Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc (GB:AML)
LSE:AML
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Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc
(LSE:AML)
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Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
35.00 p
▼(-13.11% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/05/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, high leverage/thin equity, and continued cash burn), reinforced by a strongly bearish technical setup (price far below key moving averages with negative MACD). Earnings-call guidance provides some offset via a clearer 2026 improvement plan, but near-term liquidity and execution risks remain significant, and valuation support is limited given losses and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Valhalla production and ASP uplift
A ramping halo model that is explicitly accretive to margin and backed by an order bank can durably lift mix and core ASP. If Valhalla reaches management’s 2026 volume targets it provides structural gross-margin support and helps shift revenue mix toward higher‑margin specialist models.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage and thin equity
A much thinner equity cushion and elevated gross debt materially increase refinancing and solvency risk for a capital‑intensive automaker. High leverage limits strategic optionality, raises borrowing costs, and magnifies the impact of any revenue or margin setbacks on balance‑sheet stability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Valhalla production and ASP uplift
A ramping halo model that is explicitly accretive to margin and backed by an order bank can durably lift mix and core ASP. If Valhalla reaches management’s 2026 volume targets it provides structural gross-margin support and helps shift revenue mix toward higher‑margin specialist models.
Read all positive factors
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc (AML) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£381.70M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)2.10M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.85
Revenue Growth-7.90%
EPS Growth18.13%
CountryUK
Employees3,006
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.17
Shares Outstanding1,012,461,700
10 Day Avg. Volume3,579,648
30 Day Avg. Volume2,097,786
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.04
Price to Book (P/B)1.97
Price to Sales (P/S)0.50
P/FCF Ratio-4.55
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
£61.33Price Target Upside52.27% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering6
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.22
Revenue Forecast (FY)£1.56B
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells luxury sports cars under the Aston Martin and Lagonda brand names worldwide. It also engages in the sale of parts; sale of vehicles; servicing of vehicles...
How the Company Makes Money
AML primarily makes money by selling Aston Martin-branded luxury vehicles through a global network of authorized dealers and partners. Vehicle sales generate the majority of revenue and are driven by model mix (sports cars, GTs, SUVs), pricing in ...
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: the company delivered important product and strategic milestones in 2025 (notably Valhalla production and a stronger core ASP), achieved sequential operational improvements in Q4, and put in place meaningful cost and CapEx reductions and balance sheet actions. However, these positives were offset by substantial top‑line decline (‑21% revenue), an adjusted EBIT loss of GBP 189m, a large free cash outflow of GBP 410m, increased net debt to GBP 1.38bn and very high adjusted leverage (~12.8x), alongside ongoing market/tariff‑related uncertainty and a concentrated near‑term cash burn in Q1 2026. Management articulated a clear plan and targets for margin and cash improvement in 2026, but execution risk and near‑term financial strain remain material.Positive Updates
Valhalla Production and Deliveries Started
Commenced Valhalla (first mid-engine plug-in hybrid supercar) production and deliveries in Q4 2025 with 152 units produced/wholesaled in 2025; company expects circa 500 Valhalla deliveries in 2026 and an order bank extending to Q4 2026. Management said Valhalla was accretive to margin and supported Q4 performance.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Full year 2025 revenue declined to GBP 1.26 billion, a 21% decrease year‑on‑year, largely due to lower core volumes and fewer specials deliveries.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Valhalla Production and Deliveries Started
Commenced Valhalla (first mid-engine plug-in hybrid supercar) production and deliveries in Q4 2025 with 152 units produced/wholesaled in 2025; company expects circa 500 Valhalla deliveries in 2026 and an order bank extending to Q4 2026. Management said Valhalla was accretive to margin and supported Q4 performance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided that 2026 should produce a “material improvement” in financial performance with adjusted EBIT margin improving materially towards breakeven and free cash outflow concentrated in Q1 with cumulative year‑on‑year improvement from Q2 and momentum into 2027; key numeric drivers include around 500 Valhalla deliveries in 2026 (152 were wholesaled in Q4 2025), a minimum 40% gross margin target on all new vehicles, continued core ASP strength (+5% to £185k) with total ASP aided by Valhalla and Valkyrie LM, SG&A targeted below £300m, and CapEx trimmed from ~£2.0bn to ~£1.7bn over five years (2025 CapEx £341m); balance‑sheet context: year‑end 2025 liquidity £250m (plus a proposed £50m naming‑rights sale), net debt £1.38bn, adjusted net leverage 12.8x, and FY2025 free cash outflow £410m (working capital improved to +£6m).Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.26B | 1.58B | 1.63B | 1.38B | 1.10B |
| Gross Profit | 29.90M | 583.90M | 639.20M | 450.70M | 343.70M |
| EBITDA | 120.50M | 237.80M | 309.60M | -5.40M | 150.70M |
| Net Income | -493.20M | -323.50M | -228.10M | -527.70M | -189.30M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 2.81B | 3.16B | 3.17B | 3.10B | 2.84B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 252.90M | 359.60M | 392.40M | 592.10M | 426.20M |
| Total Debt | 1.67B | 1.48B | 1.17B | 1.31B | 1.29B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.48B | 2.41B | 2.25B | 2.33B | 2.18B |
| Stockholders Equity | 316.30M | 740.20M | 902.30M | 753.00M | 641.80M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -137.10M | -276.70M | -251.50M | -159.80M | -5.80M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -67.50M | 123.90M | 145.90M | 127.10M | 178.90M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -232.50M | -374.80M | -383.40M | -284.70M | -184.10M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 196.60M | 215.80M | 59.70M | 315.00M | -66.50M |
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Technical Analysis
Negative
40.28
Price Trends
52.65
Negative
57.47
Negative
66.26
Negative
Market Momentum
-4.43
Negative
32.68
Neutral
24.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:AML, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 40.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.82, below the 50-day MA of 52.65, and below the 200-day MA of 66.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 32.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:AML.
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | £238.73M | 27.31 | 8.70% | 0.63% | 3.10% | 23.59% | |
71 Outperform | £182.61M | 3.31 | 4.55% | 3.22% | -0.17% | -10.96% | |
70 Outperform | £2.87B | 10.60 | 23.83% | 3.44% | -15.99% | 69.97% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
55 Neutral | £92.82M | 12.59 | 16.70% | 1.48% | 20.64% | ― | |
44 Neutral | £381.70M | -1.27 | -96.24% | ― | -7.90% | 18.13% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
GB:AML
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc
36.26
-28.99
-44.43%
GB:ABDP
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1,025.00
-828.19
-44.69%
GB:INCH
Inchcape
787.50
120.07
17.99%
GB:MOTR
Motorpoint
118.00
-6.61
-5.30%
GB:VTU
Vertu Motors
59.10
10.42
21.39%
GB:EQIP
Equipmake Holdings Plc
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Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Aston Martin Publishes 2025 Annual Report and Sustainability Disclosures
Positive
Mar 25, 2026
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings has released its Annual Report and Accounts for the year ended 31 December 2025, alongside the Notice of its 2026 Annual General Meeting. The documents are now available on the company’s website and have ...
Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Aston Martin Shareholders Back Naming Rights Deal with AMR GP
Positive
Mar 9, 2026
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc secured shareholder approval for its proposed naming rights agreement with AMR GP Holdings Limited at a General Meeting held electronically on 9 March 2026. The resolution, classed as a substantial property...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aston Martin Hit by Tariffs and Slower Specials but Bets on Valhalla and Cost Cuts
Negative
Feb 25, 2026
Aston Martin Lagonda reported a difficult 2025, as wholesale volumes fell 10% and revenue dropped 21%, pressured by weaker macroeconomic conditions, heightened tariffs in the U.S. and China, and fewer deliveries of higher-margin Special models. Gr...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Aston Martin to Monetise F1 Naming Rights as 2025 Trading Stays Under Pressure
Neutral
Feb 20, 2026
Aston Martin Lagonda has agreed in principle to sell the perpetual right to use the Aston Martin name and chassis designation for the Aston Martin F1 Team to AMR GP Holdings for £50 million, alongside certain F1-specific branding rights. The ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.