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Crest Nicholson Holdings PLC (GB:CRST)
LSE:CRST

Crest Nicholson Holdings (CRST) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

Crest Nicholson Holdings

(LSE:CRST)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
183.00p
▲(9845.65%Upside)
Crest Nicholson Holdings' stock score reflects significant financial challenges and unattractive valuation, mitigated by positive corporate events and modest technical indicators. The company's strategic initiatives and executive alignment offer potential for recovery, but financial and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Earnings Potential
Crest Nicholson's strategy could deliver a significant upside, with shares potentially seeing a 50% increase if the discount to the sector is narrowed.
Management and Leadership
The new management team, led by industry veteran Martyn Clark, has provided a clear analysis and path to resolving the company's issues and restoring industry-level returns.
Negative Factors
Market Challenges
Crest Nicholson faces the most challenging immediate trading outlook, given its southern exposure, and may still see more cladding costs.

Crest Nicholson Holdings (CRST) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Crest Nicholson Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrest Nicholson Holdings (CRST) is a leading residential developer in the United Kingdom, specializing in the design and construction of high-quality homes and mixed-use developments. The company operates primarily in the Southern half of England, focusing on creating sustainable communities that cater to a range of needs. Crest Nicholson's core products include private homes, affordable housing, and large-scale urban regeneration projects, offering a blend of traditional craftsmanship and modern design to deliver appealing and functional living spaces.
How the Company Makes MoneyCrest Nicholson makes money primarily through the sale of residential properties, including private homes and affordable housing units. The company's revenue model is centered on acquiring land, obtaining planning permissions, and developing the land into residential communities. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of completed homes to individual buyers and other housing associations or partners involved in affordable housing projects. Additionally, Crest Nicholson may engage in joint ventures and partnerships to share development risks and costs, thus enhancing its revenue potential. Factors such as market demand, land acquisition strategies, and government housing policies significantly influence its earnings.

Crest Nicholson Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Crest Nicholson Holdings faces financial challenges with declining revenues, negative profitability, and cash flow issues. The balance sheet indicates manageable leverage but also shows concerns with decreasing equity and assets.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reveals significant challenges with declining revenue and net income. The gross profit margin turned negative in the most recent year, indicating cost pressures. Revenue has decreased over the past few years, reflecting a contraction in business activity. The net profit margin is also negative, suggesting profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, indicating manageable leverage. However, the decline in stockholders' equity and total assets raises concerns about diminishing financial strength. The equity ratio remains reasonable, suggesting a stable capital structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights significant strains, with negative free cash flow in the recent year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, suggesting issues in converting earnings to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, reflecting cash generation challenges.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue618.20M657.50M913.60M786.60M677.90M
Gross Profit-71.60M100.60M194.30M166.70M107.70M
EBITDA-122.80M39.50M42.80M100.20M7.70M
Net Income-103.50M17.90M26.40M70.90M-10.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.44B1.53B1.58B1.61B1.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments74.80M163.70M374.90M351.80M240.20M
Total Debt94.30M104.10M101.00M102.50M104.20M
Total Liabilities713.30M674.00M696.10M706.80M641.90M
Stockholders Equity728.90M856.30M883.10M901.60M825.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-69.20M-167.40M54.10M126.40M114.20M
Operating Cash Flow-67.80M-165.60M54.20M126.60M114.50M
Investing Cash Flow25.00M1.60M11.90M-700.00K-4.50M
Financing Cash Flow-46.00M-47.00M-43.20M-14.60M-41.20M

Crest Nicholson Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.84
Price Trends
50DMA
1.85
Negative
100DMA
1.72
Positive
200DMA
1.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
48.78
Neutral
STOCH
30.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CRST, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.87, below the 50-day MA of 1.85, and above the 200-day MA of 1.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:CRST.

Crest Nicholson Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBSPR
71
Outperform
£119.64M13.175.82%0.73%-14.19%9.78%
GBGLE
58
Neutral
£213.07M12.885.65%1.65%13.91%-2.75%
GBGLE
58
Neutral
£213.07M12.885.65%1.65%13.91%-2.75%
GBVTY
58
Neutral
£2.00B0.292.27%6.04%-66.96%
GBVTY
58
Neutral
£2.00B0.292.27%6.04%-66.96%
56
Neutral
HK$24.59B3.77-2.05%6.59%-0.32%-67.68%
GBWJG
54
Neutral
£70.58M48.31-0.29%-27.17%98.73%
GBWJG
54
Neutral
£70.58M48.31-0.29%-27.17%98.73%
52
Neutral
£472.40M-9.56%0.98%-3.50%-176.18%
GBBWY
49
Neutral
£3.12B21.244.22%1.17%-11.63%-31.81%
GBBWY
49
Neutral
£3.12B21.244.22%1.17%-11.63%-31.81%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CRST
Crest Nicholson Holdings
1.84
-0.49
-21.03%
GB:WJG
Watkin Jones
0.27
-0.23
-46.00%
GB:WJG
Watkin Jones
0.27
-0.23
-46.00%
GB:GLE
MJ Gleeson PLC
3.65
-2.13
-36.85%
GB:GLE
MJ Gleeson PLC
3.65
-2.13
-36.85%
GB:BWY
Bellway
26.30
1.32
5.28%
GB:BWY
Bellway
26.30
1.32
5.28%
GB:VTY
Vistry Group
6.16
-6.74
-52.25%
GB:VTY
Vistry Group
6.16
-6.74
-52.25%
GB:SPR
Springfield Properties PLC
1.00
0.04
4.17%

Crest Nicholson Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Crest Nicholson Changes Share Registrar to MUFG Corporate Markets
Neutral
Jul 7, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings PLC has announced a change in its share registrar from Equiniti to MUFG Corporate Markets, effective from 7 July 2025. This change is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to streamline its operations and improve shareholder services, potentially impacting stakeholders by enhancing the efficiency of shareholding management.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRST) stock is a Buy with a £185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crest Nicholson Holdings stock, see the GB:CRST Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Crest Nicholson Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings plc announced that as of June 30, 2025, its issued share capital consists of 256,922,810 ordinary shares, each carrying one voting right. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements regarding their interest in the company’s shares, as per the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRST) stock is a Buy with a £185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crest Nicholson Holdings stock, see the GB:CRST Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Crest Nicholson Sees Change in Major Holdings
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with Ameriprise Financial, Inc. increasing its voting rights to 5.086% as of June 13, 2025. This acquisition of voting rights signifies a strategic move by Ameriprise Financial, potentially impacting Crest Nicholson’s governance and future decision-making processes, which stakeholders should closely monitor.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRST) stock is a Buy with a £185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crest Nicholson Holdings stock, see the GB:CRST Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Crest Nicholson Reports Strong Interim Results and Strategic Progress
Positive
Jun 12, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings PLC reported its interim results for the six months ending April 2025, showing trading in line with expectations and confirming its full-year guidance. The company has made significant strategic progress, including a focus on quality home building, customer satisfaction, and operational excellence. Improved sales rates and gross profit margins were noted, alongside a reduction in administrative expenses and net debt. The housing market shows signs of stabilisation, with Crest Nicholson well-positioned to navigate the market confidently. The company remains committed to its strategic priorities and anticipates further performance improvements in the second half of the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRST) stock is a Buy with a £185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crest Nicholson Holdings stock, see the GB:CRST Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Crest Nicholson Executives Acquire Shares to Strengthen Stakeholder Alignment
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings PLC announced the acquisition of partnership and award of free matching shares through its Share Incentive Plan by key executives, including CEO Martyn Clark, CFO Bill Floydd, and Group Company Secretary Penny Thomas. This transaction, conducted outside a trading venue and on the London Stock Exchange, reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to align management interests with shareholder value, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRST) stock is a Buy with a £185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crest Nicholson Holdings stock, see the GB:CRST Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Crest Nicholson Awards Shares to Key Executives
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings has announced the acquisition of partnership and awarding of free matching shares to key executives through its Share Incentive Plan. This move involves the CEO, CFO, and Group Company Secretary, reflecting the company’s strategy to align management interests with shareholder value, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRST) stock is a Buy with a £185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crest Nicholson Holdings stock, see the GB:CRST Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Crest Nicholson CEO Executes Share Transactions
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings PLC announced a series of transactions involving its CEO, Martyn Clark, who executed share transactions as part of his compensation package. These transactions included the delivery and exercise of share options, as well as the disposal of shares to settle tax liabilities. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing management of executive compensation and its implications for shareholder value.

Delistings and Listing Changes
Crest Nicholson Seeks Admission of New Shares to Official List
Neutral
Apr 15, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings plc has applied for the admission of 1,000,000 ordinary shares to the Official List of the UK Listing Authority and the London Stock Exchange. These shares, expected to be admitted on April 17, 2025, are part of the company’s Share Incentive Plan and will rank equally with existing shares, potentially impacting shareholder value and market perception.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025