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CMC Markets PLC (GB:CMCX)
LSE:CMCX
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CMC Markets (CMCX) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CMCX

CMC Markets

(LSE:CMCX)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
767.00 p
â–²(6.09% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:07/03/26
The score is led by solid financial performance—especially a conservatively levered balance sheet and healthy profitability—tempered by notable cash flow volatility. Technicals are supportive due to a strong uptrend, but extremely overbought readings add pullback risk. Valuation is the main drag given a higher P/E and only modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and a steadily growing equity base give CMC durable financial resilience. This strong capital cushion supports regulatory capital needs, cushions trading-cycle volatility, and provides flexibility to invest in platform development or return capital without forcing distress sales or dilutive funding.
Negative Factors
Free cash flow volatility
Large swings in free cash flow indicate inconsistent cash conversion and working-capital dynamics in the capital-markets business. This volatility can constrain predictable reinvestment, dividend policy, and balance-sheet planning, increasing reliance on careful liquidity management across cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and a steadily growing equity base give CMC durable financial resilience. This strong capital cushion supports regulatory capital needs, cushions trading-cycle volatility, and provides flexibility to invest in platform development or return capital without forcing distress sales or dilutive funding.
Read all positive factors

CMC Markets (CMCX) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

CMC Markets Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CMC Markets plc, along with its affiliated entities, delivers online financial trading solutions to a wide range of clients. These include individual investors, professional traders, stockbrokers, and institutions across the United Kingdom, Irelan...
How the Company Makes Money
CMC Markets primarily generates revenue from client trading activity across its platforms. A key revenue stream is dealing/trading income earned on leveraged derivative products (most notably CFDs), where CMC typically earns money through the bid/...

CMC Markets Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet with very low leverage and a steadily growing equity base supports resilience, while profitability is solid (notably ~18% net margin in 2026). The key offset is cash flow volatility, including a sharp drop in 2026 free cash flow versus 2025, which raises questions about cash conversion consistency in a cyclical business.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue410.95M360.10M359.75M322.17M323.85M
Gross Profit357.44M226.42M214.31M269.81M266.77M
EBITDA125.37M100.37M92.71M77.48M113.69M
Net Income74.36M62.19M46.89M41.44M71.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.01B731.98M716.86M586.42M646.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments392.23M328.22M211.19M176.79M191.07M
Total Debt112.73M14.34M16.91M11.82M14.45M
Total Liabilities550.69M314.01M313.37M212.41M277.93M
Stockholders Equity457.08M417.97M403.49M374.01M368.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow35.98M166.25M60.21M42.94M140.27M
Operating Cash Flow49.03M175.35M80.08M71.16M156.08M
Investing Cash Flow-13.05M-41.35M-41.57M-31.16M-17.64M
Financing Cash Flow-13.05M-41.31M-21.01M-69.06M-82.16M

CMC Markets Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price723.00
Price Trends
50DMA
633.87
Positive
100DMA
505.91
Positive
200DMA
401.43
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
17.23
Positive
RSI
57.76
Neutral
STOCH
72.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CMCX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 723 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 701.55, above the 50-day MA of 633.87, and above the 200-day MA of 401.43, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 17.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CMCX.

CMC Markets Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
£2.61B12.6948.99%4.31%3.14%4.67%
72
Outperform
£2.33B12.609.51%4.80%3.88%11.86%
69
Neutral
£1.97B26.2616.86%1.91%16.10%21.35%
69
Neutral
£4.59B12.3219.99%3.60%――
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
47
Neutral
£634.41M-12.00-2.03%―-18.61%48.41%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CMCX
CMC Markets
709.00
486.38
218.49%
GB:CBG
Close Brothers Group
420.00
-69.60
-14.22%
GB:IGG
IG Group Holdings
1,318.00
235.26
21.73%
GB:PLUS
Plus500
3,770.00
769.61
25.65%
GB:TCAP
TP ICap
327.60
60.56
22.68%

CMC Markets Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
CMC Markets executives realise awards under Management Equity Plan
Neutral
Jul 28, 2026
CMC Markets has disclosed share-related transactions by two senior executives under its Management Equity Plan, highlighting ongoing use of equity-based incentives to align leadership with shareholder interests. Head of Capital Markets Laurence Bo...
Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
CMC Markets Corrects Error in Executive Share Awards and Confirms Vesting
Positive
Jul 24, 2026
CMC Markets has corrected an administrative error affecting conditional share awards granted in 2022 and 2023 under its Combined Incentive Plan to senior executives, including CEO Lord Cruddas, Head of Global Strategic Partnerships David John Fine...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock BuybackDividendsShareholder Meetings
CMC Markets wins broad shareholder backing as AGM approves all 2026 resolutions
Positive
Jul 24, 2026
CMC Markets reported that all resolutions at its 2026 annual general meeting were approved by poll, including the receipt of accounts, director remuneration, a new company share option plan and amendments to existing equity incentive schemes. Shar...
Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
CMC Markets Executives Disclose Share Dealings Under Incentive Plan
Neutral
Jul 21, 2026
CMC Markets has disclosed share transactions by senior executives following the vesting of long-term incentive awards granted under its Combined Incentive Plan. Head of Global Strategic Partnerships David John Fineberg and Head of ANZ Matthew Lewi...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
CMC Markets awards new equity incentives to senior executives
Positive
Jul 20, 2026
CMC Markets has granted a series of conditional share awards and phantom share rights to senior executives, including CEO Lord Cruddas, under its Combined Incentive Plan and Management Equity Plan. The grants, all made on 17 July 2026 outside a tr...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
CMC Markets executives report share award vesting and related disposals
Neutral
Jul 14, 2026
CMC Markets has disclosed a series of transactions by senior executives involving ordinary shares acquired under the company’s Combined Incentive Plan. Chief executive officer Lord Cruddas, head of global strategic partnerships David John Fi...
Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
CMC Markets Executives Acquire Shares Under Incentive Plan
Positive
Jul 8, 2026
CMC Markets has disclosed share acquisitions by senior executives under its UK Share Incentive Plan, highlighting ongoing use of equity-based compensation to align management interests with shareholders. Head of Global Strategic Partnerships David...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CMC Markets Lifts FY2027 Income Guidance on Surging B2B Growth
Positive
Jul 1, 2026
CMC Markets has highlighted its growing strength as a B2B trading platform provider, leveraging its established online and mobile infrastructure to serve a broad base of retail and institutional clients worldwide. The firm’s scalable technol...
DividendsShareholder Meetings
CMC Markets Proposes 8.3p Final Dividend with DRIP Option
Positive
Jun 16, 2026
CMC Markets has recommended a final dividend of 8.3 pence per ordinary share for the financial year ended 31 March 2026, reinforcing its role as a dividend-paying online trading and investment provider. The proposed payout underscores the company&...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
CMC Markets Publishes 2026 Annual Report and Sets AGM Date
Neutral
Jun 16, 2026
CMC Markets plc has published its audited annual report and financial statements for the year ended 31 March 2026, along with the formal notice and related documents for its 2026 Annual General Meeting. The company has also circulated details of n...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
CMC Markets Executives Acquire Shares Under UK Incentive Plan
Positive
Jun 9, 2026
CMC Markets has disclosed routine share transactions by senior executives under its UK Share Incentive Plan, reinforcing alignment between management and shareholders. Head of Global Strategic Partnerships David John Fineberg and Chief Operating O...
Executive/Board Changes
CMC Markets to Replace Risk Committee Chair as Clare Francis Steps Down
Neutral
Jun 4, 2026
CMC Markets plc, a leading online financial trading and B2B institutional solutions provider, has announced that Non-Executive Director Clare Francis will not seek re-election and will step down as Chair of the Risk Committee at the conclusion of ...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
CMC Markets lifts profit 20% as B2B partnerships and Aussie stockbroking power record year
Positive
Jun 4, 2026
CMC Markets reported record net operating income of £392.6 million for the year to 31 March 2026, up 15% year-on-year, with profit before tax rising 20% to £101.3 million and a 21% increase in the full-year dividend. Growth was driven by...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
CMC Markets Executives Acquire Shares Under UK Incentive Plan
Positive
May 6, 2026
CMC Markets plc has reported that two senior executives acquired small tranches of company stock under its UK Share Incentive Plan. Head of Global Strategic Partnerships David John Fineberg and Chief Operating Officer Jonathan Bendall each purchas...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2026