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Regional REIT (GB:RGL)
LSE:RGL
UK Market

Regional REIT (RGL) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:RGL

Regional REIT

(LSE:RGL)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
106.00p
▼(-6.36% Downside)
Regional REIT's overall score reflects significant financial challenges, with persistent losses and high costs. While strategic initiatives and corporate events show promise, the technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest caution. The high dividend yield and insider confidence provide some support, but the company must address its profitability issues for a stronger outlook.
Positive Factors
New Lettings and Rental Growth
The successful acquisition of new lettings and rental growth indicates strong demand and effective leasing strategies, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Asset Sales and Debt Reduction
Asset sales and debt reduction efforts improve financial flexibility and reduce leverage, enhancing the company's balance sheet health.
ESG and EPC Improvements
Improving energy efficiency and sustainability aligns with regulatory trends and enhances the portfolio's attractiveness to tenants.
Negative Factors
Increased Cost of Debt
Higher debt costs can strain cash flow and reduce profitability, impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Unexpected Tenant Breaks
Unexpected tenant departures can lead to revenue volatility and increased vacancy costs, challenging income predictability.
Rental Income Decline
Declining rental income despite higher occupancy suggests challenges in maintaining rental rates or tenant quality, affecting revenue stability.

Regional REIT (RGL) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Regional REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRegional REIT (RGL) is a UK-based real estate investment trust that focuses on acquiring, managing, and developing commercial properties across the regions of the United Kingdom. The company primarily invests in industrial, office, and retail properties, catering to a diverse tenant base. RGL aims to generate steady rental income and enhance the value of its property portfolio through proactive asset management strategies and targeted acquisitions.
How the Company Makes MoneyRegional REIT generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of commercial properties. The company leases out its properties to various tenants, which provides a stable cash flow. Additionally, RGL benefits from potential capital appreciation of its real estate assets as the market value increases over time. The company may also engage in property development projects, which can yield additional income once completed and leased. Key partnerships with property management firms and local businesses can enhance tenant retention and optimize occupancy rates, further contributing to its earnings.

Regional REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 09, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 31, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with substantial progress in strategic investments, asset sales, and new lettings, along with positive total returns and sustainability initiatives. However, unexpected tenant breaks, rental income decline, increased debt costs, and market uncertainties posed significant challenges. Despite these issues, a cautiously optimistic outlook was expressed, particularly regarding future occupier demand and market stabilization.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Capex Investment Progress
Invested GBP 6 million in Capex in the first 6 months of 2025, with 5 projects on site and 18 in transition, compared to GBP 8.2 million for the entire 2024.
Asset Sales and Debt Reduction
Sold assets worth GBP 23.2 million so far, with plans to reach GBP 40-50 million by the year-end, aiming to reduce net LTV to below 40%.
New Lettings and Rental Growth
Achieved 20 new lettings in H1 2025, creating a GBP 1.4 million rent roll, with rents in excess of ERV and an average growth of 4.2% ahead of ERV.
Positive Total Return
The company has produced a total return of 9.6% for the half year, slightly ahead of the index.
Strategic Pipeline and Occupier Demand
Strong progress on material new letting opportunities and increasing occupier interest expected to benefit future financial years.
ESG and EPC Improvements
Nearly 60% of the portfolio now complies with EPC A or B, with ongoing solar and 4D installation programs contributing to sustainability efforts.
Negative Updates
Unexpected Tenant Breaks
Experienced unexpected tenant breaks causing a 1.03% like-for-like NAV decline, impacting income and leading to a downward market guidance.
Rental Income Decline
Rental income is down despite increased EPRA occupancy, primarily due to unexpected breaks and void costs.
Increased Cost of Debt
Refinancing of a significant debt facility will increase the cost of funds from just under 1% to near 4%, raising the company's weighted average cost of debt from 3.4% to 4.2%.
Market Uncertainty
Geopolitical conditions and UK government instability have led to delays in decision-making and challenges in the investment market.
Slow Pace of Asset Sales
The pace of sales was slower than anticipated, affecting the planned timeline for debt reduction.
Company Guidance
In the recent investor presentation, Regional REIT Limited provided guidance on several key financial metrics and strategic goals. The company reported a like-for-like net asset value decline of 1.03% due to unexpected tenant breaks, but emphasized asset value stability excluding these specific assets. Despite a prudent downward adjustment in market consensus for this year's income, the dividend is expected to remain at 10p per share. The company is actively working on a pipeline of new letting opportunities, with 20 new lettings achieved in H1, exceeding the estimated rental value. The Capex program has seen an investment of GBP 6 million in the first half of 2025, with significant progress on ongoing projects. Asset sales have totaled GBP 23.2 million, with further sales anticipated to reduce debt levels. The net loan-to-value (LTV) ratio is projected to fall below 40% by year-end. Earnings per share on an EPRA basis are reported at 5.2p, fully covering the 5p per share dividend for H1. The company is also focusing on strategic asset retention and disposal, with a goal of maintaining a portfolio of 75% core assets for long-term growth.

Regional REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The financial performance of Regional REIT is challenged by negative margins and revenue fluctuations. While there are improvements in equity and cash flow management, the company struggles with consistent profitability and leverage risks.
Income Statement
The income statement shows a volatile revenue trend with significant fluctuations in profitability. Gross profit margin is consistently negative, reflecting high costs or impairments. The net profit margin is also negative, indicating persistent losses, though EBIT margins show some improvement. Overall, the financials suggest challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet indicates a moderate level of stability with improved stockholders' equity in recent periods. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved due to a reduction in total debt, which strengthens the financial position. However, the equity ratio remains a concern, highlighting potential leverage risks.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement reveals some positive aspects such as stable operating cash flow, but free cash flow growth is inconsistent. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests better cash flow management despite operating losses. Overall, cash flow management shows resilience but needs improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue86.67M90.98M91.88M93.32M79.90M75.94M
Gross Profit38.73M40.70M47.15M54.22M55.82M45.66M
EBITDA14.76M34.83M35.91M73.98M45.24M39.45M
Net Income-20.30M-39.54M-67.46M-65.16M28.76M-31.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets700.66M722.13M782.42M906.05M1.01B850.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments47.12M55.87M34.51M50.15M56.13M67.37M
Total Debt317.79M323.77M426.99M446.52M449.87M380.94M
Total Liabilities364.79M370.52M476.33M503.11M508.29M430.03M
Stockholders Equity335.88M351.61M306.09M402.94M502.40M420.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.98M19.91M21.26M33.26M43.84M35.67M
Operating Cash Flow20.43M19.91M21.26M33.26M43.84M35.67M
Investing Cash Flow5.78M21.44M14.80M-5.08M-98.24M-230.00K
Financing Cash Flow-5.41M-19.14M-51.70M-34.15M43.15M-5.31M

Regional REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price113.20
Price Trends
50DMA
103.58
Positive
100DMA
109.09
Negative
200DMA
110.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.90
Negative
RSI
57.38
Neutral
STOCH
72.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:RGL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 113.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 103.64, above the 50-day MA of 103.58, and above the 200-day MA of 110.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:RGL.

Regional REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
£49.46M6.906.15%3.92%-6.10%889.93%
71
Outperform
£306.40M10.566.94%9.66%84.02%53.97%
66
Neutral
£42.07M22.634.34%7.14%-41.22%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
60
Neutral
£396.94M10.187.51%5.15%-3.98%412.08%
54
Neutral
£172.46M-8.50-6.74%9.70%-5.48%89.60%
46
Neutral
£51.98M-15.08-2.97%3.94%16.08%56.94%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:RGL
Regional REIT
106.40
1.33
1.27%
GB:NRR
NewRiver REIT
71.70
7.89
12.36%
GB:PCA
Palace Capital
208.00
3.17
1.55%
GB:PNS
Panther Securities
285.00
-12.41
-4.17%
GB:TOWN
Town Centre Securities
123.50
1.27
1.04%
GB:PCTN
Picton Property Income
77.70
20.46
35.73%

Regional REIT Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Regional REIT Extends £72.4m Debt Facility to 2028, Bolstering Balance Sheet Stability
Positive
Dec 24, 2025

Regional REIT has refinanced and extended a key banking facility, agreeing a three-year extension on a £72.4m debt facility that was previously due to mature in August 2026, following a substantial reduction in the facility from £128m through property disposals. The extension, backed by a lending syndicate of The Royal Bank of Scotland, Bank of Scotland and Santander UK, lengthens the group’s average debt maturity to 2.6 years and maintains the current borrowing cost until existing interest-rate hedging expires in August 2026, after which the weighted average cost of debt is expected to rise from about 3.4% to around 4.1%; management said the deal reinforces its banking relationships and provides stability to continue deleveraging, improving income and investing via its capex programme.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RGL) stock is a Hold with a £106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regional REIT stock, see the GB:RGL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Regional REIT Announces Cost-Saving Management Simplifications
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

Regional REIT Limited has announced a simplification of its management arrangements, effective from January 2026, which is expected to result in significant cost savings. The changes include a revised fee structure that aligns management fees more closely with market capitalization and the discontinuation of performance fees. These adjustments are anticipated to save the company approximately £0.45 million in 2026 and £0.90 million in 2027, enhancing operational efficiency and aligning the interests of shareholders and managers.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RGL) stock is a Hold with a £106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regional REIT stock, see the GB:RGL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Regional REIT Exceeds Disposal Targets with Oakland House Sale
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

Regional REIT Limited has successfully sold Oakland House in Manchester for £13.0m, achieving a 1% premium over its June 2025 book value. This sale is part of a broader disposal strategy that has already exceeded the company’s annual target, generating £51.7m in proceeds. The funds from these disposals will be used to reduce debt and invest in portfolio improvements, reflecting the company’s commitment to strengthening its financial position and enhancing asset quality.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RGL) stock is a Hold with a £106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regional REIT stock, see the GB:RGL Stock Forecast page.

Other
Regional REIT Director Acquires Shares, Signaling Confidence
Positive
Nov 27, 2025

Regional REIT Limited announced a transaction involving Massy Larizadeh, a Senior Independent Director, who purchased 8,850 ordinary shares at a price of £1.02828 each, totaling £9,100.28. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, underscores the director’s confidence in the company’s prospects and may influence stakeholder perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RGL) stock is a Hold with a £104.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regional REIT stock, see the GB:RGL Stock Forecast page.

Other
Regional REIT Director Purchases Shares, Signaling Confidence
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

Regional REIT Limited announced a transaction involving Stephen Inglis, a Non-Executive Director, who purchased 50,000 ordinary shares at a price of £1.01 each, totaling £50,500. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, highlights insider confidence in the company’s prospects and may positively influence stakeholder perceptions of Regional REIT’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RGL) stock is a Hold with a £104.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regional REIT stock, see the GB:RGL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Regional REIT Announces New Board Appointment
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

Regional REIT Limited announced the appointment of Sarah Whitney as an independent non-executive director and Chair Designate of International Public Partnerships, effective from 24 November 2025. This strategic move could enhance the company’s governance and potentially strengthen its industry positioning, signaling a commitment to robust leadership and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RGL) stock is a Hold with a £104.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regional REIT stock, see the GB:RGL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Regional REIT Reports Q3 2025 Trading Update and Dividend Declaration
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

Regional REIT Limited announced its Q3 2025 trading update and dividend declaration, highlighting a strategic focus on reducing leverage through property disposals and maintaining high tenant retention rates. Despite challenges in leasing momentum due to economic uncertainties and government policy ambiguity, the company achieved £17.1 million in disposals and completed 21 lettings and renewals, reflecting a commitment to occupancy improvement and rental growth. The company also declared a dividend of 2.50 pence per share for the third quarter, emphasizing operational discipline and strategic asset repositioning to strengthen its portfolio and balance sheet.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RGL) stock is a Hold with a £104.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regional REIT stock, see the GB:RGL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025