Ukrproduct (UKR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £2.28M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 24.25K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 3.1
• Beta (1Y): -0.55
• Revenue Growth: 0.24%
• EPS Growth: -624.49%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 813
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 61
• Industry: Packaged Foods
• EPS (TTM): -0.07
• Shares Outstanding: 39,673,046
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 35,118
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 24,245
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £5.00
• Price Target Upside: -13.04% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 51 Neutral
• Price Target: 5.00p ▼(-13.04% Downside)

Ukrproduct's overall score of 51 reflects significant financial challenges and valuation concerns, despite some technical stability and positive sentiment from corporate shareholdings. The company's high leverage and negative profitability weigh heavily on its financial performance, while technical indicators provide a neutral outlook. The chairman's share purchase offers a modest positive signal for future confidence.

Ukrproduct Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ukrproduct Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes dairy foods and beverages in Ukraine and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Branded Products, Beverages, Non-Branded Products, Distribution Services and Other, and Supplementary Products. The Branded Products segment provides processed cheese, hard cheese, packaged butter, and spreads. The Beverages segment offers kvass and other beverages. The Non-Branded Products segment provides skimmed milk powder (SMP) and other skimmed milk products. The Distribution services and Other segment engages in the resale of third-party goods; and processing services. The Supplementary products segment offers grain crops. The company supplies its branded dairy products to retailers and wholesalers in Ukraine; and exports its intermediate-stage milk products, including SMP to Denmark, the Netherlands, Bulgaria, Japan, and Turkey. It also provides logistics and distribution services to third parties in Ukraine. The company offers its products under the Nash Molochnik, Narodniy Product, Molendam, and Vershkova Dolina trademarks. Ukrproduct Group Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Kiev, Ukraine.

How the Company Makes Money

Ukrproduct generates revenue primarily through the sale of its dairy products, including cheese, butter, and yogurt, which are distributed through retail chains and wholesalers. The company benefits from economies of scale in production and distribution, allowing it to maintain competitive pricing. Key revenue streams include direct sales to supermarkets, convenience stores, and food service providers. Additionally, Ukrproduct has formed strategic partnerships with local and international distributors, enhancing its market reach. The company also explores export opportunities to increase its global footprint, which contributes to its overall earnings.

Ukrproduct Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Ukrproduct faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, high leverage, and negative profitability. While there are some improvements in cash flow stability and gross margins, these are overshadowed by substantial declines in equity and persistent losses.

Income Statement

Ukrproduct's revenue has been declining over the years, with a noticeable drop from 2019 to 2024. The gross profit margin has slightly improved in 2024 at 19.2%, but the company has struggled with profitability, evidenced by consistently negative net income in recent years. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate operational challenges. Despite these, there's a slight gross margin improvement, suggesting some cost management success.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet shows high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio above 2.8 in 2024, indicating financial risk. Stockholders' equity has fallen sharply, reflecting potential solvency concerns. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited asset backing for liabilities. The negative net income impacts ROE negatively, further indicating financial instability.

Cash Flow

Ukrproduct's cash flow from operations appears relatively stable compared to net income, with a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio in 2024, indicating good cash conversion. However, free cash flow has declined over the years, showing a limited capacity for reinvestment or debt repayment. The company's free cash flow to net income ratio remains positive, indicating some level of cash flow strength despite negative earnings.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	37.08M	36.99M	39.11M	51.98M	55.51M
Gross Profit	7.12M	6.85M	6.56M	4.53M	4.73M
EBITDA	1.49M	2.00M	727.00K	1.85M	-40.00K
Net Income	-2.04M	390.00K	-804.00K	439.00K	-1.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	15.91M	16.79M	17.00M	23.29M	24.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	120.00K	474.00K	438.00K	352.00K	183.00K
Total Debt	5.57M	5.78M	6.12M	6.04M	6.64M
Total Liabilities	13.94M	12.25M	12.40M	17.35M	19.10M
Stockholders Equity	1.97M	4.53M	4.59M	5.95M	5.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	199.00K	736.00K	611.00K	651.00K	1.54M
Operating Cash Flow	1.05M	1.32M	1.02M	1.37M	2.23M
Investing Cash Flow	-808.00K	-588.00K	-411.00K	-734.00K	-678.00K
Financing Cash Flow	-83.00K	-316.00K	-292.00K	-540.00K	-1.02M

Ukrproduct Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5.75
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:UKR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.40, above the 50-day MA of 5.12, and above the 200-day MA of 3.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 82.08 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:UKR.

Ukrproduct Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
GNC	80 Outperform	£1.09B	20.81	12.12%	0.79%	0.49%	14.18%
BAKK	75 Outperform	£1.36B	24.53	9.10%	2.52%	4.03%	3.21%
HFG	71 Outperform	£753.07M	19.15	12.74%	4.07%	-0.03%	7.88%
PFD	70 Outperform	£1.60B	13.00	9.02%	1.50%	1.01%	11.12%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$20.95B	14.50	-4.08%	3.12%	2.72%	-11.24%
UKR	51 Neutral	£2.28M	3.13	-62.64%	―	0.24%	-624.49%
ZAM	―	£15.83M	2.60	3.17%	―	―	―

Ukrproduct Corporate Events

Ukrproduct Chairman Acquires Significant Shareholding

Ukrproduct Group Limited announced that Rinat Abdrasilov, the Non-Executive Chairman of the Board of Directors, purchased 100,000 ordinary shares of the company. This acquisition represents approximately 0.25% of the company’s issued ordinary share capital, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future prospects.

Ukrproduct Reports Resilient Performance Amidst Challenging Conditions in 2024

Ukrproduct Group Limited reported its audited results for the year ending December 31, 2024, highlighting a challenging year marked by the ongoing war in Ukraine. Despite the difficult conditions, including currency instability and supply chain disruptions, the company managed to grow local currency revenues by 13%, although reported GBP revenue remained stable. The company faced a decline in EBITDA by 29% to £1.7 million due to strategic decisions aimed at preserving business capacity and employment. The company also continues to face financial pressure, including a breach of loan covenants with the EBRD, but remains in discussions for restructuring. Despite these challenges, Ukrproduct launched new products and maintained its essential position in Ukraine’s dairy supply chain.