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Great Elm Group (GEG)
NASDAQ:GEG

Great Elm Group (GEG) AI Stock Analysis

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GEG

Great Elm Group

(NASDAQ:GEG)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-18.37% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/07/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance (large TTM losses and volatile/declining revenue), with only partial offset from improved TTM cash flow and a moderate-leverage balance sheet. Technicals also remain bearish (below key moving averages with negative MACD), while valuation metrics provide limited support given the negative P/E and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
The trailing-twelve-month positive operating and free cash flow (~$4.3M) shows an operational cash-generation inflection that can fund working capital, service obligations, and selective reinvestment without immediate external financing. If sustained, this improves resilience and supports longer-term fee and lending activities while management executes a profitability turnaround.
Negative Factors
Weak profitability
A large trailing net loss and negative operating earnings indicate persistent profitability challenges that erode equity and limit retained capital for organic growth. For an asset manager, sustained losses impair ability to scale fee-bearing AUM, attract capital, and sustain performance fees, increasing reliance on balance-sheet support or external financing to bridge operations.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
The trailing-twelve-month positive operating and free cash flow (~$4.3M) shows an operational cash-generation inflection that can fund working capital, service obligations, and selective reinvestment without immediate external financing. If sustained, this improves resilience and supports longer-term fee and lending activities while management executes a profitability turnaround.
Read all positive factors

Great Elm Group (GEG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Great Elm Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Great Elm Group, Inc. engages in the durable medical equipment and investment management businesses. The company distributes respiratory care equipment, including positive air pressure equipment and supplies, ventilators and oxygen equipment, and ...
How the Company Makes Money
GEG primarily makes money by earning fees for managing capital in its investment vehicles and by generating investment income from credit-focused investments. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) management fees based on assets under managem...

Great Elm Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Segment
Revenue By Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsGreat Elm Group's revenue streams show a strategic pivot with significant growth in Management Fees and a sharp rebound in Incentive Fees, reflecting successful asset management and private credit strategies. Property Sales, while sporadic, contributed significantly to quarterly revenue spikes. Earnings call highlights a robust capital raise and strategic partnerships, enhancing fee-paying AUM. However, financial challenges persist with a net loss driven by unrealized investment losses. The company's focus on expanding credit and real estate platforms suggests potential for future revenue stability and growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Great Elm Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant capital raising and strategic partnerships, as well as growth in assets under management and success in private credit strategy. However, these positives were offset by a net loss for the quarter, adjusted EBITDA loss, and the impact of First Brands' bankruptcy. The sentiment reflects a balanced view of both positive growth initiatives and financial challenges.
Positive Updates
Record Capital Raising
Great Elm Group raised nearly $250 million in debt and equity capital across its credit and real estate platforms.
Negative Updates
Net Loss for the Quarter
GEG reported a net loss of $7.9 million for the quarter, primarily due to unrealized losses on investments in GECC common stock and CoreWeave-related investment.
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Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Capital Raising
Great Elm Group raised nearly $250 million in debt and equity capital across its credit and real estate platforms.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Great Elm Group's Fiscal 2026 First Quarter Conference Call, substantial progress was reported in strategic initiatives, notably in expanding the platform, growing assets under management (AUM), and enhancing profitability. The company raised nearly $250 million in debt and equity capital, which contributed to a 9% year-over-year growth in fee-paying AUM, reaching approximately $594 million, or 10% on a pro forma basis to about $601 million. Additionally, the company reported fiscal first-quarter revenue of $10.8 million, a significant increase from the previous year's $4 million, primarily attributed to a $7.4 million gain from a property sale. However, a net loss of $7.9 million was reported compared to a net income of $3 million a year ago, largely due to unrealized losses on investments. The company's balance sheet remains robust with $53.5 million in cash, enabling flexibility for growth initiatives. The call outlined future strategic actions focused on further scaling credit and real estate platforms and increasing fee-paying AUM.

Great Elm Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement quality is weak (large TTM net loss, negative operating earnings, and contracting/volatile revenue), partially offset by a serviceable balance sheet (moderate leverage with positive equity) and improved TTM cash generation (positive operating and free cash flow). Overall fundamentals remain dependent on a sustained profitability turnaround.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.62M16.32M17.83M8.66M4.52M60.85M
Gross Profit1.77M-108.00K977.00K-1.53M-2.10M33.53M
EBITDA-7.63M21.04M4.60M21.91M-8.22M655.00K
Net Income-13.71M12.89M-1.39M27.73M-14.89M-7.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets135.49M153.94M140.45M135.89M168.09M161.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments105.35M109.45M116.50M117.37M72.12M74.92M
Total Debt64.57M62.59M61.18M63.44M70.80M40.89M
Total Liabilities75.80M73.27M70.25M72.05M125.83M106.44M
Stockholders Equity55.76M70.32M62.71M63.84M33.50M43.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.28M-9.01M-15.55M-2.43M28.45M-25.95M
Operating Cash Flow4.28M-9.01M-15.55M-2.37M29.28M-18.98M
Investing Cash Flow807.00K-1.34M2.27M83.96M-40.02M-15.48M
Financing Cash Flow3.38M-8.77M2.84M-47.62M9.95M18.34M

Great Elm Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.45
Price Trends
50DMA
2.10
Negative
100DMA
2.31
Negative
200DMA
2.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
35.55
Neutral
STOCH
19.19
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.00, above the 50-day MA of 2.10, and above the 200-day MA of 2.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.19 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GEG.

Great Elm Group Risk Analysis

Great Elm Group disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Great Elm Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Great Elm Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
50
Neutral
$13.28M49.21
45
Neutral
$61.89M-1.28-21.33%24.82%
39
Underperform
$1.55M-30.1741.78%-22.37%63.14%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GEG
Great Elm Group
1.89
0.00
0.00%
RDGT
Ridgetech
0.08
-1.10
-92.88%
SNYR
Synergy CHC
1.18
-2.03
-63.24%
WGRX
Wellgistics Health Inc
0.11
-3.76
-97.13%

Great Elm Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Great Elm Group Adopts New Two-Segment Reporting Structure
Neutral
Jan 7, 2026
In a filing made in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Great Elm Group recast its historical segment financial information for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025 to reflect a new reporting structure built around two segments—Alternative Cred...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026