tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Maximus (MMS)
:MMS
Advertisement

Maximus (MMS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
178 Followers

Top Page

MMS

Maximus

(NYSE:MMS)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$95.00
▲(12.56% Upside)
Maximus' strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. The stock's technical indicators suggest a strong upward trend, although caution is warranted due to overbought signals. Valuation metrics indicate the stock is reasonably priced, providing a balanced investment opportunity.

Maximus (MMS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Maximus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMaximus, Inc. provides business process services (BPS) to government health and human services programs. It operates through three segments: U.S. Services, U.S. Federal Services, and Outside the U.S. The U.S. Services segment offers various BPS solutions, such as program administration, appeals and assessments, and related consulting works for U.S. state and local government programs, including the Affordable Care Act, Medicaid, the Children's Health Insurance Program, Temporary Assistance to Needy Families, child support programs, Preadmission Screening and Resident Reviews, and Independent Developmental Disability assessments. This segment also provides program eligibility support and enrollment; centralized multilingual customer contact centers, multichannel, and digital self-service options for enrollment; application assistance and independent health plan choice counseling; beneficiary outreach, education, eligibility, enrollment, and redeterminations; person-centered independent disability, long-term sick, and other health assessments; and specialized consulting services. The U.S. Federal Services segment offers centralized citizen engagement centers and support services; document and record management; case management, citizen support, and consumer education; independent medical reviews and worker's compensation benefit appeals; Medicare and Medicaid appeals; and federal marketplace eligibility appeals. This segment also provides modernization of systems and information technology infrastructure; infrastructure operations and support services; software development, operations, and management services; and data analytics services. The Outside the U.S. segment offers BPS solutions for governments and commercial clients outside the United States, including health and disability assessments, program administration for employment services, and other job seeker-related services. The company was incorporated in 1975 and is headquartered in Tysons, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMaximus generates revenue through a combination of government contracts and service agreements, providing a range of solutions such as program management, consulting, and technology services. The company's key revenue streams include performance-based contracts, where compensation is linked to the successful delivery of services and outcomes, as well as fixed-price contracts for specific projects. Additionally, Maximus has established strategic partnerships with various government agencies and organizations, further solidifying its role as a trusted service provider in the public sector. The company also benefits from ongoing demand for its services due to increasing government focus on improving public service delivery and the adoption of technology in government operations.

Maximus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 13.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements, including record earnings and strong revenue growth, particularly in the U.S. Federal Services segment. However, challenges such as cash flow issues due to payment delays, a decrease in U.S. Services segment revenue, and potential budget constraints were noted. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by strong financial performance and optimistic guidance revisions.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Earnings
Adjusted diluted earnings per share reached $2.16, a 24% increase year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA grew by 15%.
Strong Revenue Growth
Q3 revenue of $1.35 billion, a growth of 4.3% on an organic basis year-over-year.
U.S. Federal Services Segment Performance
Revenue increased by 11.4% to $761 million, with an operating income margin of 18.1%, a new high watermark for the segment.
Significant Contract Wins
Secured a $77 million contract with the U.S. Air Force Life Cycle Management Center to provide cybersecurity and cloud-based services.
Guidance Raise
Revenue guidance increased by $100 million to a range of $5.375 billion to $5.475 billion. Adjusted EPS guidance raised by $1 to range between $7.35 and $7.55 per share.
Debt Collection Progress
Collected more than $300 million related to a major U.S. federal program in July, improving cash flow expectations.
Negative Updates
Decrease in U.S. Services Segment Revenue
Revenue decreased to $440 million from $472 million in the prior year period, affected by the completion of Medicaid unwinding volumes.
Cash Flow Challenges
Cash provided by operating activities was a net outflow of $183 million due to payment delays, resulting in a DSO of 96 days.
Outside U.S. Segment Performance
Operating income margin of 4.0% in the outside U.S. segment, reflecting ongoing challenges in achieving higher profitability.
Potential Budget Constraints
Federal and state budget constraints may create headwinds for fiscal year 2026, affecting revenue growth.
Company Guidance
During Maximus' fiscal 2025 third quarter conference call on August 8, 2025, the company reported impressive financial performance metrics. Adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) rose by 24% year-over-year, reaching $2.16. Additionally, Maximus achieved a 15% growth in adjusted EBITDA and reported revenue of $1.35 billion, which represents a 4.3% organic growth compared to the previous year. The company attributed these achievements to its resilience and focus on customer service amidst an uncertain environment in the government, IT, and consulting sectors. Maximus also highlighted its strategic positioning to capitalize on new legislative changes, particularly the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act," which could enhance opportunities in Medicaid and SNAP programs. The company's overall strategy emphasizes adaptability to policy changes and leveraging existing infrastructure to deliver efficient and accountable outcomes for clients.

Maximus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Maximus demonstrates strong revenue growth and maintains healthy profit margins, indicating robust operational performance. The balance sheet shows increased leverage, which could be a risk if not managed, but equity remains strong. Cash flow generation is positive but declining, indicating a need for careful cash management. Overall, the company is financially sound but should focus on managing leverage and enhancing cash flow.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Maximus shows strong revenue growth with a 16.9% increase from 2023 to TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating robust business expansion. The gross profit margin remains solid at 23.6% for TTM, reflecting efficient cost management. However, net profit margin slightly decreased to 5.6%, suggesting some pressure on net earnings. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 9.1% and 10.9%, respectively, demonstrating good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a balanced financial structure with an equity ratio of 39.7% in TTM, indicating a stable asset base funded by equity. The debt-to-equity ratio increased to 0.97, reflecting higher leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. However, return on equity improved to 18.0%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.09 for TTM, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow decreased by 45.4% in TTM, which is a concern, but remains positive at $219 million. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.73, suggesting adequate but declining free cash flow coverage.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.43B5.31B4.90B4.63B4.25B3.46B
Gross Profit1.30B1.25B1.03B939.81M946.98M711.00M
EBITDA648.10M488.50M456.45M464.76M502.74M396.08M
Net Income316.25M306.91M161.79M203.83M291.20M214.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.46B4.13B3.99B3.99B4.12B2.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.78M183.12M65.41M40.66M135.06M71.74M
Total Debt1.78B1.28B1.43B1.51B1.71B213.65M
Total Liabilities2.69B2.29B2.32B2.44B2.64B782.88M
Stockholders Equity1.77B1.84B1.67B1.55B1.48B1.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-143.81M401.07M223.65M233.69M480.76M203.88M
Operating Cash Flow-56.17M515.26M314.34M289.84M517.32M244.59M
Investing Cash Flow-89.05M-129.10M-80.96M-54.01M-1.84B-44.14M
Financing Cash Flow100.97M-275.65M-250.80M-248.27M1.39B-230.09M

Maximus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price84.40
Price Trends
50DMA
72.76
Positive
100DMA
71.20
Positive
200DMA
72.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.38
Negative
RSI
74.06
Negative
STOCH
91.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MMS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 84.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.30, above the 50-day MA of 72.76, and above the 200-day MA of 72.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.06 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MMS.

Maximus Risk Analysis

Maximus disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Maximus reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Maximus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$4.76B15.5617.61%1.42%3.40%13.75%
72
Outperform
$3.38B35.977.84%46.49%-25.62%
71
Outperform
$3.10B21.327.15%0.79%4.18%18.93%
69
Neutral
$3.01B38.744.30%2.12%3.52%-67.27%
68
Neutral
$10.42B29.3412.00%1.06%-0.06%3.83%
66
Neutral
£2.68B13.053.30%3.25%2.40%-22.21%
52
Neutral
$2.93B549.40-13.57%65.34%-633.72%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MMS
Maximus
84.40
-3.34
-3.81%
ABM
ABM Industries
48.14
-5.36
-10.02%
CBZ
CBIZ
62.37
-7.92
-11.27%
UNF
UniFirst
173.63
-11.50
-6.21%
ARMK
ARAMARK Holdings
39.63
4.05
11.38%
FA
First Advantage
16.48
-1.56
-8.65%

Maximus Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Maximus Updates By-laws for Shareholder Proposals
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Maximus, Inc. amended its By-laws to enhance disclosure requirements for shareholders proposing director nominations or business at meetings. These changes include detailed disclosure of stock ownership, performance-related fees, and material relationships, as well as compliance certifications with applicable laws. The amendments also limit the number of board nominees a shareholder can propose, prohibit substitute nominations without notice, and require updates to shareholder information. Additionally, the By-laws now align with Virginia Stock Corporation Act provisions and include technical updates.

The most recent analyst rating on (MMS) stock is a Buy with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Maximus stock, see the MMS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025