AG Barr (GB:BAG)
LSE:BAG
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AG Barr
(LSE:BAG)
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Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
735.00 p
▲(19.12% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/10/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (consistent growth, healthy profitability, and historically low leverage) and supportive valuation (low P/E plus a solid dividend). The main constraint is mixed-to-weak technical momentum (negative MACD and trading below longer moving averages) alongside recent free-cash-flow softness and a 2026 step-up in debt.
Positive Factors
Multi-year revenue growth and market position
Sustained top-line expansion more than doubled revenue in five years, reflecting durable brand demand and distribution strength. This scale supports reinvestment, shelf presence and negotiation with retailers, reducing revenue risk and enabling long‑term product and channel investments.
Negative Factors
Choppy and declining free cash flow
Reduced and volatile free cash flow constrains capacity for buybacks, special dividends or rapid deleveraging. Persistent variability suggests higher reinvestment or working capital pressure, increasing sensitivity to operational shocks and reducing predictability of shareholder returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue growth and market position
Sustained top-line expansion more than doubled revenue in five years, reflecting durable brand demand and distribution strength. This scale supports reinvestment, shelf presence and negotiation with retailers, reducing revenue risk and enabling long‑term product and channel investments.
Read all positive factors
AG Barr (BAG) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£685.29M
Dividend Yield2.74%
Average Volume (3M)197.11K
Price to Earnings (P/E)9.2
Beta (1Y)0.58
Revenue Growth4.02%
EPS Growth18.51%
CountryUK
Employees981
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryBeverages - Non-Alcoholic
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.42
Shares Outstanding112,028,870
10 Day Avg. Volume163,843
30 Day Avg. Volume197,109
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.91
Price to Book (P/B)2.10
Price to Sales (P/S)1.63
P/FCF Ratio32.17
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
£695.00Price Target Upside12.64% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)0.48
Revenue Forecast (FY)£486.84M
AG Barr Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
A.G. BARR p.l.c., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells soft drinks and cocktail solutions in the United Kingdom and internationally. It provides carbonated and flavored soft drinks, fruit cocktails, fruit juices, sp...
How the Company Makes Money
AG Barr makes money by selling branded beverages to customers across the UK drinks supply chain, generating revenue primarily from wholesale supply to grocery retailers, convenience stores, and cash-and-carry operators, as well as from out-of-home...
AG Barr Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | Jan 2026 | Jan 2025 | Jan 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 437.30M | 420.40M | 400.00M | 317.60M | 268.60M |
| Gross Profit | 176.80M | 164.30M | 154.20M | 128.10M | 118.60M |
| EBITDA | 72.90M | 65.90M | 63.80M | 55.70M | 53.80M |
| Net Income | 47.10M | 39.70M | 38.50M | 33.90M | 27.80M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 514.20M | 432.90M | 401.70M | 377.50M | 336.30M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 81.60M | 64.80M | 53.60M | 53.60M | 68.70M |
| Total Debt | 48.00M | 4.60M | 4.90M | 5.80M | 4.40M |
| Total Liabilities | 168.60M | 115.30M | 109.00M | 108.70M | 88.10M |
| Stockholders Equity | 338.00M | 317.60M | 292.70M | 268.80M | 244.50M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 22.10M | 29.10M | 30.70M | 21.30M | 38.40M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 52.50M | 48.30M | 48.50M | 35.90M | 43.40M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -25.10M | -39.30M | -8.10M | -71.50M | -9.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 12.60M | -21.20M | -19.70M | -20.20M | -15.70M |
AG Barr Technical Analysis
Positive
617.00
Price Trends
661.25
Positive
648.49
Positive
664.31
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.32
Negative
57.18
Neutral
49.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:BAG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 617 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 636.83, below the 50-day MA of 661.25, and below the 200-day MA of 664.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:BAG.
AG Barr Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | £685.29M | 9.21 | 14.27% | 2.74% | 4.02% | 18.51% | |
75 Outperform | £15.49B | 8.53 | 26.03% | 1.96% | 9.27% | 16.35% | |
72 Outperform | £345.87M | 6.75 | 23.59% | 3.39% | 1.30% | 20.13% | |
65 Neutral | £414.01M | 9.36 | 3.73% | 4.05% | -2.21% | ― | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
61 Neutral | £142.19M | -26.80 | -1.06% | 5.22% | 2.21% | -0.51% | |
57 Neutral | £924.38M | 16.71 | 9.32% | 2.11% | -11.80% | -8.61% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
GB:BAG
AG Barr
616.00
-67.51
-9.88%
GB:FEVR
Fevertree Drinks
807.50
-23.84
-2.87%
GB:CAM
Camellia
5,625.00
861.70
18.09%
GB:CCH
Coca Cola HBC
4,250.00
525.89
14.12%
GB:NICL
Nichols
946.00
-312.58
-24.84%
GB:CCR
C&C Group Plc
112.40
-29.68
-20.89%
AG Barr Corporate Events
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
A.G. BARR Discloses Share Sale by Executive’s Associate
Neutral
Apr 7, 2026
A person closely associated with A.G. BARR’s Chief Finance and Operating Officer, Stuart Lorimer, has sold 3,925 ordinary shares in the company at a price of 627p per share. The disposal, carried out by Amanda Lorimer on 2 April 2026 on the ...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
A.G. BARR CEO Increases Stake with Share Purchase
Positive
Apr 1, 2026
A.G. BARR has disclosed that its chief executive officer, Euan Sutherland, purchased 11,956 ordinary shares in the company on 31 March 2026 at a price of 662.44p per share on the London Stock Exchange. The director dealing increases the CEO’...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
A.G. Barr lifts profits and dividend as acquisitions and brand investment drive growth
Positive
Mar 31, 2026
A.G. Barr reported a strong FY25/26, delivering 4% revenue growth to £437.3m and a 12.5% rise in adjusted profit before tax to £65.8m, with adjusted operating margin improving to 14.8% despite higher upfront brand and capital investment....
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
A.G. BARR Rebrands IRN-BRU XTRA as ZERO to Tap Fast-Growing Low-Calorie Market
Positive
Mar 23, 2026
A.G. BARR has rebranded its IRN-BRU XTRA variant as IRN-BRU ZERO to underline its zero-sugar credentials, keeping the underlying recipe unchanged while refreshing the packaging with stronger references to the brand’s iconic strongman and ...
Business Operations and Strategy
AG Barr executives increase stakes via employee share plan
Positive
Mar 10, 2026
A.G. BARR has reported share dealings by several members of its executive leadership team under the company’s All Employee Share Ownership Plan. The plan allows employees to buy ordinary shares through salary deductions and receive matching ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
A.G. BARR sets March date for full-year results and broadens investor outreach
Positive
Mar 3, 2026
A.G. BARR has confirmed that it will publish its final results for the financial year ended 31 January 2026 on 31 March 2026, underlining the company’s continued communication with the market as it seeks to grow its position in the UK soft d...
Business Operations and Strategy
A.G. Barr Executives Increase Holdings Through Employee Share Scheme
Positive
Feb 9, 2026
A.G. Barr has disclosed share purchases by five senior executives under its All Employee Share Ownership Plan, an HMRC-approved scheme allowing staff to acquire ordinary shares via salary deductions with additional matching free shares. The transa...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
A.G. Barr Delivers Double-Digit Profit Growth and Buys Fentimans and Frobishers
Positive
Feb 3, 2026
A.G. Barr reported full-year results for the period to 31 January 2026 in line with expectations, with revenue rising about 4% to £437m and adjusted operating margin improving by roughly 110 basis points to 14.7%, delivering double-digit prof...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
A.G. BARR Chair Mark Allen Steps Down as Board Launches Successor Search
Neutral
Jan 15, 2026
A.G. BARR has announced that Mark Allen OBE has stepped down with immediate effect from his roles as non-executive chair and director in order to concentrate on his expanded executive chair position at Hilton Food Group. The board has launched an ...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
A.G. BARR executives increase holdings under all-employee share scheme
Positive
Jan 12, 2026
A.G. BARR has disclosed share transactions by several members of its executive leadership team under the company’s HM Revenue Customs-approved All Employee Share Ownership Plan (AESOP). Chief Executive Officer Euan Sutherland, Chief Finance...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.