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Gulf Marine Services PLC (GB:GMS)
LSE:GMS

Gulf Marine Services (GMS) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:GMS

Gulf Marine Services

(LSE:GMS)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
23.50p
▲(24.60% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong revenue growth, high margins, and robust free cash flow) and a relatively low P/E valuation. Technicals are supportive due to a clear uptrend, but the score is tempered by overbought momentum signals (high RSI and Stoch) that increase the risk of a short-term reversal.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent double‑digit top‑line growth across 2023–24 signals durable demand for GMS's SESV charter model. Steady revenue expansion supports utilization, long‑term contract renewals and underpins reinvestment capacity and predictable cash generation over coming quarters.
High Operating Margins
Sustained high EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect structural operating leverage from an efficient SESV fleet and charter economics. Strong margins enhance cash conversion, provide resilience through cycles, and fund maintenance, fleet upgrades and strategic investments without immediate capital strain.
Cash Generation and Balance Sheet Improvement
Robust free cash flow growth and a falling debt/equity ratio point to improving financial flexibility. High OCF relative to net income indicates quality earnings and supports debt reduction, capex funding and potential shareholder returns while lowering refinancing and liquidity risk.
Negative Factors
Earnings Per Share Weakness
A nearly 20% decline in EPS despite revenue growth suggests pressures such as one‑off items, higher interest, tax, or dilution from capital actions. Persistent EPS weakness can undermine per‑share returns and signals risks to long‑term investor value if not reversed by margin or share count improvements.
Margin Erosion
Meaningful year‑over‑year margin declines point to rising operating costs, pricing pressure or lower fleet efficiency. Sustained margin compression would reduce free cash flow and reinvestment capacity, weakening the firm's ability to finance growth and weather prolonged downturns in offshore activity.
Sector and Geographic Concentration
Heavy exposure to offshore oil & gas demand and MENA regional markets creates structural cyclicality and geopolitical sensitivity. While renewables offer diversification, prolonged downturns in regional capex or energy prices could drive utilization volatility and extended revenue weakness for the fleet.

Gulf Marine Services (GMS) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Gulf Marine Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGulf Marine Services PLC, together with its subsidiaries, operates self-propelled self-elevating support vessels (SESVs) in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Kingdom, and rest of Europe. It operates through K-Class Vessels, S-Class Vessels, E-Class Vessels, and Other Vessels segments. The company offers offshore construction and heavy lifting, accommodation and hotel, well intervention and work over operations, and manpower services for oil and gas industry; and platform maintenance and commissioning, turbine maintenance and commissioning, hotel, crane, and offshore crew transfer services to renewables industry. It operates a fleet of 13 SESVs. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Abu Dhabi, the United Arab Emirates.
How the Company Makes MoneyGulf Marine Services generates revenue primarily through the chartering of its self-elevating support vessels to clients in the offshore oil and gas industry, as well as to the renewable energy sector. The company's revenue model is based on long-term contracts and day-rate agreements, where clients pay for the time the vessels are in service. Key revenue streams include vessel charters, project management services, and maintenance contracts. Additionally, GMS has established partnerships with major oil and gas companies, which provide a steady flow of business and enhance its market presence. The demand for offshore support services, driven by increased exploration and production activities, particularly in the renewable energy sector, further contributes to the company's earnings.

Gulf Marine Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: revenue grew 10.48% in 2024 (after 13.86% in 2023), profitability remains high (EBIT margin 43.36%, EBITDA margin 60.55%), and cash generation is notably robust (FCF up 16.32% with OCF/net income at 2.73). Balance sheet trends are improving with lower leverage (debt-to-equity 0.63) and a higher equity ratio (55.58%).
Income Statement
75
Positive
Gulf Marine Services has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 10.48% increase in 2024, following an 13.86% increase in 2023. The company has maintained a healthy gross profit margin of 53.50% in 2024, improving from 67.84% in 2023. The EBIT margin has shown positive performance at 43.36% in 2024, although slightly lower than the previous year's 58.16%. The EBITDA margin remains robust at 60.55%. Overall, the income statement shows a positive trend in profitability and revenue growth, despite a slight decline in margins.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.63 in 2024 from 0.85 in 2023, indicating a positive trend in leverage reduction. The return on equity stands at 10.00% in 2024, reflecting consistent profitability. The equity ratio has increased to 55.58% in 2024, showcasing a stronger equity position. Overall, the balance sheet indicates an improved financial position with reduced leverage and enhanced equity stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Free cash flow has shown significant growth, with a 16.32% increase in 2024 following a 6.74% rise in 2023. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 2.73, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 2.49 further highlights robust cash flow performance. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects strong cash generation and growth, supporting the company's financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue173.84M167.49M151.60M133.16M115.13M102.49M
Gross Profit86.10M89.64M69.62M60.53M60.63M-55.53M
EBITDA100.63M101.41M106.80M76.47M81.35M44.83M
Net Income34.80M37.98M41.34M25.33M31.00M-124.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets670.00M683.14M668.33M658.82M674.40M654.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.96M40.01M8.71M12.71M8.64M3.80M
Total Debt198.83M240.38M279.30M331.61M382.45M415.73M
Total Liabilities263.39M300.44M338.05M371.25M411.69M447.58M
Stockholders Equity403.52M379.70M327.57M285.59M260.80M205.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow84.14M94.70M81.39M76.25M29.00M31.05M
Operating Cash Flow99.13M103.56M94.40M82.56M40.51M44.27M
Investing Cash Flow-15.43M-8.77M-12.79M-6.30M-11.50M-12.35M
Financing Cash Flow-76.18M-63.45M-85.22M-72.26M-24.54M-36.52M

Gulf Marine Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.86
Price Trends
50DMA
17.90
Positive
100DMA
17.02
Positive
200DMA
18.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.25
Negative
RSI
80.54
Negative
STOCH
95.89
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GMS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.73, above the 50-day MA of 17.90, and above the 200-day MA of 18.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 80.54 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.89 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:GMS.

Gulf Marine Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
£340.23M11.5823.59%0.38%32.36%19.01%
74
Outperform
£252.90M8.849.45%7.05%-19.81%
67
Neutral
£656.13M-26.21-3.70%2.22%11.60%-126.25%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
54
Neutral
£18.37M-52.20
46
Neutral
£3.66M-1.40-12.73%
45
Neutral
£180.67M-0.12-123.27%-14.33%-69.80%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:GMS
Gulf Marine Services
22.20
3.95
21.64%
GB:HTG
Hunting
439.50
102.67
30.48%
GB:CSC
Pressure Technologies
47.50
9.00
23.38%
GB:THAL
Thalassa Holdings
22.00
-2.50
-10.20%
GB:WG
John Wood
25.88
-40.07
-60.76%
GB:AT
Ashtead Technology Holdings PLC
423.00
-139.64
-24.82%

Gulf Marine Services Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Gulf Marine Services Secures New Two‑Year Extension for GCC Support Vessel
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

Gulf Marine Services has secured a two‑year extension, comprising one firm year and a one‑year option, to an existing contract for a mid‑size support vessel operating in the Gulf Cooperation Council region, separate from a similar extension announced in late December. The deal further strengthens the company’s order backlog and underscores robust customer confidence and strong demand across its core markets as it enters 2026 with growing operational momentum, reinforcing its competitive position in offshore energy support services.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GMS) stock is a Buy with a £18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gulf Marine Services stock, see the GB:GMS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Gulf Marine Services Lifts Backlog to $607m with GCC Vessel Contract Extension
Positive
Dec 30, 2025

Gulf Marine Services has secured a two‑year contract extension, comprising one firm year plus a one‑year option, for one of its mid‑size vessels currently operating in the GCC region, lifting its order backlog to $607 million. The award, described by Executive Chairman Mansour Al Alami as a strong endorsement of the company’s strategy, fleet performance and disciplined execution, underpins revenue visibility and reinforces GMS’s positioning in a supportive offshore energy market, bolstering its capacity to deliver sustainable value to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GMS) stock is a Buy with a £18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gulf Marine Services stock, see the GB:GMS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Gulf Marine Services Wins New Middle East Contract and Upgrades Backlog Duration
Positive
Dec 24, 2025

Gulf Marine Services has secured a new contract for one of its Large-class vessels in the Middle East, running for a total of two years including options, underscoring strong ongoing demand for its SESV fleet and further bolstering its contract backlog, which management says has recently grown by 2,354 days of work. The company also corrected a typographical error in a previous disclosure, clarifying that a recently announced contract actually covers 1,624 days rather than 985, a change that materially increases the implied visibility of future vessel utilisation and revenue for stakeholders while leaving all other disclosed terms unchanged.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GMS) stock is a Buy with a £18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gulf Marine Services stock, see the GB:GMS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Gulf Marine Services Wins European Deal, Lifting Contract Backlog to $540m
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

Gulf Marine Services has secured a new European contract for two of its Large-class self-elevating support vessels, covering a total of 985 vessel days to support offshore operations in the region. The award lifts the group’s contracted backlog to USD 540 million, underlining robust demand for its specialised fleet across multiple geographies and reinforcing its position in both traditional offshore energy and the growing offshore wind services market, with positive implications for medium-term revenue visibility and asset utilisation.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GMS) stock is a Buy with a £18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gulf Marine Services stock, see the GB:GMS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 11, 2026