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Addex Therapeutics (ADXN)
NASDAQ:ADXN

Addex Therapeutics (ADXN) AI Stock Analysis

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ADXN

Addex Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:ADXN)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(3.28% Upside)
Overall score is held back primarily by weak operating fundamentals—declining revenue, poor TTM profitability, and negative cash flow—partially offset by a low-debt balance sheet and relatively positive pipeline/partner progress discussed on the latest call. Technical indicators are largely neutral, while valuation remains challenged due to negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
A low-debt capital structure materially reduces refinancing and solvency risk for a clinical-stage biotech. This conservatism preserves strategic optionality to pursue partnerships or licensing deals, limits near-term leverage pressure, and increases resilience during long development timelines.
Material partnership milestone upside
A large, defined milestone pool from Indivior creates potential non-dilutive funding that can materially de-risk development and finance operations if triggers are met. Such structured partner economics strengthen long-term cash conversion potential and de-risk capital needs versus pure equity financing.
Pipeline progression via Neurosterix spin-out
Advancing a spin-out asset into Phase 1 validates the underlying allosteric modulator platform and creates a route to value crystallization separate from Addex. The spin-out reduces Addex's near-term cash burden while preserving upside through equity/royalty stakes, improving portfolio optionality.
Negative Factors
Negative operating cash flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow indicate the business burns cash while core operations remain loss-making. Over months this forces reliance on external financing, constrains R&D autonomy, increases dilution risk, and limits ability to self-fund clinical progression for internal programs.
Shrinking revenue and weak profitability
Declining top-line and deeply negative operating/net margins suggest the cost base far exceeds revenue capacity. This limits reinvestment, makes sustained standalone development difficult, reduces bargaining power with partners, and raises persistent execution risk until revenue or margins structurally improve.
Insufficient cash for unpartnered programs
Lack of funding for unpartnered assets forces dependency on licensing/partner deals or new capital raises. This constrains the firm's ability to pursue internal value creation, delays program timelines, and increases exposure to market conditions when seeking additional financing—weakening long-term optionality.

Addex Therapeutics (ADXN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Addex Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAddex Therapeutics Ltd, a development-stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes small-molecule pharmaceutical products for central nervous system (CNS) disorders in Switzerland. The company focuses on the discovery of oral small molecule allosteric modulators of G-protein coupled receptors. Its lead programs include Dipraglurant for the treatment of Parkinson's disease levodopa-induced dyskinesia, and dystonia; ADX71149 for epilepsy and undisclosed CNS disorders; and GABAB PAM for addiction. It has license and collaboration agreement with Janssen Pharmaceuticals Inc.; Indivior PLC; and The Charcot–Marie–Tooth Association. The company was formerly known as Addex Pharmaceuticals Ltd and changed its name to Addex Therapeutics Ltd in March 2012. Addex Therapeutics Ltd was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Geneva, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyAddex Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its pharmaceutical products. The company's revenue model includes potential milestone payments from strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies that may license its drug candidates for further development and marketing. Additionally, Addex may receive royalties on sales of products that are successfully commercialized as a result of these partnerships. The company also engages in research collaborations and grants that can provide funding for its ongoing development programs, contributing to its financial sustainability.

Addex Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted significant progress in key programs and strategic collaborations, which are positive indicators for future growth. However, the need for additional funding for unpartnered programs and stable but limited income suggest challenges in financial sustainability.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Progress in GABAB PAM and Dipraglurant Programs
Addex Therapeutics made excellent progress in their GABAB PAM program for chronic cough and dipraglurant post-stroke recovery. Preclinical characterization and IND-enabling studies have been successfully completed.
Strategic Collaborations and Investments
Addex's partner, Indivior, completed IND-enabling studies for a substance use disorders drug candidate. Addex also invested in Stalicla, which is advancing patient stratification studies in autism and discussions with pharma for broader applications.
Strong Cash Position
The company ended Q3 2025 with CHF 2.2 million in cash, providing a runway through mid-2026. The cash burn has been significantly reduced following the Neurosterix spinout transaction.
Negative Updates
Limited Funding for Unpartnered Programs
Current cash does not fund progression of unpartnered programs into the clinic, indicating a potential gap in financing for further development.
Stable but Limited Income
Income in Q3 2025 was CHF 0.1 million, mainly related to maintenance of patents licensed to Indivior. This is similar to Q3 2024, indicating limited growth in revenue streams.
Company Guidance
During the Addex Therapeutics Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Corporate Update Conference Call, significant guidance was provided. Addex reported progress in their GABAB PAM program, selecting a backup compound and emphasizing their eligibility for up to USD 330 million in milestone payments from their partner, Indivior. They highlighted advancements in their dipraglurant post-stroke recovery program, aiming to address a growing need among over 100 million stroke survivors. Financially, Addex ended Q3 2025 with CHF 2.2 million in cash, ensuring liquidity through mid-2026, although it doesn't cover unpartnered programs. Their investment in Neurosterix, which is progressing with its M4 PAM schizophrenia program, and Stalicla, which is focusing on neurodevelopmental disorders, were also discussed. R&D expenses were CHF 0.2 million, and G&A expenses were CHF 0.5 million for Q3 2025, both stable year-over-year. The call concluded with a Q&A session, during which the commercial outlook for chronic refractory cough, competitive landscape in post-stroke recovery, and potential developments with Indivior were addressed.

Addex Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Addex Therapeutics faces significant financial challenges, with negative profitability and cash flow issues. The income statement shows consistently negative margins and declining revenue, while cash flow remains negative. The balance sheet is relatively strong with low leverage, but overall financial health is weak.
Income Statement
Addex Therapeutics has faced significant challenges in its income statement, with consistently negative gross profit margins and net income over the years. The company also shows a declining revenue trend, with revenue decreasing from 2020 to 2024. The gross profit margin and net profit margin are negative, indicating that the company is struggling to manage costs relative to its revenue, which is common in early-stage biotechnology companies.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a relatively strong equity position with a high equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating limited leverage, which is a positive sign of financial stability. However, the company has experienced a decrease in total assets over the years, and stockholders' equity has fluctuated, reflecting volatility in its financial position.
Cash Flow
Addex Therapeutics has experienced persistent negative free cash flow, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. Although there was a decrease in negative operating cash flow in 2024, the company continues to rely on external financing. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, highlighting ongoing cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue67.61K404.10K1.61M1.42M2.92M3.61M
Gross Profit-166.85K404.10K1.61M1.42M2.92M3.61M
EBITDA-6.17M-4.65M-2.19M-10.45M-14.94M-12.41M
Net Income-6.10M7.06M-10.56M-20.80M-15.35M-12.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.33M10.68M4.64M8.28M22.54M20.18M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.19M3.35M3.87M6.96M20.50M18.76M
Total Debt36.55K41.99K344.34K373.13K482.01K567.40K
Total Liabilities1.37M1.00M3.50M3.37M5.61M5.57M
Stockholders Equity5.96M9.68M1.15M4.91M16.93M14.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.58M-5.37M-8.00M-16.44M-14.74M-12.24M
Operating Cash Flow-1.58M-5.37M-7.99M-16.44M-14.71M-12.18M
Investing Cash Flow-693.19K4.65M-6.84K2.97K-30.31K-59.41K
Financing Cash Flow1.11M104.92K5.26M3.10M16.40M46.40K

Addex Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.23
Price Trends
50DMA
8.18
Positive
100DMA
8.57
Negative
200DMA
8.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Negative
RSI
53.05
Neutral
STOCH
63.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADXN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.91, above the 50-day MA of 8.18, and below the 200-day MA of 8.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ADXN.

Addex Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Addex Therapeutics disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Addex Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Addex Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$10.11M-0.98-71.27%-72.15%-223.62%
46
Neutral
$14.03M-0.02-179.40%94.52%
44
Neutral
$7.91M-0.88-32.58%-100.00%-463.97%
44
Neutral
$3.30M-0.09-87.93%65.26%
42
Neutral
$5.05M-1.12-57.43%13.30%22.70%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADXN
Addex Therapeutics
8.80
1.41
19.08%
KPRX
Kiora Pharmaceuticals
2.19
-1.02
-31.78%
XBIO
Xenetic Biosciences
2.21
-2.05
-48.12%
NCNA
Nucana
3.53
-204.47
-98.30%
CELZ
Creative Medical Technology Holdings
1.82
-0.33
-15.35%
HCWB
HCW Biologics
1.20
-12.50
-91.24%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026