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Alpha FX Group PLC (GB:ALPH)
LSE:ALPH
UK Market
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Alpha FX (ALPH) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:ALPH

Alpha FX

(LSE:ALPH)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
4,748.00p
▲(11.98% Upside)
Alpha FX scores highly due to its strong financial performance and strategic corporate actions like share buybacks. Technical analysis shows positive momentum but warns of overbought conditions. The valuation is mixed with a high dividend yield and moderate P/E ratio.

Alpha FX (ALPH) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Alpha FX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlpha FX (ALPH) is a financial services company specializing in foreign exchange and international payment solutions for businesses. Founded in 2010, the firm operates primarily in the financial technology sector, offering a range of services including currency exchange, risk management, and payment processing. The company focuses on providing tailored solutions that help businesses manage their foreign exchange needs effectively, thereby enhancing their global trading capabilities.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlpha FX generates revenue through various key streams, primarily by charging clients for transaction fees on foreign exchange trades and international payments. The company also earns money through spreads, which is the difference between the buying and selling rates of currencies. Additionally, Alpha FX provides value-added services, such as risk management solutions and strategic consulting, which offer further revenue opportunities. Significant partnerships with banks and financial institutions enhance its service offerings and help establish a robust client base, contributing to its overall earnings.

Alpha FX Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alpha FX demonstrates strong financial health with excellent revenue and profit growth, robust margins, and solid balance sheet metrics. The company shows strong cash flow despite negative investing cash flows, indicating strategic reinvestments.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
Alpha FX has shown strong revenue growth with a significant increase from $77.47 million in 2021 to $185.96 million in 2023. The company's gross profit margin has been consistently high, and the net profit margin improved to 47.8% in 2023, indicating strong profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust, highlighting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
87
Very Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating minimal reliance on debt financing. The equity ratio was strong at 74.1% in 2023, showing financial stability. Return on equity is impressive at 39.8%, reflecting effective use of shareholders' funds to generate profit.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Operating cash flow has grown steadily, and the free cash flow has shown healthy growth, particularly in 2023. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting effective cash management. However, the investing cash flow is negative, which could indicate high capital expenditures or investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue154.19M135.60M185.96M107.61M77.47M46.22M
Gross Profit28.83M135.60M159.24M82.80M60.48M37.39M
EBITDA117.49M135.49M118.94M49.76M36.21M19.22M
Net Income83.42M93.02M88.83M38.61M23.53M12.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets611.52M482.54M372.60M295.19M208.70M174.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments220.18M252.47M197.94M136.80M113.85M98.80M
Total Debt21.96M22.51M22.72M13.07M7.36M7.48M
Total Liabilities294.65M203.53M149.11M150.74M98.90M83.93M
Stockholders Equity316.13M278.13M222.96M142.90M105.60M86.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow109.64M91.73M75.60M33.63M31.88M-8.41M
Operating Cash Flow110.81M100.53M90.79M38.85M34.54M-6.32M
Investing Cash Flow-7.96M-2.73M-18.79M-5.22M-2.65M-2.09M
Financing Cash Flow-30.18M-41.25M-10.21M-6.26M-6.66M17.40M

Alpha FX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4240.00
Price Trends
50DMA
4202.10
Positive
100DMA
3936.40
Positive
200DMA
3311.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
15.30
Positive
RSI
69.56
Neutral
STOCH
44.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ALPH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4240 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4227.00, above the 50-day MA of 4202.10, and above the 200-day MA of 3311.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 15.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 69.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:ALPH.

Alpha FX Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
£1.79B21.8630.28%0.34%17.44%-12.83%
74
Outperform
£2.16B10.7842.26%5.70%1.09%4.88%
74
Outperform
£1.86B11.138.74%6.69%5.77%81.14%
71
Outperform
£3.84B10.5120.39%4.20%9.46%32.24%
70
Outperform
£604.27M9.5815.14%5.45%-0.07%34.54%
68
Neutral
£644.11M-6.47-8.73%-15.79%-212.00%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ALPH
Alpha FX
4,240.00
2,031.64
92.00%
GB:CBG
Close Brothers Group
433.20
248.20
134.16%
GB:CMCX
CMC Markets
209.00
-90.14
-30.13%
GB:IGG
IG Group Holdings
1,125.00
244.37
27.75%
GB:PLUS
Plus500
2,960.00
746.68
33.74%
GB:TCAP
TP ICap
246.50
8.15
3.42%

Alpha FX Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Alpha Group’s Director Donates Shares to Charity
Positive
Oct 17, 2025

Alpha Group International plc announced that Clive Kahn, a Director and Person Discharging Managerial Responsibility, donated 40,000 ordinary shares to the National Philanthropic Trust UK Limited. This transaction reflects the company’s commitment to philanthropy and may enhance its reputation within the industry, showcasing a dedication to social responsibility alongside its financial operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ALPH) stock is a Buy with a £4748.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alpha FX stock, see the GB:ALPH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Alpha Group International PLC to be Acquired by Corpay, Inc.
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Alpha Group International PLC has announced a recommended cash acquisition by Corpay, Inc., which will acquire all issued and to-be-issued shares of Alpha through a court-approved scheme. Additionally, Clive Kahn has transferred 40,000 shares to a charitable trust, with Corpay’s consent, indicating strategic alignment and potential philanthropic engagement. This acquisition is expected to enhance Corpay’s market position and influence within the financial services industry, while stakeholders are advised to consider the scheme document for detailed terms.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ALPH) stock is a Buy with a £4748.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alpha FX stock, see the GB:ALPH Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Alpha Group’s Acquisition by Corpay Nears Completion
Neutral
Oct 16, 2025

Alpha Group International PLC and Corpay, Inc. have announced the progress of their recommended cash acquisition, with regulatory approvals obtained from the FCA, MFSA, and the Italian FDI Authority. The acquisition is expected to be completed by the end of October 2025, following a court hearing scheduled for 28 October 2025, which will finalize the terms under a court-approved scheme of arrangement.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ALPH) stock is a Buy with a £4748.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alpha FX stock, see the GB:ALPH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Alpha Group Acquisition by Corpay Nears Completion
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Alpha Group International PLC, a company involved in financial services, is set to be acquired by Corpay, Inc. The acquisition, which has received necessary regulatory approvals from the FCA, MFSA, and the Italian FDI Authority, is expected to be completed by the end of October 2025, pending a court hearing scheduled for 28 October 2025. This acquisition is significant for Alpha as it aligns with their strategic goals and could potentially enhance their market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ALPH) stock is a Buy with a £4748.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alpha FX stock, see the GB:ALPH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Alpha Group Reports Strong H1 2025 Results Amid Acquisition Plans
Positive
Sep 9, 2025

Alpha Group International plc reported a 34% increase in group revenue to £86.2 million for the first half of 2025, driven by strong performance in its Corporate division. Despite a 20% decrease in profit before tax due to non-cash charges and M&A fees, the company maintained a strong cash position and increased client numbers across various divisions. The recommended acquisition by Corpay Inc. highlights Alpha’s robust business model and growth potential, with completion expected in Q4 2025, subject to regulatory approvals.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ALPH) stock is a Buy with a £4748.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alpha FX stock, see the GB:ALPH Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Alpha Group Acquisition by Corpay Approved by Shareholders
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

Alpha Group International PLC, a company involved in financial services, has announced the results of its Court Meeting and General Meeting concerning its acquisition by Corpay, Inc. The acquisition, which involves Corpay acquiring all issued and to be issued ordinary share capital of Alpha, was approved by the requisite majority of shareholders at both meetings. The scheme is expected to become effective in the fourth quarter of 2025, pending court sanction and satisfaction of other conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ALPH) stock is a Buy with a £4748.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alpha FX stock, see the GB:ALPH Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Alpha Group International Announces Total Voting Rights
Neutral
Sep 1, 2025

Alpha Group International plc has announced its total voting rights as of August 31, 2025, which stands at 42,304,607. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s rules, reflecting the company’s transparency and adherence to regulatory standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ALPH) stock is a Buy with a £4748.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alpha FX stock, see the GB:ALPH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Alpha Group Grants LTIP Awards Amidst Acquisition by Corpay
Neutral
Aug 26, 2025

Alpha Group International plc, a company involved in financial services, announced the granting of awards under its Long Term Incentive Plan (LTIP) to its CFO, Tim Powell, and CRO, Tim Butters. This decision, initially planned for June 2025, was delayed due to a recommended cash acquisition by Corpay, Inc. The awards, which will be settled in cash, are subject to performance and pro-rating. Notably, CEO Clive Kahn waived his entitlement to the grant, highlighting a strategic decision amidst the acquisition process.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ALPH) stock is a Buy with a £4748.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alpha FX stock, see the GB:ALPH Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
Alpha Group International Announces Acquisition by Corpay
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

Alpha Group International PLC has announced a recommended cash acquisition by Corpay, Inc., to be executed through a Court-sanctioned scheme of arrangement. The acquisition, which has been deemed fair and reasonable by Alpha’s directors, is expected to be completed in the fourth quarter of 2025, pending shareholder and court approvals. This move is anticipated to impact Alpha’s market positioning by transitioning it into a private company, with its shares being delisted from the London Stock Exchange.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Alpha Group Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

Alpha Group International PLC has announced its total voting rights, confirming that its issued share capital as of July 31, 2025, consists of 42,304,607 shares, excluding treasury shares. This announcement allows shareholders to calculate their interests in the company under the FCA’s rules, potentially impacting shareholder decisions and company transparency.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 24, 2025