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Guoco Group Limited (HK:0053)
:0053

Guoco Group (0053) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0053

Guoco Group

(0053)

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Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
HK$82.00
▲(18.67% Upside)
Action:N/ADate:07/25/25
Guoco Group's overall stock score of 72 reflects a balanced outlook driven primarily by strong financial performance (score: 62) with robust revenue growth and cash flow, despite balance sheet risks. Attractive valuation (score: 85) with a low P/E and high dividend yield adds significant upside. Positive technical momentum (score: 80) further supports the score, though overbought signals suggest caution.

Guoco Group (0053) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Guoco Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Guoco Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the principal investment, property investment and development, hospitality and leisure, and financial service businesses. The company's Principal Investment segment offers debt, equity...
How the Company Makes Money
Guoco Group makes money through its diversified business operations. Its property development and investment segment generates revenue from the sale and leasing of high-quality residential, commercial, and industrial properties. The hospitality an...

Guoco Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Guoco Group's financial performance is mixed. Strong revenue growth (15.9%) and improved margins (EBITDA up to 33.6%) reflect operational strength. Cash flow generation is robust with an 11.1% increase in Free Cash Flow. However, balance sheet concerns, including high leverage (Debt-to-Equity at 0.74) and a reduced equity base, pose risks to stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.11B2.88B2.49B1.90B1.32B
Gross Profit1.11B1.07B909.36M750.01M351.64M
EBITDA836.71M968.73M376.82M516.19M234.98M
Net Income513.46M458.58M438.97M249.86M322.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.67B17.35B132.62B130.28B131.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.26B3.14B22.48B20.59B21.55B
Total Debt6.15B5.82B5.75B5.82B5.92B
Total Liabilities7.62B7.23B55.29B54.93B54.76B
Stockholders Equity8.75B7.86B59.34B57.73B59.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00921.75M829.90M409.37M437.45M
Operating Cash Flow0.001.02B892.38M451.67M458.36M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-264.70M-384.86M-293.91M-211.10M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-451.27M-613.06M-98.61M-567.86M

Guoco Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price69.10
Price Trends
50DMA
71.26
Negative
100DMA
71.57
Negative
200DMA
71.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.06
Positive
RSI
36.10
Neutral
STOCH
31.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0053, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 69.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.75, below the 50-day MA of 71.26, and below the 200-day MA of 71.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0053.

Guoco Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
HK$22.12B2.846.12%5.00%7.45%11.56%
69
Neutral
HK$36.62B7.396.92%5.88%6.95%24.07%
65
Neutral
HK$15.13B3.545.48%6.37%-7.44%-18.48%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
HK$232.68B17.132.12%4.02%1.93%-65.62%
60
Neutral
HK$38.42B5.535.66%4.94%
42
Neutral
HK$35.01B13.10-3.73%0.44%-8.93%-698.78%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0053
Guoco Group
68.00
7.89
13.13%
HK:0392
Beijing Enterprises Holdings
30.54
3.73
13.91%
HK:0001
CK Hutchison Holdings
60.75
22.43
58.54%
HK:0656
Fosun International
4.29
0.48
12.51%
HK:0148
Kingboard Holdings
33.04
15.54
88.81%
HK:0363
Shanghai Industrial Holdings
13.92
3.74
36.75%

Guoco Group Corporate Events

Guoco Group’s Rank Faces Financial Impact from UK Budget Changes
Nov 27, 2025
Guoco Group’s subsidiary, The Rank Group Plc, has announced that the UK Autumn Budget 2025 will significantly impact its operations due to an increase in Remote Gaming Duty from 21% to 40%, resulting in an additional cost of approximately &#...
Rank Group Faces £40 Million Impact from UK Autumn Budget Changes
Nov 27, 2025
The Rank Group Plc, a subsidiary of Guoco Group Limited, announced the impact of the UK Autumn Budget 2025, which includes an increase in Remote Gaming Duty and the abolition of Bingo Duty, effective from April 2026. These changes are expected to ...
Guoco Group Sets Annual Caps for Increased Project Service Fees
Nov 19, 2025
Guoco Group’s subsidiary, GPML, has entered into project management and services agreements with SPB and FWR, joint venture companies involved in residential projects. These agreements involve providing project management, financial coordina...
Guoco Group’s AGM Resolutions Passed, Indicating Strong Shareholder Support
Nov 14, 2025
Guoco Group Limited held its Annual General Meeting on November 14, 2025, where all proposed resolutions were approved by shareholders through a poll. Key resolutions included the declaration of a final dividend, approval of directors’ fees,...
Guoco Group Announces AGM and Share Issuance Plans
Oct 20, 2025
Guoco Group Limited, a company incorporated in Bermuda, has announced its Annual General Meeting (AGM) to be held on November 14, 2025, in Hong Kong. The meeting will address ordinary business matters such as reviewing the audited financial statem...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 25, 2025