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HCW Biologics (HCWB)
NASDAQ:HCWB
US Market

HCW Biologics (HCWB) AI Stock Analysis

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HCW Biologics

(NASDAQ:HCWB)

Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-9.50%Downside)
HCW Biologics faces significant financial challenges, reflected in the low financial performance score due to declining revenues and high leverage. Technical analysis and valuation scores further highlight the stock's unattractiveness. However, positive corporate events, such as regaining Nasdaq compliance and securing a lucrative licensing agreement, provide potential upside and strategic opportunities.
Positive Factors
Pipeline Advancement
HCW Biologics is working to advance HCW9302 into the clinic for inflammatory diseases, initially targeting alopecia areata, with potential expansion to additional autoimmune skin diseases.
Stock Performance
Shares are up over 100% on the news.
Strategic Partnerships
The agreement with WY Biotech provides important validation for HCW Biologics' new discovery platform and favorable economics.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Dilution has led to a lower 12-month price target, reduced from $120 to $35 (split-adjusted).
Legal Expenses
Despite recent capital influx, HCW Biologics has remaining legal expenses of $14.4M and may require further capital.

HCW Biologics (HCWB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HCW Biologics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHCW Biologics (HCWB) is a biotechnology company focused on the discovery and development of novel immunotherapies to treat age-related diseases and cancer. The company is engaged in research and development of biologic products aimed at improving immune system function through their proprietary platform, which leverages advanced protein engineering techniques to create multi-functional therapeutic molecules.
How the Company Makes MoneyHCW Biologics generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary biologic products. The company aims to advance its pipeline candidates through clinical trials and eventually bring them to market, either independently or through strategic partnerships and licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies. Additionally, HCW Biologics may receive revenue from research grants, collaborations, and milestone payments related to its technology platform. The company's earnings are heavily dependent on the successful development and commercialization of its therapeutic candidates, regulatory approvals, and its ability to secure partnerships with key industry players.

HCW Biologics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HCW Biologics faces financial difficulties with declining revenues, high operational losses, and significant leverage. The income statement shows negative growth and profitability, the balance sheet is burdened with high debt and negative equity, while cash flow statements reflect cash burn from operations.
Income Statement
30
Negative
HCW Biologics has experienced declining revenue over the past year, with a negative revenue growth rate. The gross profit margin is positive but very low, indicating challenges in managing costs or pricing. The net profit margin is deeply negative, reflecting significant losses in operations, compounded by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, which highlight inefficiencies in core business operations.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The company's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative equity, indicating potential financial distress. The return on equity is also negative, reflecting losses. The equity ratio is negative, a sign of financial instability and potential risk for creditors. Overall, the balance sheet suggests significant leverage and financial challenges.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
HCW Biologics has negative operating cash flow, indicating cash burn from core operations. The free cash flow is also negative, showing cash outflows exceeding inflows. However, financing activities have provided a cash influx, slightly offsetting cash burn. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting challenges in converting revenue into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.50M2.57M2.84M6.72M0.004.10M
Gross Profit615.04K959.40K560.36K2.59M-543.60K4.10M
EBITDA-36.17M-29.48M-23.58M-14.18M-12.82M-5.25M
Net Income-37.33M-30.02M-24.99M-14.72M-12.36M-5.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.0030.24M28.51M46.81M53.51M15.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.36M4.67M3.60M32.06M36.71M8.46M
Total Debt0.006.31M6.30M6.41M0.00567.31K
Total Liabilities0.0037.01M15.05M9.38M2.32M1.00M
Stockholders Equity9.00M-6.77M13.46M37.43M51.19M14.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-19.15M-14.49M-28.72M-20.66M-11.02M-10.62M
Operating Cash Flow-15.29M-14.23M-22.51M-10.39M-10.98M-10.43M
Investing Cash Flow-3.86M-261.62K3.80M14.71M-35.02M-186.68K
Financing Cash Flow8.93M15.57M-14.53K6.27M49.27M11.72M

HCW Biologics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.42
Price Trends
50DMA
6.25
Negative
100DMA
8.97
Negative
200DMA
13.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.61
Negative
RSI
39.28
Neutral
STOCH
54.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HCWB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.53, below the 50-day MA of 6.25, and below the 200-day MA of 13.69, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HCWB.

HCW Biologics Risk Analysis

HCW Biologics disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HCW Biologics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HCW Biologics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
£4.84B6.62-61.44%5.44%33.02%6.17%
49
Neutral
$9.40M-451.34%-57.84%
44
Neutral
$10.41M-9999.00%-63.20%15.71%
43
Neutral
$16.63M-362.79%32.45%39.31%
40
Underperform
$9.79M-59.80%157.63%40.52%
34
Underperform
$8.53M-126.03%-100.00%-27.44%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HCWB
HCW Biologics
4.35
-21.53
-83.19%
CARM
Carisma Therapeutics
0.40
-0.80
-66.67%
APRE
Aprea Therapeutics
1.73
-2.38
-57.91%
DWTX
Dogwood Therapeutics
4.76
-1.49
-23.84%
TSBX
Turnstone Biologics Corp.
0.37
-2.08
-84.90%

HCW Biologics Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
HCW Biologics Completes Warrant Exercise with Armistice
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On May 13, 2025, HCW Biologics Inc. entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with Armistice Capital Master Fund Ltd., which included pre-funded warrants for shares of the company’s common stock. By June 18, 2025, Armistice had fully exercised these warrants, purchasing a total of 513,140 shares, indicating a completed transaction with no remaining warrants outstanding.

The most recent analyst rating on (HCWB) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HCW Biologics stock, see the HCWB Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
HCW Biologics Regains Nasdaq Compliance as of June 2025
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

On June 26, 2025, HCW Biologics Inc. announced it regained compliance with all Nasdaq Capital Market listing requirements, following a formal notice from Nasdaq confirming compliance with the Equity Rule. The company had previously addressed compliance issues related to bid price, public float, and market value of publicly held shares by May 13, 2025. HCW Biologics will remain under a Panel Monitor for a year, ensuring continued adherence to Nasdaq’s standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (HCWB) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HCW Biologics stock, see the HCWB Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
HCW Biologics Board Member Resignation and Director Elections
Neutral
Jun 23, 2025

On June 17, 2025, HCW Biologics Inc. accepted the resignation of Gary M. Winer from its Board of Directors, with no immediate plans to fill his position. The resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company. During the same Annual Meeting, stockholders elected new Class I directors and ratified Crowe LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. Despite technical difficulties during the virtual meeting, a quorum was achieved, and the meeting was validly held. Broadridge Financial Solutions, the service provider, will send a letter to stockholders with a replay link and a platform for submitting questions.

The most recent analyst rating on (HCWB) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HCW Biologics stock, see the HCWB Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
HCW Biologics Sees Strong Investor Interest in June
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

On May 13, 2025, HCW Biologics Inc. entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with Armistice Capital Master Fund Ltd., granting pre-funded warrants for up to 513,140 shares of common stock. Armistice exercised these warrants on several occasions in May and June 2025, purchasing a total of 459,140 shares, with the potential to purchase an additional 54,000 shares, indicating strong investor interest and potential capital infusion for HCW Biologics.

The most recent analyst rating on (HCWB) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HCW Biologics stock, see the HCWB Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
HCW Biologics Meets Nasdaq Listing Requirements in May 2025
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

In May 2025, HCW Biologics Inc. successfully met Nasdaq’s continued listing requirements by evidencing compliance with the Bid Price Rule and MVPHS Rule, following a series of financial maneuvers including a $6.6 million Senior Note Conversion and a $5.0 million equity financing. Additionally, the company completed its obligations under the WY Agreement, securing a $7.0 million upfront license fee, and suspended the Wugen License Agreement for 12 months, enhancing its financial standing and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (HCWB) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HCW Biologics stock, see the HCWB Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
HCW Biologics Secures Licensing Agreement with WY Biotech
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

On June 4, 2025, HCW Biologics announced that WY Biotech completed its due diligence on the technology transfer report for HCW11-006, confirming its commitment to develop and commercialize the molecule under an amended license agreement. This agreement, which includes a $7.0 million upfront licensing fee, positions HCW Biologics to receive additional milestone payments and royalties, while allowing them to opt-in for commercialization rights in certain territories after Phase 1 trials, impacting their financial and strategic positioning in the biopharmaceutical industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (HCWB) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HCW Biologics stock, see the HCWB Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
HCW Biologics Engages Armistice in Securities Purchase
Neutral
May 30, 2025

HCW Biologics Inc. entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with Armistice Capital Master Fund Ltd. on May 13, 2025, which included pre-funded warrants for purchasing up to 513,140 shares of common stock. By May 29, 2025, Armistice had exercised warrants to acquire a total of 374,140 shares, leaving 139,000 shares still available for purchase, indicating a significant engagement with Armistice that could impact the company’s financial operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (HCWB) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HCW Biologics stock, see the HCWB Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
HCW Biologics Issues Shares Through Warrant Exercise
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 13, 2025, HCW Biologics Inc. entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with Armistice Capital Master Fund Ltd., granting pre-funded warrants for up to 513,140 shares of common stock. Following this, on May 15 and May 22, 2025, Armistice exercised some of these warrants, resulting in the issuance of 177,140 and 126,000 shares respectively, with 210,000 warrants remaining.

The most recent analyst rating on (HCWB) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HCW Biologics stock, see the HCWB Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
HCW Biologics Enters Securities Purchase Agreement
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 13, 2025, HCW Biologics entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with Armistice Capital Master Fund, granting pre-funded warrants to purchase shares of common stock. Subsequently, Armistice exercised some of these warrants, resulting in the issuance of 177,140 shares. Additionally, the company converted $270,000 of unsecured convertible promissory notes into common stock, with shares issued to key executives and board members, reflecting strategic financial maneuvers to strengthen its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (HCWB) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HCW Biologics stock, see the HCWB Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
HCW Biologics Closes $5 Million Public Offering
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 13, 2025, HCW Biologics Inc. announced the pricing of a $5.0 million follow-on public offering, involving the sale of 671,140 units consisting of shares, pre-funded warrants, and common stock warrants. The offering, which closed on May 15, 2025, aims to support the company’s preclinical and clinical development, business development, and other corporate purposes. Additionally, the company negotiated to amend existing warrants, reducing their exercise price, which could impact stakeholder value and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (HCWB) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HCW Biologics stock, see the HCWB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025