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BP plc (BP.B) (GB:BP.B)
:BP.B
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BP plc (BP.B) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:BP.B

BP plc

(LSE:BP.B)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
185.00p
▲(11.11% Upside)
BP's overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its strengths and challenges. The strong earnings call performance and attractive dividend yield are significant positives. However, mixed financial performance and technical indicators suggest caution. The absence of a P/E ratio due to negative earnings also impacts the valuation assessment.

BP plc (BP.B) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

BP plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBP p.l.c. provides carbon products and services. The company operates through Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products segments. It engages in the production of natural gas, and integrated gas and power; trading of gas; operation of onshore and offshore wind power, as well as hydrogen and carbon capture and storage facilities; trading and marketing of renewable and non-renewable power; and production of crude oil. In addition, the company involved in convenience and retail fuel, EV charging, Castrol lubricant, aviation, B2B, and midstream businesses; refining and oil trading; and bioenergy business. Further, it engages in power and storage, digital transformation, carbon management, and bio and low carbon related products, as well as energy and environmental commodities and mobility businesses. The company was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyBP generates revenue primarily through the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. The company sells crude oil and natural gas produced from its extensive global operations. Additionally, BP earns significant revenue from refining oil into various petroleum products and from the sale of these products through its retail network and commercial channels. The company's revenue model is supplemented by its investments in renewable energy, which are increasingly contributing to its earnings as the world shifts towards sustainable energy sources. Strategic partnerships with governments and other companies in energy projects also play a crucial role in enhancing BP's revenue streams.

BP plc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
BP delivered a strong operational and financial performance, with notable achievements in exploration and cost management. However, challenges remain in specific segments such as TravelCenters of America and some impairments, which slightly offset the positive outcomes.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operational and Strategic Performance
BP delivered their plan with upstream reliability over 96%. Five new major projects were brought online, and 10 exploration discoveries were made, including the significant Bumerangue Block discovery in Brazil.
Significant Financial Achievements
Underlying earnings in customer business increased by around 50% compared to the previous year. Expected proceeds from completed or announced divestments reached approximately $3 billion, and $1.7 billion of structural cost reductions have been delivered.
Dividend and Share Buyback Increase
BP announced a dividend per ordinary share of $0.0832, a 4% increase, and a $750 million share buyback for the second quarter.
Refining and Convenience & Mobility Performance
Refining availability was at its highest since 2006, and Convenience & Mobility had its strongest quarter since 2012.
Negative Updates
Challenges in TravelCenters of America
BP experienced tight diesel margins in the TravelCenters of America business, affecting performance. Efforts are being made to improve diesel margins and customer acquisition.
Impairments in Various Segments
BP took impairments in customer and products space, including hydrogen and biofuels in Australia, and gas and low carbon space due to changes in asset expectations.
Working Capital Build Impact
There was a $4.7 billion working capital build in the first half of the year, with expectations of some reversal in the second half.
Company Guidance
During BP's Second Quarter 2025 Results Call, Murray Auchincloss highlighted several key performance metrics and strategic initiatives. BP achieved over 96% reliability across upstream and downstream operations, brought five major oil and gas projects on stream, and made ten exploration discoveries, including a significant find in Brazil's Bumerangue Block. Underlying earnings in the customer business rose by approximately 50% compared to the previous year, and trading delivered strong quarter-on-quarter results despite challenging conditions. Divestments generated about $3 billion in proceeds for the year, and BP achieved $1.7 billion in structural cost reductions since early 2024. Additionally, BP announced a 4% increase in dividend per ordinary share to $0.0832 and a $750 million share buyback for the quarter, all part of a broader 12-quarter strategic plan.

BP plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BP plc demonstrates a mixed financial performance with operational efficiencies in gross and EBIT margins but faces pressure on net profitability, evidenced by negative net income. The balance sheet shows solid equity and manageable debt levels, though profitability metrics like ROE are concerning. Cash flow remains strong, supporting liquidity despite profit challenges. Overall, BP shows stability with room for improvement in profitability and growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
BP's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) financials show a gross profit margin of 15.42% and an EBIT margin of 8.40%, indicating moderate operational efficiency. However, the company has faced a significant net loss in the last twelve months due to a negative net profit margin of -0.64%. Revenue has decreased from the previous annual report, showing a revenue growth rate of -1.04%. Strengths include sustained gross profit and EBIT margins, but challenges are evident in net profitability and declining revenue.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
BP's balance sheet reflects a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.22, indicating a conservative capital structure with manageable leverage. The equity ratio stands at 20.69%, suggesting a solid equity base. However, a negative return on equity of -2.05% in the TTM highlights profitability concerns. Strengths include a stable equity structure and controlled debt levels, but profitability remains a challenge.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
BP's cash flow analysis is positive, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of -21.02, highlighting strong cash generation relative to its net income loss. The free cash flow to net income ratio is -8.53, reinforcing strong cash flow despite net losses. The free cash flow growth rate of -15.00% suggests a decline from previous periods. Overall, cash flow management remains robust, but growth is a concern.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue189.19B208.35B241.39B157.74B105.94B
Gross Profit30.24B64.06B55.10B22.86B10.18B
EBITDA27.98B43.50B59.47B32.55B14.54B
Net Income381.00M15.24B-1.36B7.57B-20.73B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets282.23B280.29B288.12B287.27B267.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.52B28.59B29.77B30.96B29.53B
Total Debt71.55B63.08B55.49B69.79B81.93B
Total Liabilities203.91B194.80B205.13B196.83B182.09B
Stockholders Equity59.25B70.28B67.55B75.46B71.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.00B17.75B28.86B12.72B-144.00M
Operating Cash Flow27.30B32.04B40.93B23.61B12.16B
Investing Cash Flow-13.25B-14.87B-13.71B-5.69B-7.86B
Financing Cash Flow-7.30B-13.36B-28.02B-18.08B3.96B

BP plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price166.50
Price Trends
50DMA
166.66
Negative
100DMA
160.39
Positive
200DMA
153.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.44
Positive
RSI
12.29
Positive
STOCH
57.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:BP.B, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 166.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 166.55, below the 50-day MA of 166.66, and above the 200-day MA of 153.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 12.29 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:BP.B.

BP plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
£1.54B14.217.92%3.71%118.04%65.66%
75
Outperform
£156.29B15.497.54%4.04%-8.55%-22.62%
74
Outperform
£1.70B11.5217.50%5.68%-9.80%-1.98%
72
Outperform
£65.63B
5.36%
70
Neutral
£4.02B21.62-11.32%7.35%123.03%
67
Neutral
£2.91B15.84-5.65%14.89%1.04%-156.59%
56
Neutral
C$4.17B2.0216.25%5.62%10.63%-50.60%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:BP.B
BP plc
168.00
17.14
11.36%
GB:SEPL
SEPLAT Petroleum Development
256.00
80.97
46.26%
GB:HBR
Harbour Energy
238.00
-29.74
-11.11%
GB:SHEL
Shell (UK)
2,669.50
-48.56
-1.79%
GB:ENOG
Energean
908.00
55.45
6.50%
GB:ITH
Ithaca Energy PLC
174.00
68.50
64.93%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025