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Air China Ltd (HK:0753)
:0753

Air China (0753) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0753

Air China

(0753)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
HK$6.50
▼(-8.32% Downside)
Air China's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its mixed financial performance and high valuation concerns. While technical indicators show bullish momentum, the financial risks and potential overvaluation weigh heavily on the score.

Air China (0753) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Air China Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAir China Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides air passenger, air cargo, and airline-related services in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, Europe, North America, Japan, Korea, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company operates through Airline Operations and Other Operations segments. It provides aircraft engineering and airport ground handling services. The company is also involved in the import and export trading activities; and provision of cabin, airline catering, air ticketing, human resources, aircraft overhaul and maintenance, and financial services. As of December 31, 2021, it owned and operated 746 passenger aircraft, including business jets. The company was founded in 1988 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. Air China Limited is a subsidiary of China National Aviation Holding Corporation Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyAir China generates revenue primarily through its passenger transport services, which account for the majority of its income. The airline charges fares for its domestic and international flights, catering to both economy and premium class travelers. Additionally, Air China earns revenue from cargo operations by transporting goods and freight across its network. Ancillary services, including baggage fees, in-flight sales, and travel-related services, also contribute to the revenue stream. The airline has established partnerships with various travel agencies, corporations, and other airlines, enabling it to expand its market reach and enhance its service offerings. Furthermore, Air China's membership in the Star Alliance allows for code-sharing agreements, increasing passenger bookings and operational efficiency, thus positively impacting its earnings.

Air China Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Air China's financial performance is hindered by persistent net losses and negative EBIT margins, despite some revenue growth. High leverage and negative free cash flow indicate financial risk and liquidity constraints.
Income Statement
Air China has experienced fluctuating revenue with a notable increase in recent years, yet it remains plagued by persistent net losses and negative EBIT margins, indicating operational challenges. The gross profit margin has slightly improved, but the company's inability to achieve net profitability continues to weigh down its financial performance.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Air China shows high leverage with a significant debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting financial risk. However, the company's equity ratio has improved over time, suggesting a strengthening of the equity base relative to its assets. The ongoing liabilities and debt levels remain a concern for long-term stability.
Cash Flow
Air China's cash flow statement highlights inconsistent cash generation, with significant variations in free cash flow growth rates. Operating cash flow has been positive recently, but free cash flow remains negative due to high capital expenditures, indicating potential liquidity constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue167.94B166.70B141.10B52.90B74.53B69.50B
Gross Profit8.87B8.51B7.09B-29.91B-11.31B-6.13B
EBITDA4.92B33.90B32.40B-18.16B4.61B7.05B
Net Income739.51M-237.31M-1.05B-45.18B-18.83B-15.82B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets347.56B345.77B335.30B295.01B298.42B284.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.08B22.51B15.63B11.44B16.71B6.58B
Total Debt171.91B226.70B175.39B214.18B182.87B159.63B
Total Liabilities309.31B304.82B300.01B273.45B232.55B200.26B
Stockholders Equity42.64B45.15B37.23B23.61B61.40B77.58B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow792.75M14.44B12.65B-24.40B6.81B-10.63B
Operating Cash Flow17.83B34.55B35.42B-16.76B12.89B1.41B
Investing Cash Flow-17.02B-17.86B-15.25B-6.87B-4.45B-15.87B
Financing Cash Flow-12.22B-10.56B-15.85B18.10B1.71B11.46B

Air China Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.09
Price Trends
50DMA
6.58
Positive
100DMA
6.05
Positive
200DMA
5.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Negative
RSI
58.41
Neutral
STOCH
63.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0753, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.89, above the 50-day MA of 6.58, and above the 200-day MA of 5.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:0753.

Air China Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
HK$84.44B8.1817.73%5.38%8.54%16.57%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
£161.76B169.210.20%4.08%
55
Neutral
HK$147.08B-42.93-6.44%1.42%3.33%
54
Neutral
HK$139.90B-37.70-7.13%4.61%38.36%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0753
Air China
7.09
2.55
56.17%
HK:0293
Cathay Pacific Airways
12.44
2.81
29.18%
HK:1055
China Southern Airlines Company Limited Class H
5.74
2.13
59.00%
HK:0670
China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited Class H
5.29
2.95
126.07%

Air China Corporate Events

Shanghai Stock Exchange Accepts Air China’s A-Share Issuance Application
Jan 8, 2026

Air China Limited has announced that the Shanghai Stock Exchange has formally accepted its application to issue A shares to specific investors on the Main Board. The exchange has confirmed that the company’s prospectus and related application documents are complete and comply with statutory requirements, and will now proceed to review and process the issuance in accordance with applicable laws and regulations. The proposed A-share issuance, which is still subject to further review and approval by the Shanghai Stock Exchange and registration with the China Securities Regulatory Commission, could provide Air China with additional refinancing capacity and funding flexibility, although there remains uncertainty around the timing and final outcome, prompting the company to caution shareholders and potential investors about trading its securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Buy with a HK$8.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Trims Cathay Pacific Stake in HK$1.32 Billion Share Placing
Jan 6, 2026

Air China has agreed to sell 108.08 million shares in Cathay Pacific Airways, or about 1.61% of the Hong Kong carrier’s issued share capital, via a placing handled by Morgan Stanley at HK$12.22 per share. The disposal, conducted through its wholly owned subsidiary Easerich Investments, is expected to generate an estimated pre-tax profit of roughly RMB182 million and will reduce Air China’s stake in Cathay Pacific from 28.72% to about 27.11%, while a 180‑day lock‑up will restrict further sales without the placing agent’s consent. The company emphasized that the transaction is not classified as a notifiable or connected transaction under Hong Kong listing rules, should not materially affect its financial position or operating results, and that it will remain an important strategic shareholder in Cathay Pacific with its support and confidence in the airline’s prospects unchanged.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Buy with a HK$8.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Orders 60 Airbus A320NEO Jets in US$9.5 Billion Fleet Expansion
Dec 30, 2025

Air China has agreed to purchase 60 Airbus A320NEO series aircraft from Airbus S.A.S., with the order structured through import agent AIE and carrying an aggregate list price of about US$9.53 billion, although the airline secured substantial, customary price concessions that reduce the actual consideration below list value. Classified as a discloseable transaction under Hong Kong listing rules, the deal signals a significant fleet expansion aligned with industry-standard procurement practices, and management expects the negotiated discounts to be consistent with previous Airbus purchases and to avoid materially increasing unit operating costs, suggesting limited margin pressure while potentially enhancing capacity and network competitiveness over time.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Buy with a HK$8.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Tightens Governance With Revised Audit and Risk Management Committee Rules
Dec 30, 2025

Air China has amended the working rules of its Board’s Audit and Risk Management Committee, also referred to as the Supervision Committee, effective 30 December 2025, to strengthen corporate governance and enhance the Board’s oversight of management. The revised rules formalize the Committee’s role in advising the Board, set detailed requirements for its composition—mandating three to five non‑management directors, a majority of whom must be independent, including at least one accounting or financial expert—and clarify terms of office, training obligations, and procedures to ensure continuity and independence. The amendments also specify the Committee’s authority over the appointment, remuneration, supervision and evaluation of external auditors, reflecting Air China’s efforts to align with PRC company law, China’s listed company governance code, Shanghai Stock Exchange rules, and Hong Kong Listing Rules, which collectively aim to bolster risk management, audit quality and investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Buy with a HK$8.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Tightens Governance on Executive Pay With Updated Remuneration Committee Rules
Dec 30, 2025

Air China Limited has updated the working rules of its Board Remuneration and Appraisal Committee, effective 30 December 2025, to refine the governance framework overseeing pay and performance evaluation for directors and senior management. The amended rules clarify the Committee’s composition, mandate a majority of independent directors and an independent chair, and set out responsibilities such as setting appraisal standards, formulating and reviewing remuneration mechanisms and policies, designing and amending share incentive schemes and employee share ownership plans, and overseeing compensation in cases of termination or misconduct. The changes reinforce the airline’s adherence to Chinese company law, securities regulation and stock exchange listing rules in Shanghai and Hong Kong, signaling a continued emphasis on transparent, fair and compliant executive compensation and incentive structures that may enhance alignment between management decisions, shareholder interests and long-term corporate performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Buy with a HK$8.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Progresses RMB16 Billion Equity Financing for Shenzhen Airlines
Dec 18, 2025

Air China announced progress in the equity financing plan for its subsidiary, Shenzhen Airlines, with a total financing target of RMB16 billion. Shenzhen Airlines secured an initial investor, Shenzhen Kunhang Investment Partnership, to inject RMB2 billion. Concurrently, Air China contributed RMB2.08 billion, maintaining its 51% stake while reinforcing capital for business expansion. This strategic move bolsters Shenzhen Airlines’ financial capacity, aligns with growth objectives, and reflects collaboration with state-controlled investment entities to strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China EGM Resolutions Passed, Paving Way for Strategic Share Issuance
Dec 16, 2025

Air China Limited announced that all resolutions proposed at its Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) held on December 16, 2025, were successfully passed. The meeting saw participation from shareholders and proxies holding over 13 billion shares. Notably, CNAHC and CNACG, holding significant shares, abstained from voting on several resolutions due to material interests. The approval of the resolutions, including the issuance of A Shares to specific investors, is expected to impact the company’s financial strategy and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Reports Strong Passenger Growth and Fleet Expansion in November 2025
Dec 15, 2025

In November 2025, Air China reported significant growth in passenger traffic and capacity, with a notable increase in international routes. The passenger load factor improved across all route categories, indicating higher efficiency in operations. Cargo operations also saw a modest increase in capacity and traffic. The company expanded its fleet by adding seven new aircraft, enhancing its operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Plans Strategic Share Issuance to Boost Capital
Nov 28, 2025

Air China Limited has announced an extraordinary general meeting to discuss and approve several resolutions related to the issuance of A Shares to specific investors in 2025. This move is part of the company’s strategic financial planning, aiming to raise capital and enhance its market position. The resolutions cover various aspects of the share issuance, including pricing, subscription methods, and the use of proceeds, indicating a comprehensive approach to securing investment and ensuring future growth. The meeting will also address the potential impact on current shareholders and outline future dividend plans, highlighting the company’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Announces Book Closure for Extraordinary General Meeting
Nov 25, 2025

Air China Limited has announced the book closure period for its upcoming extraordinary general meeting (EGM), scheduled for December 16, 2025. During this period, the transfer of H Shares will be suspended, and shareholders must ensure their transfer documents are submitted by December 10, 2025, to qualify for attendance and voting rights at the EGM. This announcement is significant for shareholders as it outlines the procedural requirements for participating in the company’s governance, potentially impacting their decision-making and investment strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Reports Strong Passenger Traffic Growth in October 2025
Nov 17, 2025

In October 2025, Air China reported a significant year-on-year increase in passenger traffic, with an 8.7% rise in revenue passenger kilometers and a 4.3% increase in available seat kilometers. The airline also expanded its network by adding several new routes and introduced new aircraft to its fleet, enhancing its operational capacity and market reach. Despite a slight decrease in cargo capacity, cargo traffic saw a 3.1% increase, indicating a robust performance in both passenger and cargo operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Reports Mixed Financial Results for Q3 2025
Oct 30, 2025

Air China Limited’s third quarterly report of 2025 reveals a slight increase in revenue by 0.90% compared to the previous year, reaching RMB 49,068,750. Despite this, the company experienced a decrease in total profit by 5.16% and net profit attributable to shareholders by 11.31% during the reporting period. However, from the beginning of the year to the end of the reporting period, there was a notable increase in net profit attributable to shareholders by 37.31%, and a significant rise in net profit after deducting non-recurring profits and losses by 279.95%. This indicates a strong recovery and operational improvement over the year, despite the quarterly challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Announces RMB 20 Billion A Share Issuance to Strategic Investors
Oct 30, 2025

Air China Limited has announced a proposed issuance of A Shares to specific investors, including CNAHC and CNAC Holding, with the aim of raising up to RMB 20 billion. This connected transaction, subject to shareholder approval, is intended to strengthen the company’s financial position and involves the issuance of over 3 billion new A Shares. The move is part of Air China’s strategy to enhance its capital structure and improve its market competitiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Announces Aircraft Sales Agreement with Beijing Leasing
Oct 30, 2025

Air China has entered into an Aircraft Sales Framework Agreement with Beijing Leasing Company, effective from October 30, 2025, to December 31, 2027. This agreement involves the sale of aircraft owned by Air China to Beijing Leasing Company, a connected entity under the Hong Kong Listing Rules. The transactions are subject to specific announcement and annual review requirements but are exempt from independent shareholder approval, highlighting a strategic move to manage its fleet and financial operations while maintaining compliance with regulatory standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Announces Resignation of Chief Engineer
Oct 23, 2025

Air China Limited announced the resignation of Mr. Xiao Peng from his position as Chief Engineer due to age. The company expressed gratitude for his contributions, and Mr. Xiao confirmed no disagreements with the board, indicating a smooth transition. This change in senior management is not expected to disrupt operations or affect stakeholders significantly.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Reports Strong Passenger Traffic Growth in September 2025
Oct 15, 2025

Air China Limited reported a significant increase in passenger traffic for September 2025, with a 5.6% year-on-year growth in revenue passenger kilometers. The company also saw improvements in passenger load factors across domestic, international, and regional routes. Despite a decrease in cargo capacity, cargo and mail traffic increased by 4.6%, with a higher cargo load factor. Additionally, Air China expanded its fleet and introduced a new route from Beijing Daxing International Airport to Ganzhou Ruijin.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Schedules Board Meeting to Review Q3 Financial Results
Oct 15, 2025

Air China Limited has announced a board meeting scheduled for October 30, 2025, to review and approve the company’s third-quarter financial results for the period ending September 30, 2025. This meeting is significant as it will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting stakeholders and the company’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025