NewRiver REIT (NRR) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £344.72M
• Dividend Yield: 965.52%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.04M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 11.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.95
• Revenue Growth: 36.09%
• EPS Growth: 556.25%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 48
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 56
• Industry: REIT - Retail
• EPS (TTM): 0.04
• Shares Outstanding: 475,469,180
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 809,048
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,035,061
• PEG Ratio: 0.05
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.46
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 22.82
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £89.00
• Price Target Upside: 12261.11% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 63 Neutral
• Price Target: 1.00p ▲(38.89%Upside)

NewRiver REIT's solid financial performance and attractive valuation are major strengths, supported by strategic corporate events that enhance growth potential. However, technical indicators suggest caution, with bearish momentum posing short-term risks.

NewRiver REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

NewRiver REIT plc ('NewRiver') is a leading Real Estate Investment Trust specialising in buying, managing and developing essential retail and leisure assets throughout the UK. Our £1.1 billion portfolio covers 9 million sq ft and comprises 33 community shopping centres, 24 conveniently located retail parks and 700 community pubs. We hand-picked our assets to deliberately focus on occupiers providing essential goods and services, and avoid structurally challenged sub-sectors such as department stores, mid-market fashion and casual dining. This focus, combined with our affordable rents and desirable locations, delivers sustainable and growing returns for our shareholders, while our active approach to asset management and inbuilt 2.6 million sq ft development pipeline provide further opportunities to extract value from our portfolio. NewRiver has a Premium Listing on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange (ticker: NRR).

How the Company Makes Money

NewRiver REIT makes money primarily through the acquisition, management, and leasing of retail and leisure properties. Its revenue model is based on earning rental income from tenants occupying its properties, which include retail stores, supermarkets, and pubs. The company also engages in active asset management initiatives such as refurbishment and redevelopment to improve property values and attract higher-quality tenants, thereby increasing rental income. Additionally, NewRiver may generate income from the sale of properties when strategic opportunities arise. The company's partnerships with retailers and strategic acquisitions play a significant role in maintaining occupancy rates and driving revenue growth.

NewRiver REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary

NewRiver REIT shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability metrics, with solid gross and net profit margins. However, high leverage and historical fluctuations in net income present potential risks.

Income Statement

NewRiver REIT has shown a considerable improvement in its revenue growth, with a notable increase from the previous year, indicating strong recovery dynamics. The gross profit margin remains solid at 62.09%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has seen volatility, though it has improved to 26.18% in the latest report. The EBIT margin of 43.09% and EBITDA margin of 49.50% are both robust, showcasing operational efficiency. Despite these strengths, the prior years' fluctuations in net income pose potential risks.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderately high at 1.04, indicating a reliance on debt financing, which could be risky in a rising interest rate environment. Return on equity has improved significantly to 4.84%, showcasing better utilization of equity. The equity ratio stands at 46.48%, reflecting a balanced asset financing structure. Despite improvements, the high leverage remains a concern for future flexibility and stability.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow has increased by 12.65% year-over-year, indicating a strong cash position. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.20 suggests efficient earnings conversion to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 0.79, demonstrating good cash generation relative to profit. These metrics reflect a positive cash flow trajectory, although the previous year's volatility in cash flows should be monitored.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	70.80M	90.50M	65.00M	73.70M	75.00M	74.90M
Gross Profit	51.80M	56.20M	44.10M	46.40M	47.10M	49.20M
EBITDA	38.80M	44.80M	18.60M	35.80M	37.50M	31.50M
Net Income	13.80M	23.70M	3.00M	-16.80M	7.00M	-122.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	819.20M	1.05B	759.60M	781.50M	819.10M	1.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	184.40M	61.30M	132.80M	108.60M	82.80M	150.50M
Total Debt	372.50M	510.60M	372.20M	373.40M	371.50M	715.30M
Total Liabilities	408.80M	564.00M	398.50M	402.90M	405.00M	765.50M
Stockholders Equity	410.40M	490.10M	361.10M	378.60M	414.10M	460.40M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	15.00M	18.70M	16.60M	24.00M	34.90M	-4.40M
Operating Cash Flow	19.30M	28.40M	22.70M	27.00M	47.50M	8.90M
Investing Cash Flow	900.00K	-67.80M	23.60M	18.80M	239.80M	62.90M
Financing Cash Flow	26.90M	-32.10M	-22.10M	-20.00M	-355.00M	-2.10M

NewRiver REIT Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.72
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:NRR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.74, below the 50-day MA of 0.74, and above the 200-day MA of 0.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.46 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:NRR.

NewRiver REIT Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SUPR	80 Outperform	£1.04B	14.98	6.20%	732.06%	-8.26%	1700.00%
MTVW	74 Outperform	£380.15M	16.18	5.86%	5.14%	2.66%	1.62%
CREI	73 Outperform	£374.73M	9.33	9.14%	742.57%	7.81%	―
Sector *	63 Neutral	$6.93B	18.26	-1.91%	6.91%	4.65%	-25.39%
NRR	63 Neutral	£344.72M	11.51	5.57%	965.52%	36.09%	556.25%
HMSO	61 Neutral	£1.41B	―	-2.09%	5151.62%	6.08%	―
PCTNF		$571.67M	11.33	7.04%	4.77%	―	―

NewRiver REIT Corporate Events

NewRiver REIT Announces Executive Share Awards

NewRiver REIT has announced the granting of nil-cost options and deferred bonus shares to its Executive Directors under the company’s Performance Share Plan and Deferred Bonus Plan. These awards are contingent on the company’s performance and continued employment, reflecting NewRiver’s commitment to aligning executive incentives with shareholder interests and long-term company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

NewRiver REIT Releases 2025 Annual Report and Announces AGM

NewRiver REIT has released its Annual Report and Accounts for 2025, which are now available to shareholders. The company will hold its Annual General Meeting on 31 July 2025 in London. This announcement underscores NewRiver’s commitment to transparency and shareholder engagement, reflecting its strategic focus on maintaining a resilient retail portfolio and delivering sustainable returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

NewRiver REIT Announces Scrip Dividend Reference Price

NewRiver REIT has announced the scrip dividend reference price for shareholders opting for the scrip dividend alternative for the final dividend of the year ended 31 March 2025, set at 73.71 pence per ordinary share. This initiative allows shareholders to receive additional shares instead of cash dividends, with the election deadline set for 18 July 2025, and the new shares to be dispatched on 8 August 2025. The scrip dividend scheme, renewed at the 2023 Annual General Meeting, offers shareholders a cost-effective way to increase their holdings without incurring dealing charges or stamp duty.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

NewRiver REIT Chair Lynn Fordham Appointed to Lead Pollen Street Group

NewRiver REIT has announced that Lynn Fordham, the Non-Executive Chair of the company, has been appointed as the Chair of Pollen Street Group Limited effective June 20, 2025. This appointment highlights Fordham’s leadership capabilities and could strengthen NewRiver’s strategic positioning by fostering potential collaborations or insights between the two entities, benefiting stakeholders through enhanced governance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

NewRiver REIT Announces Final Dividend and Scrip Dividend Option

NewRiver REIT has declared a final dividend of 3.5 pence per share for the year ending March 31, 2025, to be paid as a Property Income Distribution. Shareholders have the option to receive additional shares instead of cash through the company’s renewed scrip dividend scheme, which involves no dealing charges or stamp duty.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £0.94 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

NewRiver REIT Sells Abbey Centre for £58.8 Million

NewRiver REIT has successfully sold the Abbey Centre in Newtownabbey, Northern Ireland, to The Herbert Group for £58.8 million, aligning with its book values from March 2024 and 2025. This transaction, which reflects a net initial yield of approximately 9%, is part of NewRiver’s strategy to recycle capital into opportunities with better income and growth potential, reducing its loan-to-value ratio by about 4%. The sale underscores NewRiver’s asset management capabilities and highlights the improving investor demand for UK shopping centres.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

NewRiver REIT Achieves Earnings Growth Through Strategic Acquisition

NewRiver REIT reported significant earnings growth for the year ending March 2025, driven by the acquisition of Capital & Regional, which increased its portfolio size by 65%. The integration of these assets is on track, with the transaction expected to deliver substantial earnings accretion. The company’s financial position remains strong, with improved portfolio valuation and increased occupancy rates, positioning NewRiver for continued growth and stakeholder value enhancement.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

NewRiver REIT to Announce Full Year Results Following Strategic Expansion

NewRiver REIT plc will announce its Full Year Results for the year ended 31 March 2025 on 3 June 2025. The announcement will include a live presentation for analysts and investors, indicating the company’s commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders. This event is significant as it follows the company’s strategic acquisition of Capital & Regional, which has expanded its portfolio and market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NRR) stock is a Buy with a £90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NewRiver REIT stock, see the GB:NRR Stock Forecast page.

NewRiver REIT Announces Total Voting Rights

NewRiver REIT plc has announced its total voting rights, with the company’s issued share capital comprising 477,084,008 ordinary shares. Of these, 1,614,846 shares are held in the Employee Benefit Trust, resulting in a total of 475,469,162 voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

NewRiver REIT Reports Strong Growth and Successful Acquisition Integration

NewRiver REIT has reported strong operational performance for the year ending March 2025, highlighted by the successful integration of Capital & Regional, which has increased its portfolio size by 65%. The company has seen significant growth in portfolio valuation, occupancy rates, and consumer spending, outperforming the UK average. The acquisition is expected to deliver substantial earnings growth, with NewRiver on track to reduce its loan-to-value ratio and achieve sector-leading earnings growth. The company’s strategic focus on essential retail assets and strong leasing performance positions it well for continued success.