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Global Payments Inc. (GPN)
NYSE:GPN
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Global Payments (GPN) AI Stock Analysis

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GPN

Global Payments

(NYSE:GPN)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$93.00
▲(13.39% Upside)
Global Payments' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's strategic initiatives and efficient cash flow management support its potential for future growth. Technical analysis and valuation also contribute positively, though macroeconomic uncertainties present some risks.
Positive Factors
Sales Performance
Global is slowly improving merchant sales performance and seeing modest early uplift from a revamped sales compensation plan and benefits from its Genius offering.
Strategic Decisions
The management's plan to sell Issuer Solutions to Fidelity and purchase the remaining stake in Worldpay is seen as a move to simplify the business and potentially boost shares.
Negative Factors
Competitive Market
The domestic software-integrated POS market is getting more competitive and valuations of traditional fintechs are converging.
Technology Challenges
Worldpay does little to solve what is viewed as Global’s technology debt.

Global Payments (GPN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Global Payments Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobal Payments Inc. (GPN) is a leading provider of payment technology services, delivering innovative solutions to businesses worldwide. The company operates across a range of sectors, including retail, financial services, healthcare, and education, offering a comprehensive suite of products and services such as payment processing, merchant acquiring, and software solutions. Global Payments is committed to enabling seamless and secure transactions for its customers through its advanced technology platform.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobal Payments Inc. generates revenue primarily through transaction fees charged to merchants for processing payments. The company earns money by facilitating electronic payments through credit, debit, and other digital payment methods. Revenue streams include merchant acquiring services, where Global Payments provides end-to-end payment processing solutions for businesses and takes a percentage of each transaction. Additionally, Global Payments earns income from value-added services, such as analytics, fraud management, and customer engagement tools, which help businesses enhance their operations and customer experiences. Key partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers bolster its service offerings and expand its market reach, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Global Payments Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Merchant Solutions by Distribution Channel
Merchant Solutions by Distribution Channel
Analyzes how merchant solutions are distributed across various channels, offering insight into sales strategy effectiveness and potential growth areas.
Chart InsightsGlobal Payments' Merchant Solutions segment shows robust growth, particularly in the Technology Enabled channel, reflecting the company's strategic focus on digital transformation. The recent earnings call highlights a 7% growth in Q4, driven by strong POS and software performance, aligning with the upward trend in both channels. Despite challenges like FX headwinds and market exits, the company remains optimistic, projecting 6% revenue growth for the segment in 2025, supported by new partnerships and operational efficiencies.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Global Payments Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.60%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, successful strategic initiatives, and positive momentum in product launches and sales force transformation. However, the macroeconomic environment remains uncertain and affected consumer sentiment. The temporary pause in buying behavior due to anticipation of the Genius launch was noted but is expected to be temporary.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and EPS Growth
Global Payments reported a 5% constant currency adjusted net revenue growth and an 11% constant currency adjusted EPS growth compared to the same period in 2024.
Operating Margin Expansion
The company achieved a 130 basis points margin expansion, demonstrating strong operational efficiency.
Genius Platform Launch Success
The launch of the Genius platform for restaurants and retail was successful, with new restaurant growth accelerating in the mid-teens and strong demand in the retail sector with a 37% sales growth in the U.S. direct channel.
Strategic Acquisitions and Divestitures
The acquisition of Worldpay and divestiture of Issuer Solutions are significant strategic moves. Additionally, the sale of the payroll business for $1.1 billion allows for $500 million of additional shareholder returns.
Successful Sales Force Transformation
The revamped sales compensation plan and training initiatives have resulted in increased productivity and lower seller attrition rates.
International Expansion of Genius
The company plans to roll out Genius internationally, including in Canada, Mexico, and several European countries, leveraging its established local presence.
Positive Cash Flow and Capital Returns
Generated approximately $800 million in adjusted free cash flow with plans to return $7.5 billion to shareholders between 2025 and 2027, excluding returns from divestitures.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
The macro environment continues to be fluid with somewhat muted consumer sentiment.
Pause in Buying Behavior
A temporary pause in buying behavior was noted as clients awaited the launch of the new Genius platform.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025 earnings call, Global Payments reported a 5% constant currency adjusted net revenue growth, excluding dispositions, and achieved a 130 basis points margin expansion. Adjusted EPS grew by 11% compared to the same period in 2024. The company highlighted the successful launch of its Genius platform for restaurants and retail, which has driven new restaurant growth to accelerate in the mid-teens sequentially. The U.S. direct channel saw a 37% growth from the prior year period, with record sales momentum continuing into July. Global Payments also announced the sale of its payroll business for $1.1 billion, enabling $500 million in additional shareholder returns through an accelerated share repurchase program. Looking forward, the company expects constant currency adjusted net revenue growth of 5% to 6% for the full year 2025, with adjusted operating margin expansion slightly more than 50 basis points, excluding dispositions. They plan to return $7.5 billion in capital to shareholders between 2025 and 2027, consistent with their previous commitments.

Global Payments Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Global Payments showcases strong financial health with robust profitability and efficient cash flow management. The company maintains impressive margins and a stable balance sheet, although revenue growth exhibits slight fluctuations. Debt is well-managed but requires monitoring to prevent leverage risks.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Global Payments demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin averaging above 60% in recent periods. The company shows a robust net profit margin of approximately 15.5% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue growth is stable, with a TTM revenue slightly lower than the previous year, reflecting a slight contraction. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained solid, highlighting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of about 0.76, indicating controlled leverage compared to equity. The return on equity stands at roughly 7% in TTM, showcasing moderate profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio, around 46.7%, suggests a balanced use of financing between debt and equity. Overall, the balance sheet is stable but warrants attention on debt levels.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Global Payments exhibits healthy cash flow metrics with a solid operating cash flow to net income ratio of approximately 2.35 in TTM. The company maintains a strong free cash flow to net income ratio of about 1.93, indicating efficient cash generation relative to income. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, demonstrating effective capital expenditure management and financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.49B10.11B9.65B8.98B8.52B7.42B
Gross Profit4.71B6.35B5.93B5.20B4.75B3.77B
EBITDA3.77B4.40B3.61B2.43B3.23B2.51B
Net Income1.43B1.57B986.23M111.49M965.46M584.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets48.52B46.89B50.57B44.81B45.28B44.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.61B2.54B2.09B2.00B1.98B1.95B
Total Debt16.02B16.82B17.38B14.29B12.08B9.76B
Total Liabilities25.10B23.87B26.78B22.27B19.41B16.71B
Stockholders Equity22.59B22.28B23.00B22.30B25.63B27.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.12B2.86B1.59B1.63B2.29B1.88B
Operating Cash Flow3.75B3.53B2.25B2.24B2.78B2.31B
Investing Cash Flow46.60M-173.89M-4.36B-675.54M-2.29B-438.34M
Financing Cash Flow-2.92B-2.77B2.14B-1.38B-405.37M-1.55B

Global Payments Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price82.02
Price Trends
50DMA
79.48
Positive
100DMA
81.69
Positive
200DMA
94.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.40
Positive
RSI
51.81
Neutral
STOCH
48.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 82.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.69, above the 50-day MA of 79.48, and below the 200-day MA of 94.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GPN.

Global Payments Risk Analysis

Global Payments disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Global Payments reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Global Payments Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (71)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$19.12B12.666.21%1.22%-4.17%4.71%
71
Outperform
¥258.28B14.578.48%2.82%6.30%11.95%
61
Neutral
$551.57M22.199.03%2.98%-1.70%-29.97%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPN
Global Payments
82.02
-18.99
-18.80%
CASS
Cass Information Systems
41.28
2.16
5.52%

Global Payments Corporate Events

Stock Buyback
Global Payments Launches $500 Million Share Buyback
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Global Payments Inc. initiated an accelerated share repurchase program to buy back $500 million of its common stock, as part of its ongoing share repurchase initiative. This move is expected to impact the company’s stock valuation positively, with the final settlement of the repurchase anticipated by September 30, 2025, reflecting a strategic effort to enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPN) stock is a Hold with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Payments stock, see the GPN Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Global Payments Awaits Regulatory Approval for Acquisitions
Neutral
Jul 21, 2025

On April 17, 2025, Global Payments Inc. announced its intention to acquire Worldpay Holdco, LLC from Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. and certain affiliates of GTCR LLC, while divesting its Issuer Solutions business to FIS. The Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act waiting periods expired on July 18, 2025, but the completion of these transactions is still pending other regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPN) stock is a Hold with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Payments stock, see the GPN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Global Payments Secures $7.25 Billion Credit Facility
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Global Payments Inc. entered into a Revolving Credit Agreement with Bank of America and other lenders, establishing a $7.25 billion unsecured revolving credit facility. This agreement, which replaces a previous credit agreement, allows for borrowings in multiple currencies and includes provisions for an additional $1.5 billion upon the acquisition of Worldpay Holdco, LLC. The facility will mature five years from the closing date, with options for extensions, and is subject to various covenants and conditions. Additionally, the company reduced its commitments related to a bridge loan facility with JPMorgan Chase from $7.7 billion to $6.2 billion.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPN) stock is a Buy with a $160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Payments stock, see the GPN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025