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Golar Lng Limited (GLNG)
NASDAQ:GLNG

Golar LNG (GLNG) AI Stock Analysis

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Golar LNG

(NASDAQ:GLNG)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$45.00
â–²(6.43%Upside)
Golar LNG's overall score reflects a company with strong technical momentum and promising long-term contracts but facing immediate challenges in valuation and cash flow management. The earnings call highlighted strategic strength, though market conditions and undervaluation concerns weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Earnings potential
Gimi offloaded its first LNG cargo and is on pace to achieve COD, with a 20-year contract expected to generate significant annual EBITDA.
Long-term contracts
Finalizing long-term employment for its three existing FLNGs paves the way for additional newbuilds.
Negative Factors
Asset utilization
Lower cash flows are anticipated from the Hilli until its full deployment in Argentina.
Utilization
The Hilli is currently only 55% utilized, resulting in lower cash flows until its deployment in Argentina.

Golar LNG (GLNG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Golar LNG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGolar LNG Limited designs, builds, owns, and operates marine infrastructure for the liquefaction and regasification of LNG. It operates through Shipping and FLNG segments. The company engages in the operation and chartering of LNG carriers, Floating Liquefaction Natural Gas Vessel (FLNG), and floating storage regasification units (FSRUs), as well as operates external vessels. As of December 31, 2021, it operated nine LNG carriers, one FSRU, and three FLNGs. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyGolar LNG generates revenue primarily through the leasing and operation of its LNG carriers and FSRUs. The company enters into long-term charter agreements with major energy companies, securing stable income from the leasing of its vessels. These contracts often include fixed and variable rate components, depending on the length and terms of the charter. Additionally, Golar LNG participates in LNG trading, capturing margins on the sale and purchase of LNG cargoes. The company also earns income through partnerships and joint ventures that develop and operate LNG infrastructure projects, such as floating liquefaction facilities, further diversifying its revenue streams.

Golar LNG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 27, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.75%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Golar LNG's strong long-term positioning with significant contract backlogs and operational excellence, though concerns about current EBITDA performance related to market conditions and potential undervaluation were noted.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Securing Long-term Charters
Golar LNG secured two 20-year charters, one for FLNG Hilli and another for Mark II FLNG, ensuring significant long-term revenue streams.
Record EBITDA Backlog
The company announced an EBITDA backlog of approximately $17 billion before commodity exposure, providing long-term cash flow visibility.
Strong Financial Position
Golar LNG has a market cap of around $4 billion, net debt of $800 million, and maintains a solid balance sheet with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.8 times.
Operational Excellence
FLNG Hilli achieved 100% operational uptime, delivering 132 cargoes and producing more than 9.2 million tons of LNG since 2018.
Successful Refinancing
Golar LNG signed a $1.2 billion debt facility to refinance FLNG Gimi, expected to generate net proceeds of approximately $530 million.
Negative Updates
Lower EBITDA Due to Market Conditions
Total EBITDA reached $41 million in Q1, driven by lower Brent and TTF prices, compared to previous quarters.
Commodity Price Exposure
Golar LNG has a downside exposure of up to $210 million if annual average FOB prices fall between $7.5 and $6.
Market Valuation Concerns
Despite strong performance, the Board expressed concerns about undervaluation by the market, hinting at strategic alternatives if the situation persists.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Golar LNG Limited reported significant developments and financial metrics, highlighting its transformation into a focused FLNG company. The company secured two 20-year charters, including a contract for the FLNG Hilli and a definitive agreement for its Mark II FLNG, resulting in an EBITDA backlog of $17 billion. The company also exited LNG shipping, reported a market cap of $4 billion, and maintained a net debt of $800 million, with an anticipated net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.8 times. Operationally, the FLNG Hilli achieved 100% uptime, contributing to the production of over 9.2 million tons of LNG. Golar also reported operating revenues of $63 million and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share. The company aims to optimize its balance sheet, targeting a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5 times, potentially unlocking over $1.9 billion of equity for growth initiatives, including new FLNG units.

Golar LNG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Golar LNG's financial performance shows a mixed picture. While there is recovery in net income and a stable balance sheet, challenges remain with declining revenue and negative free cash flow. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow management.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Golar LNG shows a mixed performance in its income statement metrics. While there is a notable recovery in net income from a loss in 2023 to a positive figure in 2024, revenue has declined from the previous year by 12.75%. The gross profit margin for 2024 is approximately 48.57%, indicating good cost management, but declining EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight challenges in operational efficiency. The company needs to focus on stabilizing and growing revenue to improve profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of Golar LNG reflects moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has shown some improvement, indicating a decrease in leverage, with the current ratio at about 0.72. Return on Equity (ROE) has improved to approximately 2.47% in 2024, recovering from a negative ROE in 2023. The equity ratio stands at 46.25%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the company should continue to focus on reducing its debt to strengthen its balance sheet further.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow performance is a concern for Golar LNG, with negative free cash flow in 2024 albeit an improvement from the previous year. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash generation relative to net income, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative. The company should prioritize improving operational cash flow and reducing capital expenditures to achieve positive free cash flow.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
260.37M298.43M267.74M451.76M438.64M
Gross Profit
126.45M154.80M140.78M214.71M209.15M
EBIT
62.18M15.80M91.64M181.93M173.92M
EBITDA
138.64M53.21M1.08B29.54M193.07M
Net Income Common Stockholders
50.84M-46.79M787.77M-9.68M8.60M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
566.38M684.38M1.13B268.63M127.69M
Total Assets
4.37B4.08B4.28B4.95B4.34B
Total Debt
1.46B1.22B1.19B2.41B2.38B
Net Debt
892.58M544.85M314.07M2.14B2.25B
Total Liabilities
2.00B1.48B1.38B2.77B2.71B
Stockholders Equity
2.01B2.07B2.50B1.73B1.29B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-119.16M-189.96M31.46M15.60M-156.40M
Operating Cash Flow
318.24M135.25M298.88M230.00M145.78M
Investing Cash Flow
-416.98M-131.71M1.07B-74.35M-103.03M
Financing Cash Flow
43.85M-244.95M-691.64M-51.61M-137.11M

Golar LNG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price42.28
Price Trends
50DMA
38.77
Positive
100DMA
38.40
Positive
200DMA
37.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.91
Negative
RSI
62.42
Neutral
STOCH
73.75
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLNG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.39, above the 50-day MA of 38.77, and above the 200-day MA of 37.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GLNG.

Golar LNG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.83B5.7217.57%6.33%-18.74%-39.64%
DHDHT
79
Outperform
$1.81B10.1717.04%5.26%-5.32%5.51%
FRFRO
78
Outperform
$3.91B11.2314.79%4.01%0.88%-45.41%
78
Outperform
$2.03B2.8824.68%3.88%-7.25%31.85%
72
Outperform
$1.25B12.3612.69%12.65%-3.95%-2.25%
68
Neutral
$4.39B1,587.880.13%2.38%-10.89%-97.48%
58
Neutral
$7.43B3.43-4.49%10.08%0.81%-49.42%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLNG
Golar LNG
42.28
15.63
58.65%
DHT
DHT Holdings
11.65
1.25
12.02%
FRO
Frontline
18.37
-3.96
-17.73%
STNG
Scorpio Tankers
41.84
-31.08
-42.62%
INSW
International Seaways
38.20
-11.32
-22.86%
FLNG
FLEX LNG
24.15
1.21
5.27%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.