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Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO)
XASE:GRO
US Market
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Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) AI Stock Analysis

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GRO

Brazil Potash Corp.

(NYSE MKT:GRO)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-6.98% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance driven by widening losses and ongoing cash burn in a pre-revenue stage, implying continued financing needs. Technicals are also soft with the stock trading below key moving averages and negative MACD. A low-debt balance sheet provides some support, but valuation metrics are limited by negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Very low leverage / conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage (debt under $1M vs equity ~ $205.6M) provides durable financial flexibility during a multi-year development cycle. This conservative capital structure lowers near-term solvency risk, supports staged project spending, and makes future capital raises less pressured by existing debt service.
Negative Factors
Pre-revenue with materially widening losses
The company is pre-revenue and reported materially widening losses (TTM net income -$59.6M vs -$13.2M). Persistent losses erode equity cushions, raise refinancing needs, and increase the risk of dilutive capital raises before the business demonstrates sustained commercial cash generation.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Very low leverage / conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage (debt under $1M vs equity ~ $205.6M) provides durable financial flexibility during a multi-year development cycle. This conservative capital structure lowers near-term solvency risk, supports staged project spending, and makes future capital raises less pressured by existing debt service.
Read all positive factors

Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brazil Potash Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Brazil Potash Corp. focuses on identifying and developing potash resources within Brazil. A significant asset for the company is its interest in the Autazes Project, which is situated in the Brazilian state of Amazonas. Established in 2006, the fi...
How the Company Makes Money
Brazil Potash Corp.’s intended revenue model is to generate sales by producing and selling potash (a key potassium-based fertilizer input) from its development-stage project(s) in Brazil to fertilizer blenders, distributors, and agricultural input...

Brazil Potash Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pre-revenue profile with materially widening losses (TTM net income -$59.6M vs -$13.2M in 2023) and ongoing cash burn (TTM operating cash flow -$14.1M; free cash flow -$20.3M). The key offset is a very low-debt balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.0035; total debt under $1M vs equity ~$205.6M), which reduces near-term solvency risk but does not resolve funding dependence.
Income Statement
9
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-4.54K0.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-57.36M-70.98M-46.65M-13.36M-32.66M-4.43M
Net Income-59.59M-72.88M-46.41M-13.21M-32.62M-5.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets237.52M231.72M141.06M175.57M180.51M165.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.37M38.08M18.86M3.23M16.00M19.13M
Total Debt714.34K759.60K605.61K0.000.0014.07K
Total Liabilities31.93M15.37M5.64M5.18M4.12M4.58M
Stockholders Equity205.60M216.36M135.42M170.39M176.40M160.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.31M-17.65M-15.06M-12.13M-11.95M-10.78M
Operating Cash Flow-14.05M-17.62M-11.28M-8.20M-8.22M-9.61M
Investing Cash Flow-14.56M-15.18M-3.77M-3.64M-3.47M-1.16M
Financing Cash Flow42.91M45.34M31.61M2.50M8.35M25.88M

Brazil Potash Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.15
Price Trends
50DMA
2.24
Negative
100DMA
2.70
Negative
200DMA
2.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
44.10
Neutral
STOCH
41.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.18, below the 50-day MA of 2.24, and below the 200-day MA of 2.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GRO.

Brazil Potash Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$1.70B8.1420.95%0.79%16.41%
67
Neutral
$1.23B183.382.79%6.42%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
50
Neutral
$248.27M-15.54-3.66%6.49%
48
Neutral
$594.22M-5.38-15.03%1.73%-11.77%-85.76%
48
Neutral
$304.77M-12.57-27.57%
47
Neutral
$125.04M-1.58-31.09%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GRO
Brazil Potash Corp.
2.04
0.40
24.39%
CMP
Compass Minerals International
29.34
9.28
46.26%
GSM
Ferroglobe
3.18
-0.63
-16.64%
NEXA
Nexa Resources SA
12.85
8.11
171.10%
LZM
Lifezone Metals
3.39
-0.65
-16.09%
IONR
ioneer Limited Sponsored ADR
3.49
0.50
16.72%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026