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AG Barr (GB:BAG)
LSE:BAG

AG Barr (BAG) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

AG Barr

(LSE:BAG)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
771.00p
▲(13.38%Upside)
AG Barr's strong financial performance and moderate valuation are the primary drivers of its overall score. The stock's technical indicators suggest a mixed sentiment, with long-term trends remaining positive. The absence of recent earnings call data did not affect the score, and corporate events support the positive outlook but were not individually scored.

AG Barr (BAG) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

AG Barr Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionA.G. BARR p.l.c., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells soft drinks and cocktail solutions in the United Kingdom and internationally. It provides carbonated and flavored soft drinks, fruit cocktails, fruit juices, spring and sparkling water, fruit puree, energy drinks, iced tea, and other non-alcoholic beverages. The company sells its products under the Barr flavours, Bundaberg, D'N'B, Funkin, IRN-BRU, KA, OMJ!, Rubicon, San Benedetto, Simply, Snapple, Strathmore, Sun Exotic, Rubicon RAW, Xyber, and Tizer brands. It also engages in the distribution and sale of plant-based milks and porridge. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Cumbernauld, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyAG Barr generates revenue primarily through the sale of its diverse portfolio of soft drinks and beverages. The company's revenue model is centered around manufacturing and distributing its products to a variety of retail and wholesale channels, including supermarkets, convenience stores, and foodservice providers. AG Barr benefits from strong brand recognition and consumer loyalty, which supports consistent sales volume. Additionally, the company engages in strategic partnerships and promotional activities to enhance market penetration and drive sales growth. Export sales also contribute to AG Barr's earnings, as the company expands its reach beyond the UK market.

AG Barr Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AG Barr shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and a robust balance sheet characterized by low leverage. The cash flow generation is solid despite a slight decline in free cash flow.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
AG Barr has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a strong increase from £400M to £420.4M in the most recent year, reflecting a 5.1% growth rate. Gross profit margin remains robust at 39.1%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved slightly to 9.4%, showcasing profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 12.3% and 15.7%, respectively, underscoring operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01, indicating minimal reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is impressive at 12.5%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 73.4%, highlighting a strong equity base against total assets, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
AG Barr's cash flow position is solid, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.73, indicating effective conversion of profits into cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.22, showcasing robust cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow decreased slightly from the previous year by 5.2%, which warrants attention.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
420.40M400.00M317.60M268.60M227.00M
Gross Profit
164.30M154.20M128.10M118.60M93.60M
EBIT
51.70M50.10M45.30M42.70M26.80M
EBITDA
65.90M63.80M55.70M53.10M39.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
39.70M38.50M33.90M27.80M19.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
64.80M53.60M53.60M68.70M52.90M
Total Assets
432.90M401.70M377.50M336.30M302.10M
Total Debt
4.60M4.90M5.80M4.40M5.40M
Net Debt
-16.80M-28.70M-7.80M-64.30M-47.50M
Total Liabilities
115.30M109.00M108.70M88.10M73.30M
Stockholders Equity
317.60M292.70M268.80M244.50M228.80M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
29.10M30.70M21.30M38.40M43.60M
Operating Cash Flow
48.30M48.50M35.90M43.40M50.70M
Investing Cash Flow
-39.30M-8.10M-71.50M-9.00M-8.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-21.20M-19.70M-20.20M-15.70M-3.60M

AG Barr Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price680.00
Price Trends
50DMA
672.71
Positive
100DMA
637.11
Positive
200DMA
623.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.75
Positive
RSI
45.50
Neutral
STOCH
5.75
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:BAG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 680 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 693.65, above the 50-day MA of 672.71, and above the 200-day MA of 623.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.75 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.75 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:BAG.

AG Barr Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBBAG
77
Outperform
£756.49M18.9913.01%4.05%5.10%3.23%
65
Neutral
$8.88B15.014.67%6.15%3.61%-2.60%
$1.48B44.4810.23%2.44%
GBCCH
76
Outperform
£14.27B20.5926.05%1.87%2.77%26.43%
73
Outperform
£506.38M28.3619.67%0.02%1.21%-2.98%
GBPZC
60
Neutral
£362.02M-2.48%1.74%-16.16%80.50%
GBCCR
56
Neutral
£638.30M57.122.40%4.07%-2.68%-511.88%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:BAG
AG Barr
680.00
109.29
19.15%
FQVTF
Fevertree Drinks
12.20
-0.14
-1.13%
GB:CCH
Coca Cola HBC
3,958.00
1,325.30
50.34%
GB:NICL
Nichols
1,385.00
449.51
48.05%
GB:PZC
PZ Cussons
84.60
-12.36
-12.75%
GB:CCR
C&C Group Plc
167.20
20.98
14.35%

AG Barr Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
A.G. Barr Executives Increase Shareholdings Through Dividend Reinvestment
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

A.G. Barr p.l.c. announced the purchase of ordinary shares by key executives, including CEO Euan Sutherland, CFO Stuart Lorimer, and Chief Legal & Sustainability Officer Julie Barr, as part of a nominee account dividend reinvestment. The transactions, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, indicate confidence in the company’s future performance and align with strategic financial management practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BAG) stock is a Buy with a £8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AG Barr stock, see the GB:BAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
A.G. Barr Executives Increase Stake Through Share Ownership Plan
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

A.G. Barr has announced a series of share purchases by its top executives, including the CEO, CFO, and other key officers, as part of the company’s All Employee Share Ownership Plan (AESOP) dividend reinvestment. This move indicates a commitment by the leadership to align their interests with those of the shareholders, potentially strengthening investor confidence and reflecting a positive outlook on the company’s future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BAG) stock is a Buy with a £8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AG Barr stock, see the GB:BAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
A.G. Barr Executives Participate in Share Ownership Plan
Positive
Jun 10, 2025

A.G. Barr PLC announced the purchase of shares by its top executives as part of the A.G. BARR All Employee Share Ownership Plan (AESOP). This plan allows employees to purchase company shares through salary deductions and receive matching shares, aiming to align employee interests with company performance and enhance stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BAG) stock is a Buy with a £8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AG Barr stock, see the GB:BAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
A.G. BARR Hosts Strategic Update at Capital Markets Event
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

A.G. BARR hosted a Capital Markets Event in London to provide analysts and investors with a strategic update on the company’s growth platforms, commercial strategy, supply chain enhancements, innovation pipeline, and financial framework. This event, part of the company’s H1 2025 Investor Insight Programme, emphasized the company’s commitment to brand and channel growth, capacity expansion, and investment in assets and people, without disclosing new material information.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BAG) stock is a Buy with a £8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AG Barr stock, see the GB:BAG Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsDividends
AG Barr Successfully Passes All AGM Resolutions
Positive
May 23, 2025

AG Barr, a company known for its production of soft drinks, announced that all resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting were passed. The resolutions included the approval of audited accounts, directors’ remuneration report, and the declaration of a final dividend. Additionally, several directors were re-elected, and Deloitte LLP was re-appointed as the company’s auditor. The company expressed satisfaction with the support received for the resolutions and plans to update shareholders on engagement regarding one of the resolutions within six months.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BAG) stock is a Buy with a £800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AG Barr stock, see the GB:BAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
AG Barr Executives Participate in Share Ownership Plan
Positive
May 12, 2025

AG Barr PLC has announced a transaction involving the purchase of shares by key executives, including the CEO, CFO, and a Non-Executive Director, under the All Employee Share Ownership Plan (AESOP). This plan allows employees to purchase shares using salary deductions and receive matching shares, indicating a strategy to enhance employee engagement and align interests with shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BAG) stock is a Buy with a £8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AG Barr stock, see the GB:BAG Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
A.G. Barr Enters Talks for Potential Strathmore Business Disposal
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

A.G. Barr has announced its intention to potentially dispose of its Strathmore business, following a prior decision to discontinue the brand. The company is in exclusive discussions with a third party, although the outcome remains uncertain, indicating a strategic shift that could impact its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Executive/Board Changes
A.G. Barr Executives Acquire Shares Under Bonus Scheme
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

A.G. Barr p.l.c. announced that its CEO, E A Sutherland, and CFO/COO, S Lorimer, acquired shares as part of the company’s annual bonus scheme. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects the deferred element of their 2025 bonus, aligning management interests with shareholder value.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
A.G. Barr Grants Executive Share Options Under LTIP
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

A.G. Barr p.l.c. announced the granting of nil-cost options over ordinary shares to key executives under its Long Term Incentive Plan (LTIP). This move is part of the company’s strategy to align management interests with shareholder value, potentially impacting the company’s operational focus and market positioning by incentivizing leadership to achieve performance targets.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
A.G. Barr Releases Annual Report and Announces AGM
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

A.G. Barr p.l.c. has published its annual report and accounts for the year ending 25 January 2025, which includes the notice for its upcoming 121st annual general meeting. The AGM is scheduled for 23 May 2025, and relevant documents are accessible on the company’s website and the National Storage Mechanism, reflecting compliance with regulatory requirements.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
A.G. BARR’s CFO Engages in Share Transactions Post-LTIP Vesting
Neutral
Apr 9, 2025

A.G. BARR p.l.c. announced that its Chief Finance & Operating Officer, Stuart Lorimer, acquired 101,190 ordinary shares at nil consideration following the vesting of the 2022 awards under the company’s Long Term Incentive Plan. Subsequently, Lorimer sold 50,595 of these shares at £6.54 each on the London Stock Exchange. This transaction is part of the company’s compliance with the UK Market Abuse Regulation, ensuring transparency in managerial transactions.

Business Operations and Strategy
A.G. Barr Executives Participate in Employee Share Ownership Plan
Positive
Apr 8, 2025

A.G. Barr PLC announced the purchase of shares by key executives under the A.G. BARR All Employee Share Ownership Plan (AESOP), a scheme allowing employees to buy company shares through salary deductions and receive matching shares. This transaction, involving Chief Executive Euan Sutherland, Chief Finance & Operating Officer Stuart Lorimer, and Non-Executive Director Julie Barr, signifies a commitment to aligning employee interests with company performance, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
A.G. BARR Reports Strong Financial Growth and Strategic Advancements
Positive
Mar 25, 2025

A.G. BARR reported strong financial results for the year ended January 2025, with a 5.1% increase in revenue and a 15.8% growth in adjusted profit before tax. The company achieved significant progress in its strategic initiatives, including the integration of Boost into its soft drinks business and the enhancement of its convenience channel route to market. Despite economic challenges, A.G. BARR maintained a robust balance sheet and continued to invest in its supply chain and manufacturing capabilities. The company announced plans to discontinue the Strathmore brand and streamline operations, which could lead to the closure of a manufacturing site in Scotland. Looking forward, A.G. BARR expects continued revenue growth and margin improvement in the 2025/26 financial year.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.