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Great Elm Group (GEG)
NASDAQ:GEG
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Great Elm Group (GEG) AI Stock Analysis

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GEG

Great Elm Group

(NASDAQ:GEG)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-3.85% Downside)
Great Elm Group's overall score is driven by strong revenue growth and strategic initiatives, but is significantly hampered by profitability issues, cash flow challenges, and a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provided some positive insights, but financial challenges remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates robust market demand and effective business strategies, positioning the company for long-term expansion.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships enhance GEG's investment capabilities and access to larger deals, supporting sustainable growth and competitive positioning.
Growth in Assets Under Management
Increasing AUM reflects successful fund management and investor confidence, which can drive future revenue through management and performance fees.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues, evidenced by net losses, highlight operational inefficiencies that could hinder long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative cash flow growth indicates liquidity constraints, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
The adjusted EBITDA loss suggests operational challenges and inefficiencies, which could impact the company's ability to achieve sustainable profitability.

Great Elm Group (GEG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Great Elm Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreat Elm Group (GEG) is a diversified investment management firm based in the United States, focusing primarily on the acquisition and management of middle-market businesses and real estate assets. The company operates through various sectors, including private equity, real estate investment, and asset management, offering a range of services designed to create value for its investors and partners. GEG's core products include investment funds that target high-growth opportunities, as well as strategic advisory services aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and maximizing returns on investment.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreat Elm Group generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from management fees and performance-based incentives associated with its investment funds. The company earns management fees by providing investment management services to its funds, typically calculated as a percentage of the assets under management (AUM). Additionally, GEG benefits from performance fees, which are contingent upon achieving specific investment returns, aligning its interests with those of its investors. The firm also engages in direct investments in portfolio companies, generating earnings from operational profits and eventual exits through sales or public offerings. Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions and investment firms further enhance GEG's capabilities, allowing for access to larger deals and diversified investment opportunities, thereby contributing to its overall revenue growth.

Great Elm Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Segment
Revenue By Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsGreat Elm Group's revenue streams show a strategic pivot with significant growth in Management Fees and a sharp rebound in Incentive Fees, reflecting successful asset management and private credit strategies. Property Sales, while sporadic, contributed significantly to quarterly revenue spikes. Earnings call highlights a robust capital raise and strategic partnerships, enhancing fee-paying AUM. However, financial challenges persist with a net loss driven by unrealized investment losses. The company's focus on expanding credit and real estate platforms suggests potential for future revenue stability and growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Great Elm Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant capital raising and strategic partnerships, as well as growth in assets under management and success in private credit strategy. However, these positives were offset by a net loss for the quarter, adjusted EBITDA loss, and the impact of First Brands' bankruptcy. The sentiment reflects a balanced view of both positive growth initiatives and financial challenges.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Capital Raising
Great Elm Group raised nearly $250 million in debt and equity capital across its credit and real estate platforms.
Growth in Fee-Paying Assets Under Management
Fee-paying assets under management grew 9% year-over-year to approximately $594 million, or 10% on a pro forma basis to approximately $601 million.
Successful Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Kennedy Lewis Investment Management involved a $150 million investment in Monomoy REIT and significant contributions to Great Elm Group's growth.
Strong Performance in Real Estate Ventures
Monomoy BTS sold a property for over $7 million, generating a gain of over $0.5 million, and Monomoy Construction Services contributed approximately $700,000 in revenue.
Private Credit Strategy Success
Great Elm's private credit strategy returned 15.2% net calendar year-to-date through September 30.
Negative Updates
Net Loss for the Quarter
GEG reported a net loss of $7.9 million for the quarter, primarily due to unrealized losses on investments in GECC common stock and CoreWeave-related investment.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was a loss of $0.5 million compared to a gain of $1.3 million in the prior year period.
Impact of First Brands Bankruptcy
GECC's operating results were negatively impacted by First Brands' bankruptcy, affecting NAV and placing First Brands investments on nonaccrual.
Company Guidance
During the Great Elm Group's Fiscal 2026 First Quarter Conference Call, substantial progress was reported in strategic initiatives, notably in expanding the platform, growing assets under management (AUM), and enhancing profitability. The company raised nearly $250 million in debt and equity capital, which contributed to a 9% year-over-year growth in fee-paying AUM, reaching approximately $594 million, or 10% on a pro forma basis to about $601 million. Additionally, the company reported fiscal first-quarter revenue of $10.8 million, a significant increase from the previous year's $4 million, primarily attributed to a $7.4 million gain from a property sale. However, a net loss of $7.9 million was reported compared to a net income of $3 million a year ago, largely due to unrealized losses on investments. The company's balance sheet remains robust with $53.5 million in cash, enabling flexibility for growth initiatives. The call outlined future strategic actions focused on further scaling credit and real estate platforms and increasing fee-paying AUM.

Great Elm Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Great Elm Group shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, but operational inefficiencies and cash flow challenges pose risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Great Elm Group shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has experienced significant revenue growth of 41.65% in the TTM period, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, profitability metrics such as EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. The net profit margin is positive at 79%, but this is due to non-operational factors, as EBIT is negative.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet of Great Elm Group presents a moderate risk profile. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.89, indicating a balanced leverage position. Return on equity is positive at 20.32%, suggesting effective use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges for Great Elm Group. The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -128.53%, indicating cash flow issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting that net income is not translating into cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, showing that all net income is being converted into free cash flow, but the overall cash flow position remains weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.11M16.32M17.83M8.66M4.52M60.85M
Gross Profit-1.60M-108.00K977.00K-1.53M-2.10M33.53M
EBITDA10.30M21.04M4.60M21.91M-8.22M655.00K
Net Income3.22M12.89M-1.39M27.73M-14.89M-7.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets155.01M153.94M140.45M135.89M168.09M161.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments125.82M109.45M116.50M117.37M72.12M74.92M
Total Debt62.60M62.59M61.18M63.44M70.80M40.89M
Total Liabilities71.87M73.27M70.25M72.05M125.83M106.44M
Stockholders Equity73.78M70.32M62.71M63.84M33.50M43.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.13M-9.01M-15.55M-2.43M28.45M-25.95M
Operating Cash Flow2.13M-9.01M-15.55M-2.37M29.28M-18.98M
Investing Cash Flow5.63M-1.34M2.27M83.96M-40.02M-15.48M
Financing Cash Flow3.05M-8.77M2.84M-47.62M9.95M18.34M

Great Elm Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.60
Price Trends
50DMA
2.49
Positive
100DMA
2.45
Positive
200DMA
2.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
60.80
Neutral
STOCH
85.64
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.51, above the 50-day MA of 2.49, and above the 200-day MA of 2.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.64 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GEG.

Great Elm Group Risk Analysis

Great Elm Group disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Great Elm Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Great Elm Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
55
Neutral
$11.18M-1.94-6.45%-22.37%63.14%
49
Neutral
$71.62M7.964.68%24.82%
47
Neutral
$24.29M5.84
40
Underperform
$35.55M-44.13%-1719.49%
39
Underperform
$207.29M-184.47%-37.09%-2639.44%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GEG
Great Elm Group
2.60
0.83
46.89%
RDGT
Ridgetech
3.91
1.91
95.50%
OMI
Owens & Minor
2.60
-12.13
-82.35%
ZYXI
Zynex
1.16
-6.85
-85.52%
SNYR
Synergy CHC
1.84
-3.39
-64.82%
WGRX
Wellgistics Health Inc
0.57
-2.46
-81.19%

Great Elm Group Corporate Events

Great Elm Group Reports Q1 2026 Financial Results
Nov 14, 2025

Great Elm Group, Inc. is a publicly-traded alternative asset manager specializing in a diversified portfolio across credit, real estate, and specialty finance sectors, with a focus on long-duration and permanent capital vehicles.

Great Elm Group’s Earnings Call: Balancing Growth and Challenges
Nov 14, 2025

During the recent earnings call, Great Elm Group, Inc. presented a balanced sentiment, highlighting both promising growth initiatives and financial challenges. The company showcased significant capital raising efforts and strategic partnerships, alongside growth in assets under management and success in its private credit strategy. However, these positives were tempered by a net loss for the quarter, an adjusted EBITDA loss, and the adverse impact of First Brands’ bankruptcy.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Great Elm Group Announces Retirement of James H. Hugar
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

On October 13, 2025, James H. Hugar announced his retirement from Great Elm Group and will not seek re-election at the 2025 annual stockholders meeting. His departure is amicable and not due to any disagreements, and his expertise has been pivotal in the company’s transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (GEG) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Elm Group stock, see the GEG Stock Forecast page.

Great Elm Group Reports Record Earnings and Strategic Growth
Sep 4, 2025

Great Elm Group, Inc. is a publicly-traded alternative asset manager specializing in a diversified portfolio across credit, real estate, specialty finance, and other alternative strategies. The company manages Great Elm Capital Corp. and Monomoy Properties REIT, among other investments.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Great Elm Group Secures Strategic Investment from Woodstead
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Great Elm Group, Inc. announced a strategic investment from Woodstead Value Fund, L.P., which purchased 4 million shares of GEG’s common stock for $9 million and received warrants for additional shares, aligning Woodstead with GEG’s shareholders. Additionally, Booker Smith joined GEG’s Board of Directors, bringing expertise in corporate credit and real estate, supporting GEG’s strategic priorities. This transaction provides GEG with growth capital to expand assets under management and enhance profitability, while a separate transaction involving Great Elm Capital Corp. strengthens its balance sheet and reflects investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GEG) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Elm Group stock, see the GEG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025