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Capita PLC (GB:CPI)
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Capita plc (CPI) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CPI

Capita plc

(LSE:CPI)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
298.00p
▲(17.79% Upside)
Capita plc's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges and bearish technical indicators, partially offset by positive corporate events and moderate valuation. The company's high debt levels and negative cash flow trends are major concerns, while recent strategic moves provide some optimism for future stability.

Capita plc (CPI) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Capita plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapita plc provides consulting, digital, and software products and services to clients in the private and public sectors in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates through Public Service, Experience, and Portfolio divisions. The company offers solutions for finance and accounting, procurement, property and infrastructure, travel and event, and workplace administration. It also provides customer experience transformation, contact management, collection, complaint handling, customer acquisition and retention, customer experience system and software, and data and analytics. In addition, the company offers capita licensing and support, support, digital policing, and engineering practice; education service and local education authority software; various solutions that help businesses create connected experiences that deliver right message across organisations, customers, and suppliers; solutions for central and local government services; corporate learning, fire service college, employability, and capita apprenticeship solutions; and employer branding and marketing, flexible workforce solutions, agile resourcing solutions, executive and specialist recruitment, background checking and vetting, and digital HR management and transformation solutions. Further, it provides pension administration and software, pensions consulting, and data, insights, and remediation solutions; automation, critical communication systems, finance and payment software, local education authority software, management information systems, and workforce management software solutions; cloud, cyber security, digital connectivity, IT services, robotic process automation, and workplace IT; and actuarial, defence, financial, healthcare, housing, legal, public safety, utility, and welfare and employability services. The company was formerly known as The Capita Group plc and changed its name to Capita plc in January 2012. Capita plc was founded in 1984 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapita plc generates revenue primarily through long-term contracts with public and private sector clients for outsourcing and professional services. Key revenue streams include business process outsourcing, where Capita manages and delivers services like customer support, payroll, and IT solutions on behalf of its clients. Additionally, the company earns income from consulting and technology services, providing expert advice and innovative solutions tailored to client needs. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with technology providers and other firms enhance Capita's service offerings, contributing to its earnings by allowing the company to deliver integrated and cutting-edge solutions. Capita's diverse client base and multi-year contracts provide a stable revenue flow, while its focus on efficiency and digital transformation drives profitability.

Capita plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Capita plc faces financial challenges with declining revenue and profitability pressures, although some positive trends in equity and net income are noted. High debt and negative cash flow remain significant risks.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Capita plc's income statement reveals a challenging financial performance. Recent results show declining revenue with a negative revenue growth rate. The company has struggled with profitability, evidenced by negative EBIT margins and fluctuating net profit margins, although there is some improvement in net income in the latest periods. Gross profit margins have been relatively stable but aren't sufficient to significantly boost overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet analysis indicates a high debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting significant leverage, which is a potential risk. However, there has been an improvement in stockholders' equity over the years, although it remains low compared to total liabilities. The equity ratio has shown some positive trends, indicating a slow recovery in equity levels.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The company's cash flow statement shows ongoing challenges. Operating cash flow has been negative in recent years, indicating difficulties in generating cash from operations. Free cash flow has also been negative, and while there have been improvements in some periods, the overall trend poses concerns for liquidity and cash management.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.42B2.81B3.01B3.18B3.32B
Gross Profit516.50M592.10M581.40M508.60M538.90M
EBITDA269.50M54.90M238.00M508.70M214.20M
Net Income76.70M-178.10M74.80M224.70M14.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.84B2.00B2.55B3.14B3.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments254.00M155.40M396.80M317.60M460.90M
Total Debt680.30M721.00M903.30M1.24B1.60B
Total Liabilities1.64B1.88B2.20B2.85B3.81B
Stockholders Equity199.90M113.00M330.20M274.50M-134.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-75.30M-101.90M24.00M-237.20M308.90M
Operating Cash Flow-25.20M-40.30M71.90M-179.10M396.30M
Investing Cash Flow201.20M9.70M344.10M395.20M-34.30M
Financing Cash Flow-51.50M-76.30M-340.70M-259.70M-331.30M

Capita plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price253.00
Price Trends
50DMA
298.58
Negative
100DMA
250.58
Positive
200DMA
240.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-14.21
Positive
RSI
26.55
Positive
STOCH
9.23
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CPI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 253 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 308.15, below the 50-day MA of 298.58, and above the 200-day MA of 240.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -14.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.55 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.23 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CPI.

Capita plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
£557.46M16.3212.12%2.85%10.34%33.59%
74
Outperform
£1.93B17.9723.48%2.92%14.34%-16.43%
74
Outperform
£293.26M11.642.82%15.70%-0.78%
71
Outperform
£2.22B45.915.21%1.39%0.84%-62.73%
67
Neutral
£362.85M38.634.01%2.00%6.90%
58
Neutral
HK$13.55B5.55-2.78%5.86%2.50%-57.10%
57
Neutral
£287.78M17.629.00%-4.87%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CPI
Capita plc
253.00
-15.80
-5.88%
GB:JSG
Johnson Service
140.20
-11.42
-7.53%
GB:MTO
Mitie Group plc
147.20
30.32
25.94%
GB:RST
Restore
265.00
8.29
3.23%
GB:RWS
RWS Holdings
79.30
-87.31
-52.40%
GB:SRP
Serco Group plc
219.00
54.44
33.08%

Capita plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Capita plc Executive Shareholding Update
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

Capita plc announced a transaction involving Xenia Walters, the Chief Strategy and Transformation Officer, who exercised and retained restricted share awards under the Capita Executive Plan 2021. This transaction, conducted in compliance with the UK Market Abuse Regulation, involved the acquisition of 47,222 ordinary shares at a nil cost, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning executive interests with shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Capita Extends Strategic Partnership with ScottishPower to Enhance Customer Experience
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

Capita plc has secured a three-year extension of its partnership with ScottishPower, focusing on enhancing customer experience through innovation and operational excellence. The extension will see services transition to Capita’s sustainable delivery hub in Cape Town, and will leverage advanced technologies like Centrical and CCAi to improve productivity and customer service, reflecting a commitment to sustainable and innovative service delivery.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Capita CEO Adolfo Hernandez Vests Third Tranche of Share Award
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

Capita plc announced that Adolfo Hernandez, the Chief Executive Officer, has vested the third tranche of shares awarded under a buy-out share award. This vesting involved 126,505 ordinary shares, with Hernandez personally funding £154,886 to cover tax liabilities, resulting in his total holding of 503,650 shares, which is 0.44% of the company’s issued share capital. This transaction was disclosed in compliance with the UK Market Abuse Regulation, highlighting transparency in executive share dealings.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Capita plc Announces Monthly Share Purchase by Chief People Officer
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

Capita plc has announced a transaction involving Scott Hill, the Chief People Officer, who has made a monthly share purchase under the Capita Share Ownership Plan. This notification is part of the company’s regular disclosure of transactions by individuals in managerial positions, ensuring transparency and adherence to regulatory requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Capita plc Reports Progress Amid Strategic Transformation in H1 2025
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

Capita plc reported solid progress in its strategic transformation for the first half of 2025, with a notable increase in contract value by 17% and strong performance in its Public Sector business. Despite a decrease in adjusted revenue by 4% and a reported loss before tax of £9.5m, the company remains on track to achieve its £250m cost savings target by the end of 2025 and anticipates positive free cash flow from then. The company continues to focus on cost discipline and technological innovation, including the launch of the Capita AI Catalyst Lab, to drive future growth and improve operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Capita plc Updates Total Voting Rights
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

Capita plc has announced an update to its total voting rights, with its capital consisting of 114,359,758 ordinary shares, each carrying one vote. This figure is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s rules. Additionally, 534,618 shares held by the Capita Employee Benefit Trust are excluded from the company’s EPS calculation, reflecting its impact on financial metrics.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Capita plc Updates Total Voting Rights and Capital Structure
Neutral
Jul 15, 2025

Capita plc has announced an update on its total voting rights, stating that as of 14 July 2025, the company’s capital consists of 114,359,758 ordinary shares, each carrying one vote. This figure is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules. The announcement also notes that 610,816 shares held by the Capita Employee Benefit Trust are excluded from the company’s EPS calculation, which may impact financial assessments and stakeholder decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Other
Capita plc Announces Change in Major Shareholder Holdings
Neutral
Jul 9, 2025

Capita plc has announced a change in its major holdings, with Lombard Odier Asset Management (Europe) Limited reducing its voting rights from 5.31% to 4.71%. This shift in voting rights indicates a disposal of shares by Lombard Odier, which may impact Capita’s shareholder dynamics and influence within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Oasis Management Acquires Significant Stake in Capita plc
Neutral
Jul 7, 2025

Oasis Management Company Ltd., based in Hong Kong, has acquired a significant holding in Capita plc, crossing the 5% threshold of voting rights through financial instruments. This acquisition positions Oasis Management as a notable stakeholder in Capita, potentially influencing the company’s strategic decisions and impacting its market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Capita plc Releases H1 2024 Segmental Restatement and Reiterates 2025 Financial Guidance
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

Capita plc has released its H1 2024 segmental restatement, highlighting adjusted segmental information under its operating segment structure. The company reports a total adjusted revenue of £1,198.6 million and an adjusted operating profit of £54.5 million. The restatement reflects the exit of a small business in 2024 and includes subdivisions such as Contact Centre, Pension Solutions, and Regulated Services. Capita reiterates its full-year 2025 financial guidance of flat revenue, with operating margin improvements expected in the second half of the year, and anticipates being free cash flow positive by the end of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Capita Extends Revolving Credit Facility to Enhance Financial Stability
Positive
Jul 2, 2025

Capita plc has announced an extension of its Revolving Credit Facility (RCF) maturity date to 31 December 2027, adding a 12-month extension from the original expiry date. The facility, valued at £250 million, now includes a £50 million accordion option and involves eight lenders, including new partners Royal Bank of Canada and ABN AMRO Bank N.V. This extension reflects Capita’s strategic financial management, potentially enhancing its operational stability and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Capita CEO Exercises Share Options in Executive Plan
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

Capita plc announced a transaction involving Corinne Ripoche, the Chief Executive Officer of Capita Experience. The transaction involved the exercise and retention of 73,495 ordinary shares as part of the Capita Executive Plan 2021, with no cost associated with the share options. This move reflects internal managerial actions and may impact the company’s shareholding structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Capita plc Updates Total Voting Rights
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

Capita plc has announced an update regarding its total voting rights, stating that as of June 30, 2025, the company’s capital comprises 113,959,758 ordinary shares, each with equal voting rights. This update is in line with the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, providing shareholders with the necessary information to assess their holdings in Capita plc. The announcement also notes that 128,890 shares are held by the Capita Employee Benefit Trust and are excluded from the company’s earnings per share calculation.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Capita Issues 2025 Restricted Share Awards to Key Executives
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

Capita plc has announced the issuance of its 2025 restricted share awards under the Capita Plc Executive Plan 2021 to key executives, including the CEO and CFO. These awards are contingent on continued employment, personal performance, and specific underpin conditions, such as positive total shareholder return and satisfactory company performance over the vesting period. The move is designed to align executive interests with long-term company performance, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and Capita’s market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Capita Announces Director Resignation
Neutral
Jun 23, 2025

Capita plc announced the resignation of Brian McArthur-Muscroft from his role as an Independent Non-Executive Director, effective 23 July 2025. Brian’s decision to step down is due to his external CFO role’s demands, which prevent him from dedicating adequate time to Capita. His departure marks the end of his three-year tenure, during which he notably chaired the Audit and Risk Committee. This change in the board may impact Capita’s governance dynamics and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Capita plc Reports Steady Progress in AI Solutions and Strategic Initiatives
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

Capita plc has reported progress in its AI solutions and remains on track to meet its full-year expectations for 2025. The company is focusing on product innovation to deliver scalable solutions and has identified over 200 AI use cases to enhance efficiency and quality. Despite a 4.5% decline in adjusted revenue for the first five months of 2025, Capita has seen significant contract wins, particularly in the public service sector, which offset losses in other areas. The company is committed to improving its operating margin and achieving substantial cost savings by the end of 2025, with a strong emphasis on AI-driven technological advancements.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Other
Capita Executives Participate in Share Ownership Plan
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

Capita plc announced transactions involving its senior executives under the Capita Share Ownership Plan. Scott Hill, Chief People Officer, and Sameer Vuyyuru, Chief AI and Product Officer, participated in monthly share purchases. Hill acquired 72 ordinary shares, while Vuyyuru’s son purchased 24 shares, both at a price of £2.409285 per share. These transactions, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflect the company’s efforts to align management interests with shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Hold with a £255.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Capita plc Updates Total Voting Rights and Shareholder Information
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

Capita plc announced an update on its total voting rights, stating that as of May 31, 2025, the company has 113,959,758 ordinary shares, each carrying one vote. This figure is crucial for shareholders to calculate their interests in accordance with FCA regulations. The announcement also notes that 296,359 shares held by the Capita Employee Benefit Trust are excluded from the company’s EPS calculation, which may impact financial assessments.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Capita Secures £37m Contract for UK Pension Services
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

Capita Pension Solutions, a division of Capita plc, has secured a £37 million contract to provide pensions administration services and transformational projects for a global company’s UK pension schemes. The five-year contract, starting in November 2025, aims to enhance member experience through increased digitisation and automation, leveraging Capita’s Digital Pension Solutions platform and Microsoft Dynamics 365 for a personalized service. This contract underscores Capita’s strategic focus on improving member outcomes and operational efficiencies, potentially strengthening its market position in the pension administration sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Capita CEO Executes Share Transaction Under Executive Plan
Neutral
May 28, 2025

Capita plc announced a transaction involving its Chief Executive Officer of Capita Public Service, Richard Holroyd, who exercised restricted share awards under the Capita Executive Plan 2021. The transaction included the sale of shares to cover tax liabilities and the retention of remaining shares, indicating a strategic move to manage executive compensation and align interests with shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Capita plc Executive Share Transaction Announcement
Neutral
May 20, 2025

Capita plc has announced a transaction involving Claire Denton, the Chief General Counsel and Company Secretary, who exercised share options under the Capita Executive Plan 2021. The transaction included the sale of shares to cover tax liabilities and the retention of the remaining shares, reflecting strategic financial management by the company’s executives.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Capita plc Announces Executive Share Transaction
Neutral
May 16, 2025

Capita plc has announced a transaction involving Scott Hill, the Chief People Officer, who exercised restricted share awards under the Capita Executive Plan 2021. The transaction involved the sale of shares to cover tax liabilities and the retention of the remaining shares. This move reflects internal financial management strategies and may impact the company’s stock liquidity and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Other
Capita plc Announces Managerial Share Purchases
Positive
May 15, 2025

Capita plc has announced transactions involving its managerial personnel under the Capita Share Ownership Plan. Scott Hill, Chief People Officer, and Sameer Vuyyuru, Chief AI and Product Officer, participated in the monthly share purchase plan, acquiring ordinary shares on the London Stock Exchange. These transactions reflect the company’s ongoing efforts to align managerial interests with shareholder value, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CPI) stock is a Buy with a £0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capita plc stock, see the GB:CPI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025