasked with advising independent shareholders and issuing a recommendation in the forthcoming circular.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Outlines Board Composition and Governance Committee Roles
Dec 24, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways has announced the current composition of its Board of Directors, detailing a mix of executive, non-executive and independent non-executive directors, including Chair Patrick Healy and Chief Executive Officer Ronald Lam, alongside senior leaders overseeing customer, commercial, operations, service delivery and finance functions. The airline has also specified the membership and chairmanship of its key governance committees—Audit, Board Risk, Board Safety Review, Nomination and Remuneration—signalling a formalised corporate governance structure and delineation of responsibilities that is important for risk oversight, safety management and board-level accountability to shareholders and regulators.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Reshapes Board as Swire and Mainland Aviation Leaders Take Key Roles
Dec 23, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways has announced a series of board changes that will reshape its governance structure over the next 18 months, further underlining the airline’s close alignment with both the Swire group and major mainland aviation stakeholders. Effective 24 December 2025, Ma Chongxian will step down as non-executive director and deputy chair due to changes in his job assignments, and will be succeeded in both roles by Air China chairman Liu Tiexiang, whose extensive leadership experience across Air China, China Eastern and China National Aviation Holding signals continued deep integration between Cathay and mainland aviation interests. Following the company’s annual general meeting on 13 May 2026, long-serving chair and executive director Patrick Healy will retire from the board in conjunction with his retirement from the Swire group, with current non-executive director and Swire group heavyweight Guy Bradley re-designated as executive director and elected chair, while former Cathay CFO and current Swire Pacific finance chief Martin Murray will rejoin the Cathay board as a non-executive director, reinforcing Swire’s financial and strategic oversight of the airline as it navigates its post-pandemic recovery and competitive positioning in the regional aviation market.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Flags Stronger 2025 Earnings but Warns on Unreviewed Profit Forecast
Dec 22, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways has released its November 2025 traffic figures and simultaneously disclosed that management expects the Group’s second-half 2025 results to exceed those of the first half, and full-year 2025 results to surpass full-year 2024, indicating continued operational and financial recovery. Because these expectations constitute a profit forecast under Hong Kong’s Takeovers Code and have not yet been reviewed by the company’s financial adviser or external auditors, the airline cautioned shareholders and potential investors against placing undue reliance on the projections, particularly when assessing the ongoing share buy-back, and said the forecast and the requisite adviser and auditor reports will be included in the forthcoming EGM circular.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Schedules Board Meeting to Announce 2025 Financial Results
Dec 3, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited has announced a board meeting scheduled for March 11, 2026, to discuss the annual financial results for 2025 and consider a second interim dividend payment. During the period leading up to this meeting, directors are restricted from trading company securities, reflecting compliance with stock exchange regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Delays Circular for Share Buy-Back Plan
Nov 26, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways has announced a delay in the dispatch of a circular related to a proposed off-market share buy-back. The delay, now extended to January 14, 2026, is due to the need for additional time to finalize financial information and advisory letters, as well as the upcoming holiday period. Shareholders and potential investors are advised to exercise caution, as the buy-back is subject to conditions that may affect its execution.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Reports Strong October Traffic Growth
Nov 24, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited reported significant growth in its October 2025 traffic figures, with a 21% increase in passengers and a 12% rise in cargo compared to the previous month. The company is enhancing its global network by adding new destinations and increasing flight frequencies, which is expected to strengthen its market position and cater to the rising travel demand, especially during the upcoming holiday season.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Announces Potential Off-Market Share Buy-Back
Nov 5, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways has announced a possible off-market share buy-back involving 643,076,181 shares owned by Qatar Airways, representing approximately 9.57% of its issued shares. The buy-back is contingent upon approval from independent shareholders and regulatory bodies. If completed, the buy-back will increase the proportional interest of other shareholders and reduce the company’s public float to approximately 20.53%, below the minimum required by the Listing Rules. The company has received a Public Float Waiver from the Stock Exchange, conditional on disclosing the details and rationale for the waiver.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Buy with a HK$12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Reports Growth in September 2025 Traffic and Expands Network
Oct 22, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways reported a significant increase in passenger and cargo traffic for September 2025, with a 20% rise in passengers compared to the previous year and a slight increase in cargo tonnage. The company is expanding its network with new non-stop flights between Hong Kong and Changsha and increasing frequencies on existing routes in the Chinese Mainland, positioning itself strongly in the region. The announcement highlights the company’s strategic focus on capturing travel demand, particularly in premium cabins and key markets like Japan and the UK, while also preparing for the air cargo peak season.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Buy with a HK$12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025