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CMC Markets PLC (GB:CMCX)
LSE:CMCX
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CMC Markets (CMCX) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CMCX

CMC Markets

(LSE:CMCX)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
479.00 p
▲(44.28% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/05/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance led by a strong, low-leverage balance sheet and healthy profitability, balanced against meaningful cash-flow volatility. Technicals are supportive due to a clear uptrend, though overbought RSI adds near-term risk. Valuation is reasonable but not compelling given cyclicality.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
A very low leverage profile and steadily growing equity provide structural resilience versus cyclical revenue swings. This balance-sheet strength supports absorbing trading losses, funds platform investment, preserves optionality for opportunistic M&A or buybacks, and underpins long-term capital allocation flexibility.
Negative Factors
Volatile free cash flow
A large swing in free cash flow weakens predictability of capital allocation and dividend sustainability. For a broker reliant on operating cash from client flows, such volatility can force prudent cash reserves, restrict investment cadence, and elevate funding or operational risk during downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
A very low leverage profile and steadily growing equity provide structural resilience versus cyclical revenue swings. This balance-sheet strength supports absorbing trading losses, funds platform investment, preserves optionality for opportunistic M&A or buybacks, and underpins long-term capital allocation flexibility.
Read all positive factors

CMC Markets (CMCX) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

CMC Markets Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CMC Markets plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides online retail financial services to retail, professional, stockbroking, and institutional clients in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Europe, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Canada, and inte...
How the Company Makes Money
CMC Markets primarily generates revenue from client trading activity across its platforms. A key revenue stream is dealing/trading income earned on leveraged derivative products (most notably CFDs), where CMC typically earns money through the bid/...

CMC Markets Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid overall fundamentals supported by a conservatively levered balance sheet (low debt-to-equity and growing equity base) and healthy profitability, but tempered by cyclical revenue/profit sensitivity and notably volatile cash generation, including a sharp free-cash-flow drop in 2026 versus 2025.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue410.95M360.10M359.75M322.17M323.85M
Gross Profit357.44M226.42M214.31M269.81M266.77M
EBITDA125.37M100.37M92.71M77.48M113.69M
Net Income74.36M62.19M46.89M41.44M71.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.01B731.98M716.86M586.42M646.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments392.23M328.22M211.19M176.79M191.07M
Total Debt68.41M14.34M16.91M11.82M14.45M
Total Liabilities550.69M314.01M313.37M212.41M277.93M
Stockholders Equity457.08M417.97M403.49M374.01M368.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow45.74M166.25M60.21M42.94M140.27M
Operating Cash Flow49.03M175.35M80.08M71.16M156.08M
Investing Cash Flow-13.05M-41.35M-41.57M-31.16M-17.64M
Financing Cash Flow-13.05M-41.31M-21.01M-69.06M-82.16M

CMC Markets Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price332.00
Price Trends
50DMA
373.24
Positive
100DMA
348.86
Positive
200DMA
295.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.57
Negative
RSI
71.93
Negative
STOCH
42.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CMCX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 332 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 383.10, below the 50-day MA of 373.24, and above the 200-day MA of 295.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.93 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CMCX.

CMC Markets Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
£3.15B15.4247.78%4.70%0.05%6.54%
76
Outperform
£6.00B12.7126.63%3.62%
73
Outperform
£1.03B18.5214.91%4.65%16.10%19.10%
73
Outperform
£2.18B12.599.39%6.35%4.73%15.14%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
51
Neutral
£670.22M-22.43-9.28%-18.61%48.41%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CMCX
CMC Markets
430.00
207.19
92.99%
GB:CBG
Close Brothers Group
457.20
138.60
43.50%
GB:IGG
IG Group Holdings
1,843.00
814.30
79.16%
GB:PLUS
Plus500
4,600.00
1,300.78
39.43%
GB:TCAP
TP ICap
314.40
68.08
27.64%

CMC Markets Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
CMC Markets to Replace Risk Committee Chair as Clare Francis Steps Down
Neutral
Jun 4, 2026
CMC Markets plc, a leading online financial trading and B2B institutional solutions provider, has announced that Non-Executive Director Clare Francis will not seek re-election and will step down as Chair of the Risk Committee at the conclusion of ...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
CMC Markets lifts profit 20% as B2B partnerships and Aussie stockbroking power record year
Positive
Jun 4, 2026
CMC Markets reported record net operating income of £392.6 million for the year to 31 March 2026, up 15% year-on-year, with profit before tax rising 20% to £101.3 million and a 21% increase in the full-year dividend. Growth was driven by...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
CMC Markets Executives Acquire Shares Under UK Incentive Plan
Positive
May 6, 2026
CMC Markets plc has reported that two senior executives acquired small tranches of company stock under its UK Share Incentive Plan. Head of Global Strategic Partnerships David John Fineberg and Chief Operating Officer Jonathan Bendall each purchas...
Other
CMC Markets Executives Acquire Shares Under UK Incentive Plan
Positive
Apr 8, 2026
CMC Markets has disclosed transactions by senior executives involving the acquisition of ordinary shares under the company’s UK Share Incentive Plan. Head of Global Strategic Partnerships David John Fineberg and Chief Operating Officer Jonat...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
CMC Markets Adds Senior Finance Lawyer Emma Earp to Board
Positive
Mar 24, 2026
CMC Markets has appointed senior banking and finance lawyer Emma Earp as a Non-Executive Director, effective 1 April 2026, bringing her onto the Audit, Nomination, Remuneration and Risk Committees. With more than 15 years’ experience in comp...
Other
CMC Markets Executives Acquire Shares Under Incentive Plan
Neutral
Mar 6, 2026
CMC Markets has disclosed share transactions by senior executives under its UK Share Incentive Plan, reinforcing equity-based participation among key management. Head of Global Strategic Partnerships David John Fineberg and Chief Operating Officer...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 05, 2026