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Kooth (GB:KOO)
LSE:KOO

Kooth (KOO) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:KOO

Kooth

(LSE:KOO)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
156.00p
▲(35.65% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance in 2024 (growth, profitability, and free-cash-flow strength with very low leverage). Technicals reduce the score due to overbought signals and the share price still below the 200-day average, while valuation is moderately supportive based on a mid-range P/E and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
2024 revenue and margin improvement
A material step-change in 2024 revenue and margins signals the business can convert scale into profitable operations. Sustained higher margins improve reinvestment capacity, support win/renewal economics for commissioned contracts, and strengthen long-term earnings power if execution persists.
Robust cash generation and FCF
Strong operating and free cash flow in 2024 provides durable financial flexibility: funds investment in product, supports working-capital needs tied to contract timing, and reduces reliance on external financing, improving the company’s ability to scale services and endure procurement cycles.
Very conservative balance sheet
Extremely low leverage and rising equity reduce financial risk and increase optionality for bidding on public contracts or funding product development. A strong balance sheet supports stability through multi-year procurement cycles and cushions against revenue timing variability.
Negative Factors
Earnings and cash-flow volatility
Historic swings between losses and the 2024 rebound indicate structural exposure to timing of contract wins, onboarding costs, and utilization. Persistent volatility makes long-term planning and forecasting harder, raising execution risk around renewals and sustained profitability.
Concentration in public-sector commissioned contracts
Heavy reliance on public-sector commissions exposes revenue to procurement cycles, budgetary constraints, and renewal risk. Long sales cycles and concentrated customers can limit pricing flexibility and make growth lumpy, constraining predictable, diversified revenue expansion.
Limited revenue diversification
Lack of meaningful alternative channels beyond commissioned contracts restricts scalability and resilience. Without diversified income streams, the company’s growth and margin expansion depend on winning and renewing public contracts, increasing exposure to a single demand channel.

Kooth (KOO) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Kooth Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKooth plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides digital mental health services to children, young people, and adults in the United Kingdom. It operates an online platform that offers various therapeutic support tools and interventions, including self-help tools; and a community with a library of peer and professional created content, as well as provides online counselling and support services. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes Money

Kooth Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong 2024 step-change: revenue growth accelerated to 23.21%, margins improved materially (EBIT 13.72%, net 12.04%), and cash generation was robust (FCF ~17.7m; OCF ~1.34x net income) with minimal leverage. Main risk is durability given prior multi-year earnings and cash-flow volatility.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Revenue growth has been strong, accelerating to 23.21% in 2024, and profitability improved materially: EBIT margin rose to 13.72% and net margin to 12.04% (from losses in 2022–2023). Gross margins are consistently high (~77–78% in 2023–2024), supporting scalable economics. The main weakness is volatility in the earnings trajectory, with several loss-making years prior to the sharp 2024 rebound.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is very conservatively financed, with minimal debt (2024 debt-to-equity ~0.001) and a growing equity base (equity increased to ~29.8m in 2024 from ~20.8m in 2023). Profitability on equity is strong in 2024 (ROE ~27%), reflecting improved earnings power. A key watch item is that prior years showed negative ROE, indicating returns have not been consistently strong across the cycle.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Cash generation is a major strength in 2024, with operating cash flow of ~17.8m and free cash flow of ~17.7m, and very strong free cash flow growth (110.77%). Cash conversion is solid: operating cash flow is greater than net income (about 1.34x), and free cash flow is roughly in line with net income (~0.99x). The main weakness is variability—cash flow was much lower in 2023 and free cash flow was negative in 2020–2021.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue66.34M66.74M33.34M20.12M16.68M13.01M
Gross Profit39.54M51.99M25.86M13.86M11.59M7.92M
EBITDA8.98M14.53M1.51M1.32M1.65M-133.00K
Net Income2.86M8.03M-169.00K-716.00K-310.00K-1.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.21M43.03M30.68M16.14M13.78M13.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.26M21.84M11.00M8.49M7.08M7.82M
Total Debt0.0023.00K44.00K68.00K0.0017.00K
Total Liabilities7.80M13.28M9.93M5.62M2.81M2.60M
Stockholders Equity27.40M29.75M20.76M10.52M10.97M10.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.01M17.67M1.58M1.33M-744.00K-1.25M
Operating Cash Flow6.11M17.79M1.87M4.38M1.85M360.00K
Investing Cash Flow-4.99M-6.30M-8.71M-3.05M-2.60M-1.61M
Financing Cash Flow0.000.009.39M81.00K0.008.85M

Kooth Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
£49.00M17.5010.86%
58
Neutral
£10.43M-6.05-15.57%13.32%55.07%
53
Neutral
£190.87M54.16
52
Neutral
£16.76M-9.02-68.57%-30.77%-6.97%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
£1.53M-0.29-56.95%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:KOO
Kooth
136.00
-23.00
-14.47%
GB:COG
Cambridge Cognition Holdings
36.00
-9.50
-20.88%
GB:IXI
IXICO plc
11.25
-1.25
-10.00%
GB:TRLS
Trellus Health PLC
0.95
-1.65
-63.46%
GB:PSY
Psych Capital PLC
GB:OPT
Optima Health PLC
215.00
66.50
44.78%

Kooth Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Kooth Buoyed by US Contract Wins and California Momentum as Profitability Beats Expectations
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

Kooth expects 2025 revenues of £63.3m, slightly below the prior year largely due to foreign exchange impacts and the timing of a US state contract, but anticipates adjusted EBITDA to come in ahead of market expectations thanks to disciplined cost control and front-loaded California marketing spend. The group has secured a new $2.6m one-year US state contract for its Soluna platform covering up to 100,000 students, renewed its New Jersey deal, and is reporting strong operational traction in California, where user registrations, engagement metrics and endorsements from local authorities such as Los Angeles County underline its growing role in youth mental health provision; alongside a solid UK pipeline and planned 2026 UK launch of Soluna, the company says it enters 2026 with a strong cash position and a strategy geared toward sustainable, system-integrated growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:KOO) stock is a Buy with a £131.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kooth stock, see the GB:KOO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Kooth Wins $2.6m US State Deal to Deliver Digital Mental Health Support to 100,000 Students
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

Kooth has secured a one-year, $2.6 million contract with an undisclosed US state to provide digital mental health services to up to 100,000 students aged 13-18 through its Soluna platform. The deal, to be delivered using Kooth’s existing workforce supplemented by in-state counsellors, expands the group’s US presence to three states alongside California and New Jersey, and gives the company a broad foothold for advocacy and partnership-building under its “State Alliance Model,” with the potential to unlock further funding and targeted support, strengthening its strategic position in the growing US youth mental health market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:KOO) stock is a Buy with a £127.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kooth stock, see the GB:KOO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Kooth PLC Exercises Share Options and Updates Voting Rights
Neutral
Dec 17, 2025

Kooth plc, a prominent digital mental health service provider, announced the transfer of 10,393 ordinary shares to meet the exercised share options under its Long Term Incentive Plan. Following this transfer, the company’s total voting share count is 36,032,154. This update impacts shareholder calculations and reflects the company’s abiding commitment to transparency and operational governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:KOO) stock is a Buy with a £430.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kooth stock, see the GB:KOO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Kooth Expands US Presence with Acquisition of Kismet Health’s Telehealth Platform
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

Kooth has acquired Kismet Health’s telehealth platform to expand its digital mental health services for children aged 5-12, particularly in rural areas of the US. This acquisition aligns with Kooth’s strategy to broaden its capabilities and reach, integrating Kismet’s innovative technology and team to enhance service delivery without altering its financial expectations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:KOO) stock is a Buy with a £2.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kooth stock, see the GB:KOO Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Kooth plc Transfers Treasury Shares to Satisfy Employee Options
Neutral
Nov 11, 2025

Kooth plc has transferred 10,101 ordinary shares from its treasury to satisfy share options exercised by employees under the Company’s Long Term Incentive Plan. This transaction adjusts the company’s issued ordinary share capital to 36,694,683 shares, with 36,021,761 shares holding voting rights. This update is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:KOO) stock is a Buy with a £2.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kooth stock, see the GB:KOO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026