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Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc
(LSE:AML)
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Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
36.00 p
▼(-10.63% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/29/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (persistent losses, high leverage with reduced equity, and ongoing cash burn). Technicals provide some near-term support (positive MACD and price above short-term averages), while valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
High-margin personalization & 'Specials'
Aston Martin’s bespoke 'Specials' and personalization programs create structural high-margin revenue per vehicle. Over the medium term, stronger mix toward customized orders supports gross margins and profitability resilience versus volume-dependent OEMs, improving earnings durability if sustained.
Negative Factors
Persistent multi-year losses
Continuous losses and negative operating profit across multiple years signal an incomplete turnaround and structural profitability issues. This erodes retained capital, limits internal reinvestment capacity, and raises the bar for sustainable margin recovery needed to self-fund growth or capex.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High-margin personalization & 'Specials'
Aston Martin’s bespoke 'Specials' and personalization programs create structural high-margin revenue per vehicle. Over the medium term, stronger mix toward customized orders supports gross margins and profitability resilience versus volume-dependent OEMs, improving earnings durability if sustained.
Read all positive factors
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc (AML) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£375.67M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)2.10M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.94
Revenue Growth-20.59%
EPS Growth-27.61%
CountryUK
Employees3,006
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.60
Shares Outstanding1,015,315,300
10 Day Avg. Volume3,579,648
30 Day Avg. Volume2,097,786
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.05
Price to Book (P/B)1.97
Price to Sales (P/S)0.50
P/FCF Ratio-4.55
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
£48.75Price Target Upside21.03% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.23
Revenue Forecast (FY)£1.51B
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc is a global enterprise renowned for the design, engineering, production, promotion, and sale of premium sports cars, primarily under its iconic Aston Martin and Lagonda brands. Its business activities exten...
How the Company Makes Money
AML primarily makes money from selling luxury vehicles to customers via a mix of direct and dealer/distributor channels, recognizing revenue from the manufacture and delivery of Aston Martin-branded cars (including core sports cars/GTs and special...
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: the company delivered important product and strategic milestones in 2025 (notably Valhalla production and a stronger core ASP), achieved sequential operational improvements in Q4, and put in place meaningful cost and CapEx reductions and balance sheet actions. However, these positives were offset by substantial top‑line decline (‑21% revenue), an adjusted EBIT loss of GBP 189m, a large free cash outflow of GBP 410m, increased net debt to GBP 1.38bn and very high adjusted leverage (~12.8x), alongside ongoing market/tariff‑related uncertainty and a concentrated near‑term cash burn in Q1 2026. Management articulated a clear plan and targets for margin and cash improvement in 2026, but execution risk and near‑term financial strain remain material.Positive Updates
Valhalla Production and Deliveries Started
Commenced Valhalla (first mid-engine plug-in hybrid supercar) production and deliveries in Q4 2025 with 152 units produced/wholesaled in 2025; company expects circa 500 Valhalla deliveries in 2026 and an order bank extending to Q4 2026. Management said Valhalla was accretive to margin and supported Q4 performance.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Full year 2025 revenue declined to GBP 1.26 billion, a 21% decrease year‑on‑year, largely due to lower core volumes and fewer specials deliveries.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Valhalla Production and Deliveries Started
Commenced Valhalla (first mid-engine plug-in hybrid supercar) production and deliveries in Q4 2025 with 152 units produced/wholesaled in 2025; company expects circa 500 Valhalla deliveries in 2026 and an order bank extending to Q4 2026. Management said Valhalla was accretive to margin and supported Q4 performance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided that 2026 should produce a “material improvement” in financial performance with adjusted EBIT margin improving materially towards breakeven and free cash outflow concentrated in Q1 with cumulative year‑on‑year improvement from Q2 and momentum into 2027; key numeric drivers include around 500 Valhalla deliveries in 2026 (152 were wholesaled in Q4 2025), a minimum 40% gross margin target on all new vehicles, continued core ASP strength (+5% to £185k) with total ASP aided by Valhalla and Valkyrie LM, SG&A targeted below £300m, and CapEx trimmed from ~£2.0bn to ~£1.7bn over five years (2025 CapEx £341m); balance‑sheet context: year‑end 2025 liquidity £250m (plus a proposed £50m naming‑rights sale), net debt £1.38bn, adjusted net leverage 12.8x, and FY2025 free cash outflow £410m (working capital improved to +£6m).Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.26B | 1.58B | 1.63B | 1.38B | 1.10B |
| Gross Profit | 29.90M | 583.90M | 639.20M | 450.70M | 343.70M |
| EBITDA | 120.50M | 237.80M | 309.60M | -5.40M | 150.70M |
| Net Income | -493.20M | -323.50M | -228.10M | -527.70M | -189.30M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 2.81B | 3.16B | 3.17B | 3.10B | 2.84B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 252.90M | 359.60M | 392.40M | 592.10M | 426.20M |
| Total Debt | 1.59B | 1.48B | 1.17B | 1.31B | 1.29B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.48B | 2.41B | 2.25B | 2.33B | 2.18B |
| Stockholders Equity | 316.30M | 740.20M | 902.30M | 753.00M | 641.80M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -137.10M | -276.70M | -251.50M | -159.80M | -5.80M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -67.50M | 123.90M | 145.90M | 127.10M | 178.90M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -232.50M | -374.80M | -383.40M | -284.70M | -184.10M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 196.60M | 215.80M | 59.70M | 315.00M | -66.50M |
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Technical Analysis
Negative
40.28
Price Trends
43.58
Negative
45.44
Negative
55.54
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.68
Positive
30.23
Neutral
9.90
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:AML, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 40.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.06, below the 50-day MA of 43.58, and below the 200-day MA of 55.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:AML.
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | £2.76B | 10.58 | 23.83% | 3.44% | -1.76% | -29.67% | |
67 Neutral | £247.91M | -46.09 | -3.98% | 0.63% | -9.83% | -149.61% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
60 Neutral | £228.34M | 16.13 | 4.05% | 3.22% | 1.47% | -15.99% | |
47 Neutral | £375.67M | -0.59 | -89.66% | ― | -20.59% | -27.61% | |
46 Neutral | £99.57M | 18.80 | 22.27% | 1.48% | 8.14% | 81.96% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
GB:AML
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc
38.64
-41.36
-51.70%
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Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc Corporate Events
Financial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aston Martin Clears Conditions for £50m Related-Party Funding Facility
Positive
Jun 26, 2026
Aston Martin Lagonda said that customary closing conditions have been satisfied for a new £50m committed facility agreed with Yew Tree Consortium members Yew Tree Overseas Limited and Saint Alexander S.à r.l. The facility, announced alon...
Executive/Board Changes
Aston Martin grants new 2026 share awards to CEO and CFO
Positive
Jun 9, 2026
Aston Martin Lagonda has granted a series of share-based awards to its new chief executive, Adrian Hallmark, and chief financial officer, Doug Lafferty under its existing remuneration schemes. The awards, made outside a trading venue on 8 June 202...
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aston Martin Issues New Shares to Fund Employee Incentive Plan
Neutral
Jun 4, 2026
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has applied for the admission of 2,229,037 new ordinary shares to the Financial Conduct Authority and London Stock Exchange. These shares, each with a nominal value of £0.10, will be used to satisfy fr...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aston Martin Issues New Shares to Fulfil Employee Incentive Awards
Neutral
May 15, 2026
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc has applied for the admission of 624,592 new ordinary shares to the FCA Official List and to trading on the London Stock Exchange. The shares are being issued to satisfy the vesting of restricted and intern...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Aston Martin Shareholders Back All Resolutions at 2026 AGM
Positive
May 6, 2026
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc reported that its electronically held Annual General Meeting on 6 May 2026 concluded successfully, with shareholders passing all resolutions on a poll. Participation was robust, with votes cast representing...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Aston Martin lifts margins on Specials as Q1 revenue rises but losses persist
Neutral
Apr 29, 2026
Aston Martin reported first‑quarter 2026 results broadly in line with guidance, with total wholesale volumes virtually flat at 939 vehicles but revenue up 16% to £270.4 million, driven largely by higher deliveries of Specials, including...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.