Trafalgar New Homes PLC (GB:TRAF)
LSE:TRAF
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Trafalgar New Homes
(LSE:TRAF)
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Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
0.02 p
▲(5.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/24/26
The score is driven primarily by very weak financial performance (persistent losses, negative equity, debt exceeding assets, and multi-year cash burn). Technical indicators also lean bearish (negative MACD and price below the 200-day average), with only a near-oversold RSI offering limited support. Valuation is constrained by loss-making results and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Focused new-build residential development
A clear strategic focus on sourcing and delivering new-build homes concentrates operational expertise in land sourcing, development and sales. That specialization can support higher development margins and operational efficiency versus a diversified landlord model when project flow or housing demand normalises.
Negative Factors
Persistent multi-year losses and negative equity
Multi-year losses and consistently negative equity mean accumulated deficits have eroded the company’s capital buffer. This reduces the ability to absorb development overruns, constrains borrowing capacity, increases reliance on new capital and raises the structural risk profile over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Focused new-build residential development
A clear strategic focus on sourcing and delivering new-build homes concentrates operational expertise in land sourcing, development and sales. That specialization can support higher development margins and operational efficiency versus a diversified landlord model when project flow or housing demand normalises.
Read all positive factors
Trafalgar New Homes (TRAF) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£392.85K
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.83M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)-0.26
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUK
Employees5
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Development
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares Outstanding1,746,019,000
10 Day Avg. Volume980,522
30 Day Avg. Volume1,829,710
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.01
Price to Book (P/B)-0.09
Price to Sales (P/S)462.86
P/FCF Ratio-0.32
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Trafalgar New Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Trafalgar Property Group plc, through its subsidiaries, engages in home building and property development businesses in the United Kingdom. The company undertakes residential property and assisted living projects. It is also involved in the rentin...
How the Company Makes Money
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Trafalgar New Homes Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
8
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
6
Very Negative
Cash Flow
12
Very Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2024 | Sep 2023 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2021 | Sep 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 715.00K | 600.00 | 0.00 | 18.18K | 64.84K | 2.29M |
| Gross Profit | -28.00K | -131.48K | -213.00 | -12.72K | 61.68K | 322.01K |
| EBITDA | -146.00K | -379.73K | -387.17K | -719.49K | -314.25K | -114.43K |
| Net Income | -155.00K | -400.27K | -516.72K | -843.63K | -486.34K | -329.19K |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.40M | 1.40M | 864.50K | 1.32M | 1.79M | 2.33M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 63.00K | 27.43K | 8.91K | 17.15K | 12.75K | 246.19K |
| Total Debt | 4.05M | 4.19M | 3.42M | 4.45M | 4.69M | 4.82M |
| Total Liabilities | 4.53M | 4.54M | 3.70M | 4.67M | 5.06M | 5.30M |
| Stockholders Equity | -3.13M | -3.14M | -2.84M | -3.35M | -3.27M | -2.96M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 366.00K | -858.09K | -909.75K | -642.97K | -352.84K | 939.92K |
| Operating Cash Flow | 366.00K | -858.09K | -909.75K | -617.97K | -352.84K | 940.52K |
| Investing Cash Flow | -350.00K | 0.00 | 927.25K | 624.62K | 352.50K | -599.00 |
| Financing Cash Flow | 19.00K | 876.61K | -25.74K | -2.26K | -233.10K | -721.70K |
Trafalgar New Homes Technical Analysis
Negative
0.02
Price Trends
0.02
Positive
0.02
Negative
0.02
Negative
Market Momentum
>-0.01
Negative
31.34
Neutral
28.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:TRAF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, above the 50-day MA of 0.02, and below the 200-day MA of 0.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 31.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:TRAF.
Trafalgar New Homes Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
50 Neutral | £1.61M | -4.27 | -22.48% | ― | -55.33% | -115.99% | |
46 Neutral | £2.84M | -1.50 | -19.35% | ― | -3.69% | -2170.00% | |
41 Neutral | £392.85K | -0.36 | 7.86% | ― | ― | ― | |
40 Underperform | $1.81M | -0.04 | ― | ― | -96.59% | 93.69% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
GB:TRAF
Trafalgar New Homes
0.02
-0.02
-40.54%
GB:JADE
Jade Road Investments
0.75
-1.78
-70.32%
GB:ALNA
Alina Holdings PLC
12.50
5.00
66.67%
GB:SPDI
SECURE PROPERTY Development & Investment
1.25
-2.75
-68.75%
GB:ZNT
One Heritage Group Plc
2.63
-1.38
-34.38%
GB:MOY
Secured Property Developments Plc
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.