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Air China Ltd (HK:0753)
:0753

Air China (0753) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0753

Air China

(0753)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
HK$8.00
▲(17.65% Upside)
Air China's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its mixed financial performance and high valuation concerns. While technical indicators show bullish momentum, the financial risks and potential overvaluation weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Global network & alliance membership
Membership in Star Alliance provides durable network effects and expanded global connectivity, supporting sustained international feed, code-share traffic and corporate contracts. This structural partnership helps maintain route relevance and passenger volumes over the medium term.
Positive revenue growth trend
Consistent revenue growth indicates recovering demand and market share stability across domestic and international routes. A multi-percent top-line increase supports capacity utilization and revenue base expansion, underpinning potential margin recovery and investment affordability over months.
Strengthening equity base
An improving equity ratio signals gradual deleveraging or retained capital strength, providing a larger shock absorber against cyclical downturns. A stronger equity base improves credit standing and long-term funding flexibility for fleet renewal and network investment.
Negative Factors
Persistent net losses and weak margins
Ongoing net losses and negative operating margins indicate structural profitability challenges, reducing the company's ability to self-fund investment and lowering resilience to demand shocks. Without sustained margin improvement, capital allocation and long-term returns remain constrained.
High leverage and debt burden
Significant debt levels raise refinancing and interest-rate vulnerability in a capital-intensive industry. Elevated leverage limits strategic flexibility, increases fixed costs, and can force asset-light concessions or slower fleet renewal if cash flow fails to improve consistently over months.
Negative free cash flow from high capex
Persistent negative free cash flow driven by heavy capex constrains liquidity and forces reliance on external funding. Over the medium term this can impede debt reduction, delay fleet modernization or network expansion, and raise refinancing risk during cyclical downturns.

Air China (0753) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Air China Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAir China Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides air passenger, air cargo, and airline-related services in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, Europe, North America, Japan, Korea, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company operates through Airline Operations and Other Operations segments. It provides aircraft engineering and airport ground handling services. The company is also involved in the import and export trading activities; and provision of cabin, airline catering, air ticketing, human resources, aircraft overhaul and maintenance, and financial services. As of December 31, 2021, it owned and operated 746 passenger aircraft, including business jets. The company was founded in 1988 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. Air China Limited is a subsidiary of China National Aviation Holding Corporation Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyAir China generates revenue primarily through its passenger transport services, which account for the majority of its income. The airline charges fares for its domestic and international flights, catering to both economy and premium class travelers. Additionally, Air China earns revenue from cargo operations by transporting goods and freight across its network. Ancillary services, including baggage fees, in-flight sales, and travel-related services, also contribute to the revenue stream. The airline has established partnerships with various travel agencies, corporations, and other airlines, enabling it to expand its market reach and enhance its service offerings. Furthermore, Air China's membership in the Star Alliance allows for code-sharing agreements, increasing passenger bookings and operational efficiency, thus positively impacting its earnings.

Air China Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Air China's financial performance is hindered by persistent net losses and negative EBIT margins, despite some revenue growth. High leverage and negative free cash flow indicate financial risk and liquidity constraints.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Air China has experienced fluctuating revenue with a notable increase in recent years, yet it remains plagued by persistent net losses and negative EBIT margins, indicating operational challenges. The gross profit margin has slightly improved, but the company's inability to achieve net profitability continues to weigh down its financial performance.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet of Air China shows high leverage with a significant debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting financial risk. However, the company's equity ratio has improved over time, suggesting a strengthening of the equity base relative to its assets. The ongoing liabilities and debt levels remain a concern for long-term stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Air China's cash flow statement highlights inconsistent cash generation, with significant variations in free cash flow growth rates. Operating cash flow has been positive recently, but free cash flow remains negative due to high capital expenditures, indicating potential liquidity constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue167.94B166.70B141.10B52.90B74.53B69.50B
Gross Profit8.87B8.51B7.09B-29.91B-11.31B-6.13B
EBITDA4.92B33.90B32.40B-18.16B4.61B7.05B
Net Income739.51M-237.31M-1.05B-45.18B-18.83B-15.82B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets347.56B345.77B335.30B295.01B298.42B284.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.08B22.51B15.63B11.44B16.71B6.58B
Total Debt171.91B226.70B175.39B214.18B182.87B159.63B
Total Liabilities309.31B304.82B300.01B273.45B232.55B200.26B
Stockholders Equity42.64B45.15B37.23B23.61B61.40B77.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow792.75M14.44B12.65B-24.40B6.81B-10.63B
Operating Cash Flow17.83B34.55B35.42B-16.76B12.89B1.41B
Investing Cash Flow-17.02B-17.86B-15.25B-6.87B-4.45B-15.87B
Financing Cash Flow-12.22B-10.56B-15.85B18.10B1.71B11.46B

Air China Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.80
Price Trends
50DMA
6.82
Negative
100DMA
6.33
Positive
200DMA
5.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
43.74
Neutral
STOCH
14.60
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0753, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.12, below the 50-day MA of 6.82, and above the 200-day MA of 5.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.60 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:0753.

Air China Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
HK$82.42B7.9817.73%5.38%8.54%16.57%
56
Neutral
HK$152.20B162.290.20%4.08%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
55
Neutral
HK$136.24B-43.31-6.44%1.42%3.33%
54
Neutral
HK$130.99B-38.49-7.13%4.61%38.36%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0753
Air China
6.80
2.11
44.99%
HK:0293
Cathay Pacific Airways
12.19
2.47
25.36%
HK:1055
China Southern Airlines Company Limited Class H
5.79
2.18
60.39%
HK:0670
China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited Class H
5.40
2.99
124.07%

Air China Corporate Events

Air China Warns of Continued 2025 Loss Despite Operational Improvements
Jan 30, 2026

Air China has issued a profit warning for the 2025 financial year, indicating it expects to post a net loss attributable to equity holders of about RMB1.3 billion to RMB1.9 billion, and a deeper loss of RMB1.9 billion to RMB2.7 billion after excluding non-recurring items, based on unaudited preliminary estimates. While the airline reports that China’s economy and the aviation industry remained stable with steady growth and that it has increased investment, revenue and cost control measures, its profitability is being dragged down by the reassessment and partial reversal of deferred tax assets under Chinese accounting standards, leaving the company still in loss-making territory despite operational improvements and prompting management to caution investors about associated risks.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Posts Strong December Traffic Gains and Expands Fleet With New C919 Jets
Jan 15, 2026

Air China reported stronger operating metrics for December 2025, with group-wide passenger capacity up 4.0% year on year and passenger traffic rising 10.0%, driven by robust growth on domestic and international routes, which helped lift the overall passenger load factor to 82.2%, up 4.5 percentage points from a year earlier. Cargo performance also improved in efficiency terms, as cargo and mail traffic increased 5.3% despite a 1.9% decline in capacity, pushing the cargo load factor to 39.2%, while the airline continued to expand and modernize its network and fleet by launching a new Chengdu Tianfu–Almaty route and adding six A320-series and two C919 aircraft, bringing its total fleet to 964 aircraft; these developments signal ongoing capacity optimization and fleet renewal that may strengthen Air China’s competitive position in both passenger and cargo markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Sell with a HK$4.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Shanghai Stock Exchange Accepts Air China’s A-Share Issuance Application
Jan 8, 2026

Air China Limited has announced that the Shanghai Stock Exchange has formally accepted its application to issue A shares to specific investors on the Main Board. The exchange has confirmed that the company’s prospectus and related application documents are complete and comply with statutory requirements, and will now proceed to review and process the issuance in accordance with applicable laws and regulations. The proposed A-share issuance, which is still subject to further review and approval by the Shanghai Stock Exchange and registration with the China Securities Regulatory Commission, could provide Air China with additional refinancing capacity and funding flexibility, although there remains uncertainty around the timing and final outcome, prompting the company to caution shareholders and potential investors about trading its securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Buy with a HK$8.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Trims Cathay Pacific Stake in HK$1.32 Billion Share Placing
Jan 6, 2026

Air China has agreed to sell 108.08 million shares in Cathay Pacific Airways, or about 1.61% of the Hong Kong carrier’s issued share capital, via a placing handled by Morgan Stanley at HK$12.22 per share. The disposal, conducted through its wholly owned subsidiary Easerich Investments, is expected to generate an estimated pre-tax profit of roughly RMB182 million and will reduce Air China’s stake in Cathay Pacific from 28.72% to about 27.11%, while a 180‑day lock‑up will restrict further sales without the placing agent’s consent. The company emphasized that the transaction is not classified as a notifiable or connected transaction under Hong Kong listing rules, should not materially affect its financial position or operating results, and that it will remain an important strategic shareholder in Cathay Pacific with its support and confidence in the airline’s prospects unchanged.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Buy with a HK$8.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Orders 60 Airbus A320NEO Jets in US$9.5 Billion Fleet Expansion
Dec 30, 2025

Air China has agreed to purchase 60 Airbus A320NEO series aircraft from Airbus S.A.S., with the order structured through import agent AIE and carrying an aggregate list price of about US$9.53 billion, although the airline secured substantial, customary price concessions that reduce the actual consideration below list value. Classified as a discloseable transaction under Hong Kong listing rules, the deal signals a significant fleet expansion aligned with industry-standard procurement practices, and management expects the negotiated discounts to be consistent with previous Airbus purchases and to avoid materially increasing unit operating costs, suggesting limited margin pressure while potentially enhancing capacity and network competitiveness over time.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Buy with a HK$8.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Tightens Governance With Revised Audit and Risk Management Committee Rules
Dec 30, 2025

Air China has amended the working rules of its Board’s Audit and Risk Management Committee, also referred to as the Supervision Committee, effective 30 December 2025, to strengthen corporate governance and enhance the Board’s oversight of management. The revised rules formalize the Committee’s role in advising the Board, set detailed requirements for its composition—mandating three to five non‑management directors, a majority of whom must be independent, including at least one accounting or financial expert—and clarify terms of office, training obligations, and procedures to ensure continuity and independence. The amendments also specify the Committee’s authority over the appointment, remuneration, supervision and evaluation of external auditors, reflecting Air China’s efforts to align with PRC company law, China’s listed company governance code, Shanghai Stock Exchange rules, and Hong Kong Listing Rules, which collectively aim to bolster risk management, audit quality and investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Buy with a HK$8.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Tightens Governance on Executive Pay With Updated Remuneration Committee Rules
Dec 30, 2025

Air China Limited has updated the working rules of its Board Remuneration and Appraisal Committee, effective 30 December 2025, to refine the governance framework overseeing pay and performance evaluation for directors and senior management. The amended rules clarify the Committee’s composition, mandate a majority of independent directors and an independent chair, and set out responsibilities such as setting appraisal standards, formulating and reviewing remuneration mechanisms and policies, designing and amending share incentive schemes and employee share ownership plans, and overseeing compensation in cases of termination or misconduct. The changes reinforce the airline’s adherence to Chinese company law, securities regulation and stock exchange listing rules in Shanghai and Hong Kong, signaling a continued emphasis on transparent, fair and compliant executive compensation and incentive structures that may enhance alignment between management decisions, shareholder interests and long-term corporate performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Buy with a HK$8.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Progresses RMB16 Billion Equity Financing for Shenzhen Airlines
Dec 18, 2025

Air China announced progress in the equity financing plan for its subsidiary, Shenzhen Airlines, with a total financing target of RMB16 billion. Shenzhen Airlines secured an initial investor, Shenzhen Kunhang Investment Partnership, to inject RMB2 billion. Concurrently, Air China contributed RMB2.08 billion, maintaining its 51% stake while reinforcing capital for business expansion. This strategic move bolsters Shenzhen Airlines’ financial capacity, aligns with growth objectives, and reflects collaboration with state-controlled investment entities to strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China EGM Resolutions Passed, Paving Way for Strategic Share Issuance
Dec 16, 2025

Air China Limited announced that all resolutions proposed at its Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) held on December 16, 2025, were successfully passed. The meeting saw participation from shareholders and proxies holding over 13 billion shares. Notably, CNAHC and CNACG, holding significant shares, abstained from voting on several resolutions due to material interests. The approval of the resolutions, including the issuance of A Shares to specific investors, is expected to impact the company’s financial strategy and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Reports Strong Passenger Growth and Fleet Expansion in November 2025
Dec 15, 2025

In November 2025, Air China reported significant growth in passenger traffic and capacity, with a notable increase in international routes. The passenger load factor improved across all route categories, indicating higher efficiency in operations. Cargo operations also saw a modest increase in capacity and traffic. The company expanded its fleet by adding seven new aircraft, enhancing its operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Plans Strategic Share Issuance to Boost Capital
Nov 28, 2025

Air China Limited has announced an extraordinary general meeting to discuss and approve several resolutions related to the issuance of A Shares to specific investors in 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategic financial planning, aiming to raise capital and enhance its market position. The resolutions cover various aspects of the share issuance, including pricing, subscription methods, and the use of proceeds, indicating a comprehensive approach to securing investment and ensuring future growth. The meeting will also address the potential impact on current shareholders and outline future dividend plans, highlighting the company’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Announces Book Closure for Extraordinary General Meeting
Nov 25, 2025

Air China Limited has announced the book closure period for its upcoming extraordinary general meeting (EGM), scheduled for December 16, 2025. During this period, the transfer of H Shares will be suspended, and shareholders must ensure their transfer documents are submitted by December 10, 2025, to qualify for attendance and voting rights at the EGM. This announcement is significant for shareholders as it outlines the procedural requirements for participating in the company’s governance, potentially impacting their decision-making and investment strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Reports Strong Passenger Traffic Growth in October 2025
Nov 17, 2025

In October 2025, Air China reported a significant year-on-year increase in passenger traffic, with an 8.7% rise in revenue passenger kilometers and a 4.3% increase in available seat kilometers. The airline also expanded its network by adding several new routes and introduced new aircraft to its fleet, enhancing its operational capacity and market reach. Despite a slight decrease in cargo capacity, cargo traffic saw a 3.1% increase, indicating a robust performance in both passenger and cargo operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025