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Great Elm Group (GEG)
NASDAQ:GEG
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Great Elm Group (GEG) AI Stock Analysis

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GEG

Great Elm Group

(NASDAQ:GEG)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-18.37% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/09/26
The score is held back primarily by uneven financial performance, including volatile revenue/profitability and a large TTM net loss, despite improved leverage and a recent rebound in operating/free cash flow. Technicals add moderate support (positive MACD, price above short-term averages), while valuation remains a drag due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Improving Leverage
Balance-sheet leverage has moved meaningfully lower versus FY2022, with debt roughly in line with equity in recent periods. That improved capital structure reduces solvency pressure, gives management more flexibility to support lending operations and absorb shocks, and lowers the probability of near-term dilutive capital raises.
Negative Factors
Volatile revenue and profitability
Revenue and margins swing across reporting periods, reducing predictability of management and incentive fees tied to AUM and performance. This volatility complicates forecasting, undermines stable reinvestment and retention of institutional clients, and raises execution risk that recent positive trends may reverse over several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving Leverage
Balance-sheet leverage has moved meaningfully lower versus FY2022, with debt roughly in line with equity in recent periods. That improved capital structure reduces solvency pressure, gives management more flexibility to support lending operations and absorb shocks, and lowers the probability of near-term dilutive capital raises.
Read all positive factors

Great Elm Group (GEG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Great Elm Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Great Elm Group, Inc. engages in the durable medical equipment and investment management businesses. The company distributes respiratory care equipment, including positive air pressure equipment and supplies, ventilators and oxygen equipment, and ...
How the Company Makes Money
GEG primarily makes money by earning fees for managing capital in its investment vehicles and by generating investment income from credit-focused investments. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) management fees based on assets under managem...

Great Elm Group Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Segment
Revenue By Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsGreat Elm Group's revenue streams show a strategic pivot with significant growth in Management Fees and a sharp rebound in Incentive Fees, reflecting successful asset management and private credit strategies. Property Sales, while sporadic, contributed significantly to quarterly revenue spikes. Earnings call highlights a robust capital raise and strategic partnerships, enhancing fee-paying AUM. However, financial challenges persist with a net loss driven by unrealized investment losses. The company's focus on expanding credit and real estate platforms suggests potential for future revenue stability and growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Great Elm Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant capital raising and strategic partnerships, as well as growth in assets under management and success in private credit strategy. However, these positives were offset by a net loss for the quarter, adjusted EBITDA loss, and the impact of First Brands' bankruptcy. The sentiment reflects a balanced view of both positive growth initiatives and financial challenges.
Positive Updates
Record Capital Raising
Great Elm Group raised nearly $250 million in debt and equity capital across its credit and real estate platforms.
Negative Updates
Net Loss for the Quarter
GEG reported a net loss of $7.9 million for the quarter, primarily due to unrealized losses on investments in GECC common stock and CoreWeave-related investment.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Capital Raising
Great Elm Group raised nearly $250 million in debt and equity capital across its credit and real estate platforms.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Great Elm Group's Fiscal 2026 First Quarter Conference Call, substantial progress was reported in strategic initiatives, notably in expanding the platform, growing assets under management (AUM), and enhancing profitability. The company raised nearly $250 million in debt and equity capital, which contributed to a 9% year-over-year growth in fee-paying AUM, reaching approximately $594 million, or 10% on a pro forma basis to about $601 million. Additionally, the company reported fiscal first-quarter revenue of $10.8 million, a significant increase from the previous year's $4 million, primarily attributed to a $7.4 million gain from a property sale. However, a net loss of $7.9 million was reported compared to a net income of $3 million a year ago, largely due to unrealized losses on investments. The company's balance sheet remains robust with $53.5 million in cash, enabling flexibility for growth initiatives. The call outlined future strategic actions focused on further scaling credit and real estate platforms and increasing fee-paying AUM.

Great Elm Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial results are mixed: revenue and profitability have been highly volatile, including a large TTM net loss and negative EBIT in most periods, which raises sustainability concerns. Offsetting this, leverage has improved versus FY2022 and TTM operating cash flow/free cash flow rebounded strongly, though cash generation has also been inconsistent historically.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.82M16.32M17.83M8.66M4.52M60.85M
Gross Profit697.00K-108.00K977.00K-1.53M-2.10M33.53M
EBITDA-8.19M21.04M4.60M21.91M-8.22M655.00K
Net Income-22.93M12.89M-1.39M27.73M-14.89M-7.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets111.78M153.94M140.45M135.89M168.09M161.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.53M109.45M116.50M117.37M72.12M74.92M
Total Debt36.90M62.59M61.18M63.44M70.80M40.89M
Total Liabilities71.94M73.27M70.25M72.05M125.83M106.44M
Stockholders Equity39.84M70.32M62.71M63.84M33.50M43.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.46M-9.01M-15.55M-2.43M28.45M-25.95M
Operating Cash Flow11.46M-9.01M-15.55M-2.37M29.28M-18.98M
Investing Cash Flow11.54M-1.34M2.27M83.96M-40.02M-15.48M
Financing Cash Flow-7.46M-8.77M2.84M-47.62M9.95M18.34M

Great Elm Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.45
Price Trends
50DMA
2.01
Positive
100DMA
2.23
Negative
200DMA
2.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
71.14
Negative
STOCH
100.00
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.96, above the 50-day MA of 2.01, and above the 200-day MA of 2.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.14 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GEG.

Great Elm Group Risk Analysis

Great Elm Group disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Great Elm Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Great Elm Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
54
Neutral
$67.10M-1.05-38.27%16.30%-1069.55%
43
Neutral
$5.77M-0.31-12.78%-156.47%
40
Underperform
$1.40M-0.2041.78%-24.14%75.39%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GEG
Great Elm Group
2.14
0.22
11.57%
RDGT
Ridgetech
1.56
-155.94
-99.01%
SNYR
Synergy CHC
0.39
-1.44
-78.69%
WGRX
Wellgistics Health Inc
0.08
-2.48
-96.72%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026