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Global Payments Inc. (GPN)
NYSE:GPN

Global Payments (GPN) AI Stock Analysis

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GP

Global Payments

(NYSE:GPN)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$89.00
▲(13.75%Upside)
Global Payments showcases strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, particularly through its recent acquisition of Worldpay. The company's valuation is attractive, and the positive earnings call sentiment further bolsters its outlook. Technical indicators suggest some short-term caution, but overall, the company is well-positioned for future growth.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
Q1 results were quite good, with EPS and revenue slightly beating expectations and SMB volumes growing, which is encouraging given the market decelerated.
Growth Strategy
The company's merchant segment is seeing consistent SMB volume growth, which is expected to drive future growth through new products like the Genius launch.
Negative Factors
Integration Risks
There is acknowledgment of a complicated road ahead as the two entities combine, increasing already-high execution risk for GPN.
Strategic Concerns
The decision to engage in large M&A activities instead of focusing on business simplification and organic growth has raised concerns about the company's strategic direction.

Global Payments (GPN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Global Payments Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobal Payments Inc. (GPN) is a leading provider of payment technology services, delivering innovative solutions to businesses worldwide. The company operates across a range of sectors, including retail, financial services, healthcare, and education, offering a comprehensive suite of products and services such as payment processing, merchant acquiring, and software solutions. Global Payments is committed to enabling seamless and secure transactions for its customers through its advanced technology platform.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobal Payments Inc. generates revenue primarily through transaction fees charged to merchants for processing payments. The company earns money by facilitating electronic payments through credit, debit, and other digital payment methods. Revenue streams include merchant acquiring services, where Global Payments provides end-to-end payment processing solutions for businesses and takes a percentage of each transaction. Additionally, Global Payments earns income from value-added services, such as analytics, fraud management, and customer engagement tools, which help businesses enhance their operations and customer experiences. Key partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers bolster its service offerings and expand its market reach, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Global Payments Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Merchant Solutions by Distribution Channel
Merchant Solutions by Distribution Channel
Analyzes how merchant solutions are distributed across various channels, offering insight into sales strategy effectiveness and potential growth areas.
Chart InsightsGlobal Payments' Merchant Solutions segment shows robust growth, particularly in the Technology Enabled channel, reflecting the company's strategic focus on digital transformation. The recent earnings call highlights a 7% growth in Q4, driven by strong POS and software performance, aligning with the upward trend in both channels. Despite challenges like FX headwinds and market exits, the company remains optimistic, projecting 6% revenue growth for the segment in 2025, supported by new partnerships and operational efficiencies.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Global Payments Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.96%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter with significant strategic advancements, including a major acquisition that enhances Global Payments' position and provides opportunities for future growth. Despite some challenges in the Issuer Solutions segment and macroeconomic uncertainties, the company's overall outlook is positive with increased revenue, profitability, and capital return expectations.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid First Quarter Results
Global Payments delivered over 5% constant currency adjusted net revenue growth, excluding dispositions, 70 basis points of adjusted operating margin expansion, and 11% constant currency adjusted earnings per share growth compared to the same period in 2024.
Successful Advancement of Transformation Agenda
The company has streamlined its organizational structure, unified its Merchant business globally, advanced its technology harmonization program, and increased its overall benefit target by 20% to $600 million.
Strategic Transactions Announced
Global Payments announced the divestiture of Issuer Solutions and acquisition of Worldpay, expected to accelerate transformation and build a durable platform for long-term success.
Positive Financial Expectations Post Worldpay Acquisition
The combined company expects approximately $12.5 billion in pro forma adjusted net revenue and $6.5 billion in adjusted EBITDA post transaction close, with $600 million in cost synergies and at least $200 million in revenue synergies.
Increased Capital Returns to Shareholders
The company continues to expect to return roughly $7 billion in capital to shareholders from 2025 to 2027, with expectations to further increase capital returns by nearly 50% by 2028.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Issuer Solutions
Issuer Solutions' adjusted operating margin decreased by 50 basis points compared to the prior year, driven by softer commercial volumes and ongoing investments in modernization.
Foreign Currency Impact
Unfavorable foreign currency exchange rates were over a point headwind for the quarter, impacting overall growth.
Ongoing Macro Uncertainty
The company is monitoring ongoing tariff negotiations and their potential impact on the global economy, highlighting heightened macroeconomic uncertainty.
Company Guidance
During Global Payments' first quarter 2025 earnings call, management provided guidance reflecting a solid start to the fiscal year. The company reported over 5% constant currency adjusted net revenue growth, excluding dispositions, alongside a 70 basis point increase in adjusted operating margin, and an 11% rise in constant currency adjusted earnings per share compared to the same period in 2024. The merchant and issuer businesses exhibited consistent growth, aligning with the company's expectations. Additionally, the company highlighted its transformation agenda, raising its benefit target by 20% to $600 million and advancing key initiatives such as technology harmonization and global unification of its merchant business. The call also addressed the strategic rationale behind recent transactions, including the divestiture of Issuer Solutions and the acquisition of Worldpay, which are anticipated to enhance global scale and position the company as a leading commerce solutions provider. The company is targeting $12.5 billion in pro forma adjusted net revenue and $6.5 billion in adjusted EBITDA post-transaction close, with an expected $600 million in cost synergies and $200 million in revenue synergies within three years.

Global Payments Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Global Payments showcases strong financial health with robust profitability and efficient cash flow management. While revenue growth sees slight fluctuations, the company maintains impressive margins and a stable balance sheet. Debt is well-managed but requires monitoring to prevent leverage risks, supporting its industry standing and potential for future growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Global Payments demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin averaging above 60% in recent periods. The company shows a robust net profit margin of approximately 15.5% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue growth is stable, with a TTM revenue slightly lower than the previous year, reflecting a slight contraction. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained solid, highlighting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of about 0.76, indicating controlled leverage compared to equity. The return on equity stands at roughly 7% in TTM, showcasing moderate profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio, around 46.7%, suggests a balanced use of financing between debt and equity. Overall, the balance sheet is stable but warrants attention on debt levels.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Global Payments exhibits healthy cash flow metrics with a solid operating cash flow to net income ratio of approximately 2.35 in TTM. The company maintains a strong free cash flow to net income ratio of about 1.93, indicating efficient cash generation relative to income. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, demonstrating effective capital expenditure management and financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.10B10.11B9.65B8.98B8.52B7.42B
Gross Profit6.34B6.35B5.93B5.20B4.75B3.77B
EBITDA4.57B4.40B3.61B2.43B3.23B2.51B
Net Income1.56B1.57B986.23M111.49M965.46M584.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets47.62B46.89B50.57B44.81B45.28B44.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.90B2.54B2.09B2.00B1.98B1.95B
Total Debt16.92B16.82B17.38B14.29B12.08B9.76B
Total Liabilities24.59B23.87B26.78B22.27B19.41B16.71B
Stockholders Equity22.25B22.28B23.00B22.30B25.63B27.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.01B2.86B1.59B1.63B2.29B1.88B
Operating Cash Flow3.67B3.53B2.25B2.24B2.78B2.31B
Investing Cash Flow-196.95M-173.89M-4.36B-675.54M-2.29B-438.34M
Financing Cash Flow-2.64B-2.77B2.14B-1.38B-405.37M-1.55B

Global Payments Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price78.24
Price Trends
50DMA
77.13
Positive
100DMA
87.93
Negative
200DMA
98.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Negative
RSI
51.87
Neutral
STOCH
72.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 78.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.91, above the 50-day MA of 77.13, and below the 200-day MA of 98.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GPN.

Global Payments Risk Analysis

Global Payments disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Global Payments reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Global Payments Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GPGPN
76
Outperform
$18.95B12.757.03%1.29%3.23%22.96%
71
Outperform
¥249.80B12.828.49%3.14%6.31%12.92%
61
Neutral
$572.34M27.778.87%2.92%-1.70%-29.97%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPN
Global Payments
78.24
-17.46
-18.24%
CASS
Cass Information Systems
42.84
3.88
9.96%

Global Payments Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Global Payments Secures $7.25 Billion Credit Facility
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Global Payments Inc. entered into a Revolving Credit Agreement with Bank of America and other lenders, establishing a $7.25 billion unsecured revolving credit facility. This agreement, which replaces a previous credit agreement, allows for borrowings in multiple currencies and includes provisions for an additional $1.5 billion upon the acquisition of Worldpay Holdco, LLC. The facility will mature five years from the closing date, with options for extensions, and is subject to various covenants and conditions. Additionally, the company reduced its commitments related to a bridge loan facility with JPMorgan Chase from $7.7 billion to $6.2 billion.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPN) stock is a Buy with a $160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Payments stock, see the GPN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Payments Approves 2025 Incentive Plan at Meeting
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

On April 24, 2025, Global Payments Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where shareholders approved the 2025 Incentive Plan and the Amended and Restated Employee Stock Purchase Plan. The meeting also included the election of directors, approval of executive compensation for 2024, and ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to governance and strategic growth.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Payments Sells Issuer Solutions, Acquires Worldpay
Positive
Apr 17, 2025

On April 17, 2025, Global Payments announced agreements to sell its Issuer Solutions business to Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) for $13.5 billion and acquire Worldpay from FIS and GTCR for $24.25 billion. This strategic move positions Global Payments as a leading pure play merchant solutions provider, enhancing its financial strength and scale with expected pro forma adjusted net revenue of $12.5 billion. The transaction is anticipated to deliver significant cost and revenue synergies, driving value for customers, partners, and shareholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025