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Air China Ltd (HK:0753)
:0753

Air China (0753) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

Air China

(LSE:0753)

48Neutral
Air China's overall stock score reflects significant financial and valuation challenges. The company's persistent net losses and high leverage are primary concerns, impacting its financial performance and valuation negatively. Technical analysis suggests a neutral trend, lacking strong momentum in either direction. The absence of dividend yield further diminishes the stock's attractiveness. Overall, the stock's performance indicates caution due to financial instability and lack of profitability.
Positive Factors
Global Presence
Air China is the only Chinese network carrier serving all six habitable continents across the globe, with a particularly strong presence in the profitable China-to-Europe and China-to-North America routes.
Negative Factors
Earnings Performance
FY24 results fell short of expectations as Air China continued to grapple with pricing pressures.
Passenger Yields
Persistent pressure on passenger yields in both the domestic and international segments are set to weigh on Air China’s earnings amid macroeconomic uncertainties and weak consumer sentiment.
Profitability Comparison
Air China is unlikely to replicate the post-reopening supernormal profits achieved by other airlines.

Air China (0753) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Air China Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAir China Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides air passenger, air cargo, and airline-related services in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, Europe, North America, Japan, Korea, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company operates through Airline Operations and Other Operations segments. It provides aircraft engineering and airport ground handling services. The company is also involved in the import and export trading activities; and provision of cabin, airline catering, air ticketing, human resources, aircraft overhaul and maintenance, and financial services. As of December 31, 2021, it owned and operated 746 passenger aircraft, including business jets. The company was founded in 1988 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. Air China Limited is a subsidiary of China National Aviation Holding Corporation Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyAir China generates revenue primarily through ticket sales for passenger flights, which constitutes the largest portion of its income. The company also earns money from cargo transportation services, serving businesses by moving freight across its extensive network. Additional revenue streams include ancillary services such as in-flight sales, travel insurance, and fees for extra baggage. Strategic partnerships with other airlines and participation in global airline alliances enhance Air China's market reach and operational efficiency, contributing to its earnings. The company's revenue is also influenced by factors such as fuel costs, government regulations, and macroeconomic conditions which affect travel demand.

Air China Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Air China's financial performance exhibits mixed signals. While revenue growth is evident, profitability remains elusive with ongoing net losses. The high leverage on the balance sheet poses financial risk, though some improvement in equity ratio is noted. Cash flow challenges persist, especially with negative free cash flow, underscoring the need for strategic financial management to enhance liquidity and reduce debt levels. Overall, the financials suggest caution due to operational inefficiencies and financial risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Air China has experienced fluctuating revenue with a notable increase in recent years, yet it remains plagued by persistent net losses and negative EBIT margins, indicating operational challenges. The gross profit margin has slightly improved, but the company's inability to achieve net profitability continues to weigh down its financial performance.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet of Air China shows high leverage with a significant debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting financial risk. However, the company's equity ratio has improved over time, suggesting a strengthening of the equity base relative to its assets. The ongoing liabilities and debt levels remain a concern for long-term stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Air China's cash flow statement highlights inconsistent cash generation, with significant variations in free cash flow growth rates. Operating cash flow has been positive recently, but free cash flow remains negative due to high capital expenditures, indicating potential liquidity constraints.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
166.66B166.70B141.10B52.90B74.53B69.50B
Gross Profit
7.38B8.51B7.09B-29.91B-11.31B-6.13B
EBIT
-4.00B-3.43B-3.32B-46.08B-16.20B-13.04B
EBITDA
4.06B33.90B32.40B-18.16B4.61B7.05B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-606.84M-237.31M-1.05B-45.18B-18.83B-15.82B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
22.47B22.51B15.63B11.44B16.71B6.58B
Total Assets
341.32B345.77B335.30B295.01B298.42B284.07B
Total Debt
219.96B162.86B175.39B214.18B182.87B159.63B
Net Debt
197.49B140.39B159.76B202.74B166.16B153.06B
Total Liabilities
306.28B304.82B300.01B273.45B232.55B200.26B
Stockholders Equity
37.34B45.15B37.23B23.61B61.40B77.58B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-5.04B14.44B12.65B-24.40B6.81B-10.63B
Operating Cash Flow
4.85B34.55B35.42B-16.76B12.89B1.41B
Investing Cash Flow
-19.57B-17.86B-15.25B-6.87B-4.45B-15.87B
Financing Cash Flow
-14.00B-10.56B-15.85B18.10B1.71B11.46B

Air China Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.24
Price Trends
50DMA
4.97
Positive
100DMA
4.89
Positive
200DMA
4.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
63.16
Neutral
STOCH
78.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0753, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.87, above the 50-day MA of 4.97, and above the 200-day MA of 4.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:0753.

Air China Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
56
Neutral
$4.77B20.84-17.81%5.09%14.21%-27.26%
48
Neutral
£131.88B-1.68%16.27%64.19%
48
Neutral
HK$83.37B-9.88%14.25%
45
Neutral
HK$103.72B-4.92%7.08%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0753
Air China
5.22
0.83
18.91%
CPCAF
Cathay Pacific Airways
1.22
0.20
19.61%
TSYHF
TravelSky Technology
1.43
0.00
0.00%
YZCHF
Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited Class H
1.14
-0.76
-40.00%
HK:1055
China Southern Airlines Company Limited Class H
3.63
0.36
11.01%
HK:0670
China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited Class H
2.63
0.43
19.55%

Air China Corporate Events

Air China Reports Growth in Passenger and Cargo Traffic for April 2025
May 15, 2025

Air China Limited reported a significant increase in passenger traffic and capacity for April 2025, with notable growth in international routes. The company also expanded its cargo operations and introduced new flight routes, enhancing its operational footprint and potentially strengthening its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0753) stock is a Buy with a HK$5.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Air China stock, see the HK:0753 Stock Forecast page.

Air China Postpones Annual General Meeting and Adjusts Key Dates
May 6, 2025

Air China Limited has announced the postponement of its Annual General Meeting (AGM), originally scheduled for May 28, 2025, to a later date in June 2025. Consequently, the previously set book closure period and record date for the AGM have been canceled, with new dates to be announced. This postponement may affect stakeholders awaiting resolutions and decisions typically addressed during the AGM.

Air China Reports Increased Losses in Q1 2025
Apr 29, 2025

Air China Limited has released its first quarterly report for 2025, showing a slight decrease in revenue by 0.11% compared to the same period last year, totaling RMB 40,023,324. The company reported a net loss attributable to shareholders of RMB 2,043,993, marking a 22.07% increase in losses from the previous year. Additionally, net cash flows from operating activities decreased by 11.33%. These financial results indicate challenges in improving profitability and cash flow, impacting the company’s financial health and market position.

Air China Sees Growth in Passenger Traffic and Expands Routes
Apr 15, 2025

In March 2025, Air China reported a year-on-year increase in passenger traffic and capacity, with notable growth in international and regional routes, although domestic routes saw a decline. The company also expanded its flight offerings with new routes and adjusted its fleet by introducing a new aircraft and retiring an older model.

Air China Schedules Board Meeting to Review Q1 2025 Results
Apr 15, 2025

Air China Limited has announced that its board of directors will convene on April 29, 2025, to review and approve the company’s first quarterly financial results for the period ending March 31, 2025. This meeting is significant as it will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting stakeholders and market perceptions.

Air China’s Controlling Shareholder Commits to Maintaining Shareholdings
Apr 8, 2025

Air China Limited announced that its controlling shareholder, China National Aviation Holding Corporation Limited (CNAHC), along with its subsidiary, has committed not to reduce their shareholdings in the company for 18 months. This decision reflects their confidence in the company’s long-term prospects and is expected to support the stable development of Air China, benefiting all shareholders, particularly minority investors.

Air China Reports 2024 Financial Results Amid Rising Costs
Mar 27, 2025

Air China reported its 2024 annual financial results, revealing a revenue of RMB166,699 million but a net loss of RMB233 million attributable to equity shareholders. The company decided not to distribute profits for the year. Despite an increase in revenue compared to 2023, the airline faced higher operating expenses, notably in jet fuel and employee compensation costs, contributing to the loss. The financial results highlight ongoing challenges in the aviation industry, impacting Air China’s profitability and strategic decisions.

Air China Announces RMB198 Million Asset Impairment Provision for 2024
Mar 27, 2025

Air China Limited announced a provision for asset impairment totaling RMB198 million for the year 2024, following an assessment of expected credit losses and impairment tests on various assets. This decision, approved by the board of directors, aims to present a fair view of the company’s financial position and operating results. The provisions include impairments for fixed assets, inventory write-downs, and credit impairments across several categories, reflecting the company’s adherence to accounting standards and its proactive approach to financial management.

Air China Proposes Auditor Change to KPMG for 2025
Mar 27, 2025

Air China Limited has announced a proposed change of auditors, with plans to appoint KPMG Huazhen LLP as its domestic and internal control auditor and KPMG as its international auditor for 2025. This decision follows a procurement process and is subject to shareholder approval at the 2024 annual general meeting. The change is not expected to affect the audit fees significantly, and there were no disagreements between Air China and the outgoing auditors, Deloitte.

Air China Reports Mixed February 2025 Operating Data
Mar 14, 2025

Air China Limited reported a mixed performance in its February 2025 operating data, with a decline in overall passenger traffic but growth in international routes. The company saw a year-on-year decrease in passenger capacity and traffic, particularly on domestic and regional routes, while international routes experienced increases. The passenger load factor slightly decreased overall, with variations across different route categories. In contrast, cargo operations showed positive growth, with increases in both capacity and traffic, and a higher cargo load factor. The fleet size remained unchanged at 934 aircraft by the end of February 2025.

Air China Announces Key Board Appointments and Governance Changes
Feb 25, 2025

Air China Limited announced the successful conclusion of its Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) held on February 25, 2025, where all proposed resolutions were approved. Key outcomes include the appointment of a new Chairman and Vice Chairman of the Board, changes in board committee memberships, and the election of an employee representative director. These developments are expected to strengthen the company’s governance structure and support its strategic objectives, potentially enhancing its competitive position in the aviation industry.

Air China Announces Board of Directors and Committee Roles
Feb 25, 2025

Air China Limited has announced the composition of its board of directors, highlighting the roles and functions of each member. This announcement includes the appointment of Ma Chongxian as Chairman and outlines the membership of various board committees, which are crucial for the company’s strategic, audit, nomination, remuneration, and aviation safety functions. This structured leadership is expected to enhance Air China’s governance and operational efficiency, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.