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ConvaTec (GB:CTEC)
LSE:CTEC

ConvaTec (CTEC) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

ConvaTec

(LSE:CTEC)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
316.00p
▲(9.27%Upside)
ConvaTec's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance, particularly its robust revenue growth and effective cash flow management. Technical analysis suggests positive momentum, although caution is warranted due to overbought signals. The company's high valuation indicates strong market expectations, and recent corporate events reinforce its positive growth outlook. These factors position ConvaTec well in the medical equipment and supplies industry.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
FY24 results are at the top end of guidance and expectations, with 7.7% organic revenue growth the best since IPO.
Growth Prospects
Convatec's mid-term growth and margin expansion targets remain on track, reinforcing confidence in the company's growth prospects.
Regulatory Clarity
The postponement of the LCDs relating to Skin Substitute Grafts/Cellular and Tissue-Based Products by the CMS removes, at least for now, the uncertainty regarding the potential long-term impact on InnovaMatrix and alleviates any market concern regarding the LCDs' effect on the company's growth trajectory.
Negative Factors
Market Uncertainty
CTEC has subsequently raised its guidance for InnovaMatrix from $50m to $75m taking into account the current ongoing uncertainty in the market.

ConvaTec (CTEC) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

ConvaTec Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConvaTec Group Plc develops, manufactures, and markets medical products and technologies worldwide. It offers advanced wound dressings and skin care products for the management of acute and chronic wounds resulting from various conditions, such as diabetes, immobility, and venous disease, as well as from traumatic injury, burns, invasive surgery, and other causes. The company also provides devices, accessories, and services for people with a stoma resulting from colorectal cancer, inflammatory bowel disease, bladder cancer, obesity, and other causes. In addition, it offers continence and critical care products, including intermittent urinary catheters; and products for people with urinary continence issues related to spinal cord injuries, multiple sclerosis, spina bifida, and other urological disorders, as well as devices and products used in intensive care units and hospital settings. Further, the company provides advanced systems for managing acute fecal incontinence, as well as for monitoring urine production output and intra-abdominal pressure; and various disposable medical devices, such as wound drainage systems, urine collection bags and catheters, airway management and oxygen/aerosol therapy devices, suction handles and tubes, gastroenterology tubes, and securement devices. Additionally, it offers disposable infusion sets to manufacturers of insulin pumps for diabetes, as well as similar pumps that are used in continuous infusion treatments for other conditions; and various products to hospital and home healthcare markets. The company sells its products to pharmacies, hospitals, and other acute and post-acute healthcare service providers directly or through distributors and wholesalers. It serves a range of customers, including healthcare providers, patients, and manufacturers. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Reading, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyConvaTec makes money primarily through the sale of its medical products and technologies across its four key business segments: Advanced Wound Care, Ostomy Care, Continence & Critical Care, and Infusion Care. Revenue is generated from the direct sale of products to hospitals, healthcare providers, and pharmacies, as well as through partnerships with distributors. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its product offerings and market reach. Additionally, ConvaTec invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product portfolio, which in turn supports its revenue growth.

ConvaTec Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ConvaTec has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 6.84% increase from 2023 to 2024. The company maintains impressive gross and net profit margins at 56.06% and 8.32% respectively for 2024, reflecting efficient cost management and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate robust operational performance. The balance sheet is stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.71, and cash flow analysis reveals strong cash generation. Overall, ConvaTec presents a strong financial profile with consistent growth and profitability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
ConvaTec has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 6.84% increase from 2023 to 2024. The company maintains impressive gross and net profit margins at 56.06% and 8.32% respectively for 2024, reflecting efficient cost management and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins, at 14.19% and 23.60%, indicate robust operational performance. Overall, the income statement reflects a positive growth trajectory and solid profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.71 for 2024, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. The equity ratio stands at 48.04%, suggesting strong equity backing relative to total assets. Return on equity is moderate at 11.28%, showing reasonable returns on shareholder investments. While the balance sheet is generally strong, a slight decrease in stockholders’ equity over the years could be an area to monitor.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
ConvaTec's cash flow analysis reveals a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.08 in 2024, demonstrating effective cash generation relative to its earnings. Free cash flow increased by 15.08% from 2023 to 2024, indicating improved cash availability after capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.44 further underscores strong cash flow management. Overall, the company exhibits efficient cash flow dynamics, supporting its ongoing operations and investments.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.29B2.14B2.07B2.04B1.89B
Gross Profit1.28B1.20B1.12B1.12B1.02B
EBITDA540.20M455.50M429.80M405.40M390.70M
Net Income190.50M130.30M62.90M117.60M112.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.52B3.71B3.59B3.67B3.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments64.70M98.30M145.80M463.40M565.40M
Total Debt1.20B1.31B1.30B1.44B1.55B
Total Liabilities1.83B2.02B1.98B1.98B2.10B
Stockholders Equity1.69B1.69B1.61B1.69B1.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow274.10M238.20M137.50M211.80M313.30M
Operating Cash Flow396.20M367.40M281.70M305.90M399.50M
Investing Cash Flow-160.80M-285.70M-348.30M-206.50M-56.30M
Financing Cash Flow-263.80M-124.00M-237.10M-199.90M-162.10M

ConvaTec Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price289.20
Price Trends
50DMA
275.46
Positive
100DMA
261.77
Positive
200DMA
244.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.08
Positive
RSI
58.41
Neutral
STOCH
70.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CTEC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 289.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 289.33, above the 50-day MA of 275.46, and above the 200-day MA of 244.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CTEC.

ConvaTec Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
£5.92B39.8611.12%1.88%3.94%41.63%
GBHIK
79
Outperform
£4.49B16.0415.79%2.88%5.83%83.35%
GBSN
76
Outperform
£9.59B29.697.78%3.19%1.85%51.77%
GBSPI
72
Outperform
£907.35M35.793.41%0.77%11.20%-6.80%
GBAMS
68
Neutral
£464.84M65.112.93%1.00%40.66%-55.09%
GBCRW
62
Neutral
£728.40M62.424.50%2.57%6.74%54.83%
60
Neutral
HK$15.14B5.55-7.43%5.48%11.72%-20.69%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CTEC
ConvaTec
289.20
59.11
25.69%
GB:AMS
Advanced Medical Solutions
215.00
3.62
1.71%
GB:CRW
Craneware
2,100.00
-177.71
-7.80%
GB:HIK
Hikma Pharmaceuticals
2,026.00
190.79
10.40%
GB:SPI
Spire Healthcare
225.50
-6.76
-2.91%
GB:SN
Smith & Nephew
1,109.00
153.59
16.08%

ConvaTec Corporate Events

Other
ConvaTec Group PLC Announces Change in Major Holdings
Neutral
Jun 26, 2025

ConvaTec Group PLC announced a change in major holdings, with FIL Limited reducing its voting rights in the company. The voting rights held by FIL Limited decreased from 6.2098% to 5.9863%, crossing the 5% threshold downwards. This change in holdings may impact ConvaTec’s shareholder dynamics and influence within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CTEC) stock is a Buy with a £305.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ConvaTec stock, see the GB:CTEC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Convatec Awards Performance Shares and RSUs to Leadership
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

Convatec Group Plc announced the grant of Performance Share Awards (PSAs) and Restricted Stock Unit Awards (RSUs) to its CEO, Karim Bitar, and CFO, Jonny Mason, under the company’s 2025 Omnibus Incentive Plan. These awards, which are part of the company’s remuneration policy approved by shareholders, are set to vest in 2028 and are contingent on specific performance conditions and continued employment. This move aligns with Convatec’s strategic goals and aims to incentivize its leadership, potentially impacting its operational focus and market competitiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CTEC) stock is a Buy with a £305.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ConvaTec stock, see the GB:CTEC Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Convatec AGM Resolutions Passed Amid Shareholder Engagement Focus
Neutral
May 22, 2025

Convatec Group Plc successfully held its Annual General Meeting, where all proposed resolutions were passed. Notably, the Directors’ Remuneration Policy and the Convatec Group Omnibus Incentive Plan received less than 80% approval, prompting the company to commit to further shareholder engagement. This outcome underscores the importance of ongoing dialogue with investors to align on key governance issues.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CTEC) stock is a Buy with a £305.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ConvaTec stock, see the GB:CTEC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Convatec Reports Strong Start to 2025 with Robust Revenue Growth
Positive
May 22, 2025

Convatec reported a strong start to 2025, with broad-based organic revenue growth across its four main categories, despite challenges with its InnovaMatrix® product due to postponed US regulatory decisions. The company has tightened its financial guidance for the year, expecting organic revenue growth excluding InnovaMatrix® to be between 5.5-7.0%. Convatec’s innovation pipeline is robust, with new product launches planned across various segments, and the company is making strides in automation and productivity improvements. These developments position Convatec well for sustained revenue and earnings growth, benefiting stakeholders and enhancing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CTEC) stock is a Buy with a £305.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ConvaTec stock, see the GB:CTEC Stock Forecast page.

Other
ConvaTec Announces Change in Voting Rights by Black Creek Investment Management
Neutral
Apr 29, 2025

ConvaTec Group PLC has announced a change in the voting rights held by Black Creek Investment Management Inc., a Canadian investment management firm. The firm’s voting rights in ConvaTec have decreased from 4.83% to 3.99%, as of April 24, 2025. This adjustment reflects a disposal of shares, impacting the company’s shareholder structure. The shares are owned by 15 separate funds and clients, with Black Creek acting as the investment fund manager and exercising voting rights on their behalf.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ConvaTec Announces Change in Voting Rights Structure
Neutral
Apr 29, 2025

ConvaTec Group PLC has announced a change in its voting rights structure following an acquisition or disposal of voting rights by FMR LLC, a company based in Boston, USA. As of April 25, 2025, FMR LLC holds 5.065% of the voting rights in ConvaTec, amounting to 103,822,184 shares. This change in voting rights could potentially impact ConvaTec’s governance and decision-making processes, influencing its strategic direction and stakeholder interests.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ConvaTec Announces Major Change in Shareholding Structure
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

ConvaTec Group PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with FMR LLC acquiring a significant portion of voting rights, now holding 5.065% of the total. This acquisition positions FMR LLC as a notable stakeholder, potentially influencing ConvaTec’s strategic decisions and impacting its market dynamics.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Convatec Boosts InnovaMatrix® Sales Outlook Following LCD Postponement
Positive
Apr 14, 2025

Convatec has announced that the postponement of Local Coverage Determinations (LCDs) by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services in the US will positively impact its InnovaMatrix® sales, increasing the projected revenue from $50 million to $75 million for FY25. This delay allows Medicare patients continued access to InnovaMatrix® for treating Diabetic Foot Ulcers and Venous Leg Ulcers, supporting Convatec’s commitment to evidence-based medicine and patient choice, while reinforcing its market position in the US.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FIL Limited Increases Stake in ConvaTec Group PLC
Neutral
Apr 3, 2025

ConvaTec Group PLC, a UK-based company, has announced a change in its major holdings. FIL Limited, registered in Bermuda, has increased its voting rights in ConvaTec to 6.2098% from a previous 5.1%, crossing the 5% threshold. This acquisition of voting rights by FIL Limited, through its controlled undertaking FIL Investments International, indicates a significant stake in ConvaTec, potentially impacting the company’s governance and strategic decisions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 22, 2025