Swire Pacific (0019) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$94.29B
• Dividend Yield: 5.26%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.33M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 81.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.51
• Revenue Growth: 6.44%
• EPS Growth: -95.37%
• Country: HK
• Employees: 87,000
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Conglomerates
• EPS (TTM): 4.01
• Shares Outstanding: 778,988,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,454,824
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,329,903
• PEG Ratio: -0.22
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.31
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.98
• P/FCF Ratio: 13.24
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 63 Neutral
• Price Target: HK$83.00 ▲(23.33% Upside)

Swire Pacific's overall stock score is driven by a mixed financial performance with strong cash flow and balance sheet stability but challenges in revenue growth and profitability. The earnings call provided a positive outlook for certain divisions, but technical analysis suggests potential downward pressure. The high P/E ratio indicates overvaluation, partially offset by a strong dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Balance sheet strength

A high equity ratio and low leverage provide durable financial flexibility, lowering refinancing and solvency risk. This foundation supports multi-year investment programs, progressive dividends and cushions cyclical divisions, enabling the group to fund capex without over-reliance on external debt.

Strong cash generation & dividends

Robust operating cash conversion and an increased ordinary dividend indicate sustainable internal funding ability. Reliable cash flows underpin reinvestment, dividend policy and liquidity buffers, reducing dependence on volatile capital markets and supporting long-term shareholder returns.

Large committed investment pipeline

A sizable, committed development pipeline signals long-term revenue and asset growth potential in core markets. Coupled with successful disposals, this provides forward earnings visibility and the opportunity to crystallize value from development cycles, diversifying future income streams.

Negative Factors

Weak revenue and margins

Sustained revenue declines and low net margins constrain the company’s ability to generate returns on invested capital. Over time this limits reinvestment capacity, dividend sustainability and resilience against cyclical shocks, particularly if top-line weakness persists in core segments.

Soft Hong Kong office market

Prolonged weakness in the Hong Kong office market creates structural pressure on rental income, occupancy and valuation of investment properties. This can depress recurring cash flows, force bargain sales or provisions, and lengthen payback periods on new developments in the region.

Southeast Asia beverage challenges

Operational disruptions, currency headwinds and heightened competition in Southeast Asia create sustained margin pressure and execution risk for the bottling business. These structural factors can lower regional profitability and slow returns on new production capacity until market dynamics stabilize.

Swire Pacific Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Swire Pacific Limited is a diversified investment holding company based in Hong Kong, operating primarily in sectors such as property, aviation, beverages, and marine services. The company is involved in the development, ownership, and management of real estate properties, including residential, commercial, and industrial spaces. Within the aviation sector, Swire Pacific is a major shareholder in Cathay Pacific Airways, contributing to its revenues through passenger and cargo services. Additionally, the company has interests in the production and distribution of beverages, primarily through its subsidiary Swire Beverages, which operates bottling plants and distributes products for brands like Coca-Cola in Greater China and the United States.

How the Company Makes Money

Swire Pacific generates revenue through several key streams. The property division is a significant contributor, earning income from leasing and selling commercial and residential properties. The aviation segment derives revenue primarily from passenger and cargo services offered by Cathay Pacific Airways, where Swire Pacific holds a substantial ownership stake. The beverages division generates income through the production and distribution of beverages, capitalizing on its extensive network and partnerships with global brands. Additionally, Swire Pacific benefits from its marine services, which provide logistics and support to the shipping industry. The company's diversified portfolio helps mitigate risks and enhances its earnings potential across different economic cycles.

Swire Pacific Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Swire Pacific shows a mixed financial performance. The income statement indicates challenges in revenue growth and profitability with a negative revenue growth rate and low net profit margin. However, the balance sheet is strong with a solid equity base and low debt levels. Cash flow generation is robust, though recent free cash flow growth is slightly negative.

Income Statement

Swire Pacific's income statement reveals mixed performance. The gross profit margin for the latest year is approximately 37.16%, showing efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 5.27%, indicating challenges in converting revenue to profit. The revenue growth rate from the previous year was negative at -13.55%, reflecting a decline in sales. EBIT and EBITDA margins are 5.17% and 17.83% respectively, indicating moderate operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a solid equity base with an equity ratio of 54.21%, suggesting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.39, which is relatively low, indicating manageable leverage. ROE stands at 1.67%, lower than desired, reflecting modest returns on equity investment.

Cash Flow

Swire Pacific's cash flow analysis shows a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.42, indicating strong cash generation from operations. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.40, reflecting a good conversion of profits into free cash flow. However, the free cash flow growth rate is slightly negative at -4.29%, which could signal potential challenges in sustaining cash flow generation.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	88.18B	81.97B	94.82B	91.17B	90.80B	78.36B
Gross Profit	32.69B	30.46B	35.15B	34.19B	35.28B	30.50B
EBITDA	14.21B	14.62B	35.57B	16.07B	16.41B	12.21B
Net Income	1.22B	4.32B	28.85B	4.20B	5.12B	-11.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	480.03B	476.56B	447.75B	434.77B	436.32B	433.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	26.84B	21.03B	14.08B	11.61B	22.89B	29.26B
Total Debt	103.84B	99.47B	74.90B	74.34B	68.25B	74.17B
Total Liabilities	165.94B	157.89B	122.98B	118.83B	112.15B	113.96B
Stockholders Equity	257.88B	258.30B	268.13B	258.46B	266.95B	262.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	8.40B	6.05B	6.32B	4.73B	7.45B	8.46B
Operating Cash Flow	13.39B	10.46B	9.92B	8.16B	11.66B	11.46B
Investing Cash Flow	-11.32B	-14.60B	13.03B	-17.54B	-6.34B	1.73B
Financing Cash Flow	6.94B	12.62B	-21.73B	-1.40B	-12.34B	-5.69B

Swire Pacific Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 67.30
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0019, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 67.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.06, below the 50-day MA of 68.01, and above the 200-day MA of 67.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 76.29 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:0019.

Swire Pacific Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
0053	80 Outperform	HK$23.16B	5.79	6.18%	5.00%	7.45%	11.56%
0087	76 Outperform	HK$94.29B	13.85	0.47%	5.73%	6.44%	-95.37%
0392	66 Neutral	HK$44.08B	7.60	6.26%	4.94%	―	―
0001	64 Neutral	HK$235.55B	30.45	1.42%	4.02%	1.93%	-65.62%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
0019	63 Neutral	HK$94.29B	81.33	0.47%	5.26%	6.44%	-95.37%
0656	42 Neutral	HK$33.56B	-7.00	-3.65%	0.44%	-8.93%	-698.78%

Swire Pacific Corporate Events

Swire Pacific Sets 2026 Leadership Transition as Patrick Healy Retires

Swire Pacific has announced that long-serving executive Patrick Healy will retire from the Swire group and step down as an executive director of Swire Pacific on 13 May 2026, triggering a series of leadership changes across key subsidiaries. Healy will also retire as executive director and chairman of Cathay Pacific Airways, chairman of Swire Coca-Cola and director of John Swire & Sons (H.K.) on the same date, with current Swire Pacific chairman Guy Bradley assuming the chairmanships of Cathay Pacific and Swire Coca-Cola, underscoring a planned succession that consolidates leadership and is presented as amicable and orderly, with the board expressing gratitude for Healy’s decades of service.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0019) stock is a Hold with a HK$72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swire Pacific stock, see the HK:0019 Stock Forecast page.

Swire Pacific Schedules Board Meeting to Discuss 2025 Annual Results

Swire Pacific Limited has announced a board meeting scheduled for March 12, 2026, to discuss the annual results for the year ending December 31, 2025, and to consider the payment of second interim dividends for 2025. This announcement indicates the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and shareholder engagement, with implications for its financial strategy and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0019) stock is a Hold with a HK$72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swire Pacific stock, see the HK:0019 Stock Forecast page.

Swire Properties Reports Robust Q3 2025 Performance and Development Progress

Swire Properties Limited reported its third-quarter 2025 operating statement, highlighting strong occupancy rates in its Hong Kong and Mainland China office and retail properties. The company achieved high occupancy in key locations such as Pacific Place and Taikoo Place, with retail sales showing notable growth, especially in Shanghai’s HKRI Taikoo Hui. Additionally, Swire Properties is progressing on several development projects in Mainland China, including Taikoo Place Beijing and the Shanghai New Bund Mixed-use Project, which are expected to enhance its market presence upon completion.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0019) stock is a Hold with a HK$72.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Swire Pacific stock, see the HK:0019 Stock Forecast page.