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Global Payments Inc. (GPN)
NYSE:GPN

Global Payments (GPN) AI Stock Analysis

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GPN

Global Payments

(NYSE:GPN)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$87.00
▲(6.20% Upside)
Global Payments' overall stock score reflects solid financial performance and strategic initiatives, tempered by technical indicators suggesting a bearish trend. The company's valuation appears attractive, and recent corporate events support future growth prospects.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of Worldpay strengthens Global Payments' market position by integrating a leading merchant solutions business, enhancing its competitive edge and long-term growth prospects.
Partnership Expansion
Strategic partnerships with major players like PayPal and Google enhance Global Payments' service offerings, improving its market reach and customer value proposition.
Innovative Platform Success
The success of the Genius platform in gaining new locations and increasing recurring revenue demonstrates strong innovation and market demand, supporting sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A declining revenue growth rate can indicate challenges in market expansion or competitive pressures, potentially affecting long-term profitability and market share.
Free Cash Flow Concerns
A decrease in free cash flow growth may limit the company's ability to invest in new opportunities or return capital to shareholders, impacting future financial flexibility.
Mind Share Challenges
Difficulty in gaining market mind share could hinder the company's ability to attract new customers and retain existing ones, affecting long-term competitive positioning.

Global Payments (GPN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Global Payments Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobal Payments Inc. (GPN) is a leading provider of payment technology and software solutions, serving customers in various sectors including retail, hospitality, healthcare, and e-commerce. The company offers a comprehensive suite of services that encompass payment processing, merchant acquiring, and business management solutions. With a focus on innovation and customer experience, Global Payments enables businesses to accept payments, manage transactions, and optimize their financial operations across multiple channels and platforms.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobal Payments generates revenue primarily through transaction fees charged to merchants for processing payments. The company earns money from several key revenue streams, including payment processing services, where they charge a percentage of the transaction value and/or a flat fee per transaction. Additionally, Global Payments offers value-added services such as fraud detection, analytics, and customer loyalty programs, which contribute to their earnings. Partnerships with financial institutions, technology providers, and other payment networks enhance their capabilities and expand their market reach, further driving revenue growth. The company's diversified customer base and global presence also provide stability and opportunities for increased transactions across various markets.

Global Payments Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Merchant Solutions by Distribution Channel
Merchant Solutions by Distribution Channel
Analyzes how merchant solutions are distributed across various channels, offering insight into sales strategy effectiveness and potential growth areas.
Chart InsightsGlobal Payments' Merchant Solutions segment shows robust growth, particularly in the Technology Enabled channel, reflecting the company's strategic focus on digital transformation. The recent earnings call highlights a 7% growth in Q4, driven by strong POS and software performance, aligning with the upward trend in both channels. Despite challenges like FX headwinds and market exits, the company remains optimistic, projecting 6% revenue growth for the segment in 2025, supported by new partnerships and operational efficiencies.
Data provided by:The Fly

Global Payments Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong financial performance, strategic acquisitions, and successful partnerships enhancing future growth prospects. However, the company faces challenges in gaining market mind share and migrating existing customers to new platforms.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Sequential Growth
Global Payments reported 6% constant currency adjusted net revenue growth, 110 basis points of margin expansion, and 11% constant currency adjusted EPS growth compared to the same period last year.
Worldpay Acquisition Approval
Received approval from the UK's Competition and Markets Authority for the Worldpay acquisition, with the acquisition expected to close in Q1 2026.
Genius Platform Success
Genius sales to new locations increased by more than 20% year-over-year in Q3, with monthly recurring revenue from new sales up 75% from June to September.
Strategic Partnerships
Expanded partnership with PayPal and launched a new partnership with Google to enable Agentic Commerce using the Agent Payments Protocol.
Strong Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Generated adjusted free cash flow of $784 million in the quarter and returned $500 million to shareholders through an accelerated share repurchase.
Negative Updates
Mind Share Challenges
Facing challenges in gaining mind share against established competitors, necessitating aggressive marketing efforts for Genius.
Limited Back Book Migration
Only about 10% of Genius sales are from migrating existing customers, indicating some challenges in transitioning the back book.
Company Guidance
During Global Payments' third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported strong sequential growth across key financial metrics, highlighting a 6% constant currency adjusted net revenue growth, excluding dispositions, and an 11% constant currency adjusted earnings per share (EPS) growth compared to the same period last year. Adjusted free cash flow was $784 million, reducing adjusted net leverage to 2.9x, below the 3x target. The company also expanded its adjusted operating margins by 110 basis points and achieved a 96% conversion rate from adjusted net income to adjusted free cash flow year-to-date. The call emphasized the strategic progress of their Genius platform, with sales to new locations rising over 20% year-over-year, and monthly recurring revenue from new sales increasing by 75% from June to September. Additionally, Global Payments announced significant milestones, such as the completion of a $500 million accelerated share repurchase program and the expansion of its partnership with Google to enhance Agentic Commerce. Looking forward, the company anticipates closing its Worldpay acquisition and Issuer Solutions divestiture in the first quarter of 2026, positioning itself as a pure-play merchant solutions provider.

Global Payments Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Global Payments demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and a balanced capital structure. However, recent declines in revenue and free cash flow growth rates pose challenges.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Global Payments shows strong profitability with a consistent EBIT and EBITDA margin, although there is a recent decline in revenue growth rate. The gross profit margin remains robust, indicating efficient cost management. However, the negative revenue growth in the TTM period is a concern.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is improving but remains modest. The equity ratio indicates a solid capital structure, though there is room for enhancing shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong relative to net income, but the decline in free cash flow growth is notable. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, reflecting good cash conversion, yet the recent decrease in free cash flow growth rate is a potential risk.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.89B10.11B9.65B8.98B8.52B7.42B
Gross Profit5.96B6.35B5.93B5.20B4.75B3.77B
EBITDA4.32B4.52B3.74B2.43B3.23B2.69B
Net Income1.75B1.57B986.23M111.49M965.46M584.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets47.96B46.89B50.57B44.81B45.28B44.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.60B2.54B2.09B2.00B1.98B1.95B
Total Debt15.23B16.82B17.38B14.29B12.08B9.76B
Total Liabilities24.46B23.87B26.78B22.27B19.41B16.71B
Stockholders Equity22.67B22.28B23.00B22.30B25.63B27.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.16B2.86B1.59B1.63B2.29B1.88B
Operating Cash Flow2.79B3.53B2.25B2.24B2.78B2.31B
Investing Cash Flow752.36M-173.89M-4.36B-675.54M-2.29B-438.34M
Financing Cash Flow-3.74B-2.77B2.14B-1.38B-405.37M-1.55B

Global Payments Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price81.92
Price Trends
50DMA
80.32
Positive
100DMA
82.64
Negative
200DMA
83.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.31
Negative
RSI
62.07
Neutral
STOCH
79.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 81.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.99, above the 50-day MA of 80.32, and below the 200-day MA of 83.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GPN.

Global Payments Risk Analysis

Global Payments disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Global Payments reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Global Payments Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$4.57B15.2318.14%1.41%2.36%11.30%
72
Outperform
$1.74B79.7416.96%7.17%-5.86%
70
Outperform
$19.02B11.276.72%1.24%-11.30%34.28%
66
Neutral
$2.81B24.946.32%2.25%4.27%-24.06%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$316.34M0.90%71.28%-89.20%
60
Neutral
$561.97M18.4611.44%2.86%-4.96%39.42%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPN
Global Payments
81.92
-31.29
-27.64%
ABM
ABM Industries
47.08
-7.86
-14.31%
ACTG
Acacia Research
3.81
-0.67
-14.96%
CASS
Cass Information Systems
43.65
1.06
2.49%
MMS
Maximus
85.00
16.28
23.69%
LZ
LegalZoom
9.92
1.85
22.92%

Global Payments Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Global Payments Completes $6.2 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Nov 14, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Global Payments Inc. completed a public offering of senior notes totaling $6.2 billion to finance its acquisition of Worldpay Holdco, LLC. The proceeds will be used for acquisition-related expenses, debt repayment, and general corporate purposes, potentially strengthening the company’s market position in the payment processing sector.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Payments Announces $6.2 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Global Payments Inc. entered into an Underwriting Agreement with several underwriters, including J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, BofA Securities, Inc., and Barclays Capital Inc., to issue and sell $6.2 billion in aggregate principal amount of senior notes due between 2028 and 2035. The public offering is expected to close on November 14, 2025, pending customary closing conditions, and is part of the company’s strategic financial initiatives to strengthen its market position.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Payments Announces Acquisition of Worldpay Holdco
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On April 17, 2025, Global Payments Inc. announced definitive agreements to acquire Worldpay Holdco, LLC from Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. and affiliates of GTCR LLC, while simultaneously divesting its Issuer Solutions business to FIS. This strategic move is subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions, and it aims to enhance Global Payments’ market position by integrating Worldpay’s merchant solutions business.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Global Payments Recasts Financials Amid Worldpay Acquisition
Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

Global Payments Inc. announced the recasting of its financial information to reflect the presentation of its Issuer Solutions business as a discontinued operation, following its agreement to acquire Worldpay and divest its Issuer Solutions business to FIS. These transactions, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, will impact the company’s financial disclosures and operations, with the Issuer Solutions business excluded from continuing operations. Additionally, the company has made changes to its cash flow presentation and disaggregated revenues in its Merchant Solutions segment, although these changes do not affect the overall financial statements.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Global Payments Expands Board with Two New Directors
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Global Payments Inc. expanded its Board of Directors from 10 to 12 members, appointing Patricia ‘Patty’ Watson and Archana ‘Archie’ Deskus as new directors. Both bring extensive experience in financial technology and payments, enhancing the company’s strategic direction. The company also announced plans to appoint another independent director by or immediately after the 2026 annual meeting, in collaboration with Elliott Investment Management. Additionally, a new Integration Committee will be established to oversee the integration of Worldpay, following its pending acquisition, aiming to maximize transaction value and shareholder returns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025