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TP ICap PLC (GB:TCAP)
LSE:TCAP

TP ICap (TCAP) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:TCAP

TP ICap

(LSE:TCAP)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
281.00p
▲(9.98% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/07/25
TP ICAP's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary strengths, supported by a positive corporate event in the form of a share buyback program. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to bearish momentum. Overall, the stock presents a balanced opportunity with solid financials and valuation, but technical trends warrant careful monitoring.

TP ICap (TCAP) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

TP ICap Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTP ICAP Group PLC provides intermediary services, contextual insights and intelligence, trade execution, pre-trade and settlement services, and data-led solutions in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in Global Broking, Energy & Commodities, Agency Execution, and Parameta Solutions divisions. The Global Broking division operates in rates, foreign exchange and money markets, emerging markets, equities, and credit products; and offers broking, facilitating price discovery, liquidity, execution, and risk management services to participants in the wholesale financial markets. The Energy & Commodities division operates in various commodities markets, including oil, gas, power, renewables, ferrous metals, base metals, precious metals, soft commodities, and coal. This division also assists in canvassing the market for expressions of interest, intelligence gathering, negotiations, and post-transaction processing; and provides insights on the impact of unpredictable factors, such as weather conditions, geopolitics, and exchange rate movements. The Agency Execution division operates Liquidnet, a cash equities dark/block electronic trading network; and Coex Partners, a trade advisory and agency execution service that covers listed derivatives, foreign exchange, government bonds, cleared interest rate swaps, and cash equities. This division serves hedge funds, asset managers, and asset owners. The Parameta Solutions division provides unbiased data products that facilitate trading, enhance transparency, reduce risk, and improve operational efficiency; and post trade solutions. This division also offers real-time price information for the OTC financial and commodity markets delivering independent data for various asset classes, including rates, foreign exchange and money markets, volatility, oil, energy, inflation, credit, and equities. TP ICAP Group PLC is based in St Helier, Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyTP ICap generates revenue through a variety of key streams, primarily by charging commissions or fees for facilitating trades between buyers and sellers in the financial markets. The company earns a significant portion of its income from brokerage commissions on transactions executed through its platform, which can vary based on the volume and type of trades. Additionally, TCAP may receive fees for providing market data and analytics services, which offer clients insights into market trends and pricing. The firm also benefits from its relationships with major financial institutions, including banks and hedge funds, which rely on TCAP for liquidity and access to various financial instruments. Strategic partnerships and technological investments further enhance its service offerings, contributing to consistent revenue growth.

TP ICap Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TP ICAP shows a strong financial position with robust cash flows and a stable balance sheet. While revenue growth is modest, profitability and cash management are effective. Key areas to watch include maintaining EBIT margins and further reducing leverage.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The company demonstrates stable revenue with a slight decline from the previous year. Gross profit margin remains strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, there is a notable decrease in EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting challenges in maintaining operating efficiency. The net profit margin improved significantly, showing better cost controls and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy equity ratio, indicating a strong financial structure. Debt-to-equity ratio has improved, signifying lower leverage risk. Return on Equity is positive, highlighting effective use of equity to generate profits. Overall, the company's financial stability is solid with reduced debt levels.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Operating cash flow has increased, enhancing liquidity position. Free cash flow is robust, reflecting effective cash management. The company exhibits strong cash flow to net income ratios, indicating healthy cash generation relative to earnings. Overall, cash flow management appears strong and supportive of financial flexibility.
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

TP ICap Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price255.50
Price Trends
50DMA
255.19
Negative
100DMA
254.17
Negative
200DMA
263.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
46.31
Neutral
STOCH
28.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:TCAP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 255.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 254.33, above the 50-day MA of 255.19, and below the 200-day MA of 263.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:TCAP.

TP ICap Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
£1.79B10.758.74%6.35%5.77%81.14%
68
Neutral
£11.52B8.6412.21%6.78%-2.34%2.55%
60
Neutral
£38.36M23.843.69%7.96%-9.55%
58
Neutral
£136.50M27.534.84%15.42%
51
Neutral
£713.69M-7.15-9.28%-15.79%-211.91%
48
Neutral
£9.90M
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:TCAP
TP ICap
252.50
3.42
1.37%
GB:CBG
Close Brothers Group
478.20
143.20
42.75%
GB:INVP
Investec
629.00
152.65
32.05%
GB:WHI
WH Ireland Group plc
4.25
1.50
54.55%
GB:CAV
finnCap Group plc
10.25
2.13
26.23%
GB:PEEL
Peel Hunt Limited
117.00
34.00
40.96%

TP ICap Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
TP ICAP Reports Revenue Growth Amidst Mixed Divisional Performance
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

TP ICAP Group plc reported a 7% increase in group revenue for the first nine months of 2025, reaching £1,783 million, driven by strong performances in its Global Broking and Liquidnet divisions. However, the Energy & Commodities division saw a decline due to competition for broking talent, though a strong hiring pipeline is expected to yield benefits from 2026. The company remains focused on sustainable growth for its Parameta Solutions division and is considering a potential minority US listing. The Board is confident about meeting full-year market expectations for adjusted EBIT, with a significant portion of revenues and costs being USD-denominated.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TCAP) stock is a Buy with a £294.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TP ICap stock, see the GB:TCAP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025