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Travis Perkins PLC (GB:TPK)
LSE:TPK
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Travis Perkins (TPK) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:TPK

Travis Perkins

(LSE:TPK)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
602.00p
▼(-1.47% Downside)
Travis Perkins' overall stock score is primarily influenced by its strong cash flow management, which is a key strength. However, the stock faces significant challenges with bearish technical indicators and unattractive valuation metrics due to negative profitability. The stable balance sheet provides some resilience, but the overall outlook is tempered by declining revenue and operational inefficiencies.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Management
Strong cash flow management indicates effective operational efficiency and provides the company with the flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt obligations over the long term.
Balance Sheet Stability
A moderate leverage ratio suggests a stable financial structure, allowing the company to withstand economic fluctuations and invest in strategic initiatives without excessive financial risk.
Gross Profit Margin
A strong gross profit margin reflects the company's ability to efficiently convert revenue into profit, which is crucial for sustaining operations and funding future growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue indicates potential challenges in market demand or competitive positioning, which could impact long-term growth and profitability if not addressed.
Negative Net Profit Margin
A negative net profit margin suggests difficulties in managing expenses and achieving profitability, which may hinder the company's ability to reinvest in its business and reward shareholders.
Operational Inefficiencies
Decreased EBIT margin points to operational inefficiencies, potentially affecting the company's competitiveness and ability to generate sustainable profits in the long term.

Travis Perkins (TPK) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Travis Perkins Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTravis Perkins plc is a leading UK-based supplier of building materials and products, serving the construction and maintenance sectors. The company operates through various segments, including General Merchanting, Plumbing & Heating, and Contracts, offering a wide range of products such as timber, bricks, roofing materials, plumbing supplies, and tools. With a vast network of branches and a strong online presence, Travis Perkins caters to both trade professionals and DIY enthusiasts, positioning itself as a key player in the construction supply chain.
How the Company Makes MoneyTravis Perkins generates revenue primarily through the sale of building materials and related products across its various segments. The General Merchanting division contributes significantly to earnings by providing a comprehensive range of construction supplies to builders and contractors. The Plumbing & Heating segment focuses on supplying essential plumbing and heating products, capitalizing on the growing demand for maintenance and renovation services. Additionally, the company earns revenue from large-scale contracts with commercial and public sector clients, which often involve long-term supply agreements. Strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers enhance its product offerings and can lead to exclusive distribution rights, further driving revenue. The company's investment in digital channels also facilitates online sales, expanding its customer base and increasing transaction volumes.

Travis Perkins Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 01, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed view with both positive and negative aspects. While there were notable achievements in Toolstation U.K. profitability and debt reduction, the company faced significant challenges in merchanting performance and operational issues related to Oracle implementation.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Toolstation U.K. Profitability
Toolstation U.K. saw an increase in profitability, in line with previous guidance, and is expected to continue performing well despite challenging market conditions.
Reduction in Net Debt
Net debt before leases was reduced by 39.2% from GBP340 million to GBP191 million, reflecting a strong focus on cash generation and balance sheet protection.
Closure of Toolstation France
The closure of Toolstation France is reported as a discontinued operation, eliminating a significant loss from future performance.
Successful Refinance
The company successfully refinanced GBP125 million of U.S. private placement debt on an investment-grade basis, demonstrating financial stability.
Negative Updates
Merchanting Underperformance
Merchant businesses continued to underperform, with the general merchant business ceding market share in the second half of the fiscal year.
Significant Operational Challenges
The company faced operational challenges due to strategic missteps and tactical blunders, including high staff attrition and management void.
Oracle Implementation Issues
The implementation of Oracle Financials led to a backlog of invoices and frustration among colleagues, impacting working capital and day-to-day operations.
Decline in Group Revenue and Profit
Group revenue was down 4.7% to GBP4.6 billion, and adjusted operating profit decreased by 23.2% to GBP152 million compared to the prior year.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Travis Perkins provided guidance indicating that the group's financial performance for 2025 is expected to remain consistent with 2024, excluding property profits. Key metrics included a 4.7% decline in group revenue to GBP 4.6 billion and a 23.2% decrease in adjusted operating profit to GBP 152 million for 2024. The company also highlighted its efforts to manage cash generation more rigorously, resulting in a 39.2% reduction in net debt before leases, from GBP 340 million to GBP 191 million. The company expects capital expenditure to be around GBP 80 million, property profits at GBP 3 million, and an effective tax rate of 30% for the upcoming year. Despite challenges, particularly in the merchanting business, the company remains focused on enhancing operational efficiency and leveraging its strong fundamentals to improve market positioning.

Travis Perkins Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Travis Perkins shows strong cash flow management with a significant growth rate in free cash flow, despite challenges in revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, providing a cushion against financial risks.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Travis Perkins demonstrates a mixed performance in profitability and revenue growth. The gross profit margin for 2024 is approximately 26.12%, indicating a strong ability to convert revenue into gross profit. However, the net profit margin is negative at approximately -1.68%, reflecting challenges in managing overall expenses and profitability. The EBIT margin has significantly decreased, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Revenue has declined over the past year by about 5.22%, indicating a downturn in sales.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.55, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is negative due to the net loss, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at around 48.96%, showcasing a substantial proportion of assets financed by equity, which provides stability against financial risks.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement highlights robust free cash flow generation with a notable growth rate of approximately 79.76% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating effective cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income is also strong, pointing to efficient cash management. Despite a challenging net income, cash flows remain resilient, supporting future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.55B4.61B4.86B4.99B4.59B3.70B
Gross Profit1.18B1.20B1.31B1.38B1.31B1.04B
EBITDA218.30M202.70M303.20M461.20M464.90M193.70M
Net Income-55.70M-77.40M38.10M192.20M278.90M-22.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.07B4.03B4.03B4.14B4.40B6.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments319.30M244.40M131.50M235.70M459.80M505.60M
Total Debt1.03B1.09B1.05B1.05B1.06B1.90B
Total Liabilities2.08B2.06B1.99B2.03B2.16B3.37B
Stockholders Equity1.99B1.97B2.04B2.10B2.24B2.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow156.90M150.30M85.00M118.40M167.60M384.90M
Operating Cash Flow230.80M222.50M217.60M257.50M332.30M487.20M
Investing Cash Flow2.70M-3.40M-58.90M-116.60M139.80M-9.00M
Financing Cash Flow-127.80M-119.40M-250.40M-377.50M-517.90M-180.50M

Travis Perkins Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price611.00
Price Trends
50DMA
618.40
Negative
100DMA
597.70
Positive
200DMA
590.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.48
Negative
RSI
49.76
Neutral
STOCH
79.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:TPK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 611 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 604.50, below the 50-day MA of 618.40, and above the 200-day MA of 590.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:TPK.

Travis Perkins Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
16.23%4.27%4.67%93.06%
66
Neutral
£125.71M16.827.23%4.10%5.51%-33.75%
64
Neutral
£269.84M76.7310.01%3.51%-3.93%41.83%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
£896.27M18.267.68%3.20%5.88%107.36%
61
Neutral
£1.27B30.5116.10%1.74%20.57%-3.18%
55
Neutral
£1.30B-23.38-0.94%1.48%-4.34%-220.12%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:TPK
Travis Perkins
611.00
-117.65
-16.15%
GB:EPWN
Epwin Group plc
119.50
21.24
21.62%
GB:ECEL
Eurocell
126.00
-53.16
-29.67%
GB:NXR
Norcros
302.00
59.41
24.49%
GB:GEN
Genuit Group
324.50
-70.68
-17.89%
GB:FAN
Volution
617.00
61.34
11.04%

Travis Perkins Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Travis Perkins Announces Board Committee Changes
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

Travis Perkins PLC announced changes in its board committee responsibilities, with Jez Maiden appointed as Interim Chair of the Remuneration Committee, succeeding Louise Hardy, who remains a member. Louise Hardy also stepped down from the Nominations Committee, with the changes effective immediately, ensuring continuity and independence in governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TPK) stock is a Buy with a £7.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Travis Perkins stock, see the GB:TPK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Travis Perkins Reports Q3 Revenue Growth Amid Competitive Market
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Travis Perkins plc reported a 1.8% increase in like-for-like sales for Q3 2025, driven by improved performance in the Merchanting segment, despite subdued trading in Specialist Merchants’ markets. The company is focusing on strategy execution and operating margin improvement in Toolstation, while also enhancing cash generation to strengthen its balance sheet. The company is investing in pricing and promotions to regain market share, with plans to reinvest in its propositions as it prepares for the arrival of new CEO Gavin Slark in January.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TPK) stock is a Buy with a £8.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Travis Perkins stock, see the GB:TPK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 16, 2025