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Renalytix (GB:RENX)
LSE:RENX

Renalytix (RENX) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:RENX

Renalytix

(LSE:RENX)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
3.00p
▼(-49.15% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/13/26
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (large ongoing losses, negative free cash flow, and negative equity), reinforced by bearish technical signals with the stock trading below all key moving averages. Valuation contributes only modestly given negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Proprietary Diagnostic Platform
Renalytix's KidneyIntelX is a differentiated, product-led business model: a blood-based diagnostic that blends biomarkers, clinical inputs and ML algorithms. That combination creates a defensible clinical workflow asset tied to patient stratification and care-pathway decisions, supporting durable commercial potential as providers seek earlier intervention tools.
Improving Revenue and Margins
Top-line growth with a marked gross margin improvement signals improving unit economics and initial scale effects. If volume increases continue, higher gross margins reduce the fixed-cost burden per test, creating a clearer pathway to operating leverage and more sustainable profitability over multiple quarters.
Reduced Cash Burn Trajectory
A significant year-over-year reduction in cash burn reflects improved cost control and operational discipline. Sustained improvement in cash outflows lengthens runway and reduces near-term funding urgency, enabling management to focus on commercialization and reimbursement efforts rather than immediate liquidity decisions.
Negative Factors
Weak Balance Sheet
Negative equity is a structural constraint on financial flexibility and typically signals reliance on ongoing external financing. It limits the company's ability to absorb shocks, take on strategic investments without dilution, and can complicate commercial partnerships that prefer counterparty strength.
Continued Heavy Cash Burn
Persistent materially negative free cash flow means the business depends on capital markets or financings to fund operations. Over a multi-quarter horizon this raises execution risk: constrained resources can slow sales hires, lab scale-up, and payer engagement, all of which are needed to convert diagnostic potential into sustainable revenue.
Very Small Revenue Base vs Large Losses
A tiny revenue base coupled with outsized losses implies the cost structure is far above current scale. This magnifies the company's exposure to reimbursement decisions and provider adoption rates; until test volume materially increases, fixed costs and commercialization spend keep profitability distant.

Renalytix (RENX) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Renalytix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRenalytix Plc develops artificial intelligence-enabled in vitro diagnostic solutions for kidney diseases. The company offers KidneyIntelX, a diagnostic platform that employs an artificial intelligence-enabled algorithm that combines various data inputs, including validated blood-based biomarkers, inherited genetics and personalized patient data from electronic health record systems to generate a unique patient risk score. Its products are used in kidney disease diagnosis and prognosis, clinical care, patient stratification for drug clinical trials, and drug target discovery. Renalytix AI plc has a license agreement with Mount Sinai Health System to develop and commercialize licensed products in connection with the application of artificial intelligence for the diagnosis of kidney disease; Joslin Diabetes Center, Inc. for developing and commercializing products for diagnosing and predicting kidney disease using biomarkers; and Kantaro Biosciences LLC for developing and commercializing laboratory tests for the detection of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2. The company also has a partnership agreement with Atrium Health, Wake Forest Baptist Health, and Wake Forest School of Medicine to implement an advanced clinical care model designed to improve kidney health and reduce kidney disease progression and kidney failure in high-risk populations. The company was formerly known as Renalytix AI plc and changed its name to Renalytix Plc in June 2021. Renalytix Plc was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyRenalytix makes money primarily through the commercialization of its KidneyIntelX diagnostic platform. The company's revenue model involves partnerships with healthcare providers, hospitals, and insurance companies to implement and integrate KidneyIntelX into their patient care systems. By offering a subscription-based or per-test pricing model, Renalytix generates revenue whenever its diagnostic solutions are utilized in clinical settings. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic collaborations with pharmaceutical companies, leveraging its technology for drug development and clinical trial support. These partnerships can provide additional revenue streams through licensing agreements, milestone payments, and data sharing arrangements.

Renalytix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant strategic achievements, including Medicare coverage developments, inclusion in clinical guidelines, successful fundraising, and cost reduction efforts. However, there are challenges such as a decline in revenue and testing volumes, and adoption hurdles in the VA system. The sentiment is balanced, with positive long-term strategic developments countered by short-term operational challenges.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Medicare Coverage Developments
Medicare contractor National Government Services issued a draft local coverage determination for KidneyIntelX, with expectations for a final coverage determination in the near term.
Inclusion in International Clinical Guidelines
KidneyIntelX was included in the KDIGO international clinical guidelines for chronic kidney disease, marking a significant milestone for broader adoption.
Successful Fundraising
Completed common stock equity financing rounds in March and April, raising net proceeds of approximately $13.5 million, extending the financial runway.
FDA-Authorized Product Launch
Launched the FDA-authorized KidneyIntelX.dkd product version, with commercial test orders now being received.
Cost Reduction Achievements
Year-over-year headcount reduction of 50% and overall operating expenses reduced by approximately 40%, aiming for further expense reductions.
Direct-to-Physician Sales Growth
Achieved a 33% increase in direct-to-primary-care test order rates quarter-over-quarter, indicating early growth trends.
Strategic Acquisition Interest
Received interest from multiple potential acquirers, with a competitive sale process anticipated.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Recorded revenue of $535,000 for Q3 2024, down from $724,000 in the prior year period.
Testing Volume Decrease
Processed 806 tests during the quarter, a decrease from previous quarters, with 82% being billable.
Challenges in VA System Adoption
Faced complexities in rolling out KidneyIntelX in the VA system, leading to reduced focus in this market for 2024.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter earnings call for Renalytix (Symbol: RENX.L), management provided a detailed overview of their financial and strategic progress. The company reported a revenue of $535,000 for Q3 2024, with 806 tests processed, 82% of which were billable. This reflects a decline from the previous year, attributed to the conclusion of a $6 million contract with Mount Sinai. Operating expenses were significantly reduced by 40% year-over-year to $6.5 million, following strategic reorganization efforts, including a 50% reduction in headcount. The net loss also decreased by 36% to $7.7 million. The launch of the FDA-authorized KidneyIntelX.dkd product and increased insurance reimbursement were highlighted as key developments. The company emphasized their strategic focus on sales growth with a 33% increase in direct-to-physician test orders quarter-over-quarter, while anticipating further growth with the expected finalization of Medicare coverage and inclusion in international clinical guidelines. Additionally, Renalytix raised $13.5 million in aggregate gross proceeds from recent financings and reported $4.7 million in cash as of March 31, excluding additional financing proceeds. The ongoing strategic review, including potential acquisition interest, was also discussed, though specifics were limited due to regulatory constraints.

Renalytix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite FY2025 revenue growth and improved gross margin, the company remains far from profitability with very large net losses, heavy negative free cash flow, and negative equity, indicating elevated funding and balance-sheet risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Revenue remains very small but improved in the latest year (FY2025 revenue up ~26% to ~3.0m). Profitability is still extremely weak: despite a much better gross margin in FY2025 (~40% vs ~7% in FY2024), operating and net losses remain large (net margin about -680% in FY2025), indicating the cost base is far above current revenue scale. The positive trajectory in losses versus prior years is a strength, but the business is still far from break-even.
Balance Sheet
12
Very Negative
The balance sheet shows elevated financial risk, with stockholders’ equity turning negative in FY2024 and remaining negative in FY2025, which limits flexibility and typically implies reliance on external funding. Debt is modest in absolute terms (~8.3m in FY2025) but is high relative to the company’s current asset base and negative equity position. Overall, leverage and capitalization metrics signal a stressed balance sheet despite lower debt than earlier years.
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
Cash burn remains heavy: operating cash flow and free cash flow were both about -17.9m in FY2025, improving versus FY2024 (about -30.1m) but still meaningfully negative. Free cash flow deterioration versus the prior year (FY2025 down ~22%) highlights volatility in spending and working-capital needs. Cash generation is not yet supported by operating performance, leaving the company dependent on financing to fund operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.37M3.00M2.29M3.40M2.97M1.49M
Gross Profit468.00K1.20M156.00K701.00K918.00K687.00K
EBITDA-23.07M-21.30M-28.52M-41.71M-52.69M-32.69M
Net Income-23.43M-20.40M-33.46M-45.61M-45.28M-34.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.44M6.10M7.97M42.12M63.26M102.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.63M3.70M4.68M24.68M41.33M74.45M
Total Debt8.21M8.30M8.54M12.15M12.34M352.00K
Total Liabilities12.81M13.10M15.83M23.66M20.09M7.48M
Stockholders Equity-1.37M-7.00M-7.85M6.97M30.61M95.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-23.02M-17.90M-30.11M-32.67M-46.44M-26.26M
Operating Cash Flow-23.02M-17.90M-30.11M-32.67M-45.74M-24.63M
Investing Cash Flow18.00K0.00-4.00K0.00-694.00K-741.00K
Financing Cash Flow26.88M16.00M10.25M16.39M25.52M77.24M

Renalytix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.90
Price Trends
50DMA
5.31
Negative
100DMA
6.34
Negative
200DMA
6.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.62
Positive
RSI
26.59
Positive
STOCH
10.34
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:RENX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.22, above the 50-day MA of 5.31, and below the 200-day MA of 6.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.59 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.34 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:RENX.

Renalytix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
£109.25M15.588.71%-1.43%28.57%
58
Neutral
£8.70M-0.39-122.54%-57.03%-15.71%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
£11.17M-1.51-153.92%90.42%79.21%
45
Neutral
£10.73M-0.25-407.49%72.17%79.03%
42
Neutral
£6.01M-1.0512.19%18.12%
40
Underperform
£14.64M-0.47425.97%-4.48%61.09%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:RENX
Renalytix
3.35
-6.65
-66.50%
GB:EKF
EKF Diagnostics Holdings
27.00
5.55
25.87%
GB:GDR
Genedrive
1.04
-0.92
-46.98%
GB:OBD
Oxford BioDynamics
0.25
-0.25
-50.00%
GB:PRM
Proteome Sciences
1.75
-2.31
-56.90%
GB:VRCI
Verici Dx Plc
0.58
-2.18
-79.09%

Renalytix Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Renalytix CEO Boosts Stake as Kidney Disease Test Rollout Advances
Positive
Feb 13, 2026

Renalytix said Chief Executive James McCullough has increased his stake in the company by purchasing an additional 750 American Depositary Shares at an average price of $3.15 per ADS. Following the latest transaction, he now has an interest in 3,430,096 ordinary shares, representing 0.78% of the company’s issued share capital.

The move underscores management’s ongoing alignment with shareholders as Renalytix advances commercial deployment of its kidneyintelX.dkd prognostic test for diabetic kidney disease. With the product already FDA-approved, Medicare-reimbursed, and supported by real-world clinical data and guideline recommendations, the CEO’s further investment may be viewed as a signal of confidence in the company’s growth prospects and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RENX) stock is a Sell with a £5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Renalytix stock, see the GB:RENX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Renalytix CFO Increases Stake as KidneyintelX.dkd Deployment Expands
Positive
Feb 13, 2026

Renalytix plc reported that interim Chief Financial Officer Joel Jung purchased an additional 500 American Depositary Shares at $2.85 per ADS, increasing his holding to 333,855 ordinary shares, or about 0.07% of the company’s issued share capital. The insider share purchase may be viewed by investors as a sign of confidence in the company’s prospects as it expands commercial deployment of its FDA-approved, Medicare-reimbursed kidneyintelX.dkd diagnostic across U.S. healthcare systems.

Renalytix continues to position kidneyintelX.dkd as a key tool in addressing unrecognized and uncontrolled diabetic kidney disease, which affects tens of millions of patients in the U.S. and U.K. With more than 15,000 patients already tested and strong real-world performance data, the company benefits from full Medicare reimbursement at $950 per reportable result and guideline recommendations, underscoring its growing role in the kidney disease diagnostics market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RENX) stock is a Sell with a £5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Renalytix stock, see the GB:RENX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Renalytix CFO Increases Stake as Kidney Disease Test Gains Traction
Positive
Feb 12, 2026

Renalytix announced that interim Chief Financial Officer Joel Jung purchased 2,000 American Depositary Shares at $2.90 per ADS on 11 February 2026, increasing his interest to 308,855 ordinary shares, or about 0.07% of the company’s issued share capital. The insider share purchase may be viewed by investors as a signal of management confidence in the company’s prospects as it continues to deploy its kidneyintelX.dkd diagnostic across U.S. physician groups and health systems.

Renalytix’s kidneyintelX.dkd test has been used in over 15,000 patients, generating real-world data that show higher diagnosis, prognosis and treatment rates in populations where it is deployed. With full Medicare reimbursement at $950 per reportable result and endorsement in international chronic kidney disease guidelines, the test strengthens Renalytix’s competitive position in the kidney disease diagnostics market and could support revenue growth and broader clinical adoption.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RENX) stock is a Sell with a £5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Renalytix stock, see the GB:RENX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Renalytix CEO Increases Stake Amid Expansion of Kidney Disease Test
Positive
Feb 12, 2026

Renalytix plc announced that Chief Executive Officer James McCullough purchased 3,010 American Depositary Shares of the company on 11 February 2026 at an average price of $3.01 per ADS. Following this transaction, McCullough’s total interest amounts to 3,392,596 ordinary shares, representing 0.78% of the company’s issued share capital.

The CEO’s share purchase signals management confidence in Renalytix’s prospects as it scales deployment of its kidneyintelX.dkd prognostic test in the U.S. market. With established Medicare reimbursement and growing real-world data supporting improved diagnosis and treatment rates, the move may reassure investors about the company’s growth trajectory in the kidney disease diagnostics space.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RENX) stock is a Sell with a £5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Renalytix stock, see the GB:RENX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Renalytix Eyes Revenue Growth as Kidney Diagnostic Expands U.S. Footprint
Positive
Feb 11, 2026

Renalytix reported unaudited first-half fiscal 2026 revenues of $1.6 million and forecast full-year revenue of about $4 million, a 33% increase year-on-year, as it accelerates electronic medical record integrations for its kidneyintelX.dkd test across U.S. healthcare providers. The company is planning a large-scale integration with a major regional health system, expanding access to potentially more than 40,000 chronic kidney disease patients, while relocating its lab to cut operating costs, advancing a real-world evidence study and Tempus AI collaboration, and preparing new clinical data aimed at driving broader clinical adoption and payer coverage.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RENX) stock is a Sell with a £5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Renalytix stock, see the GB:RENX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Renalytix Adds Three U.S. Kidney Care Integrations and Deepens Tempus AI Collaboration
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

Renalytix has expanded the clinical footprint of its kidneyintelX.dkd test in the US by completing three new electronic health record-integrated deployments with regional kidney care providers in New York, Florida and Tennessee, with testing now underway and a focus on one-click ordering to encourage gradual growth in utilisation. The company is pursuing a measured, resource-efficient rollout strategy and deepening its collaboration with Tempus AI to integrate kidneyintelX.dkd within major health systems’ electronic records and data infrastructures, supporting future geographic and clinical expansion, while simultaneously stepping up investor engagement at the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference ahead of a wider trading and corporate update expected in February 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RENX) stock is a Hold with a £5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Renalytix stock, see the GB:RENX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related AnnouncementsShareholder Meetings
Renalytix Secures Shareholder Support at AGM and Advances Kidney Disease Diagnostics
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

Renalytix announced that all resolutions were passed at its Annual General Meeting, reflecting strong shareholder support. The company continues to advance its kidneyintelX.dkd test, which has shown significant improvements in diagnosis and treatment rates for kidney disease, and is now fully reimbursed by Medicare, enhancing its market positioning and impact on healthcare systems.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Renalytix Expands Kidney Disease Test Adoption and Strategic Partnerships
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

Renalytix has provided an update on its strategic initiatives ahead of its Annual General Meeting, highlighting the progress in expanding the adoption of its kidneyintelX.dkd test across key states in the U.S. The company has secured a significant partnership with Tempus AI Inc to enhance patient and clinician access to its test, aiming to drive substantial growth through strategic partnerships and EHR integrations. Additionally, Renalytix is transitioning to a new laboratory facility to increase testing capacity and reduce operational costs, positioning the company for sustainable revenue growth and long-term value creation for shareholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 13, 2026