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Gold Royalty (GROY)
:GROY
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Gold Royalty (GROY) AI Stock Analysis

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GROY

Gold Royalty

(GROY)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(0.57% Upside)
Gold Royalty's overall score is driven by positive earnings call sentiment and a strong balance sheet, offset by ongoing profitability challenges and a negative valuation score. Technical indicators suggest a neutral market position.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company continues to demonstrate strong revenue growth, surpassing expectations, which indicates effective portfolio management and market demand.
Cash Flow Improvement
Achieving positive free cash flow reflects improved operational efficiency and financial health, providing more flexibility for strategic investments.
Debt Reduction Strategy
The focus on reducing debt enhances financial stability, reducing interest costs and increasing the capacity for future growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Persistent Net Losses
Ongoing net losses highlight challenges in achieving profitability, which could limit reinvestment capabilities and shareholder returns.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates reliance on external financing, which may pose liquidity risks and limit financial flexibility.
Operational Inefficiencies
Operational inefficiencies reflected by a negative EBIT margin can hinder profitability and affect long-term competitive positioning.

Gold Royalty (GROY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gold Royalty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGold Royalty Corp (GROY) is a precious metals royalty and streaming company focused on the acquisition and management of a portfolio of royalties and streams in the gold sector. Operating primarily in North America, Gold Royalty provides financing solutions to mining companies and earns revenue through its interests in gold production without directly engaging in mining operations. The company aims to capitalize on rising gold prices and the increasing demand for gold, positioning itself as a strategic partner in the growth of mining projects.
How the Company Makes MoneyGold Royalty generates revenue through its royalty and streaming agreements, which provide the company with a percentage of the revenue or production from mines operated by other companies. This model allows GROY to earn income from gold production without the operational costs and risks associated with mining. Key revenue streams include upfront payments made by mining companies in exchange for the right to purchase gold at a predetermined price or a fixed percentage of the production. Additionally, Gold Royalty may enter into strategic partnerships with mining companies to expand its portfolio and enhance its cash flow. The effectiveness of its revenue model is bolstered by the volatility of gold prices, as higher prices can significantly increase the company's earnings from its existing royalty agreements.

Gold Royalty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements, such as record revenue and positive free cash flow, alongside effective strategies for debt reduction. However, some challenges were noted, including reduced guidance at the Vareš mine and temporary revenue declines at certain assets. Overall, the positive aspects and strategic outlook outweigh the challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA
Gold Royalty Corp. achieved record quarterly revenue and adjusted EBITDA of $2.4 million, a nearly 50% increase compared to the previous quarter.
Positive Free Cash Flow
The company reported positive free cash flow for the quarter, primarily due to contributions from the Vareš and Côté Gold Mines and strong gold prices.
Successful Ramp-up of Key Assets
Commercial production was achieved at the Vareš mine on July 1, and Côté achieved nameplate throughput ahead of schedule, contributing over $1 million in revenue.
Debt Reduction Strategy
Gold Royalty Corp. aims to be net debt-free by the end of 2026, focusing on debt reduction while considering capital returns to shareholders.
Negative Updates
Reduced Guidance at Vareš Mine
Adriatic Metals reduced its full year 2025 guidance for the Vareš mine, leading to a potential shortfall in expected production.
Temporary Revenue Decline at Canadian Malartic
The Canadian Malartic mine generated only $18,000 in revenue for the second quarter due to mine sequencing issues.
Uncertain Revenue from Jerritt Canyon
The company does not expect further revenues from Jerritt Canyon this year unless the mine restarts, following a settlement of $0.3 million.
Company Guidance
During the Gold Royalty Corp. second-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported record quarterly revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and operating cash flow, marking a significant inflection point as they achieved positive free cash flow. Adjusted EBITDA reached $2.4 million, a 50% increase from the previous quarter, while total revenue, including land agreement proceeds and interest, stood at $4.4 million, translating to 1,346 gold equivalent ounces. The company discussed key asset developments, including the Vareš mine's commercial production starting July 1, Côté's processing plant reaching nameplate capacity, and Borborema's progression towards commercial production. Gold Royalty aims to be net debt-free by the end of 2026, focusing on debt reduction, capital returns, and strategic growth opportunities. The company maintains a full-year guidance of 5,700 to 7,000 GEO in 2025 and a five-year outlook of 23,000 to 28,000 GEO.

Gold Royalty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gold Royalty shows revenue growth and improved cash flow generation, but persistent net losses and negative free cash flow hinder profitability. A strong balance sheet provides stability, yet achieving sustainable profitability is crucial.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Gold Royalty's income statement shows a positive trend in revenue growth, with a significant increase from previous periods. However, the company continues to operate at a net loss, highlighting challenges in achieving profitability. The negative EBIT margin suggests operational inefficiencies, and although EBITDA is positive, the margins remain thin. Improvement in gross profit margin is a positive note, but the concern over sustained net losses impacts the overall score.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a high equity ratio, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, suggesting manageable leverage levels. Return on equity remains negative due to net losses, but the company's asset base and equity position provide a solid foundation for future growth if profitability is achieved.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals substantial improvements in operating cash flow, with a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio indicating better cash generation capabilities. However, free cash flow remains negative, largely due to high capital expenditures. The ability to generate positive operating cash flow is promising, but the reliance on financing to cover cash outflows suggests potential liquidity risks.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.35M10.10M3.05M3.94M191.99K0.00
Gross Profit7.16M6.63M1.56M2.19M23.33K
EBITDA2.09M1.94M-7.76M-15.57M-9.92M-140.58K
Net Income-3.25M-3.41M-26.76M-17.35M-17.43M-140.63K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets739.88M737.51M690.99M688.61M279.50M55.46K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.35M2.48M1.78M14.25M11.02M37.54K
Total Debt51.77M50.00M33.06M9.66M47.61K0.00
Total Liabilities181.84M179.21M170.04M152.40M54.18M196.38K
Stockholders Equity558.05M558.30M520.95M536.22M225.32M-140.93K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-42.64M-43.55M-36.62M-38.97M-22.93M
Operating Cash Flow3.44M2.54M-7.92M-19.26M-11.95M
Investing Cash Flow-47.21M-44.07M-33.56M10.58M-69.17M0.00
Financing Cash Flow45.18M42.35M37.08M5.83M90.95M37.54K

Gold Royalty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.48
Price Trends
50DMA
3.67
Negative
100DMA
3.32
Positive
200DMA
2.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
45.73
Neutral
STOCH
51.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GROY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.57, below the 50-day MA of 3.67, and above the 200-day MA of 2.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GROY.

Gold Royalty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
$605.28M-1.14%86.30%74.16%
50
Neutral
$739.56M-40.17%7.27%27.35%
43
Neutral
$85.14M-1.47-92.98%-15.35%30.92%
31
Underperform
$777.27M-374.60%40.02%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GROY
Gold Royalty
3.48
2.22
176.19%
CMP
Compass Minerals International
17.74
2.67
17.72%
USAU
US Gold
14.78
7.13
93.20%
GORO
Gold Resource
0.66
0.51
340.00%
HYMC
Hycroft Mining Holding
9.60
7.23
305.06%
DC
Dakota Gold Corp
3.95
1.78
82.03%

Gold Royalty Corporate Events

Gold Royalty Corp. Achieves Record Revenue in Q3 2025
Nov 7, 2025

Gold Royalty Corp., a gold-focused royalty company, specializes in providing creative financing solutions to the metals and mining industry, primarily through net smelter return royalties on gold properties in the Americas.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025