tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Travis Perkins PLC (GB:TPK)
LSE:TPK
Advertisement

Travis Perkins (TPK) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
95 Followers

Top Page

GB:TPK

Travis Perkins

(LSE:TPK)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
714.00p
▲(9.93% Upside)
Travis Perkins' overall stock score is driven by strong cash flow management and positive technical indicators, which are offset by valuation concerns due to negative earnings. The stable balance sheet provides a foundation for future growth, but profitability challenges need to be addressed.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Management
Robust free cash flow growth of 79.76% indicates effective cash management, supporting future investments and debt servicing.
Balance Sheet Stability
Moderate leverage and a strong equity ratio provide financial stability, reducing risk and supporting long-term growth.
Gross Profit Margin
A strong gross profit margin shows the company's ability to convert revenue into profit, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue suggests challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, impacting growth prospects.
Net Profit Margin
Negative net profit margin indicates difficulties in managing expenses, affecting overall profitability and financial health.
Earnings Inefficiency
Negative ROE highlights inefficiencies in generating returns on shareholder investments, potentially deterring future investment.

Travis Perkins (TPK) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Travis Perkins Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTravis Perkins plc distributes building materials to the building, construction, and home improvement markets in the United Kingdom. It operates through, Merchanting, and Toolstation segments. The Merchanting segment distributes interior building products, which include drywalls, ceilings, external envelopes, fire protection products, flooring and partitioning products, and tools and accessories to professionals within the construction industry; civil, drainage, and heavy building materials to specialist contractors and trade professionals; and pipeline and heating solutions. This segment also distributes building materials, plumbing and heating products, landscaping materials, timber and sheet materials, painting and decorating products, dry lining and insulation products, doors and joinery, and hand and power tools to trade professionals and self-builders. The Toolstation segment supplies products to the trade, home improvers, and self-builders industry through approximately 500 branches, as well as online, call centers, and a mobile website. It also offers kitchens and joinery products to specialist joiners, kitchen fitters, house builders, local authorities, and national house builders. The company was formerly known as Sandell Perkins Public Limited Company and changed its name to Travis Perkins plc in October 1988. Travis Perkins plc was founded in 1797 and is headquartered in Northampton, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyTravis Perkins generates revenue primarily through the sale of building materials and supplies across its various business segments. The company's key revenue streams include sales from its General Merchanting segment, which encompasses a diverse range of construction materials, and its Plumbing and Heating division, focused on plumbing supplies and heating products. Additionally, the Retail segment contributes to revenue through the sale of tools and home improvement products. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, which enhance its product offerings and competitive pricing. Furthermore, the company's strong focus on customer service and extensive branch network fosters customer loyalty, driving repeat business and contributing to stable revenue growth.

Travis Perkins Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed view with both positive and negative aspects. While there were notable achievements in Toolstation U.K. profitability and debt reduction, the company faced significant challenges in merchanting performance and operational issues related to Oracle implementation.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Toolstation U.K. Profitability
Toolstation U.K. saw an increase in profitability, in line with previous guidance, and is expected to continue performing well despite challenging market conditions.
Reduction in Net Debt
Net debt before leases was reduced by 39.2% from GBP340 million to GBP191 million, reflecting a strong focus on cash generation and balance sheet protection.
Closure of Toolstation France
The closure of Toolstation France is reported as a discontinued operation, eliminating a significant loss from future performance.
Successful Refinance
The company successfully refinanced GBP125 million of U.S. private placement debt on an investment-grade basis, demonstrating financial stability.
Negative Updates
Merchanting Underperformance
Merchant businesses continued to underperform, with the general merchant business ceding market share in the second half of the fiscal year.
Significant Operational Challenges
The company faced operational challenges due to strategic missteps and tactical blunders, including high staff attrition and management void.
Oracle Implementation Issues
The implementation of Oracle Financials led to a backlog of invoices and frustration among colleagues, impacting working capital and day-to-day operations.
Decline in Group Revenue and Profit
Group revenue was down 4.7% to GBP4.6 billion, and adjusted operating profit decreased by 23.2% to GBP152 million compared to the prior year.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Travis Perkins provided guidance indicating that the group's financial performance for 2025 is expected to remain consistent with 2024, excluding property profits. Key metrics included a 4.7% decline in group revenue to GBP 4.6 billion and a 23.2% decrease in adjusted operating profit to GBP 152 million for 2024. The company also highlighted its efforts to manage cash generation more rigorously, resulting in a 39.2% reduction in net debt before leases, from GBP 340 million to GBP 191 million. The company expects capital expenditure to be around GBP 80 million, property profits at GBP 3 million, and an effective tax rate of 30% for the upcoming year. Despite challenges, particularly in the merchanting business, the company remains focused on enhancing operational efficiency and leveraging its strong fundamentals to improve market positioning.

Travis Perkins Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Travis Perkins shows mixed financial performance. Strong cash flow management with a 79.76% growth in free cash flow and a stable balance sheet with moderate leverage are positive. However, challenges in revenue growth and profitability, with a negative net profit margin and a 5.22% revenue decline, highlight areas for improvement.
Income Statement
Travis Perkins demonstrates a mixed performance in profitability and revenue growth. The gross profit margin for 2024 is approximately 26.12%, indicating a strong ability to convert revenue into gross profit. However, the net profit margin is negative at approximately -1.68%, reflecting challenges in managing overall expenses and profitability. The EBIT margin has significantly decreased, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Revenue has declined over the past year by about 5.22%, indicating a downturn in sales.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a stable equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.55, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is negative due to the net loss, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at around 48.96%, showcasing a substantial proportion of assets financed by equity, which provides stability against financial risks.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement highlights robust free cash flow generation with a notable growth rate of approximately 79.76% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating effective cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income is also strong, pointing to efficient cash management. Despite a challenging net income, cash flows remain resilient, supporting future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.55B4.61B4.86B4.99B4.59B3.70B
Gross Profit1.18B1.20B1.31B1.38B1.31B1.04B
EBITDA218.30M202.70M306.40M461.20M464.90M193.70M
Net Income-55.70M-77.40M38.10M192.20M278.90M-22.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.07B4.03B4.03B4.14B4.40B6.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments319.30M244.40M131.50M235.70M459.80M505.60M
Total Debt1.03B1.09B1.05B1.05B1.06B1.90B
Total Liabilities2.08B2.06B1.99B2.03B2.16B3.37B
Stockholders Equity1.99B1.97B2.04B2.10B2.24B2.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow156.90M150.30M85.00M118.40M167.60M384.90M
Operating Cash Flow230.80M222.50M217.60M257.50M332.30M487.20M
Investing Cash Flow2.70M-3.40M-58.90M-116.60M139.80M-9.00M
Financing Cash Flow-127.80M-119.40M-250.40M-377.50M-517.90M-180.50M

Travis Perkins Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price649.50
Price Trends
50DMA
598.90
Positive
100DMA
593.92
Positive
200DMA
599.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.12
Positive
RSI
62.45
Neutral
STOCH
47.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:TPK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 649.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 620.07, above the 50-day MA of 598.90, and above the 200-day MA of 599.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:TPK.

Travis Perkins Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
16.23%4.27%4.67%93.06%
70
Outperform
£1.27B-0.94%2.08%-4.34%-220.12%
70
Outperform
£890.04M18.057.68%2.74%5.88%107.36%
66
Neutral
£122.36M16.357.23%4.18%5.51%-33.75%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
£259.95M74.171.63%3.65%-6.12%-86.98%
61
Neutral
£1.27B30.4116.10%1.47%20.57%-3.18%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:TPK
Travis Perkins
658.50
-200.46
-23.34%
GB:EPWN
Epwin Group plc
119.50
20.27
20.43%
GB:ECEL
Eurocell
124.00
-52.28
-29.66%
GB:NXR
Norcros
285.00
35.03
14.01%
GB:GEN
Genuit Group
385.00
-83.13
-17.76%
GB:FAN
Volution
657.00
91.82
16.25%

Travis Perkins Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Travis Perkins Announces Board Committee Changes
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

Travis Perkins PLC announced changes in its board committee responsibilities, with Jez Maiden appointed as Interim Chair of the Remuneration Committee, succeeding Louise Hardy, who remains a member. Louise Hardy also stepped down from the Nominations Committee, with the changes effective immediately, ensuring continuity and independence in governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TPK) stock is a Buy with a £7.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Travis Perkins stock, see the GB:TPK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Travis Perkins Reports Q3 Revenue Growth Amid Competitive Market
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Travis Perkins plc reported a 1.8% increase in like-for-like sales for Q3 2025, driven by improved performance in the Merchanting segment, despite subdued trading in Specialist Merchants’ markets. The company is focusing on strategy execution and operating margin improvement in Toolstation, while also enhancing cash generation to strengthen its balance sheet. The company is investing in pricing and promotions to regain market share, with plans to reinvest in its propositions as it prepares for the arrival of new CEO Gavin Slark in January.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TPK) stock is a Buy with a £8.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Travis Perkins stock, see the GB:TPK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Travis Perkins Reports Revenue Decline Amidst Operational Challenges
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

Travis Perkins reported a 2.1% decline in group revenue for the first half of 2025, primarily due to operational challenges in its Merchanting segment. Despite this, the company managed to stabilize its market share and improve its statutory operating profit to £59m from £48m in 2024. The company also made significant progress in reducing net debt and enhancing cash generation, with a notable 50% increase in operating profit for Toolstation UK. Leadership changes are underway with the appointment of Gavin Slark as CEO, effective January 2026, and new management structures in place to drive future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TPK) stock is a Buy with a £10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Travis Perkins stock, see the GB:TPK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2025