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InterContinental Hotels (GB:IHG)
LSE:IHG
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InterContinental Hotels (IHG) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:IHG

InterContinental Hotels

(LSE:IHG)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
9,577.00p
▲(9.68% Upside)
InterContinental Hotels shows strong revenue growth and profitability, but financial stability is challenged by high leverage and negative equity. Technical indicators suggest stable momentum, while valuation metrics indicate moderate pricing. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits further insights.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant year-over-year revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term competitiveness.
Cash Generation
Strong free cash flow highlights efficient capital management, providing financial flexibility for strategic investments and debt servicing.
Profitability
A healthy net profit margin indicates effective cost management and operational efficiency, supporting sustainable profitability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage and negative equity pose risks to financial stability, potentially limiting the company's ability to finance growth or withstand economic downturns.
Operating Cash Flow Decline
Declining operating cash flow may constrain the company's ability to fund operations and invest in growth, impacting long-term financial health.
Margin Pressure
Decreasing margins suggest rising costs or competitive pressures, which could erode profitability if not addressed effectively.

InterContinental Hotels (IHG) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

InterContinental Hotels Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInterContinental Hotels Group PLC owns, manages, franchises, and leases hotels in the Americas, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Greater China. The company operates hotels under the Six Senses, Regent, InterContinental Hotels & Resorts, Vignette Collection, Kimpton Hotels & Restaurants, Hotel Indigo, EVEN Hotels, HUALUXE, Holiday Inn, Holiday Inn Express, Holiday Inn Club Vacations, avid, Staybridge Suites, Atwell Suites, Candlewood Suites, voco, and Crowne Plaza. It also provides IHG Rewards loyalty program. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 5,991 hotels and 880,327 rooms in approximately 100 countries. InterContinental Hotels Group PLC was founded in 1777 and is headquartered in Denham, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyIHG generates revenue primarily through hotel management and franchise fees. The company operates on a fee-based model, where it earns a percentage of the hotel sales from franchised properties and management contracts. Key revenue streams include franchise fees from properties under its brand umbrella, management fees from hotels that IHG operates directly, and royalties from its loyalty program, IHG Rewards Club. Additionally, IHG benefits from partnerships with travel agencies, corporate clients, and online travel agents, which contribute to its occupancy rates and overall revenue. The company's ability to leverage its global presence and brand recognition allows it to maintain a competitive edge in the hospitality market.

InterContinental Hotels Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong financial performance, successful strategic acquisitions, and robust growth in brand development and system size as highlights. However, challenges in Greater China and increased financial costs were noted as lowlights. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment remains positive due to the significant achievements and growth prospects.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Share Buyback and Dividend Growth
IHG launched a new $900 million share buyback program for 2025, with expectations to return over $1.1 billion to shareholders. The final dividend increased by 10% to $1.144, maintaining consistent growth over the past three years.
Strong Financial Performance and Growth
RevPAR grew by 3% for the year, driven by rate and occupancy gains. Gross system growth was 6.2%, and net system growth was 4.3%. Operating profit from reportable segments increased by 10%, and adjusted EPS grew by 15%.
Strategic Acquisition Expands Portfolio
IHG announced the acquisition of the Ruby Urban Lifestyle brand for $116 million, extending its portfolio into the premium urban lifestyle segment.
Expansion into Priority Growth Geographies
Record hotel signings and openings in Greater China, expansion in Germany through the NOVUM agreement, and the introduction of new brands in Japan.
Strong Brand Development and System Growth
IHG signed 106,000 rooms across 714 hotels, a 34% increase over 2023. The pipeline now includes over 2,200 hotels with nearly 60% growth of Greater China's current system size.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Greater China
RevPAR in Greater China was down 4.8% for the year, with a significant drop of 10.3% in Q3 due to tough year-on-year comparatives and outbound leisure travel.
Higher Key Money and CapEx
Key money doubled to $206 million, contributing to net capital expenditure of $253 million, above the usual range of $150 million to $200 million.
Higher Interest Costs
Interest costs increased to $165 million due to higher average net debt and a slightly increased blended interest rate.
Elevated Room Removals
18,000 rooms exited the system, resulting in a 1.9% removal rate, which is higher than the typical 1.5% average.
Company Guidance
In the 2024 Full Year Results Presentation, IHG reported several positive financial metrics and strategic initiatives for the year. RevPAR increased by 3%, driven by improvements in rate and occupancy, with strong performances across groups, leisure, and business segments. The company added 59,000 rooms to its system, achieving a net system growth of 4.3% and gross system growth of 6.2%. IHG signed 106,000 rooms across 714 hotels, marking a 34% increase over 2023, which boosted their pipeline to over 2,200 hotels. The fee margin improved by 190 basis points, contributing to a 10% rise in operating profit from reportable segments, while adjusted EPS grew by 15%, supported by an $800 million share buyback program. For 2025, IHG announced a new $900 million share buyback program and an acquisition of the Ruby Urban Lifestyle brand for $116 million, aiming to return over $1.1 billion to shareholders. Additionally, IHG stated their intent to achieve over 4% net system growth again in 2025, excluding the impact of the end of their arrangement with The Venetian in Las Vegas.

InterContinental Hotels Financial Statement Overview

Summary
InterContinental Hotels has shown commendable revenue growth and solid profitability, though there's a noticeable decline in margins. The balance sheet presents significant concerns due to negative equity and high leverage, which could pose risks. Cash flow remains a strong point, with efficient management of capital, yet there is a downward trend in operating cash flow. Overall, while the company is profitable and growing, its financial stability is challenged by high leverage and negative equity.
Income Statement
78
Positive
InterContinental Hotels has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 32% increase year-over-year. The gross profit margin is solid at 29.5%, though slightly weakened compared to previous years. The net profit margin is healthy at 12.8%, reflecting robust cost control and profitability. However, margins have slightly decreased from the previous year, indicating some pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company exhibits high leverage with a negative stockholders' equity, resulting in an undefined debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio is negative, which is concerning as total liabilities exceed total assets. The return on equity is also undefined due to negative equity, indicating potential risk in financial stability.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Free cash flow has remained strong, though it has decreased from the previous year. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.03, signifying efficient cash generation relative to earnings. Despite a decline in operating cash flow, the company maintains positive free cash flow, showcasing its ability to manage capital expenditures effectively.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.12B4.92B3.73B3.89B2.91B2.39B
Gross Profit1.56B1.46B1.94B1.09B893.00M536.00M
EBITDA1.34B1.25B1.25B815.00M692.00M31.00M
Net Income750.00M628.00M750.00M375.00M266.00M-260.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.94B4.75B4.81B4.22B4.72B5.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments619.00M1.01B1.33B976.00M1.45B1.63B
Total Debt4.11B3.69B3.59B2.82B3.26B4.22B
Total Liabilities7.58B7.06B6.76B5.82B6.19B6.89B
Stockholders Equity-2.64B-2.31B-1.95B-1.61B-1.48B-1.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow799.00M646.00M811.00M547.00M584.00M61.00M
Operating Cash Flow874.00M724.00M893.00M646.00M636.00M137.00M
Investing Cash Flow-188.00M-99.00M-137.00M-78.00M-12.00M-61.00M
Financing Cash Flow-943.00M-894.00M-417.00M-961.00M-860.00M1.35B

InterContinental Hotels Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8732.00
Price Trends
50DMA
8787.85
Negative
100DMA
8644.59
Positive
200DMA
8988.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.02
Positive
RSI
41.82
Neutral
STOCH
10.97
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:IHG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8732 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8920.20, below the 50-day MA of 8787.85, and below the 200-day MA of 8988.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.97 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:IHG.

InterContinental Hotels Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
1.60B9.415.81%1.95%275.56%
73
Outperform
5.41B22.167.61%3.07%-1.28%-11.17%
71
Outperform
29.66B14.6420.71%8.40%172.06%
66
Neutral
3.50B41.184.99%9.53%4.21%-65.57%
66
Neutral
£13.28B23.67-27.16%1.06%5.55%19.27%
47
Neutral
545.68M24.869.02%2.47%6.14%1.27%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:IHG
InterContinental Hotels
8,696.00
759.47
9.57%
GB:CCL
Carnival
2,087.00
819.50
64.65%
GB:MAB
Mitchells & Butlers
266.00
-30.00
-10.14%
GB:WTB
Whitbread
3,163.00
98.44
3.21%
GB:PPH
PPHE Hotel
1,312.00
92.74
7.61%
GB:TW
Taylor Wimpey
99.22
-57.81
-36.81%

InterContinental Hotels Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
InterContinental Hotels Executes Share Buyback to Optimize Capital Structure
Positive
Sep 12, 2025

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC announced the repurchase of 70,917 of its ordinary shares on 11 September 2025, as part of a buyback program authorized by shareholders. This transaction, conducted through Merrill Lynch International, is part of the company’s strategy to manage its capital structure and enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of shares in circulation.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:IHG) stock is a Hold with a £80.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on InterContinental Hotels stock, see the GB:IHG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
IHG Announces Interim Dividend in Pence Sterling
Neutral
Sep 11, 2025

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC announced the Pence Sterling amount payable for its 2025 interim dividend, set at 43.3 pence per ordinary share. This decision was based on the average market exchange rates from early September 2025. This announcement reflects IHG’s ongoing financial strategies and provides insights into its dividend policy, impacting shareholders and potentially influencing investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:IHG) stock is a Hold with a £80.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on InterContinental Hotels stock, see the GB:IHG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
InterContinental Hotels Group Announces Share Repurchase
Neutral
Sep 11, 2025

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC announced the repurchase of 55,643 of its ordinary shares on the London Stock Exchange, with plans to cancel these shares. This move, executed through Merrill Lynch International, is part of a broader strategy to manage the company’s share capital and potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:IHG) stock is a Buy with a £10200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on InterContinental Hotels stock, see the GB:IHG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
InterContinental Hotels Executes Share Buyback on LSE
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC announced the repurchase of 4,172 of its ordinary shares on the London Stock Exchange, with the highest price paid per share being £91.6000. This transaction, conducted through Merrill Lynch International, is part of the company’s strategy to manage its share capital, and the purchased shares are intended to be canceled, reflecting a move to potentially enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:IHG) stock is a Buy with a £10200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on InterContinental Hotels stock, see the GB:IHG Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
InterContinental Hotels Group Announces €850 Million Note Issuance
Neutral
Sep 9, 2025

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC has announced the publication of the final terms for the issuance of €850 million in notes due in 2030, under its Euro Medium Term Note Programme. This financial move, backed by guarantees from key subsidiaries, is likely to impact the company’s financial strategy and market positioning, offering potential implications for investors and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:IHG) stock is a Buy with a £10200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on InterContinental Hotels stock, see the GB:IHG Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
InterContinental Hotels Group Executes Share Buyback to Boost Shareholder Value
Positive
Sep 5, 2025

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC announced the repurchase of 19,582 of its ordinary shares from Merrill Lynch International on the London Stock Exchange, as part of a previously authorized buyback program. This move is intended to enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of shares in circulation, thereby potentially increasing earnings per share and strengthening the company’s market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:IHG) stock is a Hold with a £9450.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on InterContinental Hotels stock, see the GB:IHG Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
InterContinental Hotels Corrects Voting Rights Figures
Neutral
Sep 4, 2025

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC has corrected its previously misstated total voting rights and share capital figures, adjusting them by 4,634 shares. The revised figures are crucial for shareholders to accurately determine their interests in accordance with the Financial Conduct Authority’s rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:IHG) stock is a Hold with a £9450.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on InterContinental Hotels stock, see the GB:IHG Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
InterContinental Hotels Group Executes Share Buyback and Corrects Share Count
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC announced the repurchase of 68,596 of its ordinary shares on September 3, 2025, as part of a buyback program authorized by shareholders. The shares were acquired from Merrill Lynch International on the London Stock Exchange at varying prices, with the intention to cancel them, thereby reducing the number of shares in circulation. Additionally, the company corrected previously reported figures for the number of ordinary shares in issue, ensuring accurate shareholder information. This move is likely to impact the company’s market positioning by potentially increasing shareholder value and optimizing its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:IHG) stock is a Hold with a £9450.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on InterContinental Hotels stock, see the GB:IHG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2025