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Cathay Pacific Airways (HK:0293)
:0293
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Cathay Pacific Airways (0293) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0293

Cathay Pacific Airways

(OTC:0293)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
HK$11.50
▲(10.36% Upside)
Cathay Pacific Airways' stock is supported by strong financial performance and attractive valuation, despite technical indicators suggesting a bearish trend. The company's recovery trajectory and high dividend yield are significant strengths, while leverage risks and declining free cash flow growth are areas to monitor.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Cathay Pacific Airways' 2024 core net profit beat consensus estimates by 11.4%.
Operating Profit
Cathay Pacific's operating profit increased by 14% year-over-year, showcasing improvement.
Negative Factors
Competition
Macroeconomic headwinds or intense competition could curb Cathay Pacific's passenger traffic growth and suppress yields.
Costs
Higher staff costs and weaker fuel efficiency offset the positives from better-than-expected passenger yields.

Cathay Pacific Airways (0293) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Cathay Pacific Airways Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCathay Pacific Airways Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a carrier of international passengers and air cargo. The company conducts airline operations principally to and from Hong Kong. It also provides property investment, travel reward program, travel tour operator, financial, aircraft leasing and acquisition facilitation, airline catering, information processing, aircraft ramp handling, laundry and dry cleaning, ground handling, aircraft engineering, cargo carriage, airport ground engineering support and equipment maintenance, and inventory technical management services. In addition, the company operates a computer network for interchange of air cargo related information; and offers repair and maintenance services for transportation companies. It operates in the Americas, Europe, Southeast Asia, Southwest Pacific, North Asia, South Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 234 aircraft directly connecting Hong Kong to 119 destinations in 35 countries worldwide, including 26 destinations in China. Cathay Pacific Airways Limited was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Lantau Island, Hong Kong.
How the Company Makes MoneyCathay Pacific Airways generates revenue primarily through its passenger transportation services, which include ticket sales across different classes of service. The airline also earns substantial income from its cargo operations, transporting goods and freight across its extensive network. Ancillary services, such as in-flight sales of food and beverages, excess baggage fees, and travel-related services, contribute additional revenue. Cathay Pacific benefits from partnerships and code-sharing agreements with other airlines, expanding its reach and customer base. The company also leverages its membership in the Oneworld alliance to enhance its global connectivity and operational efficiencies, further boosting its earnings potential.

Cathay Pacific Airways Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cathay Pacific shows strong recovery with revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable but highlights leverage risk. Cash flow is robust, but declining growth in free cash flow warrants caution.
Income Statement
70
Positive
The company shows a strong recovery with revenue growth of 10.43% from 2023 to 2024, and a significant improvement in gross profit margin to 31.2% in 2024. Net profit margin remains stable at 9.47%, reflecting solid profitability amidst a competitive industry. However, EBIT margin dropped slightly from 16% to 13.34% and EBITDA margin improved to 20.54%, indicating operational efficiency but also pointing to increased non-operational costs.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cathay Pacific's balance sheet indicates a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.3, showing reliance on leverage, which could pose risk if market conditions worsen. Return on equity (ROE) is healthy at 18.84%, suggesting effective use of equity financing to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable at 30.65%, indicating a balanced asset financing structure, but there's room for improving the equity base to enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The company demonstrates robust cash flow management with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.38, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow is positive and growing, reflecting improved cash handling and operational performance. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -26.92%, suggesting a reduction in free cash flow from the previous year.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue104.37B94.48B51.04B45.59B46.93B
Gross Profit32.58B20.70B4.42B836.00M-5.55B
EBITDA21.45B20.47B10.24B9.21B-3.74B
Net Income9.89B9.79B-6.55B-5.53B-21.65B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets171.24B174.12B180.91B196.63B204.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.53B15.53B18.28B19.28B19.34B
Total Debt68.47B68.29B77.63B90.38B93.13B
Total Liabilities118.74B114.08B117.56B124.90B131.31B
Stockholders Equity52.50B60.03B63.35B71.72B73.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.33B19.61B15.20B6.56B-19.03B
Operating Cash Flow23.54B26.41B18.93B8.84B-13.62B
Investing Cash Flow-6.08B-2.67B-3.86B493.00M-12.43B
Financing Cash Flow-19.83B-23.18B-16.24B-6.93B23.31B

Cathay Pacific Airways Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.42
Price Trends
50DMA
11.07
Negative
100DMA
10.35
Positive
200DMA
9.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
30.22
Neutral
STOCH
7.46
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0293, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.67, below the 50-day MA of 11.07, and above the 200-day MA of 9.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.46 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0293.

Cathay Pacific Airways Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
HK$67.10B6.7917.73%6.62%8.54%16.57%
64
Neutral
$10.70B16.306.50%2.13%2.67%-20.48%
£12.01B-1.68%
$12.07B4.7021.08%7.09%
$11.22B73.920.47%4.95%
48
Neutral
HK$86.28B-9.88%14.25%
43
Neutral
HK$101.25B-4.92%7.08%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0293
Cathay Pacific Airways
10.42
3.24
45.15%
GB:AIRC
Air China
91.25
0.00
0.00%
OROVF
Orient Overseas (International)
18.32
6.47
54.60%
SWRAF
Swire Pacific
8.70
0.50
6.10%
HK:1055
China Southern Airlines Company Limited Class H
3.66
0.80
27.97%
HK:0670
China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited Class H
2.90
0.86
42.16%

Cathay Pacific Airways Corporate Events

Cathay Pacific Renews Services Agreement with JS&SHK
Aug 7, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited has announced the renewal of its Services Agreement with JS&SHK, a connected entity, for a three-year term starting January 2026. This agreement, which involves the provision of various services including regulatory advice and staff support from the Swire Group, will continue to impact the company’s operational costs and strategic positioning. The renewal ensures continuity in service provision and financial arrangements, with service fees calculated based on a percentage of the company’s adjusted consolidated profit. This move is expected to support Cathay Pacific’s ongoing business operations and provide flexibility for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Adjusts Convertible Bond Conversion Price Following Dividend Declaration
Aug 6, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited has announced an adjustment to the conversion price of its HK$6,740,000,000 2.75% Guaranteed Convertible Bonds due 2026, following the declaration of a 2025 interim dividend. The conversion price will be adjusted from HK$7.55 per share to HK$7.42 per share, effective from September 6, 2025. This adjustment will increase the maximum number of shares to be issued upon full conversion of the outstanding convertible bonds from 233,112,582 shares to 237,196,765 shares. This move reflects the company’s ongoing financial strategies and could impact its market positioning by potentially increasing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Airways Declares Interim Dividend for 2025
Aug 6, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways announced an interim ordinary dividend of HKD 0.2 per share for the financial year ending December 31, 2025. The ex-dividend date is set for September 3, 2025, with the payment date scheduled for October 9, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s financial health and commitment to returning value to its shareholders. The dividend decision may positively impact investor sentiment and reinforce Cathay Pacific’s position in the market as it continues to recover and grow post-pandemic.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Expands Fleet with Boeing 777-9 Acquisition
Aug 6, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways has announced a major transaction involving the purchase of 14 Boeing 777-9 aircraft, with an option to acquire up to 7 additional aircraft. This acquisition is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its fleet with more fuel-efficient planes, supporting its sustainability goals and operational cost efficiency. The transaction, valued at approximately US$8.1 billion, is expected to be financed through a combination of commercial bank loans, finance leases, sale and leaseback arrangements, and cash from operations. The new aircraft will replace part of the existing long-haul fleet, serving both long-haul and selected regional routes, and are expected to be delivered by 2034.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Reports Revenue Growth in 2025 Interim Results
Aug 6, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited announced its 2025 interim results, reporting a 9.5% increase in revenue to HK$54,309 million and a slight rise in profit attributable to shareholders by 1.1% to HK$3,651 million. The company showed improvements in operational metrics, including a 15.9% increase in available tonne kilometers and a 20% rise in aircraft utilization, indicating a recovery and growth in its operations. However, there were declines in passenger and cargo yields, reflecting competitive pressures in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Reports Strong Growth in June 2025 Traffic Figures
Jul 21, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited reported a significant increase in passenger and cargo volumes for June 2025, with a 23.3% rise in passengers and a 6.3% increase in cargo compared to June 2024. The company has expanded its global network, adding five new destinations in June, and now operates passenger services to over 100 destinations worldwide. Notably, Cathay Pacific set a post-pandemic record by carrying over 90,000 passengers on a single day, with a high load factor of 93.4%. The airline experienced increased demand from various regions, particularly inbound student traffic from the UK and US, and anticipates robust demand for long-haul routes during the summer.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Updates Board Risk Committee Terms
Jun 30, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited has updated the terms of reference for its Board Risk Committee, effective from July 1, 2025. The committee is responsible for overseeing the company’s risk management framework, excluding safety and security risks, and ensuring its effectiveness. The committee’s duties include reviewing the risk management system and ensuring management’s compliance with maintaining an effective system. The BRC is authorized to investigate activities within its terms, seek necessary information, and obtain external advice to support its functions.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Updates Safety Review Committee Terms
Jun 30, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited has updated the terms of reference for its Board Safety Review Committee, effective from July 1, 2025. The committee is tasked with supporting the board in managing safety and security risks associated with the company’s operations and its subsidiaries. The committee’s responsibilities include reviewing the company’s risk management system, discussing its adequacy with management, and considering major investigation findings related to safety. This initiative underscores Cathay Pacific’s commitment to maintaining high safety standards and could enhance its operational integrity and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Airways Updates Audit Committee Terms
Jun 30, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited has updated the terms of reference for its Audit Committee, effective from July 1, 2025. The Committee is responsible for overseeing financial reporting, internal controls, legal and regulatory compliance, and corporate governance, excluding risk management, which is handled by other committees. The changes in the Committee’s structure and operations aim to strengthen the company’s governance and compliance framework, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence and operational transparency.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Updates Nomination Committee Terms
Jun 30, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways has updated the terms of reference for its Nomination Committee, effective from July 1, 2025. The committee, established in March 2022, is tasked with reviewing the board’s structure, ensuring diversity, and recommending appointments to align with the company’s corporate strategy. This move is expected to enhance governance and strategic alignment, potentially impacting the company’s operational efficiency and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Schedules Board Meeting to Discuss Interim Results and Dividend
Jun 25, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways has announced a board meeting scheduled for August 6, 2025, to discuss interim results for the first half of the year and consider a first interim dividend for 2025. This announcement indicates the company’s ongoing financial assessments and potential shareholder returns, reflecting its strategic focus on maintaining investor confidence and operational transparency.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Expands Global Reach and Earns Top Industry Honors
Jun 20, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways announced its May 2025 traffic figures, highlighting a 36.1% increase in passengers compared to May 2024 and a 31.2% rise in Available Seat Kilometres. The company celebrated reaching 100 global passenger destinations and received significant accolades, including being named one of the world’s top three airlines in the Skytrax World Airline Awards. These achievements underscore Cathay Pacific’s commitment to enhancing its global network and service quality, with expectations of robust demand in the upcoming summer travel season.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific and Air China Expand Collaborative Framework Agreement
May 28, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways and Air China have announced a New Framework Agreement to continue and expand their collaborative transactions beyond 2025. This agreement, effective from May 2025, includes a broader scope to cover each party’s 30%-controlled corporations, facilitating increased collaboration and operational efficiency. The agreement encompasses various services such as interline arrangements, code sharing, joint operations, and more, aiming to enhance the partnership between the two airlines and support their business growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Reports Strong April Traffic and Network Expansion
May 20, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways reported a significant increase in passenger numbers for April 2025, with a 36.3% rise compared to April 2024. The company set a new post-pandemic record by carrying over 115,000 passengers on a single day. Cathay Pacific is expanding its network by launching flights to new destinations, aiming to reach 100 passenger destinations by mid-year. The company also noted positive developments in cargo operations due to recent tariff announcements between China and the United States, which may stabilize the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Cathay Pacific Airways Reports Successful AGM with All Resolutions Passed
May 14, 2025

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited held its Annual General Meeting on May 14, 2025, where all proposed resolutions were passed with significant shareholder support. Key resolutions included the re-election and election of directors, the re-appointment of auditors, and granting mandates to directors for share buybacks and issuance. This successful AGM reflects strong shareholder confidence and positions the company for continued strategic operations and governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0293) stock is a Hold with a HK$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cathay Pacific Airways stock, see the HK:0293 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025