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NewRiver REIT PLC (GB:NRR)
LSE:NRR
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NewRiver REIT (NRR) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:NRR

NewRiver REIT

(LSE:NRR)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
77.00p
▲(7.69% Upside)
NewRiver REIT's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and attractive valuation, with a high dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest neutral to bearish momentum, and high leverage remains a concern. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits the analysis to these factors.

NewRiver REIT (NRR) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

NewRiver REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNewRiver REIT plc ('NewRiver') is a leading Real Estate Investment Trust specialising in buying, managing and developing essential retail and leisure assets throughout the UK. Our £1.1 billion portfolio covers 9 million sq ft and comprises 33 community shopping centres, 24 conveniently located retail parks and 700 community pubs. We hand-picked our assets to deliberately focus on occupiers providing essential goods and services, and avoid structurally challenged sub-sectors such as department stores, mid-market fashion and casual dining. This focus, combined with our affordable rents and desirable locations, delivers sustainable and growing returns for our shareholders, while our active approach to asset management and inbuilt 2.6 million sq ft development pipeline provide further opportunities to extract value from our portfolio. NewRiver has a Premium Listing on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange (ticker: NRR).
How the Company Makes MoneyNewRiver REIT generates revenue primarily through rental income from its diverse portfolio of retail and leisure properties. The company leases its properties to a variety of tenants, including well-known retail chains and local businesses, which provides a steady stream of rental payments. Additionally, NewRiver engages in asset management activities that may include repositioning or redeveloping properties to increase their value and attract higher-paying tenants. The company also benefits from occasional sales of properties that have appreciated in value, contributing to capital gains. Strategic partnerships with tenants and involvement in joint ventures may further enhance its earning potential by diversifying its income streams and reducing risks associated with property ownership.

NewRiver REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NewRiver REIT is showing strong revenue growth and improved profitability metrics, with a solid gross profit margin of 62.09% and a net profit margin of 26.18%. Operational efficiency is highlighted by robust EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, the company's high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.04, poses potential risks, especially in a rising interest rate environment.
Income Statement
65
Positive
NewRiver REIT has shown a considerable improvement in its revenue growth, with a notable increase from the previous year, indicating strong recovery dynamics. The gross profit margin remains solid at 62.09%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has seen volatility, though it has improved to 26.18% in the latest report. The EBIT margin of 43.09% and EBITDA margin of 49.50% are both robust, showcasing operational efficiency. Despite these strengths, the prior years' fluctuations in net income pose potential risks.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderately high at 1.04, indicating a reliance on debt financing, which could be risky in a rising interest rate environment. Return on equity has improved significantly to 4.84%, showcasing better utilization of equity. The equity ratio stands at 46.48%, reflecting a balanced asset financing structure. Despite improvements, the high leverage remains a concern for future flexibility and stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Free cash flow has increased by 12.65% year-over-year, indicating a strong cash position. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.20 suggests efficient earnings conversion to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 0.79, demonstrating good cash generation relative to profit. These metrics reflect a positive cash flow trajectory, although the previous year's volatility in cash flows should be monitored.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue74.60M65.80M90.50M73.70M75.00M75.50M
Gross Profit44.85M44.90M56.20M46.40M47.10M49.20M
EBITDA31.20M18.60M44.80M37.80M37.50M34.60M
Net Income19.60M3.00M23.70M-16.80M7.00M-122.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.05B759.60M1.05B781.50M819.10M1.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments61.30M132.80M61.30M108.60M82.80M150.50M
Total Debt510.60M372.20M510.60M373.40M371.50M715.30M
Total Liabilities564.00M398.50M564.00M402.90M405.00M765.50M
Stockholders Equity490.10M361.10M490.10M378.60M414.10M460.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow21.35M16.60M18.70M24.00M34.90M-4.40M
Operating Cash Flow21.35M22.70M28.40M27.00M47.50M8.90M
Investing Cash Flow-67.80M23.60M-67.80M18.80M239.80M62.90M
Financing Cash Flow-32.10M-22.10M-32.10M-20.00M-355.00M-2.10M

NewRiver REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price71.50
Price Trends
50DMA
71.59
Negative
100DMA
72.17
Negative
200DMA
70.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
50.99
Neutral
STOCH
60.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:NRR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 71.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.28, below the 50-day MA of 71.59, and above the 200-day MA of 70.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:NRR.

NewRiver REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
£383.08M16.315.86%5.34%-9.24%-17.33%
£373.26M9.349.14%7.50%3.79%
£995.74M16.175.54%7.58%7.57%
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
£305.07M11.355.57%9.09%36.09%556.25%
$418.36M11.787.04%4.69%-1.23%
£1.65B21.863.09%4.49%16.30%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:NRR
NewRiver REIT
71.50
-0.42
-0.58%
GB:CREI
Custodian REIT
81.10
5.41
7.15%
GB:HMSO
Hammerson plc R.E.I.T.
312.00
26.47
9.27%
GB:MTVW
Mountview Estates
9,825.00
1,290.43
15.12%
GB:PCTN
Picton Property Income
79.20
12.18
18.17%
GB:SUPR
Supermarket Income REIT Plc
80.20
14.11
21.35%

NewRiver REIT Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
NewRiver REIT Appoints Rajat Dhawan as Independent Non-Executive Director
Positive
Oct 13, 2025

NewRiver REIT has appointed Rajat Dhawan as an Independent Non-Executive Director, enhancing the board with his extensive experience in technology and digital transformation. This strategic appointment is expected to support NewRiver’s growth and value creation for shareholders, aligning with its focus on leveraging innovative technology to improve operations and customer engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Hold with a £77.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
NewRiver REIT Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

NewRiver REIT plc has announced its total voting rights, with an issued share capital consisting of 429,969,475 ordinary shares, of which 3,298,567 are held in the Employee Benefit Trust. This results in a total of 426,670,908 voting rights, a figure that shareholders can use to determine their notification obligations under the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules. This announcement provides clarity on shareholder voting power, potentially impacting investor decisions and market perceptions of the company’s governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Hold with a £78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Fitch Affirms NewRiver REIT’s Investment Grade Ratings
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

Fitch Ratings has affirmed NewRiver REIT plc’s Long-Term Issuer Default Rating at ‘BBB’ with a Stable Outlook, and its senior unsecured rating at ‘BBB+’. This affirmation, which includes a £300 million unsecured bond due in 2028, underscores NewRiver’s stable financial position and creditworthiness, reflecting positively on its operations and market confidence. The ratings are significant for stakeholders as they indicate the company’s ability to maintain financial stability and manage its debt obligations effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Hold with a £74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
NewRiver REIT CFO Exercises Share Options, Increases Stake
Neutral
Sep 10, 2025

NewRiver REIT announced that its Chief Financial Officer, Will Hobman, exercised 140,439 nil cost options under the company’s Deferred Bonus Plan, resulting in an increase of his beneficial interest in the company. The transaction was executed to cover tax liabilities, and no new shares were issued, as the shares were transferred from the Employee Benefit Trust. This move aligns with the company’s regulatory compliance under the UK Market Abuse Regulation and reflects internal financial management practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Hold with a £74.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
NewRiver REIT Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Sep 1, 2025

NewRiver REIT plc has announced its total voting rights, stating that the company’s issued share capital consists of 429,969,475 ordinary shares, with 425,993,806 shares having voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification obligations under the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules, impacting how they manage their investments in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NewRiver REIT Updates Total Voting Rights Post-Share Buyback
Neutral
Aug 15, 2025

NewRiver REIT plc announced a correction to its previous statement regarding total voting rights, adjusting the figure to 425,984,057 following a share buyback. This update is crucial for shareholders to accurately assess their interests under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, ensuring compliance and transparency in shareholder communications.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
NewRiver REIT Executes Strategic Share Buyback
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

NewRiver REIT has repurchased 47,708,400 of its ordinary shares from Growthpoint Properties Limited, representing about 10% of its issued share capital, for approximately £35.8 million. This buyback, deemed beneficial for shareholders, aims to enhance the company’s financial metrics and reflects the board’s belief that the current share price undervalues the company. Growthpoint has fully exited its shareholding in NewRiver, impacting the company’s shareholder structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
NewRiver REIT Enhances Employee Share Scheme with Strategic Share Purchase
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

NewRiver REIT plc has announced that FCM Trust Limited, acting as Trustee of the NewRiver REIT plc Employee Benefit Trust, has purchased 3,000,000 ordinary shares in the company. This acquisition is intended to satisfy current and future exercises of awards under NewRiver’s employee share schemes. The transaction reflects NewRiver’s commitment to its employees and aligns with its strategic goals to enhance shareholder value through effective management of its retail assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
NewRiver REIT Announces Strategic Share Buyback Plan
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

NewRiver REIT has announced a proposed buyback of up to 47.7 million shares from Growthpoint Properties Limited at 75 pence per share. This move is seen as a strategic allocation of capital, expected to increase the company’s net tangible assets and funds from operations per share, despite temporarily raising its loan-to-value ratio above the medium-term guidance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesDividends
NewRiver REIT Updates Scrip Dividend Share Allotment Schedule
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

NewRiver REIT has announced an amendment to its previously released ‘Scrip Dividend share allotment’ statement. The admission of 593,867 Ordinary Shares to the Official List is now expected on 8 August 2025, a day later than initially planned. These shares are part of the Scrip Dividend Scheme related to the final dividend for the year ending 31 March 2025, and they will hold the same rights as existing shares, indicating a strategic move to enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
NewRiver REIT Announces Scrip Dividend Share Allotment
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

NewRiver REIT plc has announced the allotment of 593,867 ordinary shares as part of its Scrip Dividend Scheme related to the final dividend for the year ending March 31, 2025. This move is expected to maintain shareholder value by offering shares that will rank equally with existing ordinary shares, potentially enhancing the company’s liquidity and market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
NewRiver REIT Secures Shareholder Approval for AGM Resolutions
Positive
Aug 1, 2025

NewRiver REIT announced that all resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting on July 31, 2025, were passed. The resolutions included ordinary and special resolutions such as the approval of financial statements, re-election of directors, appointment of auditors, and authorization for share allotment and market purchases. The successful passage of these resolutions reflects strong shareholder support and positions the company to continue its strategic initiatives in the retail real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
NewRiver REIT Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

NewRiver REIT plc announced its total voting rights, stating that the company’s issued share capital consists of 477,084,008 ordinary shares, with 476,080,352 shares carrying voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules, impacting how they manage their interests in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £0.94 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
NewRiver REIT Announces Successful AGM Resolutions
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

NewRiver REIT plc announced that all resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting on July 31, 2025, were passed with significant shareholder support. The resolutions included the approval of financial statements, director re-elections, auditor appointments, and a new share-based long-term incentive scheme, reflecting strong confidence in the company’s strategic direction and governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
NewRiver REIT Reports Strong Start to Financial Year with Strategic Asset Sale
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

NewRiver REIT has reported a strong start to the financial year, with consumer spending growth across its portfolio surpassing the national average. This success is reflected in their leasing performance, which has been the strongest since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. The company has also successfully sold the Abbey Centre in Belfast for £58.8 million, aligning with its strategy to recycle capital into opportunities with higher income and growth potential. The balance sheet is well-positioned to support further earnings growth, with a reduced loan-to-value ratio and increased cash reserves, allowing for potential reinvestment into accretive opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025