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AG Barr (GB:BAG)
LSE:BAG

AG Barr (BAG) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:BAG

AG Barr

(LSE:BAG)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
697.00p
▲(12.97% Upside)
AG Barr's strong financial performance and positive corporate events are offset by bearish technical indicators. The company's valuation is fair, and the dividend yield adds to its attractiveness. The lack of earnings call data means this component is excluded from the analysis.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, enhancing the company's long-term competitive position.
Balance Sheet Health
A strong balance sheet with low leverage provides financial flexibility and reduces risk, supporting sustainable growth and resilience in economic downturns.
Profitability
Strong profitability margins reflect efficient operations and cost control, enhancing the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities and withstand competitive pressures.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Decline
A decline in free cash flow could impact the company's ability to fund new projects or return capital to shareholders, potentially affecting long-term growth and shareholder value.
Cash Flow Conversion
While cash flow conversion is effective, the slight decline in free cash flow suggests potential challenges in maintaining cash reserves, which could impact future investments.
Market Sentiment
Although primarily a short-term indicator, persistent negative sentiment could affect investor confidence, impacting the company's ability to raise capital or pursue strategic initiatives.

AG Barr (BAG) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

AG Barr Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionA.G. BARR p.l.c., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells soft drinks and cocktail solutions in the United Kingdom and internationally. It provides carbonated and flavored soft drinks, fruit cocktails, fruit juices, spring and sparkling water, fruit puree, energy drinks, iced tea, and other non-alcoholic beverages. The company sells its products under the Barr flavours, Bundaberg, D'N'B, Funkin, IRN-BRU, KA, OMJ!, Rubicon, San Benedetto, Simply, Snapple, Strathmore, Sun Exotic, Rubicon RAW, Xyber, and Tizer brands. It also engages in the distribution and sale of plant-based milks and porridge. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Cumbernauld, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyAG Barr generates revenue primarily through the sale of its wide array of beverages. The company's revenue model is built on multiple key streams: retail sales through supermarkets, convenience stores, and online platforms; partnerships with foodservice providers like restaurants and cafes; and export sales to international markets. The company benefits from strong brand loyalty, particularly with its flagship product, Irn-Bru, contributing significantly to its earnings. Additionally, AG Barr engages in strategic partnerships and promotional campaigns to enhance brand visibility and drive sales. Seasonal and promotional product lines also serve to boost revenue during peak periods.

AG Barr Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AG Barr presents a strong financial profile with consistent revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and a robust balance sheet with low leverage. The company's cash flow generation is solid, though there was a slight decline in free cash flow recently. Overall, AG Barr is well-positioned financially with stable growth and low risk.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
AG Barr has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a strong increase from £400M to £420.4M in the most recent year, reflecting a 5.1% growth rate. Gross profit margin remains robust at 39.1%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved slightly to 9.4%, showcasing profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 12.3% and 15.7%, respectively, underscoring operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01, indicating minimal reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is impressive at 12.5%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 73.4%, highlighting a strong equity base against total assets, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
AG Barr's cash flow position is solid, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.73, indicating effective conversion of profits into cash. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.22, showcasing robust cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow decreased slightly from the previous year by 5.2%, which warrants attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue427.20M420.40M400.00M317.60M268.60M227.00M
Gross Profit170.80M164.30M154.20M128.10M118.60M93.60M
EBITDA75.50M65.90M63.80M55.70M53.80M39.50M
Net Income48.70M39.70M38.50M33.90M27.80M19.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets473.50M432.90M401.70M377.50M336.30M302.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.30M64.80M53.60M53.60M68.70M52.90M
Total Debt4.90M4.60M4.90M5.80M4.40M5.40M
Total Liabilities143.80M115.30M109.00M108.70M88.10M73.30M
Stockholders Equity321.90M317.60M292.70M268.80M244.50M228.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow29.00M29.10M30.70M21.30M38.40M43.60M
Operating Cash Flow51.80M48.30M48.50M35.90M43.40M50.70M
Investing Cash Flow-9.60M-39.30M-8.10M-71.50M-9.00M-8.00M
Financing Cash Flow-27.10M-21.20M-19.70M-20.20M-15.70M-3.60M

AG Barr Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price617.00
Price Trends
50DMA
633.76
Positive
100DMA
654.21
Negative
200DMA
669.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.65
Negative
RSI
52.45
Neutral
STOCH
44.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:BAG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 617 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 632.05, below the 50-day MA of 633.76, and below the 200-day MA of 669.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.65 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:BAG.

AG Barr Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
£14.36B18.7528.56%1.96%6.00%42.42%
74
Outperform
$1.01B41.039.97%2.11%-6.03%13.11%
70
Outperform
£709.76M14.5715.73%2.74%3.97%34.09%
67
Neutral
£371.10M21.1918.67%3.39%3.04%-6.67%
65
Neutral
£401.48M23.003.72%4.05%-2.22%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
45
Neutral
£123.36M-53.135.22%-0.79%87.50%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:BAG
AG Barr
638.00
35.20
5.84%
GB:FEVR
Fevertree Drinks
871.00
112.70
14.86%
GB:CAM
Camellia
4,880.00
317.56
6.96%
GB:CCH
Coca Cola HBC
3,950.00
1,147.14
40.93%
GB:NICL
Nichols
1,015.00
-251.78
-19.88%
GB:CCR
C&C Group Plc
109.00
-29.60
-21.35%

AG Barr Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
A.G. BARR executives increase holdings under all-employee share scheme
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

A.G. BARR has disclosed share transactions by several members of its executive leadership team under the company’s HM Revenue & Customs-approved All Employee Share Ownership Plan (AESOP). Chief Executive Officer Euan Sutherland, Chief Finance & Operating Officer Stuart Lorimer, Chief Legal & Sustainability Officer Julie Barr, Chief People Officer Alison Gowen and Chief Supply Chain Officer Karl Donnan all purchased ordinary shares on 8 January 2026 via salary deductions and received matching free shares, with the trades executed on the London Stock Exchange. The filings highlight continued executive participation in the all-employee scheme, underscoring management’s alignment with shareholders and long-term incentive structures across the workforce.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BAG) stock is a Buy with a £697.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AG Barr stock, see the GB:BAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
A.G. Barr Executives Participate in Share Ownership Plan
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

A.G. Barr has announced the purchase of shares by its top executives under the All Employee Share Ownership Plan (AESOP), a scheme approved by HM Revenue and Customs that allows employees to buy shares using salary deductions and receive matching shares. This move is part of the company’s efforts to align the interests of its management with those of its shareholders, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence and promoting a unified company culture.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BAG) stock is a Buy with a £697.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AG Barr stock, see the GB:BAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
AG Barr Executives Reinforce Stakeholder Confidence with Share Purchases
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

AG Barr PLC has announced the purchase of shares by key executives, including CEO Euan Sutherland, CFO Stuart Lorimer, and Chief Legal Officer Julie Barr, as part of a nominee account dividend reinvestment plan. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning management interests with shareholder value, potentially strengthening stakeholder confidence in its strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BAG) stock is a Hold with a £731.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AG Barr stock, see the GB:BAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
AG Barr Executives Increase Stake Through Share Ownership Plan
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

AG Barr has announced the purchase of shares by its key executives as part of the All Employee Share Ownership Plan (AESOP) dividend reinvestment. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, indicates a commitment from the company’s leadership to align their interests with shareholders, potentially strengthening stakeholder confidence and supporting the company’s market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BAG) stock is a Hold with a £731.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AG Barr stock, see the GB:BAG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
A.G. Barr Enhances Employee Ownership with Share Purchase Plan
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

A.G. Barr p.l.c. announced transactions involving the purchase of shares by its top executives as part of the All Employee Share Ownership Plan (AESOP). This plan allows employees to buy company shares using salary deductions and receive matching shares, fostering a sense of ownership and potentially aligning employee interests with company performance. The transactions were conducted on the London Stock Exchange, with the executives acquiring shares at a price of £6.75978 each, reflecting the company’s commitment to employee engagement and retention.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BAG) stock is a Hold with a £731.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AG Barr stock, see the GB:BAG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025