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Crest Nicholson Holdings PLC (GB:CRST)
LSE:CRST

Crest Nicholson Holdings (CRST) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CRST

Crest Nicholson Holdings

(LSE:CRST)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
133.00p
▼(-1.34% Downside)
Crest Nicholson Holdings is facing significant financial and market challenges. The most impactful factors are the company's declining financial performance and bearish technical indicators. The stock's valuation is also unattractive due to negative earnings and low dividend yield. These factors collectively result in a low overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Sustainable Building Practices
The company's focus on sustainable building practices aligns with increasing consumer demand for eco-friendly homes, potentially boosting long-term sales and brand reputation.
Strategic Land Acquisition
A strong land acquisition strategy secures future development opportunities, supporting long-term revenue growth and market presence.
Manageable Leverage
Low leverage provides financial flexibility and reduces risk, allowing the company to navigate economic fluctuations more effectively.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Consistent revenue decline indicates challenges in market demand or competitive positioning, potentially impacting long-term growth prospects.
Negative Profitability
Negative profitability suggests operational inefficiencies and cost management issues, which could hinder financial stability and investment capacity.
Cash Flow Challenges
Persistent cash flow issues can limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and meet financial obligations, affecting long-term viability.

Crest Nicholson Holdings (CRST) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Crest Nicholson Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrest Nicholson Holdings plc builds residential homes in the United Kingdom. The company develops and sells apartments, houses, and commercial properties. It serves first-time buyers, families, and investors. The company was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Chertsey, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCrest Nicholson generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential properties, including both private homes and affordable housing units. The company's revenue model is driven by the delivery of new homes across its various developments, which are often pre-sold to customers before completion. Key revenue streams include the sale of freehold and leasehold properties, as well as income from land sales and joint ventures with other developers or local authorities. Additionally, Crest Nicholson may benefit from partnerships with housing associations and government schemes aimed at increasing housing supply, which can provide financial support and enhance its project pipeline. The company's ability to manage costs effectively and maintain a strong land bank is critical to its profitability, as it ensures a steady flow of projects and mitigates risks associated with market fluctuations.

Crest Nicholson Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Crest Nicholson Holdings faces notable financial headwinds, reflected in declining revenues, negative profitability, and cash flow challenges. While the balance sheet shows manageable leverage, the erosion of equity and assets is concerning. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve cash generation to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reveals significant challenges with declining revenue and net income. The gross profit margin turned negative in the most recent year, indicating cost pressures. Revenue has decreased over the past few years, reflecting a contraction in business activity. The net profit margin is also negative, suggesting profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, indicating manageable leverage. However, the decline in stockholders' equity and total assets raises concerns about diminishing financial strength. The equity ratio remains reasonable, suggesting a stable capital structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights significant strains, with negative free cash flow in the recent year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, suggesting issues in converting earnings to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, reflecting cash generation challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue610.20M618.20M657.50M913.60M786.60M677.90M
Gross Profit86.40M-71.60M100.60M194.30M166.70M107.70M
EBITDA-89.30M-122.80M39.50M42.80M100.20M7.70M
Net Income-73.40M-103.50M17.90M26.40M70.90M-10.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.42B1.44B1.53B1.58B1.61B1.47B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments82.60M74.80M163.70M374.90M351.80M240.20M
Total Debt163.70M94.30M104.10M101.00M102.50M104.20M
Total Liabilities686.00M713.30M674.00M696.10M706.80M641.90M
Stockholders Equity733.20M728.90M856.30M883.10M901.60M825.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-76.70M-69.20M-167.40M54.10M126.40M114.20M
Operating Cash Flow-75.90M-67.80M-165.60M54.20M126.60M114.50M
Investing Cash Flow16.90M25.00M1.60M11.90M-700.00K-4.50M
Financing Cash Flow50.30M-46.00M-47.00M-43.20M-14.60M-41.20M

Crest Nicholson Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price134.80
Price Trends
50DMA
142.22
Negative
100DMA
151.12
Negative
200DMA
164.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.06
Positive
RSI
43.71
Neutral
STOCH
18.02
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CRST, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 134.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 138.41, below the 50-day MA of 142.22, and below the 200-day MA of 164.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.02 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CRST.

Crest Nicholson Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
£4.33B16.867.44%4.54%16.74%-0.16%
67
Neutral
£5.21B27.142.80%4.73%33.83%15.11%
65
Neutral
£3.11B20.024.49%2.62%16.91%20.93%
65
Neutral
£3.68B43.291.97%8.95%4.21%-65.57%
63
Neutral
£1.98B-209.47-0.31%-0.57%-104.08%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
42
Neutral
£335.83M-4.71-9.56%1.79%-3.50%-176.18%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CRST
Crest Nicholson Holdings
134.80
-37.24
-21.65%
GB:BTRW
Barratt Redrow
375.50
-32.61
-7.99%
GB:BWY
Bellway
2,708.00
347.61
14.73%
GB:VTY
Vistry Group
636.80
29.30
4.82%
GB:PSN
Persimmon
1,406.50
260.28
22.71%
GB:TW
Taylor Wimpey
103.80
-0.88
-0.84%

Crest Nicholson Holdings Corporate Events

Other
Crest Nicholson Executives Acquire Shares Under Company Incentive Plan
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

Crest Nicholson has disclosed a series of share transactions by senior management under its Share Incentive Plan, involving the chief executive, chief financial officer and group company secretary. On 12 January 2026, CEO Martyn Clark, CFO Bill Floydd and Group Company Secretary Penny Thomas each acquired partnership shares and received free matching shares in Crest Nicholson ordinary stock, with Thomas also receiving additional dividend shares; the transactions, partly executed outside a trading venue and on the London Stock Exchange’s main market, underline continued executive participation in the company’s equity schemes and incremental alignment of management with shareholder outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRST) stock is a Buy with a £230.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crest Nicholson Holdings stock, see the GB:CRST Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Crest Nicholson Confirms Total Voting Rights and Issued Share Capital
Neutral
Dec 23, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings plc has confirmed that, as at 23 December 2025, its issued share capital comprises 256,939,115 ordinary shares of 5p each, all carrying one vote per share, with no shares held in treasury. The disclosed total voting rights figure serves as the reference denominator for shareholders and market participants when assessing and notifying any interests or changes in interests in the company’s shares under UK regulatory transparency rules, supporting clear oversight of the company’s ownership structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRST) stock is a Buy with a £230.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crest Nicholson Holdings stock, see the GB:CRST Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Crest Nicholson Executives Acquire Shares Under Incentive Plan
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings PLC announced the acquisition of partnership and matching shares by key executives under the company’s Share Incentive Plan. This move, involving the CEO, CFO, and Group Company Secretary, reflects the company’s strategy to align management interests with shareholder value, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRST) stock is a Buy with a £230.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crest Nicholson Holdings stock, see the GB:CRST Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Crest Nicholson Director Appointed to Senior Role at STV Group
Positive
Dec 5, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings plc has announced the appointment of Gillian Kent, a Non-Executive Director of the company, to the position of Non-Executive Director and Senior Independent Director at STV Group plc. This move highlights the company’s strong leadership presence and may enhance its strategic influence in the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRST) stock is a Buy with a £230.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crest Nicholson Holdings stock, see the GB:CRST Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Crest Nicholson Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Nov 28, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings plc announced that as of 28 November 2025, its issued share capital consists of 256,935,953 ordinary shares, each carrying one voting right. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements regarding their interests in the company’s shares, as per FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRST) stock is a Hold with a £2.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crest Nicholson Holdings stock, see the GB:CRST Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Crest Nicholson Reports Strategic Progress Amid Challenging Market Conditions
Neutral
Nov 18, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings PLC has reported progress on its strategic priorities, particularly in land sales, as part of its Project Elevate transformation plan. Despite facing a subdued housing market and uncertainties in government tax policy, the company has managed to maintain a strong balance sheet and expects its adjusted profit before tax for FY25 to be at the low end of guidance. The company has also made strides in improving build quality, sales performance, and customer satisfaction, while securing key planning wins to support future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRST) stock is a Hold with a £167.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crest Nicholson Holdings stock, see the GB:CRST Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Crest Nicholson Executives Acquire Shares to Align Interests with Stakeholders
Positive
Nov 11, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings PLC announced transactions involving its top executives, including CEO Martyn Clark, CFO Bill Floydd, and Group Company Secretary Penny Thomas, who acquired shares through the company’s Share Incentive Plan. This move reflects the company’s strategy to align management interests with shareholder value, potentially impacting its market perception and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRST) stock is a Hold with a £167.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crest Nicholson Holdings stock, see the GB:CRST Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Crest Nicholson Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings PLC announced its total voting rights as of 31 October 2025, with an issued share capital of 256,933,278 ordinary shares. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their interest in the company’s shares, impacting their voting rights and potential influence in corporate decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRST) stock is a Hold with a £167.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crest Nicholson Holdings stock, see the GB:CRST Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Crest Nicholson Appoints Gillian Kent as Non-Executive Director
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

Crest Nicholson Holdings PLC has announced the appointment of Gillian Kent as a Non-Executive Director, effective from November 1, 2025. With over 25 years of experience in digital businesses and significant expertise in market and brand building, Kent will join the Audit and Risk, Remuneration, and Nomination Committees. She will also assume the roles of Senior Independent Director and Chair of the Remuneration Committee following the departure of Octavia Morley in March 2026. This strategic appointment is expected to enhance the board’s capabilities and support the company’s growth and governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CRST) stock is a Hold with a £169.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crest Nicholson Holdings stock, see the GB:CRST Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 19, 2025