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Custodian REIT PLC (GB:CREI)
LSE:CREI

Custodian REIT (CREI) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CREI

Custodian REIT

(LSE:CREI)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
100.00 p
▲(19.47% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/30/25
The score is supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield) and positive technical trend signals (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). Financial performance is solid on cash generation and moderate leverage, but is held back by significant earnings volatility. Ongoing buybacks and dividends add incremental support.
Positive Factors
Diversified UK property portfolio
Custodian’s portfolio covers multiple UK regions and sectors (industrial, logistics, retail, offices) with smaller-lot assets. That cross-sector and regional diversification supports recurring rental income, lowers single-market concentration risk, and improves resilience across property cycles.
Consistent operating cash flow
Consistently positive operating cash flow (~£19m–£28m) demonstrates dependable cash generation from core rents. For a REIT this underpins dividend distributions, debt servicing and selective reinvestment, providing a durable funding base even amid cyclical valuation moves.
Moderate, stable leverage
Debt-to-equity in the ~0.26–0.43 band and a meaningful equity base (~£423m vs £614m assets) indicate moderate leverage. This balance reduces refinancing strain, preserves financial flexibility for acquisitions or buybacks, and supports long-term capacity to fund distributions.
Negative Factors
Earnings volatility
Net income has swung materially across years (large profit 2022 → large loss 2023 → loss 2024 → strong profit 2025). Such volatility undermines confidence in repeatable distributable earnings, complicates dividend planning and highlights sensitivity to valuation or one-off items.
Uneven free cash flow
Free cash flow fell sharply to ~£4.2m in 2024 before rebounding to ~£23.7m in 2025. This uneven cash conversion suggests timing of disposals, capex or working-capital swings can materially affect cash available for dividends or reinvestment, adding execution and payout risk.
Reliance on valuation/disposals
The company supplements rental income with valuation gains and property disposals to generate capital returns. Dependence on market-driven valuation uplifts increases earnings and distributable income sensitivity to commercial property cycles, elevating long-term payout variability.

Custodian REIT (CREI) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Custodian REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCustodian REIT plc is a UK real estate investment trust, which listed on the main market of the London Stock Exchange on 26 March 2014. Its portfolio comprises properties predominantly let to institutional grade tenants on long leases throughout the UK and is principally characterised by small lot sizes, with individual property values of less than £10 million at acquisition. The Company offers investors the opportunity to access a diversified portfolio of UK commercial real estate through a closed-ended fund. By targeting smaller lot size properties, the Company intends to provide investors with an attractive level of income with the potential for capital growth. Custodian Capital Limited is the discretionary investment manager of the Company.
How the Company Makes MoneyCustodian REIT generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of commercial properties. By leasing these properties to a variety of tenants across different sectors, the company ensures a steady stream of income. Additionally, Custodian REIT may also realize gains from the strategic acquisition and disposal of properties, optimizing the portfolio's value over time. The company benefits from its expertise in property management and maintains significant partnerships with real estate agents, property managers, and financial institutions to enhance its operational efficiency and market reach. Furthermore, as a REIT, Custodian REIT is required to distribute a significant portion of its taxable income to shareholders as dividends, which can attract income-focused investors and contribute to the company's overall financial performance.

Custodian REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady revenue growth and consistently positive operating cash flow support underlying stability, with improved free cash flow in 2025. Offsetting this, reported profitability has been highly volatile across 2022–2025, reducing confidence in earnings repeatability despite the latest-year rebound.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Revenue has grown steadily across the period (2025: +3.25% vs. 2024: +4.75% and 2023: +10.67%), which supports underlying demand and rental income stability. Profitability, however, has been volatile: net income swung from a very large profit in 2022 to a large loss in 2023, a smaller loss in 2024, and then back to a strong profit in 2025 (net margin ~76.7%). This sharp variability lowers confidence in the repeatability of earnings even though the latest year improved materially.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Leverage appears moderate and fairly stable for a diversified REIT, with debt-to-equity generally in the ~0.26–0.43 range (2025: ~0.41), suggesting the company is not overly debt-loaded relative to equity. Equity and total assets are sizable (2025 equity ~£423m; assets ~£614m), providing a meaningful capital base. The key weakness is the volatility in shareholder returns (return on equity deeply negative in 2023, negative in 2024, then positive again in 2025), which signals that asset valuation and/or earnings can swing meaningfully across cycles.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Operating cash flow has been consistently positive and relatively steady (roughly £19m–£28m across the period), which is a constructive signal for a REIT’s cash-generating ability. Free cash flow rebounded strongly in 2025 (~£23.7m, +9.49% growth) after a weak 2024 (~£4.2m, down sharply), indicating improved cash conversion and/or lower cash outflows. A watch item is the uneven year-to-year free cash flow profile (notably the 2024 dip), which could reflect timing, investment spend, or working-capital movements.
BreakdownTTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue48.94M49.74M46.24M44.15M39.89M39.58M
Gross Profit43.85M49.74M46.24M33.09M35.18M35.33M
EBITDA34.93M0.000.0031.17M30.09M28.52M
Net Income50.89M38.16M-1.50M-65.82M122.33M3.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets647.53M614.39M605.12M625.33M682.01M561.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.92M7.92M9.71M6.88M11.62M3.92M
Total Debt172.32M173.63M177.29M172.10M136.61M138.60M
Total Liabilities191.19M190.93M193.30M187.76M154.37M151.98M
Stockholders Equity456.33M423.47M411.82M437.57M527.64M409.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.27M23.70M4.21M23.07M24.62M17.02M
Operating Cash Flow25.13M25.03M23.22M24.29M28.14M19.33M
Investing Cash Flow-519.00K6.68M-891.00K-40.06M26.61M-10.11M
Financing Cash Flow-29.16M-31.30M-19.49M11.02M-48.74M-30.70M

Custodian REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price83.70
Price Trends
50DMA
86.26
Negative
100DMA
82.91
Positive
200DMA
79.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.60
Positive
RSI
42.29
Neutral
STOCH
52.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CREI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 83.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 86.77, below the 50-day MA of 86.26, and above the 200-day MA of 79.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:CREI.

Custodian REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
£59.97M4.8510.22%8.23%8.48%207.85%
72
Outperform
£414.09M3.3411.57%7.17%1.60%211.81%
71
Outperform
£167.24M9.167.37%7.43%-10.95%-30.09%
66
Neutral
£40.25M54.664.33%7.14%-41.22%
66
Neutral
£248.47M5.979.81%6.64%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
60
Neutral
£415.72M6.817.51%5.15%-3.98%412.08%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CREI
Custodian REIT
84.80
12.43
17.18%
GB:AEWU
AEW UK REIT
105.40
11.00
11.65%
GB:PCA
Palace Capital
199.00
-1.17
-0.58%
GB:SREI
Schroder Real Estate ate ate Investment
50.80
1.10
2.22%
GB:PCTN
Picton Property Income
81.40
14.36
21.41%
GB:AIRE
Alternative Income REIT Plc
74.50
9.54
14.69%

Custodian REIT Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Custodian REIT Boosts Income With £36m Acquisition of Family Property Portfolio
Positive
Feb 16, 2026

Custodian Property Income REIT has acquired Grove Court Properties (Holdings) Limited, a £35.9m family-owned portfolio of seven mixed-use properties near the M25, adding about 6% to its annual rent roll. The assets, which are around 97% occupied and yield roughly 6.8%, feature a mix of motor trade, residential, leisure, offices and high street retail, with tenants including Vertu Motors, BP Collins and M&S Simply Food.

The deal, largely financed through new share issuance with additional cash consideration, is expected to enhance earnings per share, strengthen dividend cover and maintain net gearing at around 26%. By structuring the acquisition as a corporate purchase, Custodian avoided stamp duty land tax on the underlying properties, achieved cost efficiencies, broadened its shareholder base with the selling family and reinforced its strategy of consolidating diversified regional portfolios from family property companies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CREI) stock is a Buy with a £105.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Custodian REIT stock, see the GB:CREI Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Custodian Property Income REIT Reports No New Shares Issued Under Blocklisting
Positive
Feb 9, 2026

Custodian Property Income REIT reported that, over the period from 9 August 2025 to 8 February 2026, there were no securities issued or allotted under its existing general blocklisting scheme. As a result, the balance of unallotted securities under the scheme remains unchanged at 7,250,001, indicating no dilution for existing shareholders during the review period and signalling stable capital activity.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CREI) stock is a Buy with a £98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Custodian REIT stock, see the GB:CREI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Custodian Property Income REIT Sells Glasgow Office at 24% Premium to Valuation
Positive
Feb 5, 2026

Custodian Property Income REIT has sold Monteith House, a fully let office building on George Square in central Glasgow, for £6.0m, achieving a 24% premium to its 30 September 2025 valuation. Management cited the limited remaining lease term, uncertainty over tenant renewal and the need for significant future capital expenditure as reasons for exiting the asset now, using the disposal to crystallise value above book and to demonstrate ongoing investor demand for well-located office offices. The company plans to deploy the proceeds to repay variable rate debt, in line with its strategy of strengthening income returns for shareholders by reducing borrowing costs and recycling capital from mature assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CREI) stock is a Buy with a £98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Custodian REIT stock, see the GB:CREI Stock Forecast page.

Other
Custodian Property Income REIT Sets Live Online Investor Presentation for 13 February
Neutral
Jan 30, 2026

Custodian Property Income REIT plc has announced that its portfolio manager, Richard Shepherd-Cross, will host a live online investor presentation via the Investor Meet Company platform on 13 February 2026 at 11:00 GMT. The session, open to both existing and potential shareholders, is designed to enhance investor engagement by allowing participants to submit questions in advance or during the event, and is accessible free of charge to investors who register or already follow the company on the platform.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CREI) stock is a Buy with a £98.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Custodian REIT stock, see the GB:CREI Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Custodian Property Income REIT Declares Third Quarterly Interim Dividend
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

Custodian Property Income REIT plc has declared its third quarterly interim dividend for the financial year ending 31 March 2026, setting a payout of 1.5 pence per share for the quarter ended 31 December 2025. The dividend, which will be paid on 27 February 2026 to shareholders on the register as of 16 January 2026 and designated as a property income distribution, underlines the REIT’s continued focus on providing regular income to investors from its diversified regional property portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CREI) stock is a Buy with a £93.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Custodian REIT stock, see the GB:CREI Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Custodian Property Income REIT Confirms Total Voting Share Capital at Year-End 2025
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026

Custodian Property Income REIT has confirmed that, as at 31 December 2025, it had 459,257,410 ordinary shares in issue excluding treasury shares, forming the company’s total voting share capital. Including 5,745,732 shares held in treasury, the company’s overall share capital stands at 465,003,142 shares, with the published voting share figure to be used by investors in calculating whether they must disclose holdings or changes in holdings under UK regulatory transparency rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CREI) stock is a Buy with a £93.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Custodian REIT stock, see the GB:CREI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Custodian REIT Enhances Shareholder Value with Strategic Buyback
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

Custodian Property Income REIT plc announced the purchase of 100,000 ordinary shares at 82.2 pence each, as part of its ongoing share buyback program. This move, executed independently by Deutsche Bank AG, aims to enhance shareholder value by acquiring shares at a discount to the dividend-adjusted NAV per share, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on optimizing capital allocation.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Custodian Property Income REIT Executes Share Buyback
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

Custodian Property Income REIT plc has executed a share buyback, purchasing 150,000 ordinary shares at 82.5 pence each, as part of its ongoing buyback programme. This move is part of a larger strategy to purchase shares at a discount to the dividend-adjusted NAV, potentially enhancing shareholder value by reducing the number of shares in circulation.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Custodian REIT Reports Strong Interim Results with Strategic Growth Initiatives
Positive
Dec 5, 2025

Custodian Property Income REIT plc reported strong interim results for the period ending 30 September 2025, highlighting a 3.3% growth in EPRA earnings per share and a fully covered dividend of 6.0p per share. The company’s strategic asset management led to a 2.9% increase in NAV per share, supported by rental growth and successful lease renewals. The acquisition of the Merlin portfolio and profitable property sales have further strengthened the company’s financial position, while ongoing refurbishment initiatives and a share buyback program aim to enhance shareholder value. The company’s focus on real assets positions it well to protect investments against inflation and capitalize on future growth opportunities.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Custodian Property Income REIT Engages in Strategic Share Buyback
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

Custodian Property Income REIT plc has announced a share buyback, purchasing 150,000 ordinary shares at 81.0 pence each, totaling £121,511. This is part of a larger buyback program initiated in July 2025, which has seen the company acquire over 5.3 million shares at a significant discount to the dividend-adjusted NAV per share. The buyback aims to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Custodian Property Income REIT Enhances Shareholder Value with Share Buyback
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

Custodian Property Income REIT plc announced the purchase of 150,000 ordinary shares at 81.4 pence each, as part of its ongoing share buyback program. This transaction is part of a strategy to manage share capital efficiently, potentially enhancing shareholder value by acquiring shares at a discount to the dividend-adjusted NAV per share.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Custodian Property Income REIT Expands Share Buyback Program
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

Custodian Property Income REIT plc announced the purchase of 160,325 ordinary shares at 82.0 pence each, as part of its ongoing share buyback program. This transaction, executed under a non-discretionary program managed by Deutsche Bank AG, contributes to the company’s strategy of enhancing shareholder value by acquiring shares at a discount to their dividend-adjusted net asset value.

Stock Buyback
Custodian Property Income REIT Expands Share Buyback Program
Positive
Nov 27, 2025

Custodian Property Income REIT announced the purchase of 24,405 ordinary shares at 78.0 pence each, as part of its ongoing share buyback program. This initiative, managed by Deutsche Bank AG, aims to enhance shareholder value by acquiring shares at a discount to the dividend-adjusted NAV per share, with a total of 4,735,407 shares purchased so far under the program.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Custodian Property Income REIT Enhances Shareholder Value with Strategic Buyback
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

Custodian Property Income REIT plc has announced the purchase of 37,225 ordinary shares at 79.0 pence each, as part of its ongoing share buyback programme. This transaction, executed under a non-discretionary programme managed by Deutsche Bank AG, reflects the company’s strategy to manage its capital efficiently and potentially enhance shareholder value by acquiring shares at a discount to the dividend-adjusted NAV per share.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025