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Cathay Pacific Airways Limited (HK:0293)
:0293

Cathay Pacific Airways (0293) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

Cathay Pacific Airways

(OTC:0293)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
HK$11.50
▲(14.31%Upside)
Cathay Pacific Airways holds a strong overall position due to its impressive financial performance and attractive valuation. The technical indicators support a positive trend, although there are emerging risks like leverage and declining free cash flow growth.
Positive Factors
Cargo Performance
Cargo revenue rose by 12% year-over-year, and cargo yield turned positive.
Earnings
Cathay Pacific Airways' 2024 core net profit beat consensus estimates by 11.4%.
Valuation
Cathay Pacific is trading below regional peers and at more than 1 standard deviation below its five-year pre-pandemic trading range, presenting an attractive valuation.
Negative Factors
Competition and Capacity
Macroeconomic headwinds or intense competition could curb Cathay Pacific's passenger traffic growth and suppress yields, while manpower shortages could hinder capacity addition.
Macroeconomic Risks
Macroeconomic headwinds could curb Cathay Pacific's passenger traffic recovery and suppress yields, posing potential risks to growth.
Operating Costs
Operating costs increased due to higher-than-expected staffing costs, which outpaced group revenue growth.

Cathay Pacific Airways (0293) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Cathay Pacific Airways Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCathay Pacific Airways Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a carrier of international passengers and air cargo. The company conducts airline operations principally to and from Hong Kong. It also provides property investment, travel reward program, travel tour operator, financial, aircraft leasing and acquisition facilitation, airline catering, information processing, aircraft ramp handling, laundry and dry cleaning, ground handling, aircraft engineering, cargo carriage, airport ground engineering support and equipment maintenance, and inventory technical management services. In addition, the company operates a computer network for interchange of air cargo related information; and offers repair and maintenance services for transportation companies. It operates in the Americas, Europe, Southeast Asia, Southwest Pacific, North Asia, South Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 234 aircraft directly connecting Hong Kong to 119 destinations in 35 countries worldwide, including 26 destinations in China. Cathay Pacific Airways Limited was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Lantau Island, Hong Kong.
How the Company Makes MoneyCathay Pacific Airways generates revenue primarily through the sale of passenger tickets and cargo services. The passenger segment is the largest revenue stream, with ticket sales across different classes offering varying pricing and service levels. Ancillary services, such as extra baggage, seat selection, and inflight sales, also contribute to revenue. The cargo division capitalizes on Hong Kong's strategic location as a global logistics hub, transporting goods worldwide. Additionally, the airline benefits from codeshare agreements and strategic partnerships, such as its membership in the oneworld alliance, which expands its network and attracts more customers. Revenue is further supported by loyalty programs, corporate travel agreements, and premium services offered at lounges and in-flight.

Cathay Pacific Airways Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cathay Pacific Airways shows a strong recovery trajectory with improving revenue and profitability. The income statement highlights a significant improvement in gross profit margins, but a slight drop in EBIT margin indicates rising non-operational costs. The balance sheet shows effective equity utilization, but a moderate debt-to-equity ratio poses leverage risks. Cash flow management is robust, though the negative growth rate in free cash flow is a concern.
Income Statement
70
Positive
The company shows a strong recovery with revenue growth of 10.43% from 2023 to 2024, and a significant improvement in gross profit margin to 31.2% in 2024. Net profit margin remains stable at 9.47%, reflecting solid profitability amidst a competitive industry. However, EBIT margin dropped slightly from 16% to 13.34% and EBITDA margin improved to 20.54%, indicating operational efficiency but also pointing to increased non-operational costs.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cathay Pacific's balance sheet indicates a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.3, showing reliance on leverage, which could pose risk if market conditions worsen. Return on equity (ROE) is healthy at 18.84%, suggesting effective use of equity financing to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable at 30.65%, indicating a balanced asset financing structure, but there's room for improving the equity base to enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The company demonstrates robust cash flow management with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.38, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow is positive and growing, reflecting improved cash handling and operational performance. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -26.92%, suggesting a reduction in free cash flow from the previous year.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
104.37B94.48B51.04B45.59B46.93B
Gross Profit
32.58B20.70B4.42B836.00M-5.55B
EBIT
13.93B15.13B244.00M-3.17B-9.33B
EBITDA
21.45B20.47B10.24B9.21B-3.74B
Net Income Common Stockholders
9.89B9.79B-6.55B-5.53B-21.65B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
10.53B15.53B18.28B19.28B19.34B
Total Assets
171.24B174.12B180.91B196.63B204.57B
Total Debt
68.47B68.29B77.63B90.38B93.13B
Net Debt
63.03B60.40B70.29B81.81B86.96B
Total Liabilities
118.74B114.08B117.56B124.90B131.31B
Stockholders Equity
52.50B60.03B63.35B71.72B73.26B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
14.33B19.61B15.20B6.56B-19.03B
Operating Cash Flow
23.54B26.41B18.93B8.84B-13.62B
Investing Cash Flow
-6.08B-2.67B-3.86B493.00M-12.43B
Financing Cash Flow
-19.83B-23.18B-16.24B-6.93B23.31B

Cathay Pacific Airways Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.06
Price Trends
50DMA
9.79
Positive
100DMA
9.83
Positive
200DMA
9.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
42.76
Neutral
STOCH
14.14
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0293, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.39, above the 50-day MA of 9.79, and above the 200-day MA of 9.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.14 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:0293.

Cathay Pacific Airways Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$65.81B6.8517.64%9.59%10.46%5.94%
66
Neutral
$4.44B12.085.34%5.82%4.17%-11.81%
£12.48B-1.68%
$11.02B4.4121.08%7.67%
$10.74B22.211.64%6.22%
54
Neutral
HK$88.98B-9.88%14.25%
50
Neutral
HK$101.61B-4.92%7.08%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0293
Cathay Pacific Airways
10.06
2.50
33.07%
GB:AIRC
Air China
91.25
0.00
0.00%
OROVF
Orient Overseas (International)
17.05
2.54
17.51%
SWRAF
Swire Pacific
8.38
-0.06
-0.71%
HK:1055
China Southern Airlines Company Limited Class H
3.73
0.74
24.75%
HK:0670
China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited Class H
2.94
0.92
45.54%

Cathay Pacific Airways Corporate Events

Cathay Pacific Expands Global Reach and Earns Top Industry Honors
Jun 20, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways announced its May 2025 traffic figures, highlighting a 36.1% increase in passengers compared to May 2024 and a 31.2% rise in Available Seat Kilometres. The company celebrated reaching 100 global passenger destinations and received significant accolades, including being named one of the world’s top three airlines in the Skytrax World Airline Awards. These achievements underscore Cathay Pacific’s commitment to enhancing its global network and service quality, with expectations of robust demand in the upcoming summer travel season.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific and Air China Expand Collaborative Framework Agreement
May 28, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways and Air China have announced a New Framework Agreement to continue and expand their collaborative transactions beyond 2025. This agreement, effective from May 2025, includes a broader scope to cover each party’s 30%-controlled corporations, facilitating increased collaboration and operational efficiency. The agreement encompasses various services such as interline arrangements, code sharing, joint operations, and more, aiming to enhance the partnership between the two airlines and support their business growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Reports Strong April Traffic and Network Expansion
May 20, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways reported a significant increase in passenger numbers for April 2025, with a 36.3% rise compared to April 2024. The company set a new post-pandemic record by carrying over 115,000 passengers on a single day. Cathay Pacific is expanding its network by launching flights to new destinations, aiming to reach 100 passenger destinations by mid-year. The company also noted positive developments in cargo operations due to recent tariff announcements between China and the United States, which may stabilize the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Airways Reports Successful AGM with All Resolutions Passed
May 14, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited held its Annual General Meeting on May 14, 2025, where all proposed resolutions were passed with significant shareholder support. Key resolutions included the re-election and election of directors, the re-appointment of auditors, and granting mandates to directors for share buybacks and issuance. This successful AGM reflects strong shareholder confidence and positions the company for continued strategic operations and governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Announces Change of Registered Office
Apr 30, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited has announced a change in its registered office location to 31st Floor, One Pacific Place, 88 Queensway, Hong Kong, effective from May 16, 2025. This move may reflect strategic administrative adjustments as the company continues to position itself within the competitive aviation market, potentially impacting its operational logistics and stakeholder relations.

Cathay Pacific Reports March 2025 Traffic Growth Amid Network Expansion
Apr 23, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways released its March 2025 traffic figures, highlighting a 19.8% increase in passenger numbers compared to March 2024, and a 25.5% rise in Available Seat Kilometres. The company is expanding its network with new destinations and resuming services, despite facing challenges such as trade tariffs affecting cargo operations. The demand for premium cabins remained strong, driven by major events in Hong Kong.

Cathay Pacific Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting Agenda
Apr 7, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited has announced its annual general meeting for 2025, scheduled to be held on May 14th in Hong Kong. The meeting will address key agenda items including the election or re-election of directors, re-appointment of auditors, and consideration of ordinary resolutions related to share buy-backs and the issuance of additional shares. These resolutions, if approved, could impact the company’s financial strategies and shareholder value, reflecting its ongoing efforts to optimize capital structure and enhance market competitiveness.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.