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Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc (GB:AML)
LSE:AML
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Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc (AML) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:AML

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc

(LSE:AML)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
80.00p
▲(4.85% Upside)
Aston Martin's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which remains weak due to ongoing losses and high leverage. Technical analysis suggests a neutral to slightly bearish trend, while valuation metrics are unattractive due to negative earnings. The earnings call provided some optimism with strategic initiatives, but significant challenges remain.
Positive Factors
Business Strategy
Aston is staying true to a demand-led model, which has short term pain but shows it has learned from mistakes: a good first step for new CEO Adrian Hallmark.
Free Cash Flow
4Q FCF was slightly better than expected and driven by working capital development.
Negative Factors
Financial Targets
AML has seen a significant softening in its financial targets over the last 18 months.
Revenue
A weaker than expected ASP on core models led to slightly softer revenues.
Wholesale Growth
AML does not expect wholesale growth despite having its new core model range available.

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc (AML) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells luxury sports cars under the Aston Martin and Lagonda brand names worldwide. It also engages in the sale of parts; sale of vehicles; servicing of vehicles; and brand and motorsport activities. The company sells its vehicles through a network of dealers. It has strategic technology agreement with Mercedes-Benz AG. Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Gaydon, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyAston Martin generates revenue primarily through the sale of its luxury vehicles, which are positioned in the high-end market segment. The company earns significant income from both the direct sales of new cars and the pre-owned market, catering to affluent customers looking for exclusivity and performance. Additionally, Aston Martin has developed a revenue stream through bespoke personalization services, allowing customers to customize their vehicles to meet personal preferences, which commands a premium price. The company also benefits from partnerships in motorsports and collaborations with luxury brands, enhancing its brand visibility and attracting new customers. Furthermore, Aston Martin engages in merchandise sales, including branded accessories and apparel, contributing to its overall revenue. The company’s focus on limited-edition models creates scarcity and exclusivity, driving demand and allowing for higher pricing strategies.

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed picture with strong product launches and ASP growth, but these are offset by significant revenue decline and challenges in the U.S. and China markets. Despite the hurdles, there are strategic initiatives in place to improve liquidity and operational efficiency.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record ASP Growth
Average Selling Price (ASP) grew by 7% to GBP 192,000, reflecting strong demand for next-generation models.
Successful Product Launches
Launch of four new derivatives: Vantage Roadster, Vanquish Volante, DBX S, and Vantage S, supporting future profit growth.
Valhalla Order Book Strength
Valhalla, Aston Martin's first mid-engine plug-in hybrid electric vehicle, reported a 12-month order book before customer test drives, with 1/3 of lifetime production already secured.
Liquidity Enhancement
Liquidity is expected to increase to GBP 340 million following the anticipated completion of the sale of shares in the Aramco Formula One Team, with proceeds of around GBP 110 million.
Operational Improvements
Significant improvement in production efficiency, with 'right first time' production rates increasing from 65% to 95%.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue decreased by 25% year-on-year to GBP 454 million, mainly due to fewer specials delivered.
Adjusted EBIT Loss
Adjusted EBIT saw a loss of GBP 122 million, a decrease of 22% compared to the previous year.
Challenges in China
The market for luxury vehicles in China remains subdued, with ongoing macroeconomic weakness impacting demand.
U.S. Tariff Impact
U.S. tariffs pose significant challenges, with a 10% rate on the first 100,000 U.K.-made cars and a 27.5% rate beyond that.
Company Guidance
In the call, Aston Martin provided guidance for the second half of 2025, highlighting several key metrics and strategic focuses. The company expects positive free cash flow generation in the latter half of the year, with adjusted EBIT improving towards breakeven. Retail volumes outpaced wholesale volumes by over 40% in the first half as part of a disciplined approach to optimize stock levels, while average selling prices (ASP) grew by 7% to GBP 192,000. Despite a 25% revenue decrease to GBP 454 million due to fewer specials deliveries, the company anticipates that new derivatives like the Vantage S and DBX S, along with the upcoming Valhalla, will bolster second-half performance. The Valhalla alone is expected to contribute significantly over the next 2 to 2.5 years, with an initial production of 999 units. Aston Martin also plans to enhance liquidity through the sale of shares in the Aramco Formula One Team, with expected proceeds of around GBP 110 million. The company is actively managing the impact of U.S. tariffs by implementing a 3% price increase and engaging with the U.K. government on quota mechanisms. Additionally, a transformation program is underway, with a projected GBP 25 million in annualized savings and efforts to improve operational efficiency and customer satisfaction.

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aston Martin's financial performance is weak, marked by persistent losses and high leverage. Despite revenue and gross profit improvements, profitability remains elusive, with ongoing cash flow challenges due to significant capital expenditures.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Aston Martin has faced persistent challenges in profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT and net incomes over the years. Despite a revenue increase from 2020 to 2023, the net profit margin remains negative due to high operational costs. The gross profit margin has improved, indicating some cost management success, but the overall profitability remains weak.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high, indicating heavy reliance on debt financing, which poses a risk. However, the equity ratio has remained relatively stable, suggesting a consistent asset base. The return on equity is negative due to losses, but the company maintains a sizable asset base which provides some stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
While operating cash flow has remained positive, the company struggles with negative free cash flow due to high capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting ongoing cash flow challenges, despite improvements in operating cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.44B1.58B1.63B1.38B1.10B611.80M
Gross Profit477.60M583.90M639.20M450.70M343.70M111.10M
EBITDA206.20M237.80M309.60M-5.40M150.70M-206.70M
Net Income-264.70M-323.50M-228.10M-527.70M-189.30M-410.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.05B3.16B3.17B3.10B2.84B2.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments123.60M359.60M392.40M592.10M426.20M504.00M
Total Debt1.46B1.48B1.17B1.31B1.29B1.19B
Total Liabilities2.37B2.41B2.25B2.33B2.18B1.99B
Stockholders Equity671.90M740.20M902.30M753.00M641.80M787.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-111.80M-276.70M-251.50M-159.80M-5.80M-459.30M
Operating Cash Flow14.30M123.90M145.90M127.10M178.90M-198.60M
Investing Cash Flow-542.10M-374.80M-383.40M-284.70M-184.10M-258.40M
Financing Cash Flow397.90M215.80M59.70M315.00M-66.50M840.20M

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price76.30
Price Trends
50DMA
77.94
Negative
100DMA
76.27
Positive
200DMA
88.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
50.30
Neutral
STOCH
76.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:AML, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 76.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.90, below the 50-day MA of 77.94, and below the 200-day MA of 88.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:AML.

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
£4.76B9.8218.22%1.03%8.69%-9.09%
72
Outperform
£2.52B6.4223.07%3.95%-15.99%69.97%
65
Neutral
£4.52B77.34-7.28%5.01%-17.08%-128.46%
61
Neutral
$17.75B12.56-5.49%3.02%1.43%-14.12%
61
Neutral
£2.84B20.004.22%2.45%-11.63%-31.81%
57
Neutral
£5.29B36.231.81%4.67%4.78%-53.59%
54
Neutral
£792.33M-37.46%-7.90%18.13%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:AML
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc
76.30
-69.90
-47.81%
GB:BTRW
Barratt Redrow
370.10
-120.48
-24.56%
GB:BWY
Bellway
2,404.00
-547.68
-18.55%
GB:BRBY
Burberry
1,305.00
627.20
92.53%
GB:INCH
Inchcape
676.00
-135.49
-16.70%
GB:JD
JD Sports Fashion
97.36
-38.43
-28.30%

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aston Martin Reports H1 2025 Results Amidst Tariff Challenges
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

Aston Martin reported its interim results for the first half of 2025, highlighting a 25% decrease in revenue due to fewer Specials deliveries and disruptions from U.S. tariffs. Despite these challenges, the company maintained a strong core average selling price, reflecting the success of its new model range. The company anticipates improved financial performance in the second half of 2025, driven by the launch of new models and benefits from its transformation program.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Hold with a £1.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Aston Martin Appoints Andrew McNaught as Non-executive Director
Positive
Jul 28, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has appointed Andrew McNaught as a Non-executive Director, replacing Cyrus Jilla. McNaught, with a robust background in investment banking, will serve as a shareholder representative for Ernesto Bertarelli’s investment funds. His appointment is expected to enhance the company’s financial and strategic capabilities, potentially impacting its market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Hold with a £1.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin CEO Acquires Significant Shareholding
Positive
May 27, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced a transaction involving its CEO, Adrian Hallmark, who purchased 199,117 ordinary shares at a price of £0.753324 per share, totaling £149,999.61. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects a significant investment by the CEO, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance and stability, which could positively influence stakeholder sentiment.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Hold with a £1.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Aston Martin Announces Executive Incentive Awards
Neutral
May 27, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has announced the grant of awards under its Long-Term Incentive Plan and Deferred Share Bonus Plan to its CEO and CFO. These awards, which include Performance Shares and Restricted Shares, are part of the company’s remuneration policy and aim to align the interests of the executives with those of the shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Hold with a £1.18 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesShareholder Meetings
Aston Martin Issues 75 Million New Shares, Alters Voting Rights
Neutral
May 15, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings PLC has issued and listed 75 million new shares following approval at its General Meeting of Independent Shareholders. This move, involving Atieva, Inc. as a significant shareholder, results in a change in voting rights, with the Public Investment Fund holding a 2.803617% stake, potentially impacting the company’s shareholder dynamics and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Hold with a £115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Mercedes-Benz Reduces Stake in Aston Martin
Neutral
May 13, 2025

Mercedes-Benz AG has reduced its voting rights in Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings PLC from 8.15% to 7.55%, as of May 9, 2025. This change in voting rights may impact the strategic influence Mercedes-Benz holds within Aston Martin, potentially affecting future collaborations or business decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Buy with a £1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Aston Martin Announces Significant Share Acquisition by Associated Entity
Neutral
May 13, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced a transaction involving the purchase of 1,500,000 ordinary shares at a price of £0.70 each, totaling £1,050,000. This transaction was conducted by Saint-Alexander SARL, a company closely associated with Michael de Picciotto, a Non-Executive Director of Aston Martin, and took place on the London Stock Exchange on May 9, 2025. The acquisition is part of an equity placing, which may impact the company’s market position and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Buy with a £1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin Director Invests in Equity Placing
Positive
May 13, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced a transaction involving Cyrus Jilla, a non-executive director, who purchased 113,000 ordinary shares at a price of 0.70 GBP per share as part of an equity placing. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects a significant investment by a key company figure, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future performance and strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Buy with a £1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin Announces Strategic Share Acquisition by Yew Tree
Positive
May 13, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc announced a transaction involving Yew Tree Overseas Limited, a company associated with Lawrence Stroll, the Executive Chairperson. Yew Tree purchased 62,072,407 ordinary shares at £0.70 each, totaling £43,450,684.90, as part of an equity placing on the London Stock Exchange. This transaction reflects a strategic move to strengthen the company’s financial position and potentially enhance its market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Buy with a £1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Lawrence Stroll Increases Stake in Aston Martin Lagonda
Neutral
May 12, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has announced a significant change in its voting rights structure, with Lawrence Stroll increasing his stake to 32.07% from a previous 27.67%. This move, involving a consortium led by Yew Tree Overseas Limited, indicates a consolidation of control, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and shareholder dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Buy with a £1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin Announces Change in Major Shareholder Holdings
Neutral
May 12, 2025

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has announced a change in its major holdings, with Shufu Li, associated with Zhejiang Geely Holding Group, reducing his stake in the company. The voting rights held by Shufu Li have decreased from 15.22% to 14.09%, indicating a slight shift in the ownership structure. This adjustment could have implications for the company’s governance and strategic decisions, given the influence of major shareholders in steering company direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Buy with a £1.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aston Martin’s Major Shareholder Adjusts Voting Rights
Neutral
May 12, 2025

The Public Investment Fund, a major shareholder of Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc, has adjusted its voting rights in the company, decreasing its total voting rights from 18.03% to 16.70%. This change highlights the evolving dynamics of shareholder influence within the company, potentially impacting its strategic decisions and governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AML) stock is a Buy with a £1.8000 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc stock, see the GB:AML Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2025