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Global Payments Inc. (GPN)
NYSE:GPN
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Global Payments (GPN) AI Stock Analysis

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GPN

Global Payments

(NYSE:GPN)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$88.00
▲(13.17% Upside)
Global Payments' strong earnings call and solid financial performance are the primary drivers of its stock score. While technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, the company's strategic initiatives and reasonable valuation provide a positive outlook. The absence of significant corporate events further emphasizes the importance of financial and strategic factors in the overall assessment.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of Worldpay enhances Global Payments' market position and expands its service offerings, potentially driving long-term growth.
Platform Launch Success
The Genius platform's strong initial demand indicates effective product innovation, supporting sustained revenue growth and competitive advantage.
Capital Return Strategy
The share repurchase program reflects strong cash generation and management's commitment to enhancing shareholder value over the long term.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue poses challenges to growth and may indicate competitive pressures or market saturation, impacting future performance.
Sales Force Transition
Challenges in sales force transition could disrupt sales operations and affect revenue generation, impacting short- to medium-term growth.
Macro Environment Concerns
Uncertain macroeconomic conditions can affect consumer spending and transaction volumes, posing risks to revenue stability and growth.

Global Payments (GPN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Global Payments Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobal Payments Inc. (GPN) is a leading provider of payment technology and services, specializing in enabling merchants and financial institutions to process transactions securely and efficiently. The company operates in sectors including point-of-sale solutions, software integration, and e-commerce payments. Global Payments offers a comprehensive suite of products and services that encompass payment processing, risk management, and fraud prevention, catering to a diverse clientele ranging from small businesses to large enterprises across various industries worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobal Payments generates revenue primarily through transaction-based fees charged to merchants for processing payments, which includes credit card, debit card, and electronic payments. The company earns additional income from value-added services such as fraud detection and prevention solutions, which help clients mitigate risks associated with payment processing. Furthermore, Global Payments has established significant partnerships with financial institutions, technology providers, and e-commerce platforms, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its customer base. The company's revenue model is bolstered by recurring relationships with clients, enabling consistent cash flow and steady growth through ongoing transaction volumes.

Global Payments Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Merchant Solutions by Distribution Channel
Merchant Solutions by Distribution Channel
Analyzes how merchant solutions are distributed across various channels, offering insight into sales strategy effectiveness and potential growth areas.
Chart InsightsGlobal Payments' Merchant Solutions segment shows robust growth, particularly in the Technology Enabled channel, reflecting the company's strategic focus on digital transformation. The recent earnings call highlights a 7% growth in Q4, driven by strong POS and software performance, aligning with the upward trend in both channels. Despite challenges like FX headwinds and market exits, the company remains optimistic, projecting 6% revenue growth for the segment in 2025, supported by new partnerships and operational efficiencies.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Global Payments Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and successful strategic initiatives, including the launch of the Genius platform and the acquisition of Worldpay. Despite some challenges in the macro environment and sales force transitions, the company's positive results and increased capital returns indicate a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Global Payments reported a 5% constant currency adjusted net revenue growth, 130 basis points of margin expansion, and 11% constant currency adjusted EPS growth compared to the same period in 2024.
Successful Launch of Genius Platform
The company successfully launched the Genius platform for restaurants and retail, which has seen strong initial demand and feedback, including 37% growth in retail sales from the prior year.
Significant Transformation and Divestitures
Global Payments announced the acquisition of Worldpay and the divestiture of Issuer Solutions, along with the sale of its payroll business for $1.1 billion, allowing for $500 million of additional shareholder returns.
Record Growth in Integrated Embedded Business
International signings in the integrated embedded business are up more than 30% over the last 6 months compared to the prior year period.
Increased Capital Returns
The company announced a $500 million accelerated share repurchase program and increased their capital return expectations to $7.5 billion from 2025 to 2027.
Negative Updates
Macro Environment Concerns
The macro environment remains fluid with somewhat muted consumer sentiment, though spending has been relatively resilient.
Sales Force Transition Challenges
Approximately 10% of the sales force did not transition to the new sales compensation plan, though many converted to other roles within the company.
Company Guidance
During the Global Payments Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, guidance highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives that are expected to drive future growth. The company reported a 5% constant currency adjusted net revenue growth, excluding dispositions, and a 130 basis point margin expansion. Adjusted EPS grew by 11% compared to the same period in 2024. The company announced the acquisition of Worldpay and the divestiture of Issuer Solutions, aiming to streamline the business and accelerate growth. The launch of the Genius platform has been successful, with the U.S. direct channel seeing a 37% growth in retail sales compared to the prior year. The company also announced a $500 million accelerated share repurchase program, leveraging proceeds from the sale of its payroll business. For the full year 2025, constant currency adjusted net revenue growth is expected to be 5% to 6%, with a slight increase in adjusted operating margin expansion. Overall, the company is focusing on transformation initiatives, expecting to generate a $650 million annual run-rate operating income benefit from these efforts.

Global Payments Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Global Payments exhibits solid profitability with strong EBIT and EBITDA margins, efficient cash flow management, and a stable balance sheet. However, the recent revenue decline poses a challenge, and there is room for improvement in shareholder returns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Global Payments shows strong profitability with a solid gross profit margin of 65% and a net profit margin of 15.07% in the TTM. However, the company experienced a revenue decline of 6.06% in the TTM, indicating potential challenges in maintaining growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust at 25.12% and 43.48%, respectively, showcasing efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is relatively low at 6.36%, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 46.56%, indicating a stable capital structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Global Payments demonstrates strong cash flow management with a free cash flow growth rate of 3.57% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.46, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.83, indicating efficient cash conversion and a healthy cash flow position.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.49B10.11B9.65B8.98B8.52B7.42B
Gross Profit6.17B6.35B5.93B5.20B4.75B3.77B
EBITDA4.09B4.37B3.61B2.34B3.07B2.55B
Net Income1.43B1.57B986.23M111.49M965.46M584.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets48.52B46.89B50.57B44.81B45.28B44.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.61B2.54B2.09B2.00B1.98B1.95B
Total Debt16.65B16.82B17.38B14.29B12.08B9.76B
Total Liabilities25.10B23.87B26.78B22.27B19.41B16.71B
Stockholders Equity22.59B22.28B23.00B22.30B25.63B27.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.94B2.86B1.59B1.63B2.29B1.88B
Operating Cash Flow3.57B3.53B2.25B2.24B2.78B2.31B
Investing Cash Flow46.60M-173.89M-4.36B-675.54M-2.29B-438.34M
Financing Cash Flow-2.73B-2.77B2.14B-1.38B-405.37M-1.55B

Global Payments Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price77.76
Price Trends
50DMA
85.93
Negative
100DMA
83.44
Negative
200DMA
87.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.34
Positive
RSI
33.09
Neutral
STOCH
3.96
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 77.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.15, below the 50-day MA of 85.93, and below the 200-day MA of 87.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.96 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GPN.

Global Payments Risk Analysis

Global Payments disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Global Payments reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Global Payments Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$18.87B13.606.21%1.29%-4.17%4.76%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
$522.43M16.9911.44%3.26%-6.85%39.42%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPN
Global Payments
77.76
-26.24
-25.23%
CASS
Cass Information Systems
39.53
-1.82
-4.40%

Global Payments Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Global Payments Expands Board with Two New Directors
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Global Payments Inc. expanded its Board of Directors from 10 to 12 members, appointing Patricia ‘Patty’ Watson and Archana ‘Archie’ Deskus as new directors. Both bring extensive experience in financial technology and payments, enhancing the company’s strategic direction. The company also announced plans to appoint another independent director by or immediately after the 2026 annual meeting, in collaboration with Elliott Investment Management. Additionally, a new Integration Committee will be established to oversee the integration of Worldpay, following its pending acquisition, aiming to maximize transaction value and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPN) stock is a Hold with a $87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Payments stock, see the GPN Stock Forecast page.

Global Payments’ Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth and Strategic Moves
Aug 8, 2025

Global Payments’ latest earnings call conveyed a generally positive sentiment, underscoring strong financial performance and successful strategic initiatives. The company demonstrated resilience with robust product launches and a transformative sales force strategy. However, the call also acknowledged the challenges posed by an uncertain macroeconomic environment and its impact on consumer sentiment. A temporary pause in buying behavior was noted, attributed to anticipation surrounding the Genius platform launch, but this is expected to be short-lived.

Stock Buyback
Global Payments Launches $500 Million Share Buyback
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Global Payments Inc. initiated an accelerated share repurchase program to buy back $500 million of its common stock, as part of its ongoing share repurchase initiative. This move is expected to impact the company’s stock valuation positively, with the final settlement of the repurchase anticipated by September 30, 2025, reflecting a strategic effort to enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPN) stock is a Hold with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Payments stock, see the GPN Stock Forecast page.

Global Payments Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 7, 2025

Global Payments Inc., a leading provider of payment technology and software solutions, operates in the financial services sector, enabling commerce for businesses worldwide. The company is headquartered in Georgia and is a member of the S&P 500.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025