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ConvaTec (GB:CTEC)
LSE:CTEC

ConvaTec (CTEC) AI Stock Analysis

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ConvaTec

(LSE:CTEC)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
316.00p
▲(6.97%Upside)
ConvaTec's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance, particularly its robust revenue growth and effective cash flow management. Technical analysis suggests positive momentum, although caution is warranted due to overbought signals. The company's high valuation indicates strong market expectations, and recent corporate events reinforce its positive growth outlook. These factors position ConvaTec well in the medical equipment and supplies industry.
Positive Factors
Earnings Outlook
Convatec still expects margin expansion in FY25 to 22.0-22.5%, and to deliver double-digit adjusted EPS growth, both in-line or slightly ahead of expectations.
Financial Performance
FY24 results are at the top end of guidance and expectations, with 7.7% organic revenue growth the best since IPO.
Regulatory Clarity
The postponement of the LCDs relating to Skin Substitute Grafts/Cellular and Tissue-Based Products by the CMS removes, at least for now, the uncertainty regarding the potential long-term impact on InnovaMatrix and alleviates any market concern regarding the LCDs' effect on the company's growth trajectory.
Negative Factors
Market Uncertainty
CTEC has subsequently raised its guidance for InnovaMatrix from $50m to $75m taking into account the current ongoing uncertainty in the market.

ConvaTec (CTEC) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

ConvaTec Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionConvaTec Group Plc develops, manufactures, and markets medical products and technologies worldwide. It offers advanced wound dressings and skin care products for the management of acute and chronic wounds resulting from various conditions, such as diabetes, immobility, and venous disease, as well as from traumatic injury, burns, invasive surgery, and other causes. The company also provides devices, accessories, and services for people with a stoma resulting from colorectal cancer, inflammatory bowel disease, bladder cancer, obesity, and other causes. In addition, it offers continence and critical care products, including intermittent urinary catheters; and products for people with urinary continence issues related to spinal cord injuries, multiple sclerosis, spina bifida, and other urological disorders, as well as devices and products used in intensive care units and hospital settings. Further, the company provides advanced systems for managing acute fecal incontinence, as well as for monitoring urine production output and intra-abdominal pressure; and various disposable medical devices, such as wound drainage systems, urine collection bags and catheters, airway management and oxygen/aerosol therapy devices, suction handles and tubes, gastroenterology tubes, and securement devices. Additionally, it offers disposable infusion sets to manufacturers of insulin pumps for diabetes, as well as similar pumps that are used in continuous infusion treatments for other conditions; and various products to hospital and home healthcare markets. The company sells its products to pharmacies, hospitals, and other acute and post-acute healthcare service providers directly or through distributors and wholesalers. It serves a range of customers, including healthcare providers, patients, and manufacturers. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Reading, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyConvaTec makes money primarily through the sale of its medical products and technologies across its four key business units: Advanced Wound Care, Ostomy Care, Continence and Critical Care, and Infusion Care. The company generates revenue by providing healthcare solutions to hospitals, healthcare professionals, and patients directly or through partnerships with healthcare distributors and providers. Key revenue streams include sales of wound dressings, ostomy care solutions, continence and critical care devices, and infusion systems. ConvaTec's global presence and its focus on innovation and meeting the specialized needs of patients contribute significantly to its earnings. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with healthcare providers and continuous investment in research and development also play a crucial role in sustaining and enhancing its revenue streams.

ConvaTec Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.20B2.14B2.07B2.04B1.89B1.83B
Gross Profit
1.23B1.20B1.12B1.12B1.02B955.60M
EBIT
294.60M262.70M255.80M231.30M224.90M214.40M
EBITDA
486.40M455.50M429.80M405.40M390.70M391.40M
Net Income Common Stockholders
153.20M130.30M62.90M117.60M112.50M9.80M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
97.60M98.30M145.80M463.40M565.40M385.80M
Total Assets
3.71B3.71B3.59B3.67B3.77B3.61B
Total Debt
1.31B1.31B1.30B1.44B1.55B1.57B
Net Debt
1.21B1.21B1.16B971.70M983.10M1.19B
Total Liabilities
2.02B2.02B1.98B1.98B2.10B2.05B
Stockholders Equity
1.69B1.69B1.61B1.69B1.67B1.56B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
235.70M238.20M137.50M211.80M313.30M340.40M
Operating Cash Flow
356.80M367.40M281.70M305.90M399.50M401.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-149.20M-285.70M-348.30M-206.50M-56.30M-72.80M
Financing Cash Flow
-182.10M-124.00M-237.10M-199.90M-162.10M-252.50M

ConvaTec Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price295.40
Price Trends
50DMA
263.30
Positive
100DMA
254.43
Positive
200DMA
240.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.36
Negative
RSI
79.50
Negative
STOCH
60.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CTEC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 295.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 279.71, above the 50-day MA of 263.30, and above the 200-day MA of 240.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.50 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CTEC.

ConvaTec Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
£6.02B40.5211.12%1.71%3.94%41.63%
GBSN
76
Outperform
£9.84B30.457.78%2.57%1.85%51.77%
GBSPI
74
Outperform
£836.93M33.023.41%1.10%11.20%-6.80%
GBAMS
72
Outperform
£456.21M63.902.93%1.14%40.66%-55.09%
GBHIK
71
Outperform
£4.64B16.5815.79%2.91%5.83%83.35%
GBCRW
69
Neutral
£721.40M61.824.50%1.43%6.74%54.83%
54
Neutral
$5.31B3.29-45.39%2.79%16.77%-0.07%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CTEC
ConvaTec
295.40
54.93
22.84%
GB:AMS
Advanced Medical Solutions
214.00
0.25
0.12%
GB:CRW
Craneware
2,060.00
-286.73
-12.22%
GB:HIK
Hikma Pharmaceuticals
2,128.00
254.94
13.61%
GB:SPI
Spire Healthcare
209.00
-35.12
-14.39%
GB:SN
Smith & Nephew
1,124.50
123.88
12.38%

ConvaTec Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Convatec Awards Performance Shares and RSUs to Leadership
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

Convatec Group Plc announced the grant of Performance Share Awards (PSAs) and Restricted Stock Unit Awards (RSUs) to its CEO, Karim Bitar, and CFO, Jonny Mason, under the company’s 2025 Omnibus Incentive Plan. These awards, which are part of the company’s remuneration policy approved by shareholders, are set to vest in 2028 and are contingent on specific performance conditions and continued employment. This move aligns with Convatec’s strategic goals and aims to incentivize its leadership, potentially impacting its operational focus and market competitiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CTEC) stock is a Buy with a £305.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ConvaTec stock, see the GB:CTEC Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Convatec AGM Resolutions Passed Amid Shareholder Engagement Focus
Neutral
May 22, 2025

Convatec Group Plc successfully held its Annual General Meeting, where all proposed resolutions were passed. Notably, the Directors’ Remuneration Policy and the Convatec Group Omnibus Incentive Plan received less than 80% approval, prompting the company to commit to further shareholder engagement. This outcome underscores the importance of ongoing dialogue with investors to align on key governance issues.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CTEC) stock is a Buy with a £305.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ConvaTec stock, see the GB:CTEC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Convatec Reports Strong Start to 2025 with Robust Revenue Growth
Positive
May 22, 2025

Convatec reported a strong start to 2025, with broad-based organic revenue growth across its four main categories, despite challenges with its InnovaMatrix® product due to postponed US regulatory decisions. The company has tightened its financial guidance for the year, expecting organic revenue growth excluding InnovaMatrix® to be between 5.5-7.0%. Convatec’s innovation pipeline is robust, with new product launches planned across various segments, and the company is making strides in automation and productivity improvements. These developments position Convatec well for sustained revenue and earnings growth, benefiting stakeholders and enhancing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CTEC) stock is a Buy with a £305.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ConvaTec stock, see the GB:CTEC Stock Forecast page.

Other
ConvaTec Announces Change in Voting Rights by Black Creek Investment Management
Neutral
Apr 29, 2025

ConvaTec Group PLC has announced a change in the voting rights held by Black Creek Investment Management Inc., a Canadian investment management firm. The firm’s voting rights in ConvaTec have decreased from 4.83% to 3.99%, as of April 24, 2025. This adjustment reflects a disposal of shares, impacting the company’s shareholder structure. The shares are owned by 15 separate funds and clients, with Black Creek acting as the investment fund manager and exercising voting rights on their behalf.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ConvaTec Announces Change in Voting Rights Structure
Neutral
Apr 29, 2025

ConvaTec Group PLC has announced a change in its voting rights structure following an acquisition or disposal of voting rights by FMR LLC, a company based in Boston, USA. As of April 25, 2025, FMR LLC holds 5.065% of the voting rights in ConvaTec, amounting to 103,822,184 shares. This change in voting rights could potentially impact ConvaTec’s governance and decision-making processes, influencing its strategic direction and stakeholder interests.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ConvaTec Announces Major Change in Shareholding Structure
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

ConvaTec Group PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with FMR LLC acquiring a significant portion of voting rights, now holding 5.065% of the total. This acquisition positions FMR LLC as a notable stakeholder, potentially influencing ConvaTec’s strategic decisions and impacting its market dynamics.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Convatec Boosts InnovaMatrix® Sales Outlook Following LCD Postponement
Positive
Apr 14, 2025

Convatec has announced that the postponement of Local Coverage Determinations (LCDs) by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services in the US will positively impact its InnovaMatrix® sales, increasing the projected revenue from $50 million to $75 million for FY25. This delay allows Medicare patients continued access to InnovaMatrix® for treating Diabetic Foot Ulcers and Venous Leg Ulcers, supporting Convatec’s commitment to evidence-based medicine and patient choice, while reinforcing its market position in the US.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FIL Limited Increases Stake in ConvaTec Group PLC
Neutral
Apr 3, 2025

ConvaTec Group PLC, a UK-based company, has announced a change in its major holdings. FIL Limited, registered in Bermuda, has increased its voting rights in ConvaTec to 6.2098% from a previous 5.1%, crossing the 5% threshold. This acquisition of voting rights by FIL Limited, through its controlled undertaking FIL Investments International, indicates a significant stake in ConvaTec, potentially impacting the company’s governance and strategic decisions.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Convatec CFO’s Share Awards Vesting and Sale for Tax Liabilities
Neutral
Mar 18, 2025

Convatec Group Plc announced the vesting of share awards under its Long Term Incentive Plan for Jonny Mason, the Chief Financial Officer. On March 14, 2025, Mason’s performance share awards vested, and on March 18, 2025, a portion of these shares were sold to cover tax and national insurance obligations. This transaction reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning management incentives with shareholder interests, potentially impacting the company’s financial strategy and market perception.

Executive/Board Changes
Convatec CEO’s Share Awards Vesting and Sale to Cover Liabilities
Neutral
Mar 18, 2025

Convatec Group Plc announced the vesting of share awards for its CEO, Karim Bitar, under the company’s Long Term Incentive Plan and Deferred Bonus Plan. The shares were subsequently sold to cover tax and National Insurance liabilities. This transaction reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning executive compensation with performance, potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions and reinforcing its market position.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Convatec Aligns Executive Incentives with Performance Goals
Neutral
Mar 12, 2025

Convatec Group Plc announced the grant of conditional awards to its CEO, Karim Bitar, and CFO, Jonny Mason, under the company’s Long Term Incentive Plan (LTIP) and Deferred Bonus Plan (DBP). These awards, in the form of Performance Share Awards and Restricted Stock Units, are set to vest in three years, with the LTIP awards contingent on specific performance conditions. This move underscores Convatec’s commitment to aligning executive incentives with company performance, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Convatec Releases 2024 Annual Report and Announces AGM
Neutral
Mar 11, 2025

Convatec Group Plc has released its Annual Report and Accounts for 2024 and announced its upcoming Annual General Meeting scheduled for May 22, 2025, in London. The report, along with the Notice of Annual General Meeting, has been distributed to shareholders and submitted to the National Storage Mechanism, reflecting the company’s compliance with FCA Listing Rules. This announcement underscores Convatec’s commitment to transparency and regulatory adherence, potentially strengthening its position in the medical solutions industry.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.