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U.s. Global Investors (GROW)
NASDAQ:GROW
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US Global Investors (GROW) AI Stock Analysis

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GROW

US Global Investors

(NASDAQ:GROW)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(0.40% Upside)
The overall stock score reflects the company's operational inefficiencies and cash management issues, as highlighted in the financial performance. Technical analysis indicates neutral momentum, while the valuation suggests potential overvaluation. The earnings call provided mixed insights, with strategic expansions offset by financial challenges.
Positive Factors
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with minimal leverage risk provides financial stability and flexibility, supporting long-term strategic initiatives and resilience against market volatility.
Global Expansion
Expanding global reach through listings in international markets can enhance brand recognition, increase AUM, and diversify revenue streams, supporting sustainable growth.
Share Buyback Increase
Increased share buybacks reflect confidence in the company's future prospects and can enhance shareholder value by reducing share count and potentially increasing earnings per share.
Negative Factors
Decline in Operating Revenues
A significant decline in operating revenues indicates challenges in maintaining revenue streams, which could impact profitability and limit resources for reinvestment in growth initiatives.
Net Loss for Fiscal Year
Reporting a net loss highlights financial challenges and could strain cash reserves, impacting the company's ability to invest in strategic opportunities and manage operational costs effectively.
Assets Under Management Decline
A decline in AUM can reduce management fee revenue, affecting overall financial performance and limiting the firm's ability to attract new investors or expand product offerings.

US Global Investors (GROW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

US Global Investors Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionU.S. Global Investors, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm primarily provides its services to investment companies. It also provides its services to pooled investment vehicles. The firm manages equity and fixed income mutual funds for its clients. It also manages hedge funds. The firm also manages exchange traded funds. It invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. It invests in G.A.R.P. and value stocks to make its equity investments. The firm employs a fundamental and quantitative analysis with top-down and bottom-up stock picking approach to make its investments. U.S. Global Investors, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is based in San Antonio, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyUS Global Investors generates revenue primarily through management fees charged on assets under management (AUM) in its mutual funds and ETFs. These fees are typically calculated as a percentage of AUM and vary based on the specific fund and its investment strategy. Additionally, the company may earn performance fees if certain funds exceed benchmark performance targets. Other revenue streams include service fees from investment advisory services, distribution fees, and potential partnerships with financial institutions for fund distribution. The firm’s ability to attract and retain investors, particularly in its niche sectors, plays a significant role in influencing its revenue.

US Global Investors Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 08, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted the growth in revenue for certain segments and strategic expansions in global markets. However, significant financial challenges were evident, including a notable decline in operating revenues and a net loss for the fiscal year.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue for Royalty Companies
Franco-Nevada reported record revenue for the quarter, up 42% year-over-year. Wheaton also generated record revenue and operating cash flow.
Growing Global Reach
U.S. Global ETFs, particularly JETS and GOAU, are now listed on the Mexican Stock Exchange and are gaining more trading volume in Bogota, Peru, and Chile.
AI and Military Super Cycle
A significant increase in military spending and AI development is noted, with a super cycle driven by AI, data centers, and NVIDIA chips.
Increase in Share Buyback
Buyback authorizations increased by 19% year-to-date, reflecting a strategic move to enhance shareholder value.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Operating Revenues
Operating revenues for the year were $8.5 million, a decrease of $2.5 million or 23% from the prior year, primarily due to a decrease in assets under management, especially in the JETS ETF.
Net Loss for Fiscal Year
The company reported a net loss of $334,000 or $0.03 per share, an unfavorable change of $1.7 million compared to the net income of $1.3 million in the prior year.
Assets Under Management Decline
Average assets under management were $1.4 billion, indicating a decrease from the previous year, contributing to the overall loss.
Company Guidance
During the call, U.S. Global Investors provided guidance for Fiscal Year 2025, emphasizing a quantamental strategy in thematic investing, notably in sectors like gold, precious metals, and airlines. Frank Holmes, CEO and CIO, highlighted the company's focus on managing volatility, with key metrics indicating a target for a 3% to 4% change over 10 days as an indicator of momentum shifts. The company reported $1.4 billion in average assets under management, with a net operating revenue of $8.5 million, marking a 23% decrease from the previous year due to a decline in assets under management, particularly in the JETS ETF. Despite a net loss of $334,000 or $0.03 per share, the balance sheet remains strong with a net working capital of $37.2 million and a current ratio of 20.9:1. The firm remains committed to its strategy of buying back stock and paying monthly dividends, while expanding its global reach and enhancing marketing efforts through digital channels.

US Global Investors Financial Statement Overview

Summary
US Global Investors faces challenges in maintaining profitability and cash flow stability. The income statement and cash flow metrics indicate operational and cash management issues, despite a strong balance sheet with low leverage.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
US Global Investors has experienced significant volatility in its revenue and profitability. The TTM data shows a slight revenue growth of 1.12%, but the company is struggling with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational inefficiencies. The net profit margin is positive at 1.81%, showing some profitability, but it has declined significantly from previous years. The gross profit margin has also decreased, reflecting pressure on cost management.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet is relatively stable with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00037, indicating minimal leverage risk. However, the return on equity is low at 0.34%, suggesting inefficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is strong, showing a solid capital structure, but the declining ROE over the years is a concern.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow situation is challenging, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, indicating that free cash flow exceeds net income, which is positive. However, the negative operating cash flow to net income ratio highlights cash flow management issues. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, but the overall cash flow position is weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.54M8.45M10.98M15.07M24.71M21.65M
Gross Profit3.51M3.52M6.18M10.28M18.66M14.29M
EBITDA1.20M-200.00K2.11M4.33M5.19M8.54M
Net Income858.00K-334.00K1.33M3.15M3.44M31.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets48.93M48.06M51.96M55.67M58.36M62.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.32M34.24M37.04M37.04M34.45M20.76M
Total Debt167.00K83.00K39.00K66.00K93.00K43.00K
Total Liabilities2.94M2.86M2.96M3.65M4.58M7.95M
Stockholders Equity45.99M45.21M49.01M52.02M53.78M54.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-877.00K-829.00K777.00K2.90M10.31M4.69M
Operating Cash Flow-870.00K-822.00K990.00K2.91M10.54M4.77M
Investing Cash Flow1.04M1.06M4.42M2.67M-1.02M8.65M
Financing Cash Flow-2.92M-3.08M-3.41M-2.50M-1.64M-941.00K

US Global Investors Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.49
Price Trends
50DMA
2.52
Negative
100DMA
2.48
Positive
200DMA
2.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
54.84
Neutral
STOCH
76.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GROW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.39, below the 50-day MA of 2.52, and above the 200-day MA of 2.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GROW.

US Global Investors Risk Analysis

US Global Investors disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. US Global Investors reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

US Global Investors Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$79.37B19.9320.30%1.46%-13.27%-28.74%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
53
Neutral
$31.37M-90.981.82%3.63%115.35%-48.45%
50
Neutral
$35.06M4.9225.75%121.21%
49
Neutral
$571.95M-2.19-22.03%-9.35%-41.18%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GROW
US Global Investors
2.49
0.12
5.06%
APO
Apollo Global Management
136.75
-39.32
-22.33%
ALTI
Alvarium Tiedemann Holdings
4.34
-0.30
-6.47%
TOP
Zhong Yang Financial Group Ltd.
1.08
-0.47
-30.32%
MDBH
MDB Capital Holdings, LLC Class A
3.32
-3.53
-51.53%
GSIW
Garden Stage Ltd.
0.15
-0.39
-72.22%

US Global Investors Corporate Events

U.S. Global Investors Reports Strong Q1 2026 Earnings
Nov 14, 2025

U.S. Global Investors, Inc. is a registered investment advisory firm based in San Antonio, Texas, specializing in niche markets and offering investment management services to U.S. Global Investors Funds and ETFs.

U.S. Global Investors Earnings Call: Mixed Signals
Sep 11, 2025

The recent earnings call for U.S. Global Investors painted a mixed picture of the company’s financial health. While there was a positive note on the growth in revenue for certain segments and strategic expansions in global markets, the call also revealed significant financial challenges. Notably, there was a decline in operating revenues and the company reported a net loss for the fiscal year, indicating areas of concern for investors.

How the GENIUS Act Could Impact U.S. Global Investors: Navigating New Stablecoin Regulations
Sep 10, 2025

The enactment of the GENIUS Act in July 2025 presents a potential risk for U.S. Global Investors, as it introduces a stringent regulatory framework for payment stablecoin issuers. Although U.S. Global Investors’ operations remain unaffected directly, the companies they invest in might face increased operational costs and compliance challenges due to new licensing, reserve segregation, and audit requirements. Such regulatory burdens could hinder growth and introduce compliance risks, potentially diminishing the value of U.S. Global Investors’ investments and impacting their financial performance. This underscores the importance of monitoring regulatory changes and assessing their implications on investment strategies.

U.S. Global Investors Reports Decline in AUM Amid Market Challenges
Sep 10, 2025

U.S. Global Investors, Inc. is a Texas-based registered investment adviser that offers investment management services and corporate investments, primarily focusing on mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The company recently released its annual earnings report for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, highlighting its financial performance and strategic initiatives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025